Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2012

Gale Warning 654, NWS Anchorage, AK

October 4, 2012

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this gale warning at Oct 4, 2012, 4:00 PM AKDT. It was in force for 12 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Oct 4, 2012, 4:00 PM AKDT (00:00 UTC)
Expired
Oct 5, 2012, 4:00 AM AKDT
In force
12 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

271 
FZAK52 PAFC 042340
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKDT THU OCT 4 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-051500-
400 PM AKDT THU OCT 4 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 974 MB LOW 130 NM NORTHWEST OF SAINT PAUL ISLAND WILL WEAKEN TO 983
MB 75 NM NORTHWEST OF SAINT LAWRENCE ISLAND FRI AFTERNOON AND WEAKEN
IN PLACE TO 1002 MB SAT AFTERNOON. A 985 MB LOW 240 NM SOUTHWEST OF
ADAK WILL STRENGTHEN TO 980 MB 120 NM SOUTH OF ADAK SAT AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ150-051500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 PM AKDT THU OCT 4 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-051500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM AKDT THU OCT 4 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT EXCEPT 20 KT EAST OF THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS.
SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7
FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 

$$

PKZ160-051500-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM AKDT THU OCT 4 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT EXCEPT 11 FT EAST OF 160W. 
.FRI...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT
EXCEPT 9 FT EAST OF 160W. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-051500-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AKDT THU OCT 4 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT EXCEPT 11 FT EAST OF PORT MOLLER.
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12
FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8
FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-051500-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM AKDT THU OCT 4 2012

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 50 KT. SEAS 19 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15 FT
SUBSIDING TO 11 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 

$$

PKZ170-051500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM AKDT THU OCT 4 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 

$$

PKZ171-051500-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AKDT THU OCT 4 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-051500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM AKDT THU OCT 4 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
17 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 40 KT. PACIFIC SIDE...SEAS 20 FT. BERING SIDE...SEAS
13 FT.  
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. PACIFIC SIDE...SEAS 21 FT. BERING
SIDE...SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 

$$

PKZ175-051500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AKDT THU OCT 4 2012

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. BERING
SIDE...SEAS 18 FT. PACIFIC SIDE...SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. BERING
SIDE...SEAS 13 FT. PACIFIC SIDE...SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO E 35 KT IN THE LATE EVENING.
SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 35 KT BECOMING N 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 22 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 50 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-051500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AKDT THU OCT 4 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9
FT BUILDING TO 13 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SAT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-051500-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AKDT THU OCT 4 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...S WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW
30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...N WIND 45 KT
BECOMING NW 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 17 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT WEST OF SAINT MATTHEW
ISLAND AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 

$$

PKZ179-051500-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM AKDT THU OCT 4 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
17 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$
1 follow-up statement
595 
FZAK52 PAFC 051147
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKDT FRI OCT 5 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-060300-
400 AM AKDT FRI OCT 5 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 981 MB LOW 30 NM WEST OF WILL WEAKEN TO 1005 MB 180 NM NORTH OF
SAINT LAWRENCE ISLAND SAT NIGHT. A 984 MB LOW 210 NM SOUTHWEST OF
ATKA WILL STRENGTHEN TO 976 MB 390 NM SOUTH OF ATKA EARLY SUNDAY
MORNING.

$$

PKZ150-060300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 AM AKDT FRI OCT 5 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-060300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 AM AKDT FRI OCT 5 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT.
PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-060300-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM AKDT FRI OCT 5 2012

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-060300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKDT FRI OCT 5 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAY AND PASSES IN THE
MORNING. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-060300-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM AKDT FRI OCT 5 2012

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
13 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-060300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 AM AKDT FRI OCT 5 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-060300-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AKDT FRI OCT 5 2012

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS
TO 25 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-060300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM AKDT FRI OCT 5 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT BERING SIDE...19 FT PACIFIC SIDE.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-060300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AKDT FRI OCT 5 2012

...STORM WARNING SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE WIND 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
12 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 20 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 50 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-060300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AKDT FRI OCT 5 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-060300-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AKDT FRI OCT 5 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 

$$

PKZ179-060300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM AKDT FRI OCT 5 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Oct 4, 5:00 AM AKDT, 11 hours earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 4, 5:00 AM AKDT, 11 hours before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
500 AM AKDT THU OCT 4 2012

