Alert archive / Florida / Small Craft Advisories in 2011

Small Craft Advisory 30, NWS Tallahassee, FL

November 16, 2011

NWS Tallahassee, FL issued this small craft advisory at Nov 16, 2011, 3:40 PM EST. It took effect at Nov 17, 2011, 7:00 AM EST. It was in force for 54 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Nov 16, 2011, 3:40 PM EST (20:40 UTC)
In effect from
Nov 17, 2011, 7:00 AM EST
Expired
Nov 19, 2011, 1:00 PM EST
In force
54 hr
Issued by
NWS Tallahassee, FL

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

956 
WHUS72 KTAE 162040
MWWTAE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
340 PM EST WED NOV 16 2011

...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM EST THURSDAY
UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ALL COASTAL AND OFFSHORE WATERS FROM THE
EASTERN PANHANDLE THROUGH THE BIG BEND OF FLORIDA...

.STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS WILL FILL IN BEHIND A COLD FRONT FORECAST
TO PASS OVER OUR LOCAL WATERS BEGINNING LATE TONIGHT. WINDS WILL
INCREASE TO BETWEEN 20 AND 25 KNOTS BY THE MORNING TOMORROW AND
WILL REMAIN AT ADVISORY LEVELS THROUGH AT LEAST FRIDAY MORNING.
SEAS WILL RESPOND TO THE INCREASE IN WINDS...BUT AT THIS TIME SEAS
LOOK TO REMAIN BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS.

GMZ730-750-755-765-770-775-171200-
/O.NEW.KTAE.SC.Y.0030.111117T1200Z-111118T1200Z/
APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM  OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
340 PM EST WED NOV 16 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THURSDAY TO 7 AM EST
FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THURSDAY TO 7 AM
EST FRIDAY. 

* PEAK WINDS: NORTH 20 TO 25 KNOTS...BECOMING NORTHEAST LATE
  THURSDAY NIGHT.

* PEAK SEAS: 5 TO 6 FEET OFFSHORE...3 TO 5 FEET NEARSHORE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS...
AND/OR SEAS 7 FEET OR HIGHER...ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

HARRIGAN
11 follow-up statements
603 
WHUS72 KTAE 170222
MWWTAE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
922 PM EST WED NOV 16 2011

...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM EST THURSDAY
UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ALL COASTAL AND OFFSHORE WATERS FROM
THE EASTERN PANHANDLE THROUGH THE BIG BEND OF FLORIDA...

.WINDS AND SEAS NEAR CAUTIONARY LEVELS WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT
AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. THE FRONT WILL CROSS THE
COASTAL WATERS AFTER MIDNIGHT AND EXIT TO OUR EAST THURSDAY
MORNING. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST AND NORTH IN THE WAKE
OF THE FRONT AND GRADUALLY INCREASE TO ADVISORY LEVELS. ADVISORY
LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT WHILE
SHIFTING AROUND TO THE NORTHEAST. ELEVATED EASTERLY FLOW BETWEEN
CAUTIONARY AND ADVISORY LEVELS WILL THEN LINGER THROUGH AT LEAST
FRIDAY NIGHT.

GMZ730-750-755-765-770-775-170930-
/O.CON.KTAE.SC.Y.0030.111117T1200Z-111118T1200Z/
APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM  OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
922 PM EST WED NOV 16 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THURSDAY TO
7 AM EST FRIDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THURSDAY TO
7 AM EST FRIDAY. 

* PEAK WINDS: NORTH 20 TO 25 KNOTS...BECOMING NORTHEAST LATE  
  THURSDAY NIGHT.

* PEAK SEAS: 5 TO 7 FEET OFFSHORE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS...
AND/OR SEAS 7 FEET OR HIGHER...ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
447 
WHUS72 KTAE 170806
MWWTAE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
306 AM EST THU NOV 17 2011

...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM EST TODAY UNTIL
4 AM EST SATURDAY FOR ALL COASTAL AND OFFSHORE WATERS FROM THE
EASTERN PANHANDLE THROUGH THE BIG BEND OF FLORIDA...

.A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE COASTAL WATERS AND EXIT TO
OUR EAST THIS MORNING. IN ITS WAKE...WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE
NORTHWEST...NORTH AND THEN NORTHEAST THROUGH TONIGHT AND
INCREASE TO ADVISORY LEVELS. ADVISORY LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT.

GMZ730-750-755-765-770-775-171615-
/O.EXT.KTAE.SC.Y.0030.111117T1200Z-111119T0900Z/
APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM  OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
306 AM EST THU NOV 17 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO
   4 AM EST SATURDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING
TO 4 AM EST SATURDAY. 

