Alert archive / Oklahoma / Flash Flood Watches in 2011
Flash Flood Watch 6, NWS Tulsa, OK
NWS Tulsa, OK issued this flash flood watch at Nov 20, 2011, 3:51 AM CST for 17 counties in Oklahoma; 4 counties in Arkansas. It took effect at Nov 21, 2011, 3:08 AM CST. It was in force for 24 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Nov 20, 2011, 3:51 AM CST (09:51 UTC)
- In effect from
- Nov 21, 2011, 3:08 AM CST
- Expired
- Nov 22, 2011, 3:11 AM CST
- In force
- 24 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Tulsa, OK
- Flood severity
- None
All 21 counties
Benton County, AR, Carroll County, AR, Madison County, AR, Washington County, AR, Adair County, OK, Cherokee County, OK, Choctaw County, OK, Creek County, OK, Delaware County, OK, Haskell County, OK, Latimer County, OK, Mayes County, OK, McIntosh County, OK, Muskogee County, OK, Okfuskee County, OK, Okmulgee County, OK, Pittsburg County, OK, Pushmataha County, OK, Rogers County, OK, Tulsa County, OK, Wagoner County, OK
The radar
The Tulsa radar (KINX), 65 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:54 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 00:00Z, 9.9 hours before the alert went out and 186 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 15 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -277 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 802 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 50 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 258 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 212 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
464 WGUS64 KTSA 200951 FFATSA URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK 351 AM CST SUN NOV 20 2011 ...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR MONDAY NIGHT FOR MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWESTERN ARKANSAS ALONG AND SOUTH OF I-44... .A STRONG FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER THE AREA COMBINED WITH A STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVING THROUGH THE REGION MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY WILL RESULT IN WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. EXTREMELY MOIST AIR AND THUNDERSTORMS REOCCURRING OVER THE SAME AREAS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053-060>076-201800- /O.NEW.KTSA.FF.A.0006.111122T0000Z-111122T1200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN- PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE- OKMULGEE-WAGONER-CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH- PITTSBURG-HASKELL-LATIMER-LE FLORE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS...BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE... EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...SPRINGDALE...HUNTSVILLE... VAN BUREN...OZARK...CHARLESTON...FORT SMITH...ANTLERS...CLAYTON... HUGO...TULSA...CLAREMORE...PRYOR...JAY...BRISTOW...OKEMAH... OKMULGEE...WAGONER...TAHLEQUAH...STILWELL...MUSKOGEE...EUFAULA... SALLISAW...MCALESTER...STIGLER...WILBURTON...POTEAU 351 AM CST SUN NOV 20 2011 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE MONDAY NIGHT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A * FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF ARKANSAS AND OKLAHOMA... INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN ARKANSAS...BENTON... CARROLL...CRAWFORD...FRANKLIN...MADISON...SEBASTIAN AND WASHINGTON. IN OKLAHOMA...ADAIR...CHEROKEE...CHOCTAW...CREEK... DELAWARE...HASKELL...LATIMER...LE FLORE...MAYES...MCINTOSH... MUSKOGEE...OKFUSKEE...OKMULGEE...PITTSBURG...PUSHMATAHA... ROGERS...SEQUOYAH...TULSA AND WAGONER. * FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE MONDAY NIGHT * TWO TO FOUR INCHES OF RAIN ARE EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH OF THE WATCH AREA LATE MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS OF UP TO EIGHT INCHES POSSIBLE. SOME FLASH FLOODING WILL LIKELY RESULT FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS RAPIDLY RISING WATER OR FLOODING IS POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. && $$
8 follow-up statements
