Alert archive / Alaska / Brisk Wind Advisories in 2012

Brisk Wind Advisory 36, NWS Anchorage, AK

February 16, 2012

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this brisk wind advisory at Feb 16, 2012, 4:00 PM AKST. It was in force for 24 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Feb 16, 2012, 4:00 PM AKST (01:00 UTC)
Expired
Feb 17, 2012, 4:00 PM AKST
In force
24 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

673 
FZAK52 PAFC 170039
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST THU FEB 16 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-171500-
400 PM AKST THU FEB 16 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 985 MB LOW 70 NM SOUTH OF CAPE NEWENHAM MOVES NEAR MEKORYUK
FRI AFTERNOON AND DISSIPATES. A NORTH PACIFIC FRONT CROSSES THE
ALEUTIANS LATE TONIGHT AND DISSIPATES ACROSS THE BERING ON FRI.A LOW
DEVELOPS ALONG THIS FRONT AND MOVES TO 60 NM SOUTHWEST OF KISKA AT
968 MB LATE TONIGHT AND THEN WEAKENS TO 978 MB SAT AFTERNOON 160 NM
NORTH OF ADAK. A 988 MB LOW FORMS NEAR SAND POINT LATE FRI NIGHT AND
MOVES INLAND NEAR BRISTOL BAY SAT AFTERNOON.
$$

PKZ150-171500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 PM AKST THU FEB 16 2012

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-171500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM AKST THU FEB 16 2012

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-171500-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM AKST THU FEB 16 2012

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN ICE
FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-171500-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AKST THU FEB 16 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. STRONGER GUSTS 35 KT NEAR COLD BAY. SEAS 8
FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-171500-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM AKST THU FEB 16 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ170-171500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM AKST THU FEB 16 2012

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 15 FT.

.FRI...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT.
SNOW AND RAIN. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-171500-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AKST THU FEB 16 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4
FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
SNOW AND RAIN. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ172-171500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM AKST THU FEB 16 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-171500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AKST THU FEB 16 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-171500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AKST THU FEB 16 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT DURING THE EVENING. SEAS
14 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.FRI...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-171500-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AKST THU FEB 16 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. 
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ179-171500-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM AKST THU FEB 16 2012

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. SNOW.
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.  

$$
2 follow-up statements
232 
FZAK52 PAFC 171258
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKST FRI FEB 17 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-180300-
400 AM AKST FRI FEB 17 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 994 MB LOW NEAR CAPE NEWENHAM WILL DISSIPATE FRI MORNING. A FRONT
ACROSS THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS WILL ADVANCE TO THE CENTRAL BERING AND
EASTERN ALEUTIANS ON FRI AND WEAKEN. A 971 MB LOW 220 NM SW OF SHEMYA
WILL MOVE TO 120 NM SE OF SHEMYA AT 976 MB LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...THEN
MOVE TO 300 NM NE OF SHEMYA SAT NIGHT AND REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY
THROUGH SUNDAY.

$$

PKZ150-180300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 AM AKST FRI FEB 17 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-180300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 AM AKST FRI FEB 17 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-180300-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM AKST FRI FEB 17 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-180300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKST FRI FEB 17 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-180300-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM AKST FRI FEB 17 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT...EXCEPT INCREASING TO SE 25 KT S OF NUNIVAK
ISLAND AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ170-180300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 AM AKST FRI FEB 17 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. BERING SIDE...SEAS 6 FT. PACIFIC SIDE...SEAS 13
FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-180300-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AKST FRI FEB 17 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING
TO 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-180300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM AKST FRI FEB 17 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. BERING SIDE...SEAS 10 FT. PACIFIC
SIDE...SEAS 14 FT BUILDING TO 22 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT BERING SIDE...24 FT PACIFIC SIDE. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-180300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AKST FRI FEB 17 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT BERING SIDE...16 FT PACIFIC SIDE.
SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT BERING SIDE...24 FT PACIFIC
SIDE. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT BERING SIDE...23 FT PACIFIC SIDE. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-180300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AKST FRI FEB 17 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-180300-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AKST FRI FEB 17 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ179-180300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM AKST FRI FEB 17 2012

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. SNOW.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.  

$$
593 
FZAK52 PAFC 180024
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST FRI FEB 17 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-181500-
400 PM AKST FRI FEB 17 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 975 MB LOW 100 NM SOUTHEAST OF SHEMYA MOVES TO 170 NM NORTHWEST OF
ADAK AT 978 MB SUN AFTERNOON. A 980 MB LOW NEAR 55N 164W THIS
EVENING MOVES INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA SATURDAY. A DEVELOPING LOW OVER
THE NORTH PACIFIC MOVES TO 250 NM SOUTH OF SAND POINT LATE SAT NIGHT.
$$