* PEAK WINDS: NORTH 20 TO 25 KNOTS...BECOMING NORTHEAST LATE
  TONIGHT.

* PEAK SEAS: 5 TO 7 FEET OFFSHORE DECREASING TO 4 TO 6 FEET FRIDAY
  MORNING

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS...
AND/OR SEAS 7 FEET OR HIGHER...ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$


BLOCK
704 
WHUS72 KTAE 171538
MWWTAE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1038 AM EST THU NOV 17 2011

...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST
SATURDAY FOR ALL COASTAL AND OFFSHORE WATERS FROM THE EASTERN
PANHANDLE THROUGH THE BIG BEND OF FLORIDA...

.A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE EAST OF THE MARINE AREA LATER THIS
MORNING. IN ITS WAKE...A STRONG NORTHERLY WIND FLOW CAN BE
EXPECTED BECOMING NORTHEAST OVERNIGHT...THEN EAST ON FRIDAY. SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED TODAY CONTINUING THROUGH
FRIDAY NIGHT. A MODERATE EASTERLY WIND FLOW WILL CONTINUE EARLY
SATURDAY DIMINISHING BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON AS HIGH PRESSURE
SETTLES OFF THE CAROLINA COAST.


GMZ730-750-755-765-770-775-180000-
/O.CON.KTAE.SC.Y.0030.000000T0000Z-111119T0900Z/
APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM  OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
1038 AM EST THU NOV 17 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST
SATURDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST SATURDAY.

* PEAK WINDS: NORTH 20 TO 25 KNOTS WITH OCCASIONAL HIGHER GUSTS...
  BECOMING NORTHEAST OVERNIGHT TONIGHT...THEN MOSTLY EAST FRIDAY
  AND FRIDAY NIGHT.

* PEAK SEAS: 6 TO 8 FEET WELL OFFSHORE...AND 3 TO 5 FEET GENERALLY
  OUT TO 20 NM. PROTECTED WATERS CHOPPY TO ROUGH. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS...
AND/OR SEAS 7 FEET OR HIGHER...ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
522 
WHUS72 KTAE 172341
MWWTAE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
641 PM EST THU NOV 17 2011

...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST
SATURDAY FOR ALL COASTAL AND OFFSHORE WATERS FROM THE EASTERN
PANHANDLE THROUGH THE BIG BEND OF FLORIDA...

.STRONG NORTHERLY WIND IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO 
BECOME NORTHEASTERLY TONIGHT...THEN EASTERLY ON FRIDAY. SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. A
MODERATE EASTERLY WIND FLOW WILL CONTINUE EARLY SATURDAY
DIMINISHING BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON AS HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES OFF
THE CAROLINA COAST.

GMZ730-750-755-765-770-775-181000-
/O.CON.KTAE.SC.Y.0030.000000T0000Z-111119T0900Z/
APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM  OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
641 PM EST THU NOV 17 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST
SATURDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST SATURDAY.

* PEAK WINDS: NORTH 20 TO 25 KNOTS WITH OCCASIONAL HIGHER GUSTS...
  BECOMING NORTHEAST OVERNIGHT TONIGHT...THEN MOSTLY EAST FRIDAY
  AND FRIDAY NIGHT.

* PEAK SEAS: 6 TO 8 FEET WELL OFFSHORE...AND 3 TO 5 FEET GENERALLY
  OUT TO 20 NM. PROTECTED WATERS CHOPPY TO ROUGH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS...
AND/OR SEAS 7 FEET OR HIGHER...ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

DVD
435 
WHUS72 KTAE 181144
MWWTAE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
644 AM EST FRI NOV 18 2011

...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
SATURDAY FOR THE COASTAL AND OFFSHORE WATERS FROM DESTIN TO
APALACHICOLA... 

...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST
SATURDAY FOR THE COASTAL AND OFFSHORE WATERS FROM THE SUWANNEE
RIVER TO APALACHICOLA...

.STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT ARE
EXPECTED TO BECOME EASTERLY LATER TODAY. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT...AND THEN LINGER INTO
SATURDAY MORNING ACROSS THE PANHANDLE WATERS. A MODERATE EASTERLY
WIND FLOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND THEN DIMINISH BY
SUNDAY AFTERNOON AS HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES OFF THE CAROLINA COAST.

GMZ750-770-181530-
/O.EXT.KTAE.SC.Y.0030.000000T0000Z-111119T1500Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
644 AM EST FRI NOV 18 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST SATURDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
SATURDAY. 