945 WGUS64 KTSA 201704 FFATSA FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK 1104 AM CST SUN NOV 20 2011 ...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MONDAY NIGHT FOR MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWESTERN ARKANSAS ALONG AND SOUTH OF I-44... .A FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER THE AREA COMBINED WITH A STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVING THROUGH THE REGION MONDAY THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY WILL RESULT IN WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. EXTREMELY MOIST AIR AND THUNDERSTORMS REOCCURRING OVER THE SAME AREAS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053-060>076-202315- /O.CON.KTSA.FF.A.0006.111122T0000Z-111122T1200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN- PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE- OKMULGEE-WAGONER-CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH- PITTSBURG-HASKELL-LATIMER-LE FLORE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS...BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE... EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...SPRINGDALE...HUNTSVILLE... VAN BUREN...OZARK...CHARLESTON...FORT SMITH...ANTLERS...CLAYTON... HUGO...TULSA...CLAREMORE...PRYOR...JAY...BRISTOW...OKEMAH... OKMULGEE...WAGONER...TAHLEQUAH...STILWELL...MUSKOGEE...EUFAULA... SALLISAW...MCALESTER...STIGLER...WILBURTON...POTEAU 1104 AM CST SUN NOV 20 2011 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE MONDAY NIGHT... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF ARKANSAS AND OKLAHOMA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN ARKANSAS...BENTON...CARROLL...CRAWFORD...FRANKLIN... MADISON...SEBASTIAN AND WASHINGTON. IN OKLAHOMA...ADAIR... CHEROKEE...CHOCTAW...CREEK...DELAWARE...HASKELL...LATIMER...LE FLORE...MAYES...MCINTOSH...MUSKOGEE...OKFUSKEE...OKMULGEE... PITTSBURG...PUSHMATAHA...ROGERS...SEQUOYAH...TULSA AND WAGONER. * FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE MONDAY NIGHT * TWO TO FOUR INCHES OF RAIN ARE EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH OF THE WATCH AREA LATE MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS OF UP TO EIGHT INCHES POSSIBLE. FLASH FLOODING WILL LIKELY RESULT FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL. * IN ADDITION...THE HEAVY RAINFALL MAY CAUSE SOME MAIN STEAM RIVERS AND STREAMS TO RISE TO LEVELS THAT RESULT IN FLOODING... ESPECIALLY ON THE ILLINOIS RIVER BASIN. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS RAPIDLY RISING WATER OR FLOODING IS POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. && $$
718 WGUS64 KTSA 202130 FFATSA FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK 330 PM CST SUN NOV 20 2011 ...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MONDAY NIGHT FOR MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWESTERN ARKANSAS ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 44... .A FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER THE AREA COMBINED WITH A STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVING THROUGH THE REGION MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT WILL RESULT IN WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. EXTREMELY MOIST AIR AND THUNDERSTORMS REOCCURRING OVER THE SAME AREAS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053-060>076-211000- /O.CON.KTSA.FF.A.0006.111122T0000Z-111122T1200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN- PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE- OKMULGEE-WAGONER-CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH- PITTSBURG-HASKELL-LATIMER-LE FLORE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS...BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE... EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...SPRINGDALE...HUNTSVILLE... VAN BUREN...OZARK...CHARLESTON...FORT SMITH...ANTLERS...CLAYTON... HUGO...TULSA...CLAREMORE...PRYOR...JAY...BRISTOW...OKEMAH... OKMULGEE...WAGONER...TAHLEQUAH...STILWELL...MUSKOGEE...EUFAULA... SALLISAW...MCALESTER...STIGLER...WILBURTON...POTEAU 330 PM CST SUN NOV 20 2011 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE MONDAY NIGHT... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF ARKANSAS AND OKLAHOMA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN ARKANSAS...BENTON...CARROLL...CRAWFORD...FRANKLIN... MADISON...SEBASTIAN AND WASHINGTON. IN OKLAHOMA...ADAIR... CHEROKEE...CHOCTAW...CREEK...DELAWARE...HASKELL...LATIMER...LE FLORE...MAYES...MCINTOSH...MUSKOGEE...OKFUSKEE...OKMULGEE... PITTSBURG...PUSHMATAHA...ROGERS...SEQUOYAH...TULSA AND WAGONER. * FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE MONDAY NIGHT * TWO TO FOUR INCHES OF RAIN ARE EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH OF THE WATCH AREA MONDAY AFTERNOON AND MONDAY NIGHT WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS OF UP TO EIGHT INCHES POSSIBLE. FLASH FLOODING WILL LIKELY RESULT FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL. * IN ADDITION...THE HEAVY RAINFALL MAY CAUSE SOME RIVERS AND STREAMS TO RISE TO LEVELS THAT RESULT IN FLOODING...