Gale Warning 569, NWS Anchorage, AK

229 
FZAK52 PAFC 122350 CCA
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKDT WED SEP 12 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-131500-
400 PM AKDT WED SEP 12 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 1002 MB LOW 240 NM NORTHEAST OF SHEMYA WED EVENING WILL MOVE NEAR
ST PAUL AT 999 MB THU EVENING AND THEN DRIFT TO 85 NM NORTHWEST OF ST
PAUL AT 996 MB FRI AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ150-131500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 PM AKDT WED SEP 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-131500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM AKDT WED SEP 12 2012

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT DECREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7
FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-131500-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM AKDT WED SEP 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-131500-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AKDT WED SEP 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. E OF PORT
MOLLER...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-131500-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM AKDT WED SEP 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. N OF NUNIVAK ISLAND...SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-131500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM AKDT WED SEP 12 2012

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 35 KT. E OF DUTCH HARBOR...S WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO
35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT BECOMING W 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-131500-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AKDT WED SEP 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-131500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM AKDT WED SEP 12 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. E OF
SEGUAM ISLAND...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU...SW WIND 40 KT. W OF SEGUAM ISLAND...SW WIND 35 KT BECOMING NW
25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-131500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AKDT WED SEP 12 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 12 FT SUBSIDING TO 8 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-131500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AKDT WED SEP 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW WIND 25 KT IN THE EVENING. 
SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING W 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-131500-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AKDT WED SEP 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30
KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 10 FT. E OF ST MATTHEW ISLAND...VARIABLE WIND
10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. E OF ST MATTHEW ISLAND...SE WIND 15
KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-131500-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM AKDT WED SEP 12 2012

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT.
RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

399 
FZAK52 PAFC 131130
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKDT THU SEP 13 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-140300-
400 AM AKDT THU SEP 13 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 1002 MB LOW 150 NM NORTH OF ADAK WILL MOVE TO 120 NM NORTH OF DUTCH
HARBOR AT 1000 MB TONIGHT AND THEN DISSIPATE BY FRI NIGHT. A 1010 MB
LOW WILL FORM 330 NM SOUTH OF ADAK THIS EVENING AND THEN MOVE TO 210
NM SOUTH OF SAND POINT AT 994 MB FRI NIGHT.

$$

PKZ150-140300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 AM AKDT THU SEP 13 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6
FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-140300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 AM AKDT THU SEP 13 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON W OF THE
SHUMAGIN ISLANDS. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-140300-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM AKDT THU SEP 13 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT.
RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-140300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKDT THU SEP 13 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. FROM PORT
MOLLER E...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT EXCEPT 8 FT W OF PORT MOLLER. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
7 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-140300-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM AKDT THU SEP 13 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT EXCEPT 15 KT N OF NUNIVAK ISLAND. SEAS 4
FT BUILDING TO 7 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. S OF NUNIVAK ISLAND...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 15
KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-140300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 AM AKDT THU SEP 13 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 35 KT. FROM UNALASKA E...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO
35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT BECOMING W 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-140300-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AKDT THU SEP 13 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING W 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-140300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM AKDT THU SEP 13 2012

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 35 KT BECOMING W 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-140300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AKDT THU SEP 13 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-140300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AKDT THU SEP 13 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-140300-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AKDT THU SEP 13 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-140300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM AKDT THU SEP 13 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

524 
FZAK52 PAFC 132342
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKDT THU SEP 13 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-141500-
400 PM AKDT THU SEP 13 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 1002 MB LOW 125 NM NORTHWEST OF DUTCH HARBOR WILL MOVE TO 115 NM
NORTH OF COLD BAY  AT 1000 MB FRI AFTERNOON AND THEN MOVE SOUTHEAST
AND GET ABSORBED BY A 989 MB LOW 100 NM SOUTH OF CHIGNIK SAT
AFTERNOON. A 1001 MB LOW 485 NM NORTH OF SHEMYA WILL MOVE SOUTH AND
DISSIPATE FRI AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ150-141500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 PM AKDT THU SEP 13 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. N OF CHIRIKOF ISLAND...S WIND
20 KT.  SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 

$$

PKZ155-141500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM AKDT THU SEP 13 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. E OF SAND POINT...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO
30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-141500-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM AKDT THU SEP 13 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE EVENING.  E OF
160W...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-141500-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AKDT THU SEP 13 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-141500-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM AKDT THU SEP 13 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT.
N OF NUNIVAK ISLAND...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. N OF
NUNIVAK ISLAND...NE WIND 15 INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
S OF NUNIVAK ISLAND...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-141500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM AKDT THU SEP 13 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-141500-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AKDT THU SEP 13 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING W 15 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 3 FT.
PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-141500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM AKDT THU SEP 13 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. PACIFIC SIDE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. E OF SEGUAM ISLAND...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-141500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AKDT THU SEP 13 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-141500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AKDT THU SEP 13 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-141500-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AKDT THU SEP 13 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT THROUGH TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ179-141500-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM AKDT THU SEP 13 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY
FOG. 
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SAT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
500 AM AKDT WED SEP 12 2012

