Alert archive / Oklahoma / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2011

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 458, NWS Tulsa, OK

July 30, 2011Tulsa County, Wagoner County, Oklahoma

NWS Tulsa, OK issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 30, 2011, 4:52 PM CDT for Tulsa County, Wagoner County, Oklahoma. It was in force for 12 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jul 30, 2011, 4:52 PM CDT (21:52 UTC)
Expired: Jul 30, 2011, 5:04 PM CDT
In force: 12 min
Issued by: NWS Tulsa, OK
Area: Storm-based polygon

Counties Tulsa County, OK, Wagoner County, OK

The radar

The Tulsa radar (KINX), 35 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:52 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Norman, OK (KOUN), launched 12:00Z, 9.9 hours before the alert went out and 164 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 910 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -151 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1410 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 7 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 0 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 54 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

521 
WUUS54 KTSA 302152
SVRTSA
OKC143-145-302230-
/O.NEW.KTSA.SV.W.0458.110730T2152Z-110730T2230Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
452 PM CDT SAT JUL 30 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  SOUTHEASTERN TULSA COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
  WESTERN WAGONER COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA

* UNTIL 530 PM CDT

* AT 447 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 3 MILES NORTHWEST
  OF STONEBLUFF...MOVING NORTH AT 5 MPH.

  STORM HAZARDS INCLUDE...
  DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH...

* SOME LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...BIXBY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SAFE SHELTER...PREFERABLY INSIDE A
STRONG BUILDING. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.

&&

LAT...LON 3598 9590 3598 9568 3586 9573 3587 9587
TIME...MOT...LOC 2153Z 182DEG 5KT 3592 9578

$$

1 follow-up statement

607 
WWUS54 KTSA 302204
SVSTSA

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
504 PM CDT SAT JUL 30 2011

OKC143-145-302214-
/O.CAN.KTSA.SV.W.0458.000000T0000Z-110730T2230Z/
TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
504 PM CDT SAT JUL 30 2011

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR WESTERN WAGONER AND
SOUTHEASTERN TULSA COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

THE THUNDERSTORM HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE LIMITS...THEREFORE THE
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

GUSTY WINDS TO 40 MPH AND VERY LOCALIZED HEAVY RAIN WILL STILL BE 
POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LAT...LON 3598 9590 3598 9568 3586 9573 3587 9587
TIME...MOT...LOC 2204Z 182DEG 5KT 3594 9578

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 30, 2:59 PM CDT, 1 hour 53 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 30, 2:59 PM CDT, 1 hour 53 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
259 PM CDT SAT JUL 30 2011

.DISCUSSION...
WELL ABOVE NORMAL HEAT CONTINUES TO PLAGUE THE REGION TODAY. AS
THEY HAVE FOR THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS... SCATTERED AFTERNOON
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED ACROSS A PORTION OF
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. THIS ACTIVITY WILL
DISSIPATE DURING THE EARLY EVENING HOURS WITH THE LOSS OF DAYTIME
HEATING.

HIGH PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN A BIT OVER THE AREA BY
TOMORROW. THIS WILL SUPPRESS SHOWER ACTIVITY FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS
WHILE RAISING TEMPERATURES ANOTHER COUPLE OF DEGREES OR SO DURING THE
AFTERNOON.

THERE CONTINUES TO BE NO REAL RELIEF FROM THE HEATWAVE APPARENT IN
COMPUTER MODELS. IT DOES APPEAR THAT THERE WILL BE ENOUGH WEAKENING
OF THE UPPER RIDGE TO ALLOW A WEAK COLD FRONT TO APPROACH THE
NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE FORECAST AREA ON THURSDAY. THIS COULD
MEAN AN INCREASE IN SCATTERED SHOWER ACTIVITY... BUT STILL HAVE
ONLY BEEN ABLE TO JUSTIFY A SLIGHT CHANCE OF PRECIP FOR ONLY THE
NORTHEASTERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   79 103  79 103 /  10   0  10  10
FSM   77 101  77 102 /  10   0   0  10
MLC   77 101  77 103 /   0  10  10  10
BVO   76 102  77 103 /  10   0  10  10
FYV   73  97  72  97 /  10   0   0  10
BYV   72  94  73  96 /  10   0   0  10
MKO   77 101  77 103 /   0   0   0  10
MIO   77 101  76 102 /  10   0  10  10
F10   77 102  77 104 /   0   0  10  10
HHW   76  99  75 103 /  10  10  10  10

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING UNTIL 9 PM MONDAY FOR OKZ049-OKZ053-
     OKZ054-OKZ055-OKZ056-OKZ057-OKZ058-OKZ059-OKZ060-OKZ061-
     OKZ062-OKZ063-OKZ064-OKZ065-OKZ066-OKZ067-OKZ068-OKZ070-
     OKZ071-OKZ072-OKZ073-OKZ074-OKZ075-OKZ076.