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE ILLINOIS RIVER BASIN. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK /OKCESFTSA/ ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA. RIVER FLOOD WATCHES AND WARNINGS MAY BE NEEDED IN SOME AREAS INTO THE EARLY PART OF THIS WEEK. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...COMMERCIAL RADIO OR TELEVISION FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS POTENTIAL HEAVY RAIN EVENT ON MONDAY. ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT: WEATHER.GOV/TULSA. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS RAPIDLY RISING WATER OR FLOODING IS POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. && $$
849 WGUS64 KTSA 210908 FFATSA URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK 308 AM CST MON NOV 21 2011 ...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT FOR MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWESTERN ARKANSAS ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 44... .A FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER THE AREA COMBINED WITH A STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVING THROUGH THE REGION TODAY AND TONIGHT WILL RESULT IN WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. EXTREMELY MOIST AIR AND THUNDERSTORMS REOCCURRING OVER THE SAME AREAS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053-060>076-211715- /O.EXT.KTSA.FF.A.0006.111121T0908Z-111122T1200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN- PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE- OKMULGEE-WAGONER-CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH- PITTSBURG-HASKELL-LATIMER-LE FLORE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS...BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE... EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...SPRINGDALE...HUNTSVILLE... VAN BUREN...OZARK...CHARLESTON...FORT SMITH...ANTLERS...CLAYTON... HUGO...TULSA...CLAREMORE...PRYOR...JAY...BRISTOW...OKEMAH... OKMULGEE...WAGONER...TAHLEQUAH...STILWELL...MUSKOGEE...EUFAULA... SALLISAW...MCALESTER...STIGLER...WILBURTON...POTEAU 308 AM CST MON NOV 21 2011 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR * PORTIONS OF ARKANSAS AND OKLAHOMA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN ARKANSAS...BENTON...CARROLL...CRAWFORD...FRANKLIN... MADISON...SEBASTIAN AND WASHINGTON. IN OKLAHOMA...ADAIR... CHEROKEE...CHOCTAW...CREEK...DELAWARE...HASKELL...LATIMER...LE FLORE...MAYES...MCINTOSH...MUSKOGEE...OKFUSKEE...OKMULGEE... PITTSBURG...PUSHMATAHA...ROGERS...SEQUOYAH...TULSA AND WAGONER. * THROUGH LATE TONIGHT * TWO TO FOUR INCHES OF RAIN ARE EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH OF THE WATCH AREA MONDAY AFTERNOON AND MONDAY NIGHT WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS OF UP TO EIGHT INCHES POSSIBLE. FLASH FLOODING WILL LIKELY RESULT FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL. * IN ADDITION...THE HEAVY RAINFALL MAY CAUSE SOME RIVERS AND STREAMS TO RISE TO LEVELS THAT RESULT IN FLOODING...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE ILLINOIS RIVER BASIN. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK /OKCESFTSA/ ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA. RIVER FLOOD WATCHES AND WARNINGS MAY BE NEEDED IN SOME AREAS INTO THE EARLY PART OF THIS WEEK. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...COMMERCIAL RADIO OR TELEVISION FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS POTENTIAL HEAVY RAIN EVENT ON MONDAY. ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT: WEATHER.GOV/TULSA. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS RAPIDLY RISING WATER OR FLOODING IS POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. && $$