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
EARLY THIS MORNING...A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONT OVER THE GULF
CONTINUES TO BRING SCATTERED SHOWERS ALONG THE GULF COAST AND
SOUTHCENTRAL. FURTHER SOUTH...RIDGING CONTINUES OVER THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST. THE MAIN WEATHER FEATURE IS A BROAD UPPER LEVEL LOW THAT
SPANS ACROSS THE BERING SEA. THIS IS KEEPING SOUTHERLY FLOW ALONG
WITH SCATTERED RAIN ACROSS THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS THROUGH SOUTHWESTERN
ALASKA. ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE LOW...NORTH TO WESTERLY FLOW IS NOTED
ACROSS THE WESTERN BERING. AS SEEN ON VISIBLE SATELLITE...PLENTIFUL
MOISTURE IS STREAMING NORTHWARD BETWEEN THE TWO SYSTEMS BRINGING LOW
AND MID LEVEL STRATUS ACROSS SOUTHERN ALASKA.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODELS AGREEMENT IS GOOD THROUGH THE SHORT TERM FORECAST AND BOTH
THE GFS AND NAM WERE USED TO ADJUST THE CURRENT PACKAGE. FOR MID AND
LONG RANGE FORECASTS A BLOCKING PATTERN SETS UP THIS WEEKEND WITH THE
PACIFIC RIDGE MOVING FURTHER NORTH. MODELS SOLUTIONS BEGIN TO
SLIGHTLY DIVERGE FRIDAY NIGHT AS THEY AMPLIFY THE LONGWAVE TROUGH
OVER THE BERING. ON SATURDAY...A NEW CENTER FORMS AT THE BASE OF THE
LONGWAVE AND MODELS ARE IN BETTER AGREEMENT WITH FORMING A NEW LOW
SOUTH OF THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS.  THE NAM IS CURRENTLY THE OUTLIER
WITH A SLOWER PROGRESSION OF THIS LOW.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...
LIGHT SHOWERS THIS MORNING WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE COASTAL AREAS AND
ALONG THE ALASKA RANGE. THROUGH TODAY A STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT SETS
UP ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL AND WILL BRING GUSTY WINDS ALONG THE TURNAGAIN
ARM AND HIGHER ELEVATIONS. IN ADDITION...WINDY CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR
ACROSS THE LOWER HILLSIDE AND ANCHORAGE AREAS. LATER THIS MORNING
ANOTHER SHORTWAVE AHEAD OF THE MAIN UPPER LOW WILL BRING MORE RAIN
ACROSS THE GULF AND ALL OF SOUTHERN ALASKA. WITH THE BLOCKING RIDGE
IN THE NORTH PACIFIC...THE BERING LOW WILL CONTINUE TO SEND WAVES OF
ENERGY THAT WILL GENERATE PERIODS OF RAIN THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

SOUTHWEST ALASKA...
WEDGED BETWEEN TWO SYSTEMS...ABUNDANT MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO
STREAM OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA KEEPING SKIES MOSTLY CLOUDY. THE BERING
LOW WILL BRING GUSTY WINDS ACROSS THE COAST TODAY INTO FRIDAY
MORNING. SCATTERED RAIN WILL BE ONGOING THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS THE
BERING LOW SLOWLY MOVES NORTHWARD.

.ALEUTIANS/BERING SEA...
WITH THE EXPANSIVE LOW OVER THE BERING STRONG WINDS AND RAIN WILL
CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND. ON FRIDAY COLD AIR ADVECTION ALONG THE
BACKSIDE OF THE LOW WILL COOL TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE WESTERN
ALEUTIANS THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
THE RIDGE WILL MOVE FURTHER NORTH SUNDAY NIGHT. THIS WILL DIMINISH
THE WET PATTERN FOR A COUPLE OF DAYS. HOWEVER...THE RIDGE WILL START
ITS SHIFT BACK TO THE EAST MONDAY NIGHT. AT THE SAME TIME...THE UPPER
LOW THAT THE MODELS DEVELOP ON SATURDAY SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIAN
CHAIN...WILL BEGIN A NORTHWARD TRACK. THIS WILL BE A RESPECTABLE
SYSTEM WITH STRONG WINDS AND RAIN.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE
MARINE...120 155 160 165 170 171 172 175 176 179 180 185
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

KH OCT 12

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 4, 4:00 PM AKDTGale WarningAFC24 hr
Oct 4, 4:00 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC48 hr
Oct 4, 4:00 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC5 days
Oct 4, 4:07 PM AKDTAreal Flood AdvisoryAFC54 hr
Oct 5, 4:00 AM AKDTGale WarningAFC60 hr
Oct 5, 4:00 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC4 days
Oct 5, 4:00 AM AKDTStorm WarningAFC48 hr
Oct 5, 11:12 AM AKDTCoastal Flood AdvisoryAFC11 hr
Oct 5, 1:48 PM AKDTAreal Flood AdvisoryAFC3 days

Nearby

Gale Warnings in Alaska, 2012Every gale warning in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.