Freeze Warning 4, NWS Albuquerque, NM

104 
WWUS75 KABQ 260359
NPWABQ

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
959 PM MDT THU OCT 25 2012

...FREEZING TEMPERATURES TONIGHT OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND
EASTERN NEW MEXICO INCLUDING THE MIDDLE AND LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY...
...ANOTHER FREEZE FRIDAY NIGHT ACROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN NEW
MEXICO...

.COLD AIR WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD OVER NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEW
MEXICO TONIGHT...AND THROUGH FRIDAY. SOME OF THE COLDEST OVERNIGHT
LOW TEMPERATURES OF THIS AUTUMN SEASON ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT AND
AGAIN FRIDAY NIGHT OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN NEW MEXICO
WHERE SO FAR A HARD FREEZE HAS NOT BEEN EXPERIENCED. THIS
INCLUDES THE SANTA FE METRO AREA...AS WELL AS THE MIDDLE AND LOWER
RIO GRANDE VALLEY AND MUCH OF THE EAST CENTRAL PLAINS.

NMZ518-533-534-261500-
/O.CON.KABQ.HZ.W.0001.121026T0900Z-121026T1500Z/
SANTA FE METRO AREA-GUADALUPE COUNTY-QUAY COUNTY-
959 PM MDT THU OCT 25 2012

...HARD FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM MDT
FRIDAY...

* LOCATION...SANTA FE METRO AREA...GUADALUPE AND QUAY COUNTIES 
  TO INCLUDE THE COMMUNITIES OF SANTA ROSA...TUCUMCARI...AND 
  LOGAN. 

* TIMING...TEMPERATURES WILL FALL TO BELOW THE FREEZING MARK 
  LATE TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING. IN MOST LOCATIONS 
  TEMPERATURES WILL WARM ABOVE FREEZING BY 9 AM FRIDAY. 

* TEMPERATURES...FORECAST MINIMUM TEMPERATURES OF 20 TO 32 
  DEGREES ARE GENERALLY EXPECTED. 

* LOCAL IMPACTS...VEGETATION AND ANIMAL DRINKING WATER WILL 
  EXPERIENCE A HARD FREEZE. EXPOSED PIPES MAY ALSO BE IMPACTED. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A HARD FREEZE WARNING MEANS SEVERAL HOURS OF FREEZING
TEMPERATURES AND LOW TEMPERATURES 28 DEGREES OR COLDER ARE
IMMINENT OR HIGHLY LIKELY.

&&

$$

NMZ519-520-535>537-539-540-261500-
/O.CON.KABQ.FZ.W.0004.121026T0900Z-121026T1500Z/
ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-CURRY COUNTY-
ROOSEVELT COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-
SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
959 PM MDT THU OCT 25 2012

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM MDT
FRIDAY...

* LOCATION...CURRY...ROOSEVELT AND DE BACA COUNTIES.

* TIMING...TEMPERATURES WILL FALL NEAR AND BELOW FREEZING LATE 
  TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM 
  ABOVE FREEZING IN MOST LOCATIONS BY 9 AM FRIDAY. 

* TEMPERATURES...MINIMUM TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE FROM 26 TO 35 
  DEGREES. THE COLDEST READINGS WILL BE FOUND IN SHELTERED 
  VALLEY LOCATIONS. 

* LOCAL IMPACTS...VEGETATION AND ANIMAL DRINKING WATER WILL 
  FREEZE. EXPOSED PIPES MAY ALSO BE IMPACTED. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A FREEZE WARNING MEANS FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE
IMMINENT OR HIGHLY LIKELY.

&&

$$

NMZ538-261500-
/O.CON.KABQ.FZ.A.0005.121027T0900Z-121027T1500Z/
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-
959 PM MDT THU OCT 25 2012

...FREEZE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY MORNING...

* LOCATION...CHAVES COUNTY INCLUDING ROSWELL.

* TIMING...LATE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING.

* TEMPERATURES...MINIMUM TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE FROM 26 TO 33 DEGREES.
  THE COLDEST READINGS WILL BE FOUND IN VALLEY LOCATIONS.