     EXCESSIVE HEAT WATCH FROM NOON TUESDAY TO 9 PM FRIDAY FOR OKZ049-
     OKZ053-OKZ054-OKZ055-OKZ056-OKZ057-OKZ058-OKZ059-OKZ060-
     OKZ061-OKZ062-OKZ063-OKZ064-OKZ065-OKZ066-OKZ067-OKZ068-
     OKZ069-OKZ070-OKZ071-OKZ072-OKZ073-OKZ074-OKZ075-OKZ076.

     HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 9 PM MONDAY FOR OKZ069.

AR...EXCESSIVE HEAT WATCH FROM NOON TUESDAY TO 9 PM FRIDAY FOR ARZ001-
     ARZ002-ARZ010-ARZ011-ARZ019-ARZ020-ARZ029.

     HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 9 PM MONDAY FOR ARZ001-ARZ002-ARZ010-ARZ011.

     EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING UNTIL 9 PM MONDAY FOR ARZ019-ARZ020-
     ARZ029.

&&

SHORT TERM...07
LONG TERM....06

Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 30, 1:33 PM CDT, 3 hours 19 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
133 PM CDT SAT JUL 30 2011

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-311000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
132 PM CDT SAT JUL 30 2011

...HOT TEMPERATURES...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...THIS AFTERNOON.

DANGEROUS HEAT.
	RISK...SIGNIFICANT.
	AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

FIRE WEATHER DANGER.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...GENERALLY ALONG AND WEST OF HIGHWAY 75.
	ONSET...AFTERNOON.

DISCUSSION...
POOLING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND HOT AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES
WILL LIKELY RESULT IN ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
THIS AFTERNOON...ENDING THIS EVENING. AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY
FROM MORNING STORMS OVER OSAGE COUNTY MAY BE A FOCUS FOR
MORE COVERAGE OF CONVECTION ALONG AND NORTHWEST OF I-44.
THERE IS LITTLE WIND SHEAR...SO BRIEF HEAVY RAIN CAN BE
EXPECTED WITH VERY GUSTY SURFACE WINDS POSSIBLE WHEN STORMS
COLLAPSE.
THE HOT WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON. HEAT INDICES
WILL CLIMB TO 105 TO 110 IN MOST AREAS.
THE HEAT AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE RESULTING IN A WILDFIRE
DANGER. IF ONE OCCURS NEAR A THUNDERSTORM...OUTFLOW WINDS
COULD EASILY CHANGE THE DIRECTION OF A WILDFIRE.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT LIKELY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
SUNDAY...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL HIGH WILL CONTINUE TO KEEP TEMPERATURES HOT
THROUGH THE WEEK. A WEAK FRONT IS EXPECTED TO DROP INTO
SOUTHWEST MISSOURI LATE WEDNESDAY...WHICH WILL PROVIDE SOME
CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS OVER FAR NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND FAR
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 30, 3:16 PM CDT, 1 hour 36 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
316 PM CDT SAT JUL 30 2011

OKZ054-060-064-302045-
CREEK OK-OSAGE OK-TULSA OK-
316 PM CDT SAT JUL 30 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 345 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     NORTHERN CREEK...SOUTHEASTERN OSAGE AND CENTRAL TULSA

AT 316 PM CDT...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 2 MILES WEST OF SAND SPRINGS TO 10 MILES EAST OF
DRUMRIGHT...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 5 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE
AFFECTED BY THESE STORMS INCLUDE...WEST TULSA...SAND
SPRINGS...SHAMROCK...DRUMRIGHT AND KEYSTONE STATE PARK.

THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH.

