High Wind Watch 10, NWS Albuquerque, NM

543 
WWUS75 KABQ 222103
NPWABQ

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
303 PM MDT TUE MAY 22 2012

...STRONG WINDS EXPECTED OVER MUCH OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEW
MEXICO ON WEDNESDAY...

.STRONG WESTERLY WINDS ALOFT WILL MOVE OVER NEW MEXICO EARLY
WEDNESDAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVES TOWARD THE CENTRAL
TO NORTHERN ROCKIES. AT THE SURFACE A VERY STRONG AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE WILL COMPLEMENT THE STRONGER WINDS ALOFT. AS TEMPERATURES
SOAR WELL ABOVE NORMAL...DEEP MIXING WILL TRANSPORT STRONGER WINDS
DOWN TO THE SURFACE. WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN QUICKLY THROUGH THE
LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON WEDNESDAY...SLOWLY DECREASING
BELOW HAZARDOUS THRESHOLDS BY THE MID EVENING. THERE WILL BE
POTENTIAL FOR WIDESPREAD BLOWING DUST AND DAMAGE TO ROOF TOPS AND
UTILITY POLES.

NMZ501>507-510>515-519-521-231100-
/O.CON.KABQ.HW.A.0010.120523T1700Z-120524T0300Z/
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS-FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-
WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-
303 PM MDT TUE MAY 22 2012

...HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING
THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...

* LOCATION...THE NORTHWESTERN QUADRANT OF NEW MEXICO AS WELL AS 
  THE MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY...THE SANDIA...MANZANO...AND 
  SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS. 

* WINDS...SUSTAINED WEST SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH WITH 
  OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 55 AND 60 MPH. 

* TIMING...WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN THROUGH THE LATE MORNING AND 
  EARLY AFTERNOON WEDNESDAY...PEAKING BY THE MID TO LATE 
  AFTERNOON. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DECREASE BELOW HAZARDOUS 
  THRESHOLDS BY MID EVENING. 

* VISIBILITY...REDUCTIONS AS LOW AS 1 MILE CAN BE EXPECTED IN 
  DUST PRONE AREAS SUCH AS OPEN FIELDS AND ONGOING CONSTRUCTION 
  SITES. 

* LOCAL IMPACTS...AREAS OF BLOWING DUST AND STRONG CROSS WINDS 
  ON NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST ORIENTED ROADS WILL CREATE 
  TREACHEROUS DRIVING CONDITIONS. SEVERE GUSTS MAY CAUSE DAMAGE 
  TO ROOF TOPS... UTILITY POLES...AND SOME TREES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR A
POTENTIALLY DAMAGING HIGH WIND EVENT IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS OF 58 MPH
OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS
AT WEATHER.GOV/ABQ...LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR
FAVORITE MEDIA OUTLET.

&&

$$

SHY

531 
WWUS75 KABQ 231037
NPWABQ

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
437 AM MDT WED MAY 23 2012

...STRONG WINDS EXPECTED OVER MUCH OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEW
MEXICO TODAY...

.STRONG WESTERLY WINDS ALOFT WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE OVER NEW MEXICO
TODAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVES TOWARD THE
CENTRAL TO NORTHERN ROCKIES. AT THE SURFACE A VERY STRONG AREA OF
LOW PRESSURE WILL COMPLEMENT THE STRONGER WINDS ALOFT. AS
TEMPERATURES SOAR WELL ABOVE NORMAL...DEEP MIXING WILL TRANSPORT
STRONGER WINDS DOWN TO THE SURFACE. SURFACE WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN
QUICKLY THROUGH THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...SLOWLY
DECREASING INTO THE EVENING. THERE WILL BE POTENTIAL FOR
WIDESPREAD BLOWING DUST AND DAMAGE TO ROOF TOPS AND UTILITY POLES
IN SOME AREAS.

NMZ502-505-506-231800-
/O.UPG.KABQ.HW.A.0010.120523T1700Z-120524T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KABQ.HW.W.0011.120523T1700Z-120524T0300Z/
CHUSKA MOUNTAINS-WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
437 AM MDT WED MAY 23 2012

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 PM
MDT THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS ISSUED A HIGH
WIND WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 PM
MDT THIS EVENING. THE HIGH WIND WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* LOCATION...THE CHUSKA AND WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS AND THE WEST
  CENTRAL PLATEAU OF NEW MEXICO.