* LOCAL IMPACTS...VEGETATION AND ANIMAL DRINKING WATER MAY 
  FREEZE. EXPOSED PIPES MAY ALSO BE IMPACTED. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR A HAZARDOUS
FREEZE EVENT IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS AT WEATHER.GOV/ABQ...LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR
YOUR FAVORITE MEDIA OUTLET.

&&

$$

777 
WWUS75 KABQ 260959
NPWABQ

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
359 AM MDT FRI OCT 26 2012

...FREEZING TEMPERATURES TONIGHT OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND
EASTERN NEW MEXICO INCLUDING THE MIDDLE AND LOWER RIO GRANDE
VALLEY... ...ANOTHER FREEZE FRIDAY NIGHT ACROSS CENTRAL AND
EASTERN NEW MEXICO...

.COLD AIR WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD OVER NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEW
EARLY THIS MORNING...AND THROUGH FRIDAY. SOME OF THE COLDEST
OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPERATURES OF THIS AUTUMN SEASON ARE EXPECTED
EARLY THIS MORNING AND AGAIN FRIDAY NIGHT OVER CENTRAL AND
EASTERN NEW MEXICO WHERE SO FAR A HARD FREEZE HAS NOT BEEN
EXPERIENCED. THIS INCLUDES THE SANTA FE METRO AREA...AS WELL AS
THE MIDDLE AND LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY AND MUCH OF THE EAST
CENTRAL PLAINS...TULAROSA VALLEY AND CHAVES COUNTY.

NMZ518-533-534-261500-
/O.CON.KABQ.HZ.W.0001.000000T0000Z-121026T1500Z/
SANTA FE METRO AREA-GUADALUPE COUNTY-QUAY COUNTY-
359 AM MDT FRI OCT 26 2012

...HARD FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM MDT THIS
MORNING...

* LOCATION...SANTA FE METRO AREA...GUADALUPE AND QUAY COUNTIES 
  TO INCLUDE THE COMMUNITIES OF SANTA ROSA...TUCUMCARI...AND 
  LOGAN. 

* TIMING...TEMPERATURES WILL FALL TO BELOW THE FREEZING MARK EARLY
  THIS MORNING. IN MOST LOCATIONS TEMPERATURES WILL WARM ABOVE
  FREEZING BY 9 AM FRIDAY.

* TEMPERATURES...FORECAST MINIMUM TEMPERATURES OF 22 TO 30 DEGREES
  ARE GENERALLY EXPECTED.

* LOCAL IMPACTS...VEGETATION AND ANIMAL DRINKING WATER WILL 
  EXPERIENCE A HARD FREEZE. EXPOSED PIPES MAY ALSO BE IMPACTED. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A HARD FREEZE WARNING MEANS SEVERAL HOURS OF FREEZING
TEMPERATURES AND LOW TEMPERATURES 28 DEGREES OR COLDER ARE
IMMINENT OR HIGHLY LIKELY.

&&

$$

NMZ519-520-535>537-539-540-261500-
/O.CON.KABQ.FZ.W.0004.000000T0000Z-121026T1500Z/
ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-CURRY COUNTY-
ROOSEVELT COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-
SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
359 AM MDT FRI OCT 26 2012

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM MDT THIS MORNING...

* LOCATION...CURRY...ROOSEVELT AND DE BACA COUNTIES.

* TIMING...TEMPERATURES WILL FALL NEAR AND BELOW FREEZING EARLY
  THIS MORNING. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM ABOVE FREEZING IN MOST
  LOCATIONS BY 9 AM FRIDAY.

* TEMPERATURES...MINIMUM TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE FROM 26 TO 32
  DEGREES. THE COLDEST READINGS WILL BE FOUND IN SHELTERED VALLEY
  LOCATIONS.

* LOCAL IMPACTS...VEGETATION AND ANIMAL DRINKING WATER WILL 
  FREEZE. EXPOSED PIPES MAY ALSO BE IMPACTED. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A FREEZE WARNING MEANS FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE
IMMINENT OR HIGHLY LIKELY.

&&

$$

NMZ525-261500-
/O.NEW.KABQ.HZ.A.0002.121027T0900Z-121027T1500Z/
UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-
359 AM MDT FRI OCT 26 2012

...HARD FREEZE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY
MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS ISSUED A HARD
FREEZE WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY MORNING. 

