Severe Thunderstorm Warning 192, NWS Topeka, KS

130 
WWUS53 KTOP 242254
SVSTOP

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
554 PM CDT SUN JUL 24 2011

KSC197-242315-
/O.CON.KTOP.SV.W.0192.000000T0000Z-110724T2315Z/
WABAUNSEE-
554 PM CDT SUN JUL 24 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 615 PM CDT
FOR SOUTH CENTRAL WABAUNSEE COUNTY...

AT 547 PM CDT...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED
OVER SOUTH CENTRAL WABAUNSEE COUNTY...OR 11 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
ESKRIDGE...MOVING EAST AT 5 MPH.

AT 542 PM CDT...LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED A CHIMNEY BLOWN OVER
FROM STRONG WINDS.


LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF SOUTH CENTRAL WABAUNSEE COUNTY...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM...PREPARE FOR STRONG WINDS AS
WELL AS DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR THE
LATEST SEVERE WEATHER INFORMATION.

&&

LAT...LON 3875 9638 3885 9639 3889 9624 3882 9623
      3874 9620 3874 9638
TIME...MOT...LOC 2252Z 270DEG 3KT 3878 9628
WIND...HAIL 60MPH <.75IN

$$

ANGLE

145 
WWUS53 KTOP 242313
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SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
613 PM CDT SUN JUL 24 2011

KSC197-242322-
/O.EXP.KTOP.SV.W.0192.000000T0000Z-110724T2315Z/
WABAUNSEE-
613 PM CDT SUN JUL 24 2011

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTH CENTRAL WABAUNSEE COUNTY
WILL EXPIRE AT 615 PM CDT...

AT 612 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR INDICATED THAT THE
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING HAD WEAKENED AND WAS NO
LONGER SEVERE...THUS THE WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 615 PM CDT.

STRONG WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH...HEAVY RAIN AND PEA SIZE HAIL REMAIN
POSSIBLE WITH THE THUNDERSTORM OVER SOUTH CENTRAL WABAUNSEE COUNTY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

RADAR INDICATED THAT HEAVY RAIN...SMALL HAIL...AND GUSTY WINDS WERE
STILL POSSIBLE FROM THE THUNDERSTORM.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR THE
LATEST SEVERE WEATHER INFORMATION.

&&

LAT...LON 3875 9638 3885 9639 3889 9624 3882 9623
      3874 9620 3874 9638
TIME...MOT...LOC 2312Z 270DEG 3KT 3878 9626

$$

ANGLE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
340 PM CDT SUN JUL 24 2011

.DISCUSSION...

AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY THAT PASSED SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE EASTERN
COUNTIES OF THE CWA WAS BEGINNING TO WASH OUT ACROSS SOUTHEAST KS. A
COLD FRONT WAS SLOWLY MOVING SOUTHWARD INTO THE NORTHERN COUNTIES OF
THE CWA. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL PROBABLY DEVELOP
LATER THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS ALONG THE SURFACE
COLD FRONT ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL KS. THE THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP
FARTHER SOUTHEAST ALONG THE OLD OUTFLOW BOUNDARY. SBCAPES RANGED
FROM 1,000 TO 4,000 J/KG FROM SOUTH TO NORTH ACROSS THE CWA EARLY
THIS AFTERNOON. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WAS RATHER WEAK...SO THERE IS
ONLY A CHANCE FOR PULSE THUNDERSTORMS WITH THE PRIMARY HAZARD BEING
STRONG GUSTY WINDS. I CANNOT RULE OUT SOME ISOLATED WIND GUSTS OF 50
TO 60 MPH WITH THUNDERSTORMS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS
EVENING.

TEMPERATURES EARLY THIS AFTERNOON WERE ONLY IN THE UPPER 80S ACROSS
PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST KS...THOUGH MHK WAS ALREADY
101 DEGREES AT 100 PM.

TONIGHT...THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON WILL CONTINUE
INTO THE EVENING HOURS...THE BEST CHANCES MAY BE ALONG AND SOUTH OF
I-70. A FEW ISOLATED STORMS MAY CONTINUE AFTER MIDNIGHT NORTH OF THE
BOUNDARY WITH SOME WEAK ISENTROPIC LIFT. THE EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING
WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AFTER 700 PM CDT FOR AREAS NORTH OF AN
MINNEAPOLIS...TO ABILENE...TO OSAGE CITY...TO OTTAWA LINE.