* WINDS...SUSTAINED WEST SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH WITH 
  OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 55 AND 60 MPH. 

* TIMING...WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN THROUGH THE LATE MORNING AND
  EARLY AFTERNOON...PEAKING BY THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON. WINDS
  ARE EXPECTED TO DECREASE BELOW HAZARDOUS THRESHOLDS BY MID
  EVENING.

* VISIBILITY...REDUCTIONS AS LOW AS 1 MILE CAN BE EXPECTED IN 
  DUST PRONE AREAS SUCH AS OPEN FIELDS AND ONGOING CONSTRUCTION 
  SITES. 

* LOCAL IMPACTS...AREAS OF BLOWING DUST AND STRONG CROSS WINDS ON
  NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST ORIENTED ROADS WILL CREATE TREACHEROUS
  DRIVING CONDITIONS. SEVERE GUSTS MAY CAUSE DAMAGE TO ROOF
  TOPS...UTILITY POLES...AND SOME TREES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS DAMAGING WINDS ARE IMMINENT
OR HIGHLY LIKELY. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR
GUSTS OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE.

&&

$$

NMZ503-510>515-521-231800-
/O.UPG.KABQ.HW.A.0010.120523T1700Z-120524T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KABQ.HW.W.0011.120523T1700Z-120524T0300Z/
FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-
WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-
437 AM MDT WED MAY 23 2012

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 PM
MDT THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS ISSUED A HIGH
WIND WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 PM
MDT THIS EVENING. THE HIGH WIND WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* LOCATION...THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL MOUNTAINS OF NEW MEXICO AS
  WELL AS THE FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS.

* WINDS...SUSTAINED WEST SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH WITH 
  OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 55 AND 60 MPH. 

* TIMING...WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN THROUGH THE LATE MORNING AND
  EARLY AFTERNOON...PEAKING BY THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON. WINDS
  ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY DECREASE INTO THE EVENING AND
  OVERNIGHT.

* VISIBILITY...REDUCTIONS AS LOW AS 1 MILE CAN BE EXPECTED IN 
  DUST PRONE AREAS SUCH AS OPEN FIELDS AND ONGOING CONSTRUCTION 
  SITES. 

* LOCAL IMPACTS...AREAS OF BLOWING DUST AND STRONG CROSS WINDS ON
  NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST ORIENTED ROADS WILL CREATE TREACHEROUS
  DRIVING CONDITIONS. SEVERE GUSTS MAY CAUSE DAMAGE TO ROOF
  TOPS...UTILITY POLES...AND SOME TREES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS DAMAGING WINDS ARE IMMINENT
OR HIGHLY LIKELY. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR
GUSTS OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE.

&&

$$

NMZ523-527>529-231800-
/O.NEW.KABQ.HW.W.0011.120523T1700Z-120524T0300Z/
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-
FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-
437 AM MDT WED MAY 23 2012

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 PM
MDT THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS ISSUED A HIGH
WIND WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 PM
MDT THIS EVENING. 

* LOCATION...THE CENTRAL...NORTHEAST...AND FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS
  OF NEW MEXICO...AS WELL AS THE RATON RIDGE AND JOHNSON MESA.

* WINDS...SUSTAINED WEST SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH WITH 
  OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 55 AND 60 MPH. 

* TIMING...WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN THROUGH THE LATE MORNING AND
  EARLY AFTERNOON...PEAKING BY THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON. WINDS
  ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY DECREASE INTO THE EVENING AND
  OVERNIGHT.

* VISIBILITY...REDUCTIONS AS LOW AS 1 MILE CAN BE EXPECTED IN 
  DUST PRONE AREAS SUCH AS OPEN FIELDS AND ONGOING CONSTRUCTION 
  SITES. 