* LOCATION...UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY INCLUDING CARRIZOZO. 

* TIMING...LATE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. 

* TEMPERATURES...MINIMUM TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE FROM 24 TO 30 
  DEGREES.

* LOCAL IMPACTS...VEGETATION AND ANIMAL DRINKING WATER MAY 
  FREEZE. EXPOSED PIPES MAY ALSO BE IMPACTED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A HARD FREEZE WATCH MEANS SEVERAL HOURS OF FREEZING
TEMPERATURES AND LOW TEMPERATURES 28 DEGREES OR COLDER ARE
POSSIBLE.

&&

$$

NMZ538-261500-
/O.CON.KABQ.FZ.A.0005.121027T0900Z-121027T1500Z/
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-
359 AM MDT FRI OCT 26 2012

...FREEZE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY MORNING...

* LOCATION...CHAVES COUNTY INCLUDING ROSWELL.

* TIMING...LATE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING.

* TEMPERATURES...MINIMUM TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE FROM 28 TO 32
  DEGREES. THE COLDEST READINGS WILL BE FOUND IN VALLEY LOCATIONS.

* LOCAL IMPACTS...VEGETATION AND ANIMAL DRINKING WATER MAY 
  FREEZE. EXPOSED PIPES MAY ALSO BE IMPACTED. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR A HAZARDOUS
FREEZE EVENT IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS AT WEATHER.GOV/ABQ...LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR
YOUR FAVORITE MEDIA OUTLET.

&&

$$

40

821 
WWUS75 KABQ 261502
NPWABQ

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
902 AM MDT FRI OCT 26 2012

...POCKETS OF FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE ENDING THIS MORNING BUT
GREATER COVERAGE OF EVEN COLDER TEMPERATURES IS EXPECTED
TONIGHT...

.POCKETS OF FREEZING TEMPERATURES WILL SOON WARM ABOVE FREEZING
UNDER PLENTY OF SUNSHINE IN THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY AND SANTA FE
AREA THIS MORNING. FARTHER EAST...ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE EAST
CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST PLAINS...EXTENSIVE LOW CLOUD COVER PREVENTED
FREEZING TEMPERATURES FROM OCCURRING THIS MORNING IN MANY
LOCATIONS. HOWEVER...A BROAD UPPER LEVEL TROUGH SLOWLY CROSSING
THE ROCKY MOUNTAIN STATES WILL KEEP A SEASONABLY COOL AIR MASS OVER
NEW MEXICO TODAY AND TONIGHT. HUMIDITIES WILL ALSO DROP TODAY
RESULTING IN CLEARER SKIES AND MORE WIDESPREAD COVERAGE OF EVEN
COLDER TEMPERATURES TONIGHT. LOW TEMPERATURES SATURDAY MORNING
WILL VARY FROM A FEW TO 10 DEGREES BELOW THIS MORNINGS READINGS
ALONG AND SOUTH OF I-40.

NMZ533-534-262200-
/O.CAN.KABQ.HZ.W.0001.000000T0000Z-121026T1500Z/
/O.NEW.KABQ.FZ.W.0005.121027T0900Z-121027T1500Z/
GUADALUPE COUNTY-QUAY COUNTY-
902 AM MDT FRI OCT 26 2012

...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM MDT SATURDAY...
...HARD FREEZE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS ISSUED A FREEZE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM MDT SATURDAY. THE
HARD FREEZE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

* LOCATION...GUADALUPE AND QUAY COUNTIES...INCLUDING TUCUMCARI AND
  SANTA ROSA.

* TIMING...POCKETS OF FREEZING TEMPERATURES WILL RISE ABOVE
  FREEZING THROUGH MID MORNING AS SKIES CLEAR. WITH MUCH LESS
  CLOUD COVER...TEMPERATURES WILL FALL BELOW FREEZING ACROSS ALL
  OF THE EAST CENTRAL PLAINS LATE TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING.

* TEMPERATURES...FORECAST MINIMUM TEMPERATURES OF 22 TO 29 DEGREES
  ARE GENERALLY EXPECTED TONIGHT.