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
IR SATELLITE THIS MORNING SHOWS A BROAD UPPER LOW CENTERED OVER SOUTH
WEST ALASKA KEEPING LOW AND MID LEVEL CLOUDS OVER SOUTHCENTRAL
THROUGH THE EASTERN BERING. TO THE WEST WEAK RIDGING IS STREAMING
ABUNDANT HIGH CLOUDS ACROSS THE WESTERN BERING. AT THE
SURFACE...THERE IS A LOW OVER THE ALASKA PENINSULA WITH A FRONT
EXTENDING INTO THE NORTHERN GULF. LIGHT RAIN IS SLOWLY MOVING NORTH
ACROSS THE GULF AND SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE NOTED ELSEWHERE ACROSS
SOUTHWEST ALASKA.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODELS ARE IN RELATIVELY GOOD AGREEMENT IN THE SHORT TERM FORECAST
THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. THEY HAVE STRUGGLED THIS WEEK WITH HANDLING
THE NEXT UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM THAT WILL BE MOVING OFF EASTERN
RUSSIA. THEY ARE STARTING TO SHOW MORE CONSISTENCY IN THE GENERAL
SOLUTION OF THE LOW. HOWEVER THE PLACEMENT OF THE CENTER OF THIS
SYSTEM STILL VARIES IN THE MID TERM FORECAST WITH THE GFS TRACKING
THE SYSTEM FURTHER NORTH THAN THE OTHER SOLUTIONS. THE CURRENT
FORECAST PACKAGE USED THE NAM IN THE SHORT TERM AND THEN USED THE GFS
THROUGH THE LONG TERM.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...
THE FRONT ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY
TODAY KEEPING LIGHT SHOWERS ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL. THE SHOWERS WILL
MOVE A LITTLE FURTHER NORTH THIS AFTERNOON. THE SURFACE LOW WILL
BEGIN TO MOVE OFF TO THE EAST SLOWLY OVERNIGHT TAPERING THE RAIN OFF
FROM WEST TO EAST. THERE WILL BE A SHORT BREAK IN THE RAIN AS THE
NEXT STORM SYSTEM APPROACHES THIS WEEKEND.

SOUTHWEST ALASKA...
LIGHT SHOWERS AND LOW TO MID CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT AS
THE SURFACE LOW REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY TODAY. RAIN WILL COME TO AN
END TONIGHT BRINGING DRIER CONDITIONS BRIEFLY BEFORE THE NEXT STORM
SYSTEM THAT WILL BRING RAIN BACK TO THE COASTAL AREAS LATE THURSDAY
AFTERNOON.

ALEUTIANS/BERING SEA...
LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS THROUGH
LATER TODAY AND THEN THE LOW MOVES FURTHER TO THE EAST WITH A BRIEF
BREAK IN THE RAIN TONIGHT. A SHORTWAVE AHEAD OF THE NEXT UPPER LOW
WILL BRING STRONGER WINDS AND RAIN ACROSS THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL
ALEUTIANS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
A STRONG UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE BERING THIS
WEEKEND BRINGING STRONG WINDS WITH HEAVY TO MODERATE RAINFALL ACROSS
SOUTHERN ALASKA. THE CENTER OF THE UPPER LOW WILL APPROACH THE
EASTERN BERING ON SATURDAY. THIS SYSTEM LOOKS LIKE IT MAY SLOW AT
DOWN AT THIS POINT AS A RIDGE AHEAD OF IT AMPLIFIES. IF THIS HAPPENS
THIS STORM SYSTEM CAN CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN BEFORE IT MOVES ACROSS
SOUTHCENTRAL.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE 130 140 172 175 176
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

KH SEP 12

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
115 PM AKDT WED SEP 12 2012

AKZ101-131300-

...STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN THIS WEEKEND FOR ANCHORAGE...

A STRONG STORM WILL DEVELOP LATE THIS WEEK WHICH WILL IMPACT THE
ANCHORAGE AREA SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO SUNDAY. WHILE THERE IS STILL
SOME UNCERTAINTY WITH THE STRENGTH OF THE WINDS AT THIS TIME IT DOES
NOT LOOK LIKE THIS STORM WILL BE NEARLY AS STRONG AS THE STORM FROM
LAST WEEK. HOWEVER THERE IS STILL A HIGHER THAN NORMAL CHANCE OF
UPROOTED TREES AND RESULTING POWER OUTAGES DUE TO LAST WEEKS STORM.
MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL WITH THIS STORM WILL ALSO KEEP THE GROUND
SATURATED AND EASIER TO MOVE.

FORECAST SPEEDS AT THIS TIME ARE VERY PRELIMINARY AND COULD CHANGE
SIGNIFICANTLY OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THE TIMING OF THE STRONGEST
WINDS WILL ALSO VARY BY LOCATION ACROSS THE CITY. THE BEST ESTIMATES
AT THIS TIME:

UPPER HILLSIDE AND TURNAGAIN ARM: SOUTHEAST WIND INCREASING TO 55 TO
65 MPH SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND FURTHER INCREASING TO AROUND 80 MPH
SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING.

LOWER HILLSIDE, EAST ANCHORAGE AND EAGLE RIVER: SOUTHEAST WIND 10 TO
20 MPH DURING THE DAY ON SATURDAY INCREASING TO 35 TO 50 MPH AFTER
MIDNIGHT SATURDAY NIGHT...PERSISTING THROUGH THE MORNING ON SUNDAY.

REST OF ANCHORAGE: SOUTHEAST WIND TO 15 MPH ON SATURDAY INCREASING TO
25 TO 40 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT SATURDAY NIGHT...PERSISTING THROUGH THE
MORNING ON SUNDAY.

BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON THE MAIN FRONT SHOULD HAVE PASSED THROUGH WHICH
WILL USHER IN SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS IN THE 20 TO 35 MPH
RANGE...WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS BEING IN SOUTH AND WEST ANCHORAGE
NEAR THE INLET.

ONCE AGAIN THIS STORM DOES NOT LOOK TO BE AS STRONG AS LAST WEEK'S
EVENT, BUT COULD STILL HAVE SOME ADVERSE AFFECTS IN THE ANCHORAGE
BOWL. CHECK BACK FOR THE LATEST FORECASTS AND STATEMENTS AS THE WEEK
PROGRESSES FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS DEVELOPING STORM.

EZ SEP 12