Blizzard Watch 19, NWS Anchorage, AK

853 
WWAK42 PAFC 141300
WSWALU

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 14 2012

AKZ195-150200-
/X.UPG.PAFC.BZ.A.0019.120214T1800Z-120215T1200Z/
/X.NEW.PAFC.BZ.W.0031.120214T1800Z-120215T0900Z/
PRIBILOF ISLANDS-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SAINT PAUL
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 14 2012

...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO MIDNIGHT
AKST TONIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ANCHORAGE HAS ISSUED A BLIZZARD
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO MIDNIGHT
AKST TONIGHT. THE BLIZZARD WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* SNOW...1 TO 3 INCHES. 

* VISIBILITY...LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE AT TIMES. 

* WIND...NORTHEAST 20 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH. 

* TIMING...BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP ON SAINT GEORGE ISLAND
  LATE THIS MORNING AND ON SAINT PAUL ISLAND BY NOON. WINDS AND
  SNOW WILL DIMINISH AROUND MIDNIGHT. 

* IMPACTS...SNOWFALL COMBINED WITH STRONG WINDS AND BLOWING SNOW
  WILL PRODUCE WHITE-OUT CONDITIONS. TRAVEL WILL BE VERY
  DIFFICULT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A BLIZZARD WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS
AND POOR VISIBILITIES ARE LIKELY. THIS WILL LEAD TO WHITE-OUT
CONDITIONS...MAKING TRAVEL VERY DIFFICULT. ALL TRAVEL AND OUTDOOR
ACTIVITY IS STRONGLY DISCOURAGED.

&&

$$

AKZ155-150200-
/X.NEW.PAFC.BZ.A.0020.120215T0900Z-120215T1800Z/
KUSKOKWIM DELTA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BETHEL...HOOPER BAY...NUNIVAK ISLAND
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 14 2012

...BLIZZARD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY
MORNING ALONG THE COAST...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ANCHORAGE HAS ISSUED A BLIZZARD
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY
MORNING. 

* LOCATION...ALONG THE COAST. 

* SNOW...1 TO 3 INCHES. 

* VISIBILITY...POSSIBLY LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE AT TIMES. 

* WIND...EAST 15 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH. 

* TIMING...BEGINNING AROUND MIDNIGHT TONIGHT AND CONTINUING UNTIL
  LATE WEDNESDAY MORNING. 

* IMPACTS...SNOWFALL COMBINED WITH STRONG WINDS AND BLOWING SNOW
  MAY PRODUCE WHITE-OUT CONDITIONS AT TIMES. TRAVEL MAY BECOME
  VERY DIFFICULT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A BLIZZARD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FALLING AND/OR
BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS AND EXTREMELY POOR VISIBILITIES.
THIS CAN LEAD TO WHITE-OUT CONDITIONS AND MAKE TRAVEL VERY
DIFFICULT.

&&

$$

AKZ161-150200-
/X.NEW.PAFC.BZ.A.0020.120215T0600Z-120215T1800Z/
BRISTOL BAY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...KING SALMON...DILLINGHAM...NAKNEK...
PILOT POINT
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 14 2012

...BLIZZARD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY
MORNING NORTH AND WEST OF DILLINGHAM...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ANCHORAGE HAS ISSUED A BLIZZARD
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY
MORNING. 

* LOCATION...NORTH AND WEST OF DILLINGHAM. 

* SNOW...2 TO 4 INCHES. 

* VISIBILITY...POSSIBLY LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE AT TIMES. 

* WIND...EAST 20 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 55 MPH. 

* TIMING...BEGINNING THIS EVENING AND CONTINUING UNTIL LATE
  WEDNESDAY MORNING. 

* IMPACTS...SNOWFALL COMBINED WITH STRONG WINDS AND BLOWING SNOW
  MAY PRODUCE WHITE-OUT CONDITIONS AT TIMES. DRIVING MAY BECOME
  VERY DIFFICULT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A BLIZZARD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FALLING AND/OR
BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS AND EXTREMELY POOR VISIBILITIES.
THIS CAN LEAD TO WHITE-OUT CONDITIONS AND MAKE TRAVEL VERY
DIFFICULT.

&&

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
100 PM AKST MON FEB 13 2012

.MODEL DISCUSSION...NAM AND GFS IN GOOD AGREEMENT IN THE SHORT TERM.
A WEAK SECONDARY LOW NEAR KODIAK ISLAND MOVES INTO WESTERN PWS THIS
EVENING AND CONTINUES TO DISSIPATE. THE PRIMARY LOW THAT HAS BEEN
OVER BRISTOL BAY DISSIPATES AS IT MOVES TOWARD NORTON SOUND.
THE MAIN FORECAST FEATURE IS A DEEP LOW MOVING INTO THE CENTRAL AND
EASTERN ALEUTIANS TONIGHT. THIS SYSTEM WILL REMAIN OVER THE EASTERN
ALEUTIANS THROUGH WED AND THEN DISSIPATE RAPIDLY ON THU AS IT MOVES
TOWARD ST MATTHEW ISLAND.

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...STRONG UPPER LEVEL JET ACCOMPANYING
NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA FRONT MOVES ONSHORE TONIGHT. EXPECTING
CONTINUE SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS IN MANY SOUTHCENTRAL ZONES THROUGH
THIS EVENING. SHOWERS IN SOUTHWEST ASSOCIATED WITH WEAKENING LOW
SHOULD DISSIPATE TONIGHT. WOULD EXPECT SOME AREAS OF FOG DEVELOPING
IN THE SOUTHWEST.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
BERING AREA...FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH DEVELOPING NORTH PACIFIC STORM
MOVES INTO CENTRAL AND EASTERN ALEUTIANS THIS EVENING. EXPECT STRONG
SOUTHEAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS FROM AK PEN THROUGH CENTRAL ALEUTIANS.
LOOKS AS IF MOST PRECIP WILL BE IN THE FORM OF RAIN.  MODERATE TO
STRONG NORTHWEST FLOW ON BACKSIDE OF THIS SYSTEM LATER ON TUE.

SOUTHWEST...DECREASING SNOW SHOWERS LATE THIS AFTERNOON.  SOME AREAS
OF FOG TONIGHT AND TUE MORNING. LOOKS AS FRONT WITH ALEUTIAN SYSTEM
SHOULD BEGIN TO MOVE ONSHORE LATE TUE AFTERNOON.  WOULD EXPECT SNOW
AND POSSIBLY RAIN IN BRISTOL BAY WITH THIS FRONT.

SOUTHCENTRAL...DECREASING SNOW SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. SOME PARTIAL
SUN ON TUE WITH NEXT FRONT MOVING OVER KODIAK TUE AFTERNOON AND OVER
KENAI PENINSULA BEGINNING TUE EVENING.  PRECIP MAINLY IN THE FORM OF
SNOW WITH SOME RAIN POSSIBLE ALONG EASTERN GULF COAST.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...SEVERAL WEAK LOWS MOVE INTO THE GULF ON THU
THROUGH SAT...THIS WILL PRODUCE SOME SHOWERS PWS AND EAST. MAIN
FEATURE IS A LOW MOVING INTO THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS THU EVENING. THIS
SYSTEM LINGERS OVER THE SOUTHERN BERING THROUGH SAT. A STRONG WEATHER
FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS FRI MORNING AND INTO THE
EASTERN BERING FRI AFTERNOON.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...BLIZ FOR T-PASS DUE TO EXPIRE AT 6 PM THIS EVENING.
MARINE...GALES IN WEST MARINES.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

JMP FEB 12