Special Weather Statement, NWS Tulsa, OK

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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
505 AM CDT WED APR 27 2011

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-281000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
505 AM CDT WED APR 27 2011

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...PRIMARILY ALONG AND SOUTHEAST OF INTERSTATE 44.
	ONSET...MID MORNING.

FLASH FLOOD.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AND EXTREME EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
	ONSET...MID MORNING.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...ALL EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...AFTERNOON.

DISCUSSION...
THE CORE OF AN UPPER STORM SYSTEM WILL PASS ACROSS THE AREA
DURING THE MORNING HOURS...POSSIBLY PRODUCING SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS.  IF THESE THUNDERSTORMS DO DEVELOP...THERE
WILL BE RISK FOR LARGE HAIL WITH THE STRONGER STORMS.
THE HIGHEST INSTABILITIES WILL RESIDE ACROSS FAR EASTERN
OKLAHOMA INTO NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...WHERE SEVERE WEATHER
CHANCES INCREASE SLIGHTLY.  THE RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER
WILL END BY EARLY AFTERNOON AS THE STORM SYSTEM SHIFTS
EAST OF THE AREA.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
THURSDAY...NO HAZARDS.
FRIDAY...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
MONDAY AND TUESDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL DEVELOP ON FRIDAY AHEAD OF THE
NEXT COLD FRONT...WHICH WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA SATURDAY.
THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY MAY STALL ACROSS THE AREA SATURDAY
NIGHT INTO SUNDAY...BEFORE SHIFTING FURTHER EAST BY MONDAY.
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE IN VICINITY OF THE
STALLED FRONT...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER ALONG
WITH AREAS OF HEAVY RAINFALL. THE MAGNITUDE AND LOCATION OF
THE HEAVIEST RAINS REMAINS UNCERTAIN...HOWEVER ANOTHER
ROUND OF FLOODING MAY DEVELOP WITH THIS SYSTEM.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

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