* LOCAL IMPACTS...AREAS OF BLOWING DUST AND STRONG CROSS WINDS ON
  NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST ORIENTED ROADS WILL CREATE TREACHEROUS
  DRIVING CONDITIONS. SEVERE GUSTS MAY CAUSE DAMAGE TO ROOF
  TOPS...UTILITY POLES...AND SOME TREES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS DAMAGING WINDS ARE IMMINENT
OR HIGHLY LIKELY. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR
GUSTS OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE.

&&

$$

NMZ501-504-507-519-231800-
/O.UPG.KABQ.HW.A.0010.120523T1700Z-120524T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KABQ.WI.Y.0032.120523T1700Z-120524T0300Z/
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-
ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
437 AM MDT WED MAY 23 2012

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 PM MDT
THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 PM MDT
THIS EVENING. THE HIGH WIND WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* LOCATION...THE NORTHWEST PLATEAU...THE NORTHWEST AND WEST
  CENTRAL HIGHLANDS...AND THE ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA WITHIN NEW
  MEXICO. 

* WINDS...SUSTAINED WEST SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH 
  OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 50 AND 55 MPH. 

* TIMING...WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN THROUGH THE LATE MORNING AND
  EARLY AFTERNOON...PEAKING BY THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON. WINDS
  ARE EXPECTED TO DECREASE BELOW HAZARDOUS THRESHOLDS BY MID
  EVENING.

* VISIBILITY...REDUCTIONS AS LOW AS 1 MILE CAN BE EXPECTED IN 
  DUST PRONE AREAS SUCH AS OPEN FIELDS AND ONGOING CONSTRUCTION 
  SITES. 

* LOCAL IMPACTS...AREAS OF BLOWING DUST AND STRONG CROSS WINDS ON
  NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST ORIENTED ROADS CAN BE EXPECTED. LOOSE
  OBJECTS MAY BECOME AIRBORNE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOTORISTS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION WHILE TRAVELLING. SUDDEN GUSTS
OF WIND MAY CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. EXTRA
ATTENTION SHOULD BE GIVEN TO CROSS WINDS.

&&

$$

NMZ508-509-516>518-520-231800-
/O.NEW.KABQ.WI.Y.0032.120523T1700Z-120524T0300Z/
SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY-
SANTA FE METRO AREA-LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
437 AM MDT WED MAY 23 2012

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 PM MDT
THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 PM MDT
THIS EVENING. 

* LOCATION...THE SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS...THE SAN FRANCISCO RIVER
  VALLEY...THE SANTA FE METRO AREA...AND THE UPPER RIO GRANDE AND
  LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEYS WITHIN NEW MEXICO.

* WINDS...SUSTAINED WEST SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH 
  OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 50 AND 55 MPH. 

* TIMING...WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN THROUGH THE LATE MORNING AND
  EARLY AFTERNOON...PEAKING BY THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON. WINDS
  ARE EXPECTED TO DECREASE BELOW HAZARDOUS THRESHOLDS BY MID
  EVENING.

* VISIBILITY...REDUCTIONS AS LOW AS 1 MILE CAN BE EXPECTED IN 
  DUST PRONE AREAS SUCH AS OPEN FIELDS AND ONGOING CONSTRUCTION 
  SITES. 

* LOCAL IMPACTS...AREAS OF BLOWING DUST AND STRONG CROSS WINDS ON
  NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST ORIENTED ROADS CAN BE EXPECTED. LOOSE
  OBJECTS MAY BECOME AIRBORNE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOTORISTS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION WHILE TRAVELLING. SUDDEN GUSTS
OF WIND MAY CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. EXTRA
ATTENTION SHOULD BE GIVEN TO CROSS WINDS.

&&

$$

NMZ522-524>526-530>534-537-539-231800-
/O.NEW.KABQ.WI.Y.0032.120523T1700Z-120524T0300Z/
ESTANCIA VALLEY-SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-
SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-UNION COUNTY-HARDING COUNTY-
EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY-QUAY COUNTY-
DE BACA COUNTY-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-
437 AM MDT WED MAY 23 2012

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 PM MDT
THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 PM MDT
THIS EVENING. 

* LOCATION...THE ESTANCIA AND UPPER TULAROSA VALLEYS...THE SOUTH
  CENTRAL HIGHLANDS AND MOUNTAINS...AND THE EAST CENTRAL TO
  NORTHEASTERN PLAINS OF NEW MEXICO.