* LOCAL IMPACTS...VEGETATION AND ANIMAL DRINKING WATER WILL FREEZE.
  EXPOSED PIPES MAY ALSO BE IMPACTED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A FREEZE WARNING MEANS FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE
IMMINENT OR HIGHLY LIKELY.

&&

$$

NMZ519-520-537-539-540-262200-
/O.CAN.KABQ.FZ.W.0004.000000T0000Z-121026T1500Z/
/O.NEW.KABQ.FZ.W.0005.121027T0900Z-121027T1500Z/
ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-DE BACA COUNTY-
EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
902 AM MDT FRI OCT 26 2012

...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM MDT SATURDAY...
...FREEZE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS ISSUED A FREEZE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM MDT SATURDAY. THE
FREEZE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

* LOCATION....THE MIDDLE AND LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY...AS WELL AS
  EASTERN LINCOLN...DE BACA AND SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTIES. THIS
  INCLUDES THE ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA.

* TIMING...POCKETS OF FREEZING TEMPERATURES WILL WARM ABOVE
  FREEZING THROUGH MID MORNING AND SKIES ON THE PLAINS WILL
  GRADUALLY CLEAR. WITH MUCH LESS CLOUD COVER ON THE PLAINS
  TONIGHT...AND MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES IN THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY AS
  WELL...TEMPERATURES WILL FALL BELOW FREEZING IN MOST LOCATIONS
  ALONG AND SOUTH OF I-40 LATE TONIGHT UNTIL AROUND 9 AM FRIDAY
  MORNING.

* TEMPERATURES...MINIMUM TEMPERATURES IN THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY
  WILL RANGE FROM 21 TO 34 DEGREES TONIGHT...WITH THE COLDEST
  READINGS AT LOWER ELEVATIONS OF THE VALLEY AND IN THE
  SURROUNDING FOOTHILLS. TEMPERATURES ON THE PLAINS FARTHER EAST
  ARE EXPECTED TO REACH FREEZING IN ALL LOCATIONS...POSSIBLY
  DROPPING AS LOW AS 23 DEGREES IN SOME SPOTS.

* LOCAL IMPACTS...VEGETATION AND ANIMAL DRINKING WATER WILL 
  FREEZE. EXPOSED PIPES MAY ALSO BE IMPACTED. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A FREEZE WARNING MEANS FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE
IMMINENT OR HIGHLY LIKELY.

&&

$$

NMZ518-261615-
/O.CAN.KABQ.HZ.W.0001.000000T0000Z-121026T1500Z/
SANTA FE METRO AREA-
902 AM MDT FRI OCT 26 2012

...HARD FREEZE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS CANCELLED THE
HARD FREEZE WARNING. 

A HARD FREEZE WAS EXPERIENCED ACROSS THE SANTA FE METRO AREA EARLY
THIS MORNING. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM ABOVE FREEZING THROUGH MID
MORNING...SO THE FREEZE WARNING IS CANCELED. ANOTHER HARD FREEZE
IS EXPECTED TONIGHT.

$$

NMZ535-536-261615-
/O.CAN.KABQ.FZ.W.0004.000000T0000Z-121026T1500Z/
CURRY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-
902 AM MDT FRI OCT 26 2012

...FREEZE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS CANCELLED THE
FREEZE WARNING. 

FREEZING TEMPERATURES WERE EXPERIENCED ACROSS MUCH OF CURRY AND
ROOSEVELT COUNTIES OVERNIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO RISE
ABOVE FREEZING THROUGH MID MORNING...SO THE FREEZE WARNING IS
CANCELED. EVEN COLDER TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT.

$$

NMZ525-262200-
/O.UPG.KABQ.HZ.A.0002.121027T0900Z-121027T1500Z/
/O.NEW.KABQ.FZ.W.0005.121027T0900Z-121027T1500Z/
UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-
902 AM MDT FRI OCT 26 2012

...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM MDT SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS ISSUED A FREEZE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM MDT SATURDAY. THE
HARD FREEZE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* LOCATION...UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY INCLUDING CARRIZOZO.

* TIMING...LATE TONIGHT UNTIL AROUND 9 AM SATURDAY MORNING.

* TEMPERATURES...MINIMUM TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE FROM 24 TO 30 
  DEGREES. 