077 WGUS64 KTSA 211705 FFATSA FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK 1105 AM CST MON NOV 21 2011 ...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT FOR MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWESTERN ARKANSAS ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 44... .A FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER THE AREA COMBINED WITH A STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVING THROUGH THE REGION TODAY AND TONIGHT WILL RESULT IN WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. EXTREMELY MOIST AIR AND THUNDERSTORMS REOCCURRING OVER THE SAME AREAS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053-060>076-220200- /O.CON.KTSA.FF.A.0006.000000T0000Z-111122T1200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN- PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE- OKMULGEE-WAGONER-CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH- PITTSBURG-HASKELL-LATIMER-LE FLORE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS...BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE... EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...SPRINGDALE...HUNTSVILLE... VAN BUREN...OZARK...CHARLESTON...FORT SMITH...ANTLERS...CLAYTON... HUGO...TULSA...CLAREMORE...PRYOR...JAY...BRISTOW...OKEMAH... OKMULGEE...WAGONER...TAHLEQUAH...STILWELL...MUSKOGEE...EUFAULA... SALLISAW...MCALESTER...STIGLER...WILBURTON...POTEAU 1105 AM CST MON NOV 21 2011 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF ARKANSAS AND OKLAHOMA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN ARKANSAS...BENTON...CARROLL...CRAWFORD...FRANKLIN... MADISON...SEBASTIAN AND WASHINGTON. IN OKLAHOMA...ADAIR... CHEROKEE...CHOCTAW...CREEK...DELAWARE...HASKELL...LATIMER...LE FLORE...MAYES...MCINTOSH...MUSKOGEE...OKFUSKEE...OKMULGEE... PITTSBURG...PUSHMATAHA...ROGERS...SEQUOYAH...TULSA AND WAGONER. * THROUGH LATE TONIGHT * TWO TO FOUR INCHES OF RAIN ARE EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH OF THE WATCH AREA...STARTING LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUING OVERNIGHT WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS OF UP TO EIGHT INCHES POSSIBLE. FLASH FLOODING WILL LIKELY RESULT FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL. A NARROW ZONE OF TWO TO THREE INCHES OF RAINFALL HAS ALREADY FALLEN ACROSS LATIMER...AND SOUTHERN LE FLORE COUNTIES. THESE AREAS WILL BE ESPECIALLY VULNERABLE TO FLASH FLOODING AS ADDITIONAL RAINFALL SPREADS INTO THIS AREA THIS EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. * IN ADDITION...THE HEAVY RAINFALL MAY CAUSE SOME RIVERS AND STREAMS TO RISE TO LEVELS THAT RESULT IN FLOODING. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK /OKCESFTSA/ ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA. RIVER FLOOD WATCHES AND WARNINGS MAY BE NEEDED IN SOME AREAS LATER TODAY OR TUESDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... GIVEN MOST OF THE RAINFALL WILL FALL THIS EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE DANGERS OF FLASH FLOODS. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED...ACT QUICKLY. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS TO RISE. MOTORISTS SHOULD NOT DRIVE THROUGH WATER OF UNKNOWN DEPTH. TAKE A DIFFERENT ROUTE TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION OR WAIT UNTIL THE WATER RECEDES. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...COMMERCIAL RADIO OR TELEVISION FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS POTENTIAL HEAVY RAIN EVENT ON MONDAY. ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT: WEATHER.GOV/TULSA. && $$
994 WGUS64 KTSA 212121 FFATSA FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK 321 PM CST MON NOV 21 2011 ...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT FOR MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWESTERN ARKANSAS ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 44... .A FRONTAL BOUNDARY SOUTH OF THE AREA COMBINED WITH A STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVING THROUGH THE REGION WILL RESULT IN WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. EXTREMELY MOIST AIR AND THUNDERSTORMS REOCCURRING OVER THE SAME AREAS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053-060>076-221000- /O.CON.KTSA.FF.A.0006.000000T0000Z-111122T1200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN- PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE- OKMULGEE-WAGONER-CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH- PITTSBURG-HASKELL-LATIMER-LE FLORE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS...BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE... EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...SPRINGDALE...HUNTSVILLE... VAN BUREN...OZARK...CHARLESTON...FORT SMITH...ANTLERS...CLAYTON... HUGO...TULSA...CLAREMORE...PRYOR...JAY...BRISTOW...OKEMAH... OKMULGEE...WAGONER...TAHLEQUAH...STILWELL...MUSKOGEE...EUFAULA... SALLISAW...MCALESTER...STIGLER...WILBURTON...POTEAU 