PKZ150-181500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 PM AKST FRI FEB 17 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 14
FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-181500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM AKST FRI FEB 17 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT DURING THE EARLY EVENING. 
SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11
FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-181500-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM AKST FRI FEB 17 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN ICE
FREE WATERS 4 FT. SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-181500-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AKST FRI FEB 17 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT DURING THE EARLY
EVENING. WIND BECOMING SW 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT
SUBSIDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-181500-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM AKST FRI FEB 17 2012

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT THROUGH SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. 
.WED...W WIND 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ170-181500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM AKST FRI FEB 17 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW DURING THE EVENING. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. BERING SIDE...SEAS 8 FT. PACIFIC SIDE...SEAS
BUILDING TO 15 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. BERING SIDE...SEAS 9 FT. PACIFIC SIDE...
SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-181500-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AKST FRI FEB 17 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT LATE
THIS EVENING. SEAS 2 BUILDING TO 4 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-181500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM AKST FRI FEB 17 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. BERING SIDE...SEAS 8 FT. PACIFIC SIDE...
SEAS 13 FT BUILDING TO 21 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. BERING SIDE...SEAS 10 FT. PACIFIC SIDE...SEAS
23 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. BERING SIDE...SEAS 9 FT. PACIFIC SIDE...
SEAS 19 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT THROUGH TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-181500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AKST FRI FEB 17 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. BERING SIDE...SEAS 13 FT. PACIFIC SIDE...
SEAS 24 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. BERING SIDE...SEAS 12 FT. PACIFIC SIDE...SEAS
22 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-181500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AKST FRI FEB 17 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.  W OF
SHEMYA...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-181500-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AKST FRI FEB 17 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...NE WIND 25 KT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ179-181500-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM AKST FRI FEB 17 2012

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT THIS EVENING. SEAS IN 
ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.  

$$

JAM

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this brisk wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this brisk wind advisory went out at Feb 16, 2:00 PM AKST, 2 hours earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 16, 2:00 PM AKST, 2 hours before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
200 PM AKST THU FEB 16 2012

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
A COMPLEX UPPER LOW JUST NORTH OF THE AKPEN IS SLOWLY DRIFTING NORTH
AND FILLING. ACROSS INTERIOR SOUTCENTRAL AK...WEAK RIDGING IS
RETREATING EAST TOWARDS THE ALCAN BORDER. AT THE SURFACE...A GALE
FORCE FRONT HAS ADVANCED TO THE NORTHERN GULF AND IS WEAKENING THOUGH
A SLUG OF MOISTURE IS PRODUCING SNOW AND RAIN ACROSS THE KENAI
PENINSULA AND PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND. PERIODS OF SNOW MIXED WITH RAIN
AT TIMES ALSO FALLS OVER WESTERN BRISTOL BAY ASSOCIATED WITH THE
AFOREMENTIONED COMPLEX UPPER LOW. OUT WEST...ANOTHER FRONT IS MOVING
TO THE WESTERN CHAIN AND ADVANCING EAST. SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A
TRIPLE POINT LOW DEVELOPING ALONG THIS FRONT AND MOVING TOWARDS
KISKA.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODELS ACCEPTABLY CAPTURE THE MAIN WEATHER PICTURE. IN THE EAST...THE
NAM HAS UTILITY FOR A DECENT DEPICTION OF LOCAL EFFECTS THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS. HOWEVER IN THE SHORT TERM...IT APPEARS TO BE UNDER
DOING THE MOISTURE/QPF WITH THE CURRENT FRONT IN THE GULF. FORECASTS
WILL TREND TOWARDS THE ECMWF BY THE WEEKEND. IN GENERAL
THOUGH...MODELS AGREE THAT THE RESIDUAL COMPLEX LOW WILL OPEN INTO A
TROUGH AND MOVE NORTHEAST FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY. MODELS ALSO SHOW
AGREEMENT WITH REGARDS TO ARRIVAL AND SCOPE OF SENSIBLE WEATHER
IMPACTS FROM THE BERING SEA/ALEUTIAN SYSTEM WHICH APPROACHES THE
REGION BY EARLY THIS WEEKEND.