* LOCAL IMPACTS...VEGETATION AND ANIMAL DRINKING WATER MAY 
  FREEZE. EXPOSED PIPES MAY ALSO BE IMPACTED. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A FREEZE WARNING MEANS FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE
IMMINENT OR HIGHLY LIKELY.

&&

$$

NMZ538-262200-
/O.UPG.KABQ.FZ.A.0005.121027T0900Z-121027T1500Z/
/O.NEW.KABQ.FZ.W.0005.121027T0900Z-121027T1500Z/
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-
902 AM MDT FRI OCT 26 2012

...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM MDT SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS ISSUED A FREEZE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM MDT SATURDAY. THE
FREEZE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* LOCATION...CHAVES COUNTY INCLUDING ROSWELL.

* TIMING...LATE TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING.

* TEMPERATURES...MINIMUM TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE FROM 28 TO 32 
  DEGREES. THE COLDEST READINGS WILL BE FOUND IN VALLEY 
  LOCATIONS. 

* LOCAL IMPACTS...VEGETATION AND ANIMAL DRINKING WATER MAY 
  FREEZE. EXPOSED PIPES MAY ALSO BE IMPACTED. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A FREEZE WARNING MEANS FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE
IMMINENT OR HIGHLY LIKELY.

&&

$$

44

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
300 PM MDT THU OCT 25 2012

...FREEZING TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TONIGHT AND ESPECIALLY FRIDAY
NIGHT IN MOST LOCATIONS...

.DISCUSSION...
IN THE WAKE OF YESTERDAY AND LAST NIGHTS COLD FRONT...COLD AIR
WILL CONTINUE TO FUNNEL SOUTHWARD INTO NEW MEXICO TONIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY NIGHT AS ANOTHER PERTURBATION CROSSES THE CENTRAL
ROCKIES. WITH THIS AFTERNOONS FORECAST PACKAGE WE WILL ISSUE A
FREEZE WARNING FOR LATE TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY MORNING FOR
THE MIDDLE AND LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY...EASTERN LINCOLN AND
SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTIES...AS WELL AS DE BACA...ROOSEVELT AND
CURRY COUNTIES. A HARD FREEZE WARNING WILL COVER QUAY AND
GUADALUPE COUNTIES...AND THE SANTA FE METRO AREA. THE FREEZE MAY
OCCUR IN POCKETS ACROSS THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY...AND THE PLAINS
EAST OF THE SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS TONIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL DROP
UP TO 7 ADDITIONAL DEGREES FRIDAY NIGHT ALONG AND SOUTH OF
I-40...CAUSING FREEZING TEMPERATURES TO BECOME EVEN MORE
WIDESPREAD. THIS AFTERNOON WE WILL ALSO ISSUE A FREEZE WATCH FOR
CHAVES COUNTY PROPER VALID FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING. IF
FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE NOT WIDESPREAD ENOUGH IN THE RIO GRANDE
VALLEY AND ACROSS THE EAST CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST PLAINS
TONIGHT...THEN FUTURE SHIFTS WILL PROBABLY NEED TO REISSUE FREEZE
WARNINGS FOR EVEN COLDER TEMPERATURES IN THESE LOCATIONS FRIDAY
NIGHT.

THE SHORTWAVE CROSSING THE CENTRAL ROCKIES TONIGHT WILL CLIP
NORTHEAST NM...AND IT COULD SPAWN A FEW SNOW SHOWERS ALONG AND
EAST OF THE SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS. LITTLE OR NO ACCUMULATION
IS EXPECTED...BUT SOME OF THESE SHOWERS MAY LINGER INTO FRIDAY
MORNING.

OTHERWISE...DRY AND WARMER WEATHER IS EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND
THROUGH THE FIRST HALF THE COMING WORK WEEK AS A STAUNCH UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE CROSSES THE WESTERN US. THE WARM UP
MAY BE SLOWED ON SUNDAY BY A SHALLOW...SECONDARY BACK DOOR COLD
FRONT THAT WILL ENTER THE PLAINS SATURDAY NIGHT. HOWEVER...AS THE
NEW WORK WEEK BEGINS...TEMPERATURES WILL CLIMB ABOVE NORMAL
AREAWIDE. READINGS WILL PEAK TOWARD THE MIDDLE OF THE COMING WORK
WEEK AT 4-14 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL.