321 PM CST MON NOV 21 2011 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF ARKANSAS AND OKLAHOMA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN ARKANSAS...BENTON...CARROLL...CRAWFORD...FRANKLIN... MADISON...SEBASTIAN AND WASHINGTON. IN OKLAHOMA...ADAIR... CHEROKEE...CHOCTAW...CREEK...DELAWARE...HASKELL...LATIMER...LE FLORE...MAYES...MCINTOSH...MUSKOGEE...OKFUSKEE...OKMULGEE... PITTSBURG...PUSHMATAHA...ROGERS...SEQUOYAH...TULSA AND WAGONER. * THROUGH LATE TONIGHT * TWO TO FOUR INCHES OF RAIN ARE EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH OF THE WATCH AREA...STARTING LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUING OVERNIGHT WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS OF UP TO EIGHT INCHES POSSIBLE. FLASH FLOODING WILL LIKELY RESULT FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL. A NARROW ZONE OF TWO TO THREE INCHES OF RAINFALL HAVE ALREADY FALLEN ACROSS LATIMER...AND SOUTHERN LE FLORE COUNTIES. THESE AREAS WILL BE ESPECIALLY VULNERABLE TO FLASH FLOODING AS ADDITIONAL RAINFALL SPREADS INTO THIS AREA THIS EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE DANGERS OF FLASH FLOODS. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED...ACT QUICKLY. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS TO RISE. MOTORISTS SHOULD NOT DRIVE THROUGH WATER OF UNKNOWN DEPTH. TAKE A DIFFERENT ROUTE TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION OR WAIT UNTIL THE WATER RECEDES. $$
146 WGUS64 KTSA 220247 FFATSA FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK 847 PM CST MON NOV 21 2011 ...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT FOR FAR EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWESTERN ARKANSAS... .A FRONTAL BOUNDARY SOUTH OF THE AREA COMBINED WITH A STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVING THROUGH THE REGION WILL RESULT IN WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THE REMAINDER OF THE EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. EXTREMELY MOIST AIR AND THUNDERSTORMS REOCCURRING OVER THE SAME AREAS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. OKZ060>062-064>067-220400- /O.CAN.KTSA.FF.A.0006.000000T0000Z-111122T1200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TULSA...CLAREMORE...PRYOR...BRISTOW... OKEMAH...OKMULGEE...WAGONER 847 PM CST MON NOV 21 2011 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA AND NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA HAS BEEN CANCELLED. SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL PERSIST THE REST OF THE EVENING...EVENTUALLY TAPERING OFF LATE TONIGHT. HOWEVER...EXCESSIVE RAINFALL IS NOT EXPECTED WITH THIS ACTIVITY. $$ ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053-063-068>076-221200- /O.CON.KTSA.FF.A.0006.000000T0000Z-111122T1200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN- PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-DELAWARE-CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH- SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-LATIMER-LE FLORE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS...BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE... EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...SPRINGDALE...HUNTSVILLE... VAN BUREN...OZARK...CHARLESTON...FORT SMITH...ANTLERS...CLAYTON... HUGO...JAY...TAHLEQUAH...STILWELL...MUSKOGEE...EUFAULA... SALLISAW...MCALESTER...STIGLER...WILBURTON...POTEAU 847 PM CST MON NOV 21 2011 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST TUESDAY... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF ARKANSAS AND OKLAHOMA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN ARKANSAS...BENTON...CARROLL...CRAWFORD...FRANKLIN... MADISON...SEBASTIAN AND WASHINGTON. IN OKLAHOMA...ADAIR... CHEROKEE...CHOCTAW...DELAWARE...HASKELL...LATIMER...LE FLORE... MCINTOSH...MUSKOGEE...PITTSBURG...PUSHMATAHA AND SEQUOYAH. * UNTIL 6 AM CST TUESDAY * ONE TO THREE INCHES OF RAIN ARE EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH OF THE WATCH AREA...WITH RAINFALL EVENTUALLY TAPERING OFF LATE TONIGHT. SOME LOCAL AMOUNTS APPROACHING SIX INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ACROSS FAR SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA. FLASH FLOODING WILL LIKELY RESULT FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL. A NARROW ZONE OF THREE TO SIX INCHES OF RAINFALL HAS ALREADY FALLEN ACROSS PUSHMATAHA...SOUTHERN LATIMER...AND SOUTHERN LE FLORE COUNTIES OVER THE PAST 36 HOURS. THESE AREAS WILL BE ESPECIALLY VULNERABLE TO FLASH FLOODING AS RAINFALL CONTINUES OVER THIS AREA INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE DANGERS OF FLASH FLOODS. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED...ACT QUICKLY. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS TO RISE. MOTORISTS SHOULD NOT DRIVE THROUGH WATER OF UNKNOWN DEPTH. TAKE A DIFFERENT ROUTE TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION OR WAIT UNTIL THE WATER RECEDES. $$