* WINDS...SUSTAINED WEST SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH 
  OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 50 AND 55 MPH. 

* TIMING...WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN THROUGH THE LATE MORNING AND
  EARLY AFTERNOON...PEAKING BY THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON. WINDS
  ARE EXPECTED TO DECREASE BELOW HAZARDOUS THRESHOLDS BY MID
  EVENING.

* VISIBILITY...REDUCTIONS AS LOW AS 3 MILES CAN BE EXPECTED IN 
  DUST PRONE AREAS SUCH AS OPEN FIELDS AND ONGOING CONSTRUCTION 
  SITES. 

* LOCAL IMPACTS...AREAS OF BLOWING DUST AND STRONG CROSS WINDS ON
  NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST ORIENTED ROADS CAN BE EXPECTED. LOOSE
  OBJECTS MAY BECOME AIRBORNE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOTORISTS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION WHILE TRAVELLING. SUDDEN GUSTS
OF WIND MAY CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. EXTRA
ATTENTION SHOULD BE GIVEN TO CROSS WINDS.

&&

$$

52

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
340 AM MDT TUE MAY 22 2012

.DISCUSSION...DRIER CONDITIONS WILL BEGIN WORKING BACK INTO NEW
MEXICO TODAY. THE CENTER OF THE UPPER HIGH CONTINUES TO RESIDE
OVER CHIHUAHUA...BUT STRENGTHENING WESTERLIES OVER THE
INTERMOUNTAIN WESTERN U.S. WILL ERODE THIS FEATURE AWAY BY
TONIGHT. THE LEE SIDE SURFACE TROUGH WILL ALSO REAPPEAR BY THIS
AFTERNOON...AND HIGHER BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE WILL BE MIXING JUST
TO THE EAST OF THE TROUGH AXIS BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS
EVENING. WHILE SOME SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE STILL CURRENTLY
STRUGGLING OVER THE EASTERN PLAINS...THE OPPORTUNITY FOR WETTING
PRECIPITATION WILL BE GRADUALLY DWINDLING FROM WEST TO EAST AS THE
AFTERNOON ENSUES. WINDS IN THE H7-H5 LAYER...STILL ENCOMPASSING
THE DEEPLY MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER...WILL BEGIN TO CLIMB INTO THE 15
TO 25 KT RANGE...AND WITH THE AID OF THE SURFACE TROUGH SOME
BREEZY TO LOCALLY WINDY CONDITIONS WILL UNFOLD LATER TODAY.
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL EVEN BE MET IN SOME CENTRAL
TO WESTERN SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA...AND TEMPERATURES WILL
CLIMB ABOVE AVERAGE AREA WIDE.

BY TONIGHT THE WESTERLIES ALOFT WILL BE MUCH STRONGER AS A
PACIFIC-BASED UPPER LEVEL PERTURBATION PUSHES TOWARD THE CENTRAL
TO NORTHERN ROCKIES. PERSISTENT MIXING WILL LIKELY KEEP MINIMUM
TEMPERATURES SOMEWHAT ELEVATED AS RADIATIONAL COOLING WILL NOT BE
OPTIMAL TONIGHT. THIS WILL ESPECIALLY BE TRUE ALONG RIDGE TOPS AND
DOWNWIND SLOPES. THE UPPER GRADIENT WILL CONTINUE TO TIGHTEN
THROUGH THE DAYTIME WEDNESDAY WHILE THE LEE SIDE SURFACE LOW
BOTTOMS OUT...SOMEWHERE NEAR 985 MB NEAR THE OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE.
BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THE H7-H5 LAYER WINDS WILL GENERALLY HOST
SPEEDS RANGING FROM 25 TO 50 KT WITH A MAXIMUM FOUND OVER THE
NORTH CENTRAL TO NORTHWESTERN ZONES OF NEW MEXICO. THIS COUPLED
WITH A SUBSTANTIAL SURFACE GRADIENT...WELL ABOVE AVERAGE
TEMPERATURES...AND DEEP MIXING WILL YIELD WIDESPREAD WINDY
CONDITIONS. WILL HOIST A HIGH WIND WATCH WITH THIS
PACKAGE...KEYING ON THE NORTHWESTERN QUADRANT AND THE
SANDIA/MANZANOS TO THE SANGRES WHERE HIGHEST CONFIDENCE IS.
CRITICAL TO EXTREME FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL ALSO BE OF UTMOST
SIGNIFICANCE. SOME RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES COULD ALSO BE IN
JEOPARDY.