FURTHER WEST...THE ECMWF APPEARS TO HAVE THE BEST OVERALL RUN TO RUN
CONSISTENCY WITH THE ALEUTIAN SYSTEM. IT CAPTURES A TRIPLE POINT
DEVELOPING ALONG THE FRONT TONIGHT WHICH IS ALREADY HINTED AT ON
SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE GFS AND NAM ARE TENDING TO CONSOLIDATE THE
ENERGY INTO A SINGLE WEAKER LOW INITIALLY. HOWEVER...SUBSEQUENT
TRIPLE POINT DEVELOPMENTS AS THE FRONT MARCHES EASTWARD ARE GENERALLY
HANDLED SIMILARLY TO THE ECMWF. ONE OF THESE DEVELOPMENTS NEAR THE SW
AKPEN FRI NIGHT LOOKS TO BRING A DECENT SHOT OF WIDESPREAD
PRECIPITATION TO BRISTOL BAY ON SATURDAY.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
SOUTHCENTRAL...
THE NORTHERN GULF FRONT HAS LARGELY CLEARED KODIAK ISLAND...WITH THE
HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE SOUTHERN/EASTERN KENAI PENINSULA
AND PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND LOOKING TO DIMINISH AS THE FEATURE ELONGATES
AND WEAKENS TONIGHT. ONSHORE FLOW WILL STILL KEEP THINGS UNSETTLED IN
IT'S WAKE HOWEVER AS THE AKPEN LOW COMPLEX DRIFTS ASHORE THE SW
MAINLAND AND WEAK DISTURBANCES ROTATE AROUND IT UP TOWARDS
SOUTHCENTRAL. THE ANCHORAGE BOWL AND OTHER PORTIONS OF INTERIOR
SOUTHERN MAINLAND WILL SEE INCREASED CYCLONIC FLOW ALOFT CONCURRENT
WITH THE RESIDUAL TROUGH MOVING INLAND...SO THERE STILL WILL BE SOME
PASSING LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THE BERING SEA
FRONT NOSES TOWARDS THE WESTERN GULF AND KODIAK ISLAND ON SATURDAY
WITH ANOTHER ROUND OF RAIN/SNOW AND GALE FORCE WINDS.

SOUTHWEST...
ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES PERSIST OVER SW AK IN THE WEAK BUT WARM SE
FLOW. LION'S SHARE OF PRECIPITATION OVER WESTERN AREAS OF BRISTOL BAY
ENHANCED BY EASTERLY FLOW. HOWEVER WITH THE UPPER-LOW WEAKENING...
WINDS WILL BE DECREASING AND SNOW ACCUMULATIONS SHOULD BE ON THE
LIGHT SIDE. SHOWERS TO DIMINISH A BIT ON FRIDAY NIGHT WITH TRANSITORY
RIDGING MOVING THROUGH...WITH A LARGER SLUG OF SNOW LOOKING TO IMPACT
THE SW MAINLAND ON SATURDAY ASSOCIATED WITH ANOTHER TRIPLE POINT LOW.

BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...
STEADY SNOW AND SOME BLOWING SNOW EXPECTED OVER THE FAR WESTERN CHAIN
AS THE FRONTAL SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH. PRECIPITATION INTENSITY HOWEVER
NOT EXPECTED TO BE HEAVY ENOUGH FOR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS. GALE FORCE
WINDS WILL ADVANCE TO THE EASTERN CHAIN AS WELL...BUT WARM ADVECTION
WILL HELP MIX RAIN WITH SNOW AND TEMPER ANY BLOWING SNOW THREAT IN
THOSE AREAS. ABOVE FREEZING AIR IS NOT ANTICIPATED TO REACH THE
PRIBILOFFS...BUT WINDS WITH THE FRONT ARE EXPECTED TO HAVE PEAKED AND
BEGIN WEAKENING BY THE TIME THE STEADIEST PRECIPITATION ARRIVES
FRIDAY NIGHT.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
NO SUBSTANTIAL CHANGES TO THE LONG TERM FORECAST. THE PATTERN LOOKS
TO BE DOMINATED BY SMALL AMPLITUDE TRANSIENT FEATURES WITH A STORM
TRACK RUNNING FROM SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS INTO THE EAST CENTRAL GULF
OF AK. TEMPERATURES STILL LOOK TO RUN NEAR OR ABOVE AVERAGE ACROSS
THE AOR WELL INTO NEXT WEEK.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE
MARINE...GALE...120 130 132 140 150 155 160 170 172 175 176 179 352
                411 413 414
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

JAM

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 16, 4:00 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC12 hr
Feb 16, 4:00 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC4 days
Feb 16, 4:00 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC48 hr
Feb 17, 4:00 AM AKSTGale WarningAFC4 days
Feb 17, 4:00 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC36 hr
Feb 17, 4:00 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC5 days

Nearby

Brisk Wind Advisories in Alaska, 2012Every brisk wind advisory in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.