022 WGUS64 KTSA 220632 FFATSA FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK 1232 AM CST TUE NOV 22 2011 ...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT FOR FAR SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA... .A FRONTAL BOUNDARY SOUTH OF THE AREA COMBINED WITH A STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVING THROUGH THE REGION AND AN UNSEASONABLY MOIST AIRMASS WILL CONTINUE TO FAVOR A HEAVY RAIN THREAT THROUGH THE REST OF THE OVERNIGHT ACROSS FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA. DRIER AIR HAS MOVED INTO THE REST OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...AND THE HEAVY RAIN THREAT HAS ENDED IN THESE AREAS. ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ063-068>075-220745- /O.CAN.KTSA.FF.A.0006.000000T0000Z-111122T1200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN- DELAWARE-CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG- HASKELL-LATIMER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS...BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE... EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...SPRINGDALE...HUNTSVILLE... VAN BUREN...OZARK...CHARLESTON...FORT SMITH...JAY...TAHLEQUAH... STILWELL...MUSKOGEE...EUFAULA...SALLISAW...MCALESTER...STIGLER... WILBURTON 1232 AM CST TUE NOV 22 2011 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF ARKANSAS AND OKLAHOMA TO THE NORTH OF A CLAYTON TO POTEAU LINE HAS BEEN CANCELLED...AS DRIER AIR HAS MOVED INTO THESE AREAS...ENDING THE HEAVY RAIN THREAT. $$ OKZ049-053-076-221200- /O.CON.KTSA.FF.A.0006.000000T0000Z-111122T1200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-LE FLORE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ANTLERS...CLAYTON...HUGO...POTEAU 1232 AM CST TUE NOV 22 2011 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST EARLY THIS MORNING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * A PORTION OF SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...CHOCTAW...LE FLORE AND PUSHMATAHA. * UNTIL 6 AM CST EARLY THIS MORNING * SIGNIFICANT FLOODING IS ONGOING ACROSS PORTIONS OF PUSHMATAHA AND LE FLORE COUNTIES...WITH UP TO 8 INCHES OF RAINFALL REPORTED IN SOME LOCATIONS. THE HEAVIEST RAIN HAS MOVED OUT OF THE AREA...BUT AN ADDITIONAL HALF TO ONE INCH OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE EARLY THIS MORNING...ESPECIALLY ACROSS CHOCTAW COUNTY. THE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL ONLY ADD TO THE RUNOFF AND RESULTANT FLASH FLOODING POTENTIAL. BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE DANGERS OF FLASH FLOODS. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED...ACT QUICKLY. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS TO RISE. MOTORISTS SHOULD NOT DRIVE THROUGH WATER OF UNKNOWN DEPTH. TAKE A DIFFERENT ROUTE TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION OR WAIT UNTIL THE WATER RECEDES. $$
568 WGUS64 KTSA 220911 FFATSA FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK 311 AM CST TUE NOV 22 2011 OKZ049-053-076-221015- /O.CAN.KTSA.FF.A.0006.000000T0000Z-111122T1200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-LE FLORE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ANTLERS...CLAYTON...HUGO...POTEAU 311 AM CST TUE NOV 22 2011 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH THAT WAS IN EFFECT FOR LE FLORE...PUSHMATAHA AND CHOCTAW COUNTIES HAS BEEN CANCELLED. WHILE FLOODING CONTINUES FROM EARLIER EXCESSIVE RAINFALL...THE RISK OF ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL HAS ENDED. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this flash flood watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood watch went out at Nov 20, 3:26 AM CST, 25 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Nov 20, 3:26 AM CST, 25 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
326 AM CST SUN NOV 20 2011
.DISCUSSION...