LAT...LON 3613 9589 3586 9662 3601 9661 3628 9599
TIME...MOT...LOC 2016Z 300DEG 8KT 3615 9615 3602 9642

Special weather statement, Jul 30, 3:28 PM CDT, 1 hour 24 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
328 PM CDT SAT JUL 30 2011

ARZ002-302115-
CARROLL AR-
328 PM CDT SAT JUL 30 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 415 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTY...

IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
     NORTHEASTERN CARROLL

AT 328 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 3 MILES EAST OF
BLUE EYE...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 5 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE
AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...BLUE EYE...OAK GROVE AND DENVER.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH.

LAT...LON 3629 9331 3649 9350 3651 9347 3650 9330
      3649 9329 3631 9329
TIME...MOT...LOC 2028Z 316DEG 6KT 3648 9334

Special weather statement, Jul 30, 3:39 PM CDT, 1 hour 13 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
339 PM CDT SAT JUL 30 2011

OKZ060-064-302115-
CREEK OK-TULSA OK-
339 PM CDT SAT JUL 30 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 415 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     CENTRAL CREEK AND WESTERN TULSA

AT 339 PM CDT...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 5 MILES NORTHWEST OF SAPULPA TO 8 MILES NORTHWEST OF
KELLYVILLE...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 5 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE
AFFECTED BY THESE STORMS INCLUDE...KELLYVILLE AND SAPULPA.

THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH.
RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE THE SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

LAT...LON 3599 9602 3590 9632 3604 9644 3614 9615
TIME...MOT...LOC 2039Z 304DEG 4KT 3605 9616 3601 9632

Special weather statement, Jul 30, 4:10 PM CDT, 42 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
410 PM CDT SAT JUL 30 2011

OKZ064-302200-
CREEK OK-
410 PM CDT SAT JUL 30 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 500 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTY...

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     CENTRAL CREEK

AT 410 PM CDT...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 3 MILES EAST OF KELLYVILLE TO 4 MILES NORTHWEST OF
DEPEW...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 10 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE
AFFECTED BY THESE STORMS INCLUDE...BRISTOW...MILFAY...DEPEW...
MOUNDS...SHAMROCK...KIEFER...KELLYVILLE AND SAPULPA.

THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH.

LAT...LON 3595 9663 3608 9613 3607 9603 3586 9604
      3585 9619 3582 9620 3571 9663
TIME...MOT...LOC 2110Z 316DEG 7KT 3596 9616 3585 9656

Special weather statement, Jul 30, 4:11 PM CDT, 41 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
411 PM CDT SAT JUL 30 2011

ARZ002-302145-
CARROLL AR-
411 PM CDT SAT JUL 30 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 445 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTY...

IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
     SOUTHEASTERN CARROLL

AT 412 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER CARROLLTON...
MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 10 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE AFFECTED BY
THIS STORM INCLUDE...OSAGE...DELMAR...CARROLLTON AND COIN.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH.
RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE THE SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

LAT...LON 3612 9330 3612 9343 3620 9346 3636 9336
      3633 9328 3612 9329
TIME...MOT...LOC 2112Z 297DEG 9KT 3624 9331

Special weather statement, Jul 30, 4:48 PM CDT, 4 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
448 PM CDT SAT JUL 30 2011

OKZ060-067-302230-
TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
448 PM CDT SAT JUL 30 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 530 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     SOUTHEASTERN TULSA AND SOUTHWESTERN WAGONER

AT 448 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER LEONARD...
MOVING NORTH AT 5 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE AFFECTED BY THIS
STORM INCLUDE...LEONARD...BIXBY...STONEBLUFF AND COWETA.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH.
RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE THE SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

LAT...LON 3599 9590 3598 9561 3586 9566 3586 9587
TIME...MOT...LOC 2148Z 185DEG 5KT 3593 9577

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tulsa, OK issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jul 29, 7:46 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Tulsa	29 min
Jul 29, 7:52 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Okmulgee	23 min
Jul 30, 1:23 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Osage	22 min
Jul 30, 2:04 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Tulsa	26 min
Jul 30, 3:16 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Tulsa	29 min
Jul 30, 3:39 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Creek	36 min
Jul 30, 4:10 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Creek	50 min
Jul 30, 4:48 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Wagoner	42 min
Jul 30, 5:15 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Okmulgee, Tulsa	11 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Oklahoma, 2011 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.