44

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
COOLER AIR HAS SETTLED ACROSS MOST OF THE FORECAST AREA. ANOTHER
COOL SHOT WILL OCCUR OVERNIGHT. LOOK FOR WIDESPREAD FREEZING AS A
RESULT. A HARDER FREEZE IS EXPECTED SATURDAY MORNING AS THE SURFACE
GRADIENT BECOMES THAT MUCH WEAKER COMBINED WITH LOW DEWPOINTS AND
CLEAR SKIES.

MID LEVEL DRY SLOT HAS LOWERED DEWPOINT VALUES AND THUS HUMIDITIES
QUITE SIGNIFICANTLY EVEN WITH THE COOLING. DEWPOINT VALUES IN THE
NEGATIVE RANGE ACROSS THE NORTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS BASED ON MANY OF
THE RAWS SITES THERE. THIS DRY SLOT WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT PORTIONS
OF THE AREA...ESPECIALLY MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
ALTHOUGH IT SHOULD BE POINTED OUT THAT RECOVERIES WILL BE EXCELLENT
ALONG THE EAST SLOPES OF THE SANGRE DE CRISTOS TONIGHT...AS WELL AS
EASTERN PLAINS AS THAT COLD PUSH COMES IN FROM THE EAST. POOR
RECOVERIES WILL BE FOUND ACROSS SOUTHWEST AREAS. MODERATE LEVELS IN
BETWEEN. MINIMUM HUMIDITY VALUES ON FRIDAY WILL REMAIN LOW ACROSS
THE WESTERN THIRD OR SO...MODERATE LEVELS WITHIN THE RIO GRANDE
VALLEY WITH UPPER TEENS TO AROUND 20 PCT. MUCH HIGHER EAST SLOPES OF
THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS EASTWARD. HUMIDITY VALUES WILL PRETTY MUCH
LOWER AREAWIDE ON SATURDAY AND REMAIN FAIRLY LOW WITH VERY LITTLE
CHANGE ON SUNDAY.

SIGNIFICANT POST COLD FRONTAL INVERSION IS CURRENTLY SET UP ABOVE
10000 FT MSL. THUS...AS THE WIND GRADIENT RELAXES...VENTILATION
RATES WILL TAKE A HIT. LOWER MIXING HEIGHTS AND MUCH LOWER TRANSPORT
WINDS ARE EXPECTED FOR FRIDAY. THIS WILL LEAVE QUITE A FEW POOR TO
FAIR RATINGS ACROSS THE AREA. TEMPERATURES WILL SLOWLY TRY TO CLIMB
DURING THE WEEKEND SO LOOK FOR VENTILATION RATES TO IMPROVE SLIGHTLY
BUT REMAIN FAIRLY LOW WITHIN THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY. BETTER
IMPROVEMENTS ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN DUE TO AN INCREASED NORTHWEST
FLOW BOTH SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.

MODELS REMAIN CONSISTENT WITH PROJECTING A BUILDING RIDGE OVER THE
DESERT SOUTHWEST THE EARLIER HALF OF NEXT WEEK. THIS HAS BEEN PRETTY
CONSISTENT AS OF THE PAST 2 TO 3 DAYS SO CONFIDENCE IS PRETTY GOOD
FOR THIS SCENARIO. THIS MEANS RISING TEMPERATURES AND EXPECTING
NORMALS TO RANGE BETWEEN 5 TO 15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL MONDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. HUMIDITY READINGS WILL BE SEASONABLE IF NOT BELOW NORMAL
FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. THUS LOOK FOR LOTS OF MINIMUMS IN THE TEENS
TO LOWER 20S. IT APPEARS THAT TRANSPORT WINDS WILL REMAIN
NORTHWESTERLY BUT WITH THE BUILDING RIDGE SUSPECT TERRAIN DOMINATED
FLOWS WOULD BECOME MORE COMMONPLACE ACROSS THE MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.
AT LEAST THROUGH MOST OF THE 24 HOUR PERIOD. PERHAPS SOME
WEST/NORTHWEST WINDS MIXING DOWN DURING THE PEAK HEATING PERIOD.