MONDAY...THERE MAY BE A FEW ELEVATED SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS SOUTH
OF I-70 DURING THE MORNING HOURS...BUT THESE SHOULD DIMINISH AFTER
15Z MON. THE WEAK FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH OF THE CWA BY MONDAY
MORNING. TEMPERATURES WILL BE COOLER BUT DEWPOINTS NORTH OF THE
BOUNDARY WILL BE HIGHER WITH LOWER 70 DEWPOINTS ACROSS MUCH OF THE
CWA. AFTERNOON HIGHS WILL RANGE FROM THE LOWER 90S ALONG THE NE
BORDER WITH UPPER 90S ACROSS THE SOUTHERN COUNTIES. HEAT INDICES
WILL BE IN THE 99 TO 103 DEGREE RANGE ACROSS MUCH OF THE CWA...THE
SOUTHERN COUNTIES MAY SEE 103 TO 106 HEAT INDEX READINGS.
THEREFORE...THE EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING HAS BEEN EXPANDED THROUGH 700
PM WEDNESDAY FOR OTTAWA...MORRIS...LYON...OSAGE...FRANKLIN...COFFEY
AND ANDERSON COUNTIES.

GARGAN

SHOULD SEE A DRIER FORECAST MONDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY AS UPPER
LEVEL RIDGING AMPLIFIES AGAIN ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS. THIS SHOULD
KEEP MOST OF THE SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION TO THE NORTH OF THE COUNTY
WARNING AREA (CWA) THROUGH THIS TIMEFRAME...RISING INTO THE 98 TO
104 RANGE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWEST COUNTIES OF THE CWA.
WITH DEWPOINTS GENERALLY IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S...THIS
PRODUCES HEAT INDICES MAINLY IN THE 103-107 DEGREE RANGE BOTH
AFTERNOON'S. THEREFORE AS MENTIONED EARLIER...THE EXCESSIVE HEAT WAS
EXTENDED THROUGH WEDNESDAY FOR THE SOUTHERN CWA. THE NORTHERN CWA
WILL ALSO BE ON THE RISE WITH TEMPERATURES INTO THE 95 TO 100
DEGREE RANGE...BUT DO NOT EXPECT WIDESPREAD HEAT INDICES TO EXCEED
103 DEGREES THIS AREA UNTIL POSSIBLY WEDNESDAY...SO THIS AREA MAY
NEED HEAT HEADLINES BY MID WEEK AS WELL.

BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT A SERIES OF SHORTWAVE TROUGHS SHOULD BEGIN TO
FLATTEN THE UPPER RIDGE ONCE AGAIN ALLOWING FOR A FRONT TO MOVE
INTO THE CWA ALONG WITH SLIGHTLY COOLER AIR AND INCREASING
CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS...ESPECIALLY THURSDAY NIGHT INTO
FRIDAY. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL DIMINISH BY SUNDAY AS MODELS ARE
IN AGREEMENT THAT THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL AMPLIFY ONCE AGAIN
ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS. TEMPERATURES BY SUNDAY WILL THEN BEGIN
TO EDGE BACK INTO THE UPPER 90S IN PORTIONS OF THE CWA. 63

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 24 HRS. MAIN FORECAST
CHALLENGE IS THE LOCATION AND TIMING OF THUNDERSTORMS LATER THIS
AFTERNOON. A FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE TERMINALS THIS AFTERNOON
AND LEAD TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. IF STORM PASSES
OVER THE TERMINAL STRONG WINDS AND MVFR CONDITIONS WILL BE
POSSIBLE. WILL MONITOR AND AMEND IF NECESSARY.

ANDERSON

&&

.TOP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING UNTIL 8 PM CDT WEDNESDAY FOR KSZ034-035-
037-054>056-058-059.

EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR KSZ008-
009-020>024-026-036-038>040.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
357 PM CDT SUN JUL 24 2011

KSZ008>012-020>024-026-034>040-054>056-058-059-252100-
REPUBLIC-WASHINGTON-MARSHALL-NEMAHA-BROWN-CLOUD-CLAY-RILEY-
POTTAWATOMIE-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-OTTAWA-DICKINSON-GEARY-MORRIS-
WABAUNSEE-SHAWNEE-DOUGLAS-LYON-OSAGE-FRANKLIN-COFFEY-ANDERSON-
357 PM CDT SUN JUL 24 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL...NORTH
CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA
TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY BEFORE MIDNIGHT. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND
STRONG GUSTY WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY HAZARDS.

THE EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING WILL CONTINUE UNTIL EARLY EVENING FOR
MOST OF THE FORECAST AREA AS HEAT INDICES WILL COMMONLY REACH 105
TO 115 DEGREES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED THROUGH WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON FOR AREAS GENERALLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 56
WHERE AFTERNOON HEAT INDICES OF 103 TO 107 WILL BE COMMON.