IT WILL BE DIFFICULT FOR THE WINDS TO FULLY UNDERGO ANY NOCTURNAL
DECOUPLING WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING...DUE TO A
PERSISTENT GRADIENT ALOFT AND AT THE SURFACE...DESPITE THE
SURFACE LOW BEING USHERED EASTWARD AS THE PARENT DISTURBANCE
ALOFT TREKS TOWARD THE UPPER MIDWEST. INTO THE DAYTIME HOURS
THURSDAY GENESIS OF AN NEW SURFACE LOW WILL TAKE PLACE AS THE FLOW
ALOFT BACKS MORE SOUTHWESTERLY...AND ONLY SLIGHTLY DECREASES IN
SPEED. THUS ANOTHER ROUND OF WINDY...DRY...AND CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BE ON HAND. UPSTREAM ANOTHER UPPER LOW
WILL BE DIGGING THROUGH THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST STATES.

FOR FRIDAY FORECAST MODELS ARE NOW LEAVING SOME SEMBLANCE OF THE
LEE SIDE SURFACE LOW INTACT OVER SOUTHEASTERN COLORADO AND
NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO WHICH COULD BARRICADE A SURFACE BOUNDARY FROM
BACKING INTO THE LAND OF ENCHANTMENT. THIS WOULD KEEP PRECIOUS
BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE LOCKED FARTHER TO THE NORTHEAST WHILE
RETURN FLOW OFF OF THE GULF OF MEXICO TRIES TO COMPENSATE. AT THIS
POINT IT APPEARS ANY MOISTURE ADVECTION WOULD BE HARD PRESSED TO
MAKE IT INTO THE BIG BEND AREA AND HIGH PLAINS OF WEST
TEXAS BY FRIDAY...MUCH LESS INTO SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO.
HOWEVER...THE WEEKEND APPEARS MORE PROMISING WITH A DRYLINE
FEATURE DEPICTED IN THE FAR EASTERN PLAINS OF THE STATE WHILE
STRONG SOUTHWESTERLIES ALOFT PERSIST. THOSE SOUTHWESTERLIES WILL
EVENTUALLY BREAK DOWN INTO MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK AFTER THE GREAT
BASIN UPPER LOW FEATURE EXPELS ALL OF ITS ENERGY AND ANOTHER DOME
OF HIGH PRESSURE TAKES SHAPE OVER THE BAJA.

52

&&

.AVIATION...ISOLD CONVECTION TO PERSIST OVER THE EASTERN PLAINS
THROUGH 12Z. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE HAS PUSHED WESTWARD AND INTO
PORTIONS OF THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY AGAIN DUE TO MONDAY EVENING/S
CONVECTION IN EASTERN NM. HOWEVER...ANY LOW CLOUDS/FOG THAT
DEVELOP BETWEEN 09Z AND 13Z FROM THE SAN JUAN/JEMEZ MTS AND OVER
THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN INTO THE EASTERN PLAINS ARE NOT
EXPECTED TO PERSIST FOR LONG THIS MORNING...DUE TO INCREASING DRY
WESTERLY WINDS ALOFT. THIS SHOULD ALSO LIMIT CONVECTION TODAY TO
THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN TO THE TEXAS BORDER. AFT 18Z...WEST TO
SOUTHWEST WINDS COULD LOCALLY GUST TO AROUND 35KT MAINLY WEST OF
THE CONTDVD.

NEXT AVIATION DISCUSSION SCHEDULED FOR 21Z.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

...PROLONGED PERIOD OF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THIS WEEK
ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO...WITH EXTREMELY CRITICAL
CONDITIONS POSSIBLE NORTHWEST AND NORTH CENTRAL WEDNESDAY...

