River Flood Warning 19, NWS Tulsa, OK

059 
WGUS84 KTSA 031338
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
838 AM CDT TUE MAY 3 2011


...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
OKLAHOMA...
 
  KIAMICHI RIVER NEAR ANTLERS AFFECTING PUSHMATAHA COUNTY. 
  
OKC127-031408-
/O.CAN.KTSA.FL.W.0019.000000T0000Z-110504T0200Z/
/ANTO2.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
838 AM CDT TUE MAY 3 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE KIAMICHI RIVER NEAR ANTLERS.
* AT  830 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.95 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE KIAMICHI RIVER NEAR ANTLERS CRESTED BELOW FLOOD 
  STAGE AT 24.1 FEET...AND THE RIVER WILL REMAIN BELOW FLOOD STAGE.
* IMPACT...AT 24.0 FEET...FASTER FLOWS ALONG THE RIVER ARE EXPECTED 
  BUT NO FLOODING OCCURS. 

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
301 AM CDT TUE MAY 3 2011

.DISCUSSION...
AFTER A CHILLY BEGINNING THIS MORNING... A PERIOD OF FAIRLY TRANQUIL
WEATHER WILL COMMENCE ACROSS THE AREA... WITH GENERALLY CLEAR
SKIES AND A WARMING TREND LEADING INTO THE UPCOMING WEEKEND. HIGH
TEMPERATURES... THOUGH MODEST TODAY... SHOULD REACH 80 DEGREES ACROSS
MUCH OF THE AREA BY FRIDAY... WITH UPPER 80S IN STORE BY SUNDAY.

THERE WILL BE A BRIEF BREAK IN THE TREND AS A PASSING UPPER TROUGH
PUSHES A WEAK SURFACE FRONT THROUGH THE REGION THURSDAY. THIS WILL
BRING ONLY MINOR TEMPERATURE CHANGES AND A LOW CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS TO MAINLY THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA. THIS
SYSTEM WILL PASS QUICKLY AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL THEN PREVAIL INTO
AT LEAST SUNDAY.

BY LATE IN THE WEEKEND... UPPER FLOW IS EXPECTED TO TRANSITION FROM
NEAR ZONAL TO SOUTHWESTERLY AS A DEEPENING TROUGH DEVELOPS ABOVE
THE WESTERN CONUS. PERSISTENT SOUTHERLY FLOW AT LOW LEVELS ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS SHOULD PROVIDE ENOUGH MOISTURE FOR SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP AS MINOR DISTURBANCES IN THE FLOW ALOFT
TRAVERSE THE REGION SUNDAY AND INTO THE EARLY PART OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   69  46  75  51 /   0   0   0  10
FSM   68  41  74  49 /   0   0   0  10
MLC   67  43  74  50 /   0   0   0  10
BVO   69  41  75  48 /   0   0   0  20
FYV   63  35  69  44 /   0   0   0  10
BYV   60  36  68  45 /   0   0   0  10
MKO   63  44  72  49 /   0   0   0  10
MIO   68  40  75  48 /   0   0   0  10
F10   65  44  73  50 /   0   0   0  10
HHW   69  43  74  49 /   0   0   0  10

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...FROST ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM TUESDAY FOR OKZ054-OKZ055-OKZ056-
     OKZ057-OKZ058-OKZ059-OKZ060-OKZ061-OKZ062-OKZ064.

AR...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...18
LONG TERM....06

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1050 PM CDT MON MAY 2 2011

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-031000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
1050 PM CDT MON MAY 2 2011

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

DISCUSSION...
THE BULK OF THE RAIN HAS SHIFTED EAST OF THE REGION TONIGHT WITH
ONLY A FEW LINGERING SHOWERS. ALTHOUGH THE HEAVY RAIN HAS ENDED
...EXCESS RUNOFF WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE IN A FEW AREAS.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...SPOTTER
ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
TUESDAY...NO HAZARDS.
WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDS.
THURSDAY...NO HAZARDS.
FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
A WARMING TREND WILL ENSUE FOR MUCH OF THE WEEK...WITH THUNDERSTORM
CHANCES INCREASING SLIGHTLY FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.