VENTILATION WILL BE TRICKY FOR THE EARLIER HALF OF NEXT WEEK.
NIGHTTIME RADIATION INVERSION WILL DEVELOP EACH NIGHT AND TRY TO
BREAK EACH MORNING. AT THE SAME TIME...A SUBSIDENCE INVERSION ALOFT
ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER RIDGE SHOULD BEGIN TO DEVELOP.
THUS...VENTILATION NEXT WEEK WONT BE THE SAME AS THIS PAST WEEK.
AFTERALL...WE ARE GETTING LATER IN THE SEASON AS THE SUN ANGLE
LESSENS. CURRENT MODEL PROJECTIONS SHOW MONDAY BEING THE BETTER DAY.
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY LOOK TO BE SIMILAR WITH QUITE A FEW POOR TO
FAIR READINGS. SUSPECT MODELS WILL IMPROVE THERE PROJECTIONS SOME AS
WE GET CLOSER TO THAT PERIOD.

BOTH ECMWF AND GFS STILL SHOW SOME SORT OF UPPER RIDGE BREAKDOWN FOR
LATER NEXT WEEK. THIS WOULD MEAN AN INCREASE IN WIND. THE MAGNITUDE
AND TIMING OF THIS BREAK DOWN IS STILL VERY MUCH IN QUESTION AS THE
GFS AND ECMWF DIFFER ON THAT. ECMWF IS MUCH DEEPER AND ACTUALLY
SHOWS SOME PRECIPITATION FOR THE FAR NORTH. THE GFS IS WEAKER AND
SHOWS MORE OF A GLANCING BLOW. SUSPECT THE MODELS WILL HAVE A HARD
TIME GETTING CONSISTENT UNTIL THEY BOTH GET CONSISTENT ON THE
HURRICANE AND STORM DEVELOPMENT OFF THE EAST COAST OF THE US.
ADDITIONAL BALLOON SOUNDINGS ARE BEING RELEASED ACROSS A GOOD CHUNK
OF THE COUNTRY TO TRY TO GET A BETTER HANDLE OF THE UPPER AIR PATTERN
GOING FORWARD.

50

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF CYCLE
WINDS HAVE CERTAINLY COME DOWN SOME COMPARED TO YESTERDAY BUT
STILL LOOK FOR SOME BREEZINESS. NONE OF THE TERMINAL SITES ARE
EXPECTED TO SEE GUSTS BEYOND 30 KT. A RESURGENCE OF COOLER AIR
ACROSS THE EASTERN PLAINS WILL OCCUR TONIGHT AND THIS SHOULD LEAD
TO SOME SORT OF LOW CIG DVLP. SITES MOST LIKELY AFFECTED BASED ON
MOS GUIDANCE WOULD BE TCC AND LVS. DUE TO UPSLOPE FLOW
CONSIDERATIONS LVS HAS THE POTENTIAL TO SEE FG AND REDUCED VIS.
DECIDED TO USE 1SM AS A PLACEHOLDER FOR REDUCED VIS THERE. SAF A
BIT TRICKIER AS FAR AS LOW CLOUD ADVECTION LATE TONIGHT. THESE LOW
CLOUDS WILL GRADUALLY BURN OFF FRIDAY MORNING.