POOR OVERNIGHT RH RECOVERIES WEST OF THE CONTDVD HAVE BEEN
OBSERVED...AND SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE ANTICIPATED PATTERN
CHANGE TO DRIER WESTERLY WINDS ALOFT IS EMINENT. SOME LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE HAS PUSHED BACK INTO THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY DUE TO MONDAY
EVENING/S CONVECTION IN EASTERN NM...BUT THIS SHOULD MIX OUT AND ANY
CHANCE FOR WETTING RAINS WITH SHOWERS AND STORMS SHOULD BE LIMITED
TO THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN TO THE TEXAS BORDER TODAY AND BEFORE
MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.

THE AREA COVERED BY THE RED FLAG WARNING FOR TODAY STILL APPEARS ON
TARGET. WINDS MAY BE A BIT MARGINAL BUT AS THE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
RETREATS TOWARD TEXAS...MIN RH VALUES PLUMMET INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS
OVER MUCH OF THE REGION. HIGH HAINES WILL BE WIDESPREAD CENTRAL AND
WEST...AND MIXING HTS ARE FORECAST TO APPROACH 500-450MB. SOME
LOCALLY 1 TO 3 HOUR CRITICAL CONDITIONS MAY ALSO DOT THE SOUTHWEST
MOUNTAINS AND NORTHEAST PLAINS LATER TODAY.

VERY POOR RH RECOVERIES TONIGHT...IN SOME WESTERN AND CENTRAL NM
AREAS FORECAST MAX RH LESS THAN 20 PERCENT...WILL LEAD TO WIDESPREAD
CRITICAL CONDITIONS WEDNESDAY. LITTLE TO NO CHANGE NOTED FROM
PREVIOUS MODEL RUNS...AND COORDINATION WITH SPC HAS YIELDED AN AREA
OF EXTREMELY CRITICAL CONDITIONS OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST AND
NORTH CENTRAL NM. CRITICAL CONDITIONS COULD LINGER OVER MUCH OF THE
REGION THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...WITH SOME SPOTTY COVERAGE INTO
THE EARLY MORNING HOURS THURSDAY AS POOR RH RECOVERIES REMAIN
WIDESPREAD...ESPECIALLY SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 40.

A SLIGHT INCREASE IN RH POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY NEAR THE COLORADO BORDER
THURSDAY...BUT WINDS MAY SCOUR THAT OUT IN THE AFTERNOON AS DAYTIME
TEMPERATURES REMAIN ABOVE AVERAGE. ALTHOUGH MODEL FORECASTS HAVE
FOCUSED THE HIGHER HAINES VALUES OVER THE SOUTHEAST THIRD OF THE
STATE...LOW MINIMUM RH VALUES IN THE SINGLE DIGITS AND STRONG
WESTERLY WINDS ARE ENOUGH TO ISSUE A FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR LATE
THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNSET THURSDAY EVENING FOR ALL BUT ZONES
101 AND 102. WINDS ARE NOT FORECAST TO BE AS STRONG AS ON WEDNESDAY
THOUGH.