LATEST SFC ANALYSIS INDICATES THE STRONG COLD FRONT HAS PUSHED TO
NEAR A SALLISAW-MCALESTER LINE. COLD AIR IS FAIRLY SHALLOW WITH
KINX VWP INDICATING SW WIND AT AND ABOVE 4K FEET. WARM...MOIST...
ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE HAS RESULTED IN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS NORTH OF THE BOUNDARY FOR THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS.
EXPECT THE FRONT TO CONTINUE TO SLOWLY SAG SOUTHWARD TODAY...
EVENTUALLY GETTING HUNG UP ACROSS SERN OK AND WEST CENTRAL AR.
QUITE THE TEMPERATURE GRADIENT ALONG THE BOUNDARY SO HIGH TEMPS
TODAY ARE GOING TO BE VERY TRICKY. GIVEN THE QUICKER FRONTAL
PROGRESSION THAN PREVIOUSLY ANTICIPATED...TRENDED TEMPS TODAY AND
TONIGHT TOWARD THE COLDER MET GUIDANCE. EXPECT SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS TO CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT WITH BEST THUNDER
CHANCES SERN OK AND WEST CENTRAL AR WHERE SFC-BASED CAPE OF AROUND
1000 J/KG AND AMPLE SHEAR WILL SUPPORT SOME SEVERE POTENTIAL.
MEANWHILE A STRONG SHORT WAVE TROUGH CURRENTLY OFF THE NRN CA
COAST WILL TRANSLATE SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE SRN ROCKIES TONIGHT
AND INTO THE SRN PLAINS ON MONDAY/MONDAY NIGHT. LARGE SCALE ASCENT
INCREASES ON MONDAY AND IS QUITE STRONG ACROSS OUR REGION THROUGH
MONDAY NIGHT AS THIS NEGATIVELY TILTED SYSTEM APPROACHES.
STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER SERN OK/WEST CENTRAL AR WILL BE
PULLED NORTHWARD WITH THE APPROACH OF THE STRONG SHORT WAVE.
SEVERE WEATHER IS A GOOD BET MONDAY/MONDAY NIGHT...BOTH IN THE
WARM SECTOR WHERE LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WIND AND TORNADOES WILL BE
POSSIBLE...BUT ALSO NORTH OF THE FRONT WHERE ELEVATED STORMS WITH
LARGE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE. EXTREMELY HIGH MOISTURE CONTENT IN THE
AIR FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR COUPLED WITH STRONG LARGE SCALE ASCENT/
COUPLED JET STRUCTURE AND SOME TRAINING OF CONVECTIVE CELLS WILL
RESULT IN LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE AREA.
FAIRLY CONFIDENT IN SOME FLASH FLOODING OCCURRING IN OUR AREA AND
WE WENT WITH A FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR MONDAY NIGHT ALONG AND SOUTH
OF I-44. PRECIPITATION SHOULD SWEEP EWRD FAIRLY QUICKLY ON TUESDAY
BUT WATCH MAY NEED TO BE EXTENDED ACROSS ERN SECTIONS INTO
TUESDAY WITH LATER FORECASTS.
RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE SRN PLAINS BEHIND THIS EXITING SYSTEM WITH
FAIR WEATHER EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY...ALTHOUGH LEE CYCLOGENESIS
WILL RESULT IN A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT AND GUSTY SOUTHERLY WIND
THURSDAY/THURSDAY NIGHT. MODELS IN DECENT AGREEMENT AND ARE
CONSISTENT WITH PREVIOUS RUNS IN BRINGING ANOTHER SYSTEM INTO
THE PLAINS LATE THIS WEEK. BEGAN POPS THURSDAY NIGHT AND CARRIED
THEM THROUGH SATURDAY. MAV TEMPS LOOK REASONABLE IN LATER PERIODS.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL 41 36 49 42 / 20 30 80 90
FSM 66 49 63 56 / 40 70 80 90
MLC 51 41 61 50 / 30 60 80 90
BVO 38 29 49 40 / 20 20 80 90
FYV 60 44 62 54 / 50 50 80 90
BYV 54 45 63 54 / 50 50 80 90
MKO 47 37 55 45 / 30 40 80 90
MIO 40 34 56 44 / 30 20 70 90
F10 43 36 52 43 / 30 40 80 90
HHW 72 51 70 60 / 30 70 70 90
&&
.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 6 PM MONDAY TO 6 AM TUESDAY FOR OKZ049-
OKZ053-OKZ060-OKZ061-OKZ062-OKZ063-OKZ064-OKZ065-OKZ066-
OKZ067-OKZ068-OKZ069-OKZ070-OKZ071-OKZ072-OKZ073-OKZ074-
OKZ075-OKZ076.