50

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
FARMINGTON......................  22  53  22  60 /   0   0   0   0
DULCE...........................   8  52  11  56 /   5   0   0   0
CUBA............................  18  53  20  60 /   0   0   0   0
GALLUP..........................  16  54  17  64 /   0   0   0   0
EL MORRO........................  16  52  17  60 /   0   0   0   0
GRANTS..........................  17  57  22  66 /   0   0   0   0
QUEMADO.........................  26  59  29  67 /   0   0   0   0
GLENWOOD........................  27  72  25  71 /   0   0   0   0
CHAMA...........................  17  47  18  51 /   5   5   0   0
LOS ALAMOS......................  30  48  29  54 /   5   0   0   0
PECOS...........................  19  43  26  51 /   5   5   0   0
CERRO/QUESTA....................  15  47  17  54 /  10   5   0   0
RED RIVER.......................  16  39  18  45 /  10  10   0   0
ANGEL FIRE......................  15  43  17  48 /  10  10   0   0
TAOS............................  16  49  16  56 /   5   5   0   0
MORA............................  17  43  23  55 /  10   5   5   0
ESPANOLA........................  22  53  21  60 /   5   0   0   0
SANTA FE........................  28  48  26  53 /   5   0   0   0
SANTA FE AIRPORT................  26  51  26  56 /   5   0   0   0
ALBUQUERQUE FOOTHILLS...........  36  56  34  61 /   0   0   0   0
ALBUQUERQUE HEIGHTS.............  35  55  33  61 /   0   0   0   0
ALBUQUERQUE VALLEY..............  32  58  31  63 /   0   0   0   0
ALBUQUERQUE WEST MESA...........  32  57  30  63 /   0   0   0   0
LOS LUNAS.......................  32  58  28  62 /   0   0   0   0
RIO RANCHO......................  32  56  30  62 /   0   0   0   0
SOCORRO.........................  33  65  31  67 /   0   0   0   0
SANDIA PARK/CEDAR CREST.........  23  54  26  60 /   0   0   0   0
TIJERAS.........................  28  56  28  62 /   0   0   0   0
MORIARTY/ESTANCIA...............  20  52  20  62 /   0   0   0   0
CLINES CORNERS..................  21  45  23  59 /   0   0   0   0
GRAN QUIVIRA....................  27  53  28  58 /   0   0   0   0
CARRIZOZO.......................  35  59  28  60 /   0   0   0   0
RUIDOSO.........................  25  50  27  53 /   0   5   5   0
CAPULIN.........................  16  39  19  55 /  10  10   5   0
RATON...........................  22  42  17  56 /  10  10   5   0
SPRINGER........................  20  43  19  60 /  10  10   5   0
LAS VEGAS.......................  19  43  21  56 /   5   5   5   0
CLAYTON.........................  22  43  23  58 /  10  10   5   0
ROY.............................  23  42  23  53 /  10  10   5   0
CONCHAS.........................  28  48  27  61 /   5   5   5   0
SANTA ROSA......................  28  50  28  62 /   5   5   5   0
TUCUMCARI.......................  29  50  28  61 /   5   5   0   0
CLOVIS..........................  29  49  26  56 /   0   5   0   0
PORTALES........................  31  50  28  57 /   0   0   0   0
FORT SUMNER.....................  31  51  30  57 /   0   5   0   0
ROSWELL.........................  37  54  33  58 /   0   5   0   0
PICACHO.........................  30  52  28  58 /   0   5   5   0
ELK.............................  29  50  28  55 /   0   5   5   5

&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FREEZE WARNING FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM MDT FRIDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
ZONES...NMZ519-520-535>537-539-540.

HARD FREEZE WARNING FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM MDT FRIDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
ZONES...NMZ518-533-534.

FREEZE WATCH FROM LATE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING FOR
THE FOLLOWING ZONES...NMZ538.

&&

44

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
540 AM MDT THU OCT 25 2012

NMZ501>540-261200-
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS-FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-
SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-
WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY-SANTA FE METRO AREA-ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-ESTANCIA VALLEY-
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-
SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-
FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-UNION COUNTY-
HARDING COUNTY-EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY-
QUAY COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
540 AM MDT THU OCT 25 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THE FIRST HARD FREEZES OF THE SEASON ARE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT
TONIGHT IN THE SANTA FE AREA...AND ACROSS GUADALUPE AND QUAY
COUNTY. TEMPERATURES MAY DIP A FEW DEGREES BELOW FREEZING IN SPOTS
OVER DE BACA...ROOSEVELT...AND CURRY COUNTIES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

A HARD FREEZE IS POSSIBLE OVER MUCH OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEW
MEXICO FRIDAY NIGHT AND EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. TEMPERATURES IN
THE MIDDLE AND LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEYS MAY DIP A FEW DEGREES
BELOW FREEZING BEFORE SUNRISE ON SATURDAY.

WEATHER CAN CHANGE VERY RAPIDLY. ALWAYS USE THE LATEST FORECASTS...
WATCHES AND WARNINGS FOR PLANNING PURPOSES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

SHY