THE FRONT THAT WAS INDICATED FOR LATER FRIDAY...AND THAT WAS
SUPPOSED TO BRING A RENEWAL OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE TO EASTERN NM NOW
APPEARS TO BE LESS OF AN EVENT. CONSEQUENTLY...CRITICAL CONDITIONS
COULD BE WIDESPREAD OVER THE NORTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL PLAINS...AS
WELL AS THE WESTERN MOUNTAINS FRIDAY AFTERNOON. RH RECOVERIES
THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY NIGHT WILL CONTINUE TO BE POOR OVER MOST
OF THE REGION...ALTHOUGH SOME IMPROVEMENT MAY BE FOUND EAST OF THE
PECOS VALLEY FRIDAY NIGHT. HEADED INTO THE COMING WEEKEND...AT
LEAST SPOTTY CRITICAL CONDITIONS REMAIN A CONCERN. VENTILATION
THROUGH FRIDAY WILL BE VERY GOOD TO EXCELLENT JUST ABOUT ALL
AREAS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
FARMINGTON......................  90  53  87  49 /   0   0   0   0
DULCE...........................  82  35  80  37 /   0   0   0   0
CUBA............................  83  38  83  40 /   0   0   0   0
GALLUP..........................  86  49  83  49 /   0   0   0   0
EL MORRO........................  82  43  79  42 /   0   0   0   0
GRANTS..........................  86  45  84  46 /   0   0   0   0
QUEMADO.........................  84  48  84  47 /   0   0   0   0
GLENWOOD........................  91  52  88  49 /   0   0   0   0
CHAMA...........................  76  38  74  39 /   0   0   5   0
LOS ALAMOS......................  84  51  85  49 /   5   0   0   0
PECOS...........................  83  51  81  48 /  10   0   0   0
CERRO/QUESTA....................  81  43  79  42 /  10   0   5   0
RED RIVER.......................  72  43  71  43 /  20   0   5   0
ANGEL FIRE......................  75  40  74  41 /  20   0   5   0
TAOS............................  83  45  82  43 /  10   0   0   0
MORA............................  82  49  80  47 /  20   0   0   0
ESPANOLA........................  91  48  90  47 /   5   0   0   0
SANTA FE........................  86  53  85  50 /   5   0   0   0
SANTA FE AIRPORT................  89  52  88  49 /   5   0   0   0
ALBUQUERQUE FOOTHILLS...........  89  60  89  58 /   5   0   0   0
ALBUQUERQUE HEIGHTS.............  91  63  91  60 /   5   0   0   0
ALBUQUERQUE VALLEY..............  93  57  93  56 /   5   0   0   0
ALBUQUERQUE WEST MESA...........  93  60  93  57 /   5   0   0   0
LOS LUNAS.......................  94  57  94  55 /   5   0   0   0
RIO RANCHO......................  93  60  92  57 /   5   0   0   0
SOCORRO.........................  95  60  96  60 /   5   0   0   0
SANDIA PARK/CEDAR CREST.........  79  50  82  47 /  10   0   0   0
TIJERAS.........................  88  55  88  52 /  10   0   0   0
MORIARTY/ESTANCIA...............  90  51  90  50 /  10   0   0   0
CLINES CORNERS..................  83  54  83  51 /  20   0   0   0
GRAN QUIVIRA....................  86  55  88  54 /  10   0   0   0
CARRIZOZO.......................  89  57  91  56 /  10   5   0   0
RUIDOSO.........................  81  57  83  55 /  20   5   0   0
CAPULIN.........................  86  53  87  49 /  20   5   0   0
RATON...........................  89  50  90  48 /  20   0   0   0
SPRINGER........................  89  51  90  49 /  20   0   0   0
LAS VEGAS.......................  86  54  87  51 /  20   0   0   0
CLAYTON.........................  91  58  97  53 /  20  10   0   0
ROY.............................  89  56  92  54 /  20   5   0   0
CONCHAS.........................  95  59  96  58 /  20   5   0   0
SANTA ROSA......................  92  60  96  59 /  20   5   0   0
TUCUMCARI.......................  97  62 101  60 /  20  10   0   0
CLOVIS..........................  91  61  96  59 /  20  10   0   0
PORTALES........................  91  61  97  60 /  20  10   0   0
FORT SUMNER.....................  95  61 100  60 /  20   5   0   0
ROSWELL.........................  97  61 103  63 /  20   5   0   0
PICACHO.........................  93  60  96  60 /  20   5   0   0
ELK.............................  88  57  92  58 /  20   5   0   0

&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
RED FLAG WARNING FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR THE
FOLLOWING ZONES...NMZ101-103-105-107.

RED FLAG WARNING FROM 10 AM TO 11 PM MDT WEDNESDAY FOR THE
FOLLOWING ZONES...NMZ101>109.

FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING
FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES...NMZ103>109.

HIGH WIND WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING
FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES...NMZ501>507-510>515-519-521.