AR...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 6 PM MONDAY TO 6 AM TUESDAY FOR ARZ001-
ARZ002-ARZ010-ARZ011-ARZ019-ARZ020-ARZ029.
&&
SHORT TERM...07
LONG TERM....69Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 19, 10:06 PM CST, 5 hours 45 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1006 PM CST SAT NOV 19 2011
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-201100-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
1006 PM CST SAT NOV 19 2011
THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...SOUTHEAST OF INTERSTATE 44.
ONSET...AFTER MIDNIGHT.
WINTER WEATHER.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...WESTERN OSAGE COUNTY.
ONSET...TOWARD MORNING.
SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.
DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH INTO NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA THIS
EVENING...EVENTUALLY REACHING NEAR AN OKEMAH TO BENTONVILLE LINE
AROUND MIDNIGHT. SOUTH WINDS AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO
GUST AROUND 25 MPH AT TIMES THROUGH TONIGHT...WITH GUSTY NORTH
WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT AS WELL. THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE OVERNIGHT NEAR AND SOUTH OF THE
COLD FRONT...WITH A MARGINAL THREAT OF LARGE HAIL WITH STRONGER
CELLS OVERNIGHT.
PATCHY DRIZZLE WILL DEVELOP NORTH OF THE FRONT DURING THE NIGHT
AND AS TEMPERATURES FALL TO NEAR FREEZING IN SOME AREAS NEAR THE
KANSAS BORDER...THERE WILL BE A SMALL THREAT OF LIGHT FREEZING
DRIZZLE BY AROUND SUNRISE. THIS IS NOT EXPECTED TO CAUSE ANY
TRAVEL PROBLEMS.
SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
SUNDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDS.
THURSDAY...NO HAZARDS.
FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE SUNDAY AS THE STRONG COLD FRONT
LINGERS ACROSS THE AREA. THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR A
FAYETTEVILLE TO MCALESTER LINE BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON...WITH STRONG
TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY ALONG AND SOUTH OF THIS LINE LATE
SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
THE FRONT WILL BEGIN TO LIFT NORTH ON MONDAY IN ADVANCE OF
A STRONG STORM SYSTEM MOVING INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. THIS
SYSTEM WILL RESULT IN WIDESPREAD RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY
AND MONDAY NIGHT. THE STRONG LIFT FROM THE STORM SYSTEM ALONG
WITH STRONG WINDS ALOFT WILL SUPPORT A RISK OF SEVERE STORMS. THE
RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL CONTINUE INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS
MONDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY TUESDAY. ADDITIONALLY...WIDESPREAD HEAVY
RAINS ARE LIKELY WITH AN AXIS OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL POSSIBLE. THE
SYSTEM WILL MOVE EAST OF THE AREA TUESDAY.
DRY WEATHER WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THANKSGIVING DAY. STRONG
SOUTHERLY WINDS AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES RETURN TOWARD NEXT
WEEKEND.
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...
AN ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN WILL BE IN PLACE SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY WITH
HEAVY RAINFALL A GOOD BET. FLASH FLOOD WATCHES MAY BE NEEDED FOR
PARTS OF THE AREA LATE THIS WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK. IN
ADDITION...MULTIPLE CHANCES OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL
EXIST.
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.Nearby
Flash Flood Watches in Oklahoma, 2011Flash Flood Watches in Arkansas, 2011Every flash flood watch in 2011
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.