HEAT INDICES OF 103 TO 107 DEGREES WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY
AND THURSDAY ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA. SLIGHTLY COOLER
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA BY FRIDAY INTO
SATURDAY ALONG WITH INCREASING CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION SHOULD NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
414 PM CDT SUN JUL 24 2011

KSZ035-242145-
DICKINSON-
414 PM CDT SUN JUL 24 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WEST CENTRAL DICKINSON COUNTY...

THROUGH 445 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL MOVE EAST AT 20 MPH
ACROSS PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL DICKINSON COUNTY. NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
STRONG WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH AND HEAVY RAIN. SOME LOCATIONS THAT
COULD BE AFFECTED INCLUDE SOLOMON...ABILENE AND TALMAGE.

THE STORM MAY STRENGTHEN OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL MINUTES. BE READY TO
TAKE SHELTER IN CASE A WARNING IS ISSUED.

&&

LAT...LON 3893 9738 3898 9737 3905 9726 3888 9716
      3878 9737 3893 9739
TIME...MOT...LOC 2113Z 248DEG 16KT 3889 9735

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
438 PM CDT SUN JUL 24 2011

KSZ035-242215-
DICKINSON-
438 PM CDT SUN JUL 24 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN DICKINSON COUNTY...

THROUGH 515 PM CDT...A THUNDERSTORM NEAR CARLTON WILL MOVE
NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN DICKINSON
COUNTY. NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THIS STORM
IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH AND HEAVY RAIN.
THE THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT CARLTON AND OTHERWISE REMAIN OVER MAINLY
RURAL AREAS OF DICKINSON COUNTY.

THE STORM MAY STRENGTHEN OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL MINUTES. BE READY TO
TAKE SHELTER IN CASE A WARNING IS ISSUED.

&&

LAT...LON 3886 9714 3861 9709 3860 9737 3861 9738
      3880 9738
TIME...MOT...LOC 2138Z 243DEG 9KT 3869 9726

ANGLE

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
445 PM CDT SUN JUL 24 2011

KSZ035-242230-
DICKINSON-
445 PM CDT SUN JUL 24 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN DICKINSON COUNTY...

THROUGH 530 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR SOLOMON WILL MOVE
NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHERN DICKINSON COUNTY.
ANOTHER STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR MOONLIGHT WILL ALSO MOVE NORTHEAST
AT 15 MPH. NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THESE
STORMS ARE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH AND
HEAVY RAIN. SOME LOCATIONS THAT COULD BE AFFECTED INCLUDE
SOLOMON..ABILENE...TALMAGE...ENTERPRISE...MOONLIGHT AND CHAPMAN.
MOTORISTS ALONG INTERSTATE 70 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 267 AND 289 COULD
ALSO BE AFFECTED.

STAY ALERT TO THE WEATHER IN CASE A WARNING IS ISSUED. THIS ADVISORY
REPLACES THE PREVIOUSLY ISSUED WARNING.

&&

LAT...LON 3893 9738 3896 9737 3907 9737 3913 9696
      3897 9697 3897 9694 3897 9693 3891 9693
      3880 9737 3881 9738 3893 9739
TIME...MOT...LOC 2144Z 247DEG 13KT 3893 9731

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
529 PM CDT SUN JUL 24 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0505 PM     HAIL             3 E TALMAGE             39.03N 97.20W
07/24/2011  E1.25 INCH       DICKINSON          KS   PUBLIC

            2 OTHER SEPARATE REPORTS OF QUARTER SIZE HAIL ADJACENT TO
            LOCATION.

&&

JB

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
529 PM CDT SUN JUL 24 2011

KSZ021-035-242315-
CLAY-DICKINSON-
529 PM CDT SUN JUL 24 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN CLAY AND NORTH
CENTRAL DICKINSON COUNTIES...

THROUGH 615 PM CDT...A THUNDERSTORM WILL MOVE NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH
ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN CLAY AND NORTH CENTRAL DICKINSON
COUNTIES. NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THIS STORM
IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND STRONG WINDS OF 40 TO 50
MPH. THE THUNDERSTORM WILL OTHERWISE REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS
OF CLAY COUNTY. MOTORISTS ALONG INTERSTATE 70 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS
282 AND 289 COULD ALSO BE AFFECTED.

STAY ALERT TO THE WEATHER IN CASE A WARNING IS ISSUED.

&&

LAT...LON 3915 9730 3916 9698 3903 9696 3898 9697
      3895 9724
TIME...MOT...LOC 2230Z 211DEG 14KT 3909 9717