&&

52/99

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
524 AM MDT MON MAY 21 2012

NMZ501>540-221200-
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS-FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-
SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-
WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY-SANTA FE METRO AREA-ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-ESTANCIA VALLEY-
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-
SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-
FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-UNION COUNTY-
HARDING COUNTY-EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY-
QUAY COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
524 AM MDT MON MAY 21 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN AND
CENTRAL NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

ISOLATED DRY THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG AND NEAR THE
CONTINENTAL DIVIDE AND THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY TODAY AND THIS
EVENING. STRONG MICROBURST WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH DANGEROUS
CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. FARTHER EAST...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED WITH SOME STORMS
POTENTIALLY BECOMING STRONG TO SEVERE EAST OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN
CHAIN.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF REPETITIVE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
WILL TAKE SHAPE TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY AS WINDS STRENGTHEN AND
DRIER AIR MOVES INTO NEW MEXICO. WEST SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL BE
STRONGEST ON WEDNESDAY WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS ALONG AND DOWNWIND OF HIGHER TERRAIN AREAS.

WEATHER CAN CHANGE VERY RAPIDLY. ALWAYS USE THE LATEST
FORECASTS...WATCHES...AND WARNINGS FOR PLANNING PURPOSES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ACROSS THE EASTERN PLAINS OF NEW MEXICO ARE URGED TO
SUBMIT ANY REPORTS OF HAIL OR STRONG THUNDERSTORM WINDS TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE AT 1.888.386.7637 OR VIA
THE WEB AT WEATHER.GOV/ABQ.

52

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
1039 PM MDT MON MAY 21 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0501 PM     HAIL             8 SSW SPRINGER          36.26N 104.65W
05/21/2012  E1.50 INCH       COLFAX             NM   PUBLIC

            PING PONG BALL SIZE HAIL ON INTERSTATE 25

&&

EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201192

CA

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
1153 PM MDT MON MAY 21 2012

NMZ532-533-220700-
EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY-
1153 PM MDT MON MAY 21 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN SAN MIGUEL AND NORTHERN
GUADALUPE COUNTIES THROUGH 100 AM MDT...

AT 1148 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 7 MILES NORTHWEST OF COLONIAS...OR ABOUT 22 MILES
NORTHWEST OF SANTA ROSA...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM...ALONG WITH HEAVY RAIN.

AREAS AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...SANTA ROSA...COLONIAS AND
SANTA ROSA LAKE STATE PARK.

IF THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES YOUR AREA...TAKE SHELTER IN A
STURDY BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3514 10440 3486 10464 3515 10505 3531 10495
TIME...MOT...LOC 0553Z 300DEG 21KT 3518 10490

CA

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
129 AM MDT TUE MAY 22 2012

NMZ533-534-537-220800-
DE BACA COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY-QUAY COUNTY-
129 AM MDT TUE MAY 22 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN QUAY...EASTERN
GUADALUPE AND NORTHERN DE BACA COUNTIES THROUGH 200 AM MDT...

AT 125 AM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 10 MILES NORTH OF SUMNER LAKE STATE PARK...OR
ABOUT 19 MILES NORTH OF FORT SUMNER...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

AREAS AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...SUMNER LAKE STATE PARK.

IF THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES YOUR AREA...TAKE SHELTER IN A
STURDY BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3483 10412 3476 10401 3463 10403 3453 10438
      3462 10447 3476 10450 3488 10427
TIME...MOT...LOC 0729Z 325DEG 14KT 3473 10431

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
200 AM MDT TUE MAY 22 2012

NMZ533-534-536-537-220845-
DE BACA COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY-QUAY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-
200 AM MDT TUE MAY 22 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EXTREME NORTHWESTERN ROOSEVELT...
SOUTHWESTERN QUAY...EASTERN GUADALUPE AND NORTHEASTERN DE BACA
COUNTIES THROUGH 245 AM MDT...

AT 154 AM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 9 MILES NORTHEAST OF SUMNER LAKE STATE PARK...OR
ABOUT 14 MILES NORTH OF FORT SUMNER...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

AREAS AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...FORT SUMNER AND MOSTLY RURAL
NORTHEASTERN DE BACA COUNTY.

&&

LAT...LON 3441 10429 3469 10440 3478 10421 3478 10414
      3460 10391
TIME...MOT...LOC 0759Z 321DEG 11KT 3467 10424

SHOEMAKE