* PEAK WINDS: NORTHEAST 20 TO 25 KNOTS THIS MORNING...THEN MOSTLY
  EAST THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

* PEAK SEAS: 6 TO 8 FEET WELL OFFSHORE...AND 3 TO 5 FEET GENERALLY
  OUT TO 20 NM. PROTECTED WATERS CHOPPY TO ROUGH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS...
AND/OR SEAS 7 FEET OR HIGHER...ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

GMZ730-755-765-775-181530-
/O.CON.KTAE.SC.Y.0030.000000T0000Z-111119T0900Z/
APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM  OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
644 AM EST FRI NOV 18 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST
SATURDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST SATURDAY.

* PEAK WINDS: NORTHEAST 20 TO 25 KNOTS WITH OCCASIONAL HIGHER
  GUSTS...BECOMING MOSTLY EAST THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

* PEAK SEAS: 6 TO 8 FEET WELL OFFSHORE...AND 3 TO 5 FEET OUT TO 20
  NM. PROTECTED WATERS CHOPPY TO ROUGH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS...
AND/OR SEAS 7 FEET OR HIGHER...ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
666 
WHUS72 KTAE 181521
MWWTAE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1021 AM EST FRI NOV 18 2011

...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
SATURDAY FOR THE COASTAL AND OFFSHORE WATERS FROM DESTIN TO
APALACHICOLA...

...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST
SATURDAY FOR THE COASTAL AND OFFSHORE WATERS FROM THE SUWANNEE
RIVER TO APALACHICOLA...

.STRONG NORTHEASTERLY WINDS IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT ARE
EXPECTED TO BECOME EASTERLY LATER TODAY. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT...AND THEN LINGER INTO
SATURDAY MORNING ACROSS THE PANHANDLE WATERS. A MODERATE EASTERLY
WIND FLOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND THEN DIMINISH BY
SUNDAY AFTERNOON AS HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES OFF THE CAROLINA COAST.

GMZ750-770-182130-
/O.CON.KTAE.SC.Y.0030.000000T0000Z-111119T1500Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
1021 AM EST FRI NOV 18 2011

...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
SATURDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
SATURDAY. 

* PEAK WINDS: NORTHEAST AROUND 20 KNOTS THIS MORNING...THEN
  MOSTLY EAST THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

* PEAK SEAS: 6 TO 8 FEET WELL OFFSHORE...AND 3 TO 5 FEET GENERALLY
  OUT TO 20 NM. PROTECTED WATERS CHOPPY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS...
AND/OR SEAS 7 FEET OR HIGHER...ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

GMZ730-755-765-775-182130-
/O.CON.KTAE.SC.Y.0030.000000T0000Z-111119T0900Z/
APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM  OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
1021 AM EST FRI NOV 18 2011

...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST
SATURDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST SATURDAY.

* PEAK WINDS: NORTHEAST AROUND 20 KNOTS BECOMING MOSTLY EAST THIS
  AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

* PEAK SEAS: 5 TO 7 FEET WELL OFFSHORE...AND 3 TO 5 FEET OUT TO 20
  NM. PROTECTED WATERS CHOPPY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS...
AND/OR SEAS 7 FEET OR HIGHER...ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

17-GOULD
555 
WHUS72 KTAE 181942
MWWTAE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
242 PM EST FRI NOV 18 2011

...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST SATURDAY
FOR THE COASTAL AND OFFSHORE WATERS FROM DESTIN TO APALACHICOLA...

...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
SATURDAY FOR THE COASTAL AND OFFSHORE WATERS FROM THE SUWANNEE
RIVER TO APALACHICOLA...

.WITH THE SURFACE RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST ONLY GRADUALLY WEAKENING
AS IT SETTLES SLOWLY TO THE SOUTH...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS
OUT OF THE EAST MAY LINGER OVER THE COASTAL WATERS INTO SATURDAY
MORNING OVER THE EASTERN LEGS AND SATURDAY AFTERNOON TO THE WEST.
THEREAFTER...MORE MODERATE WINDS AND SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO RETURN
TO THE MARINE AREA...BUT THERE WILL BE THE POSSIBILITY FOR NOCTURNAL
SURGES WHICH MAY BRING BRIEF PERIODS OF CAUTIONARY CONDITIONS TO
PARTS OF THE WATERS ON SATURDAY NIGHT.

GMZ750-770-190400-
/O.EXT.KTAE.SC.Y.0030.000000T0000Z-111119T1800Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
242 PM EST FRI NOV 18 2011

...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST
SATURDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST
SATURDAY. 

* PEAK WINDS: EAST AROUND 20 KNOTS.

* PEAK SEAS: 3 TO 5 FEET NEARSHORE AND 5 TO 7 FEET WELL OFFSHORE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS...
AND/OR SEAS 7 FEET OR HIGHER...ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

GMZ730-755-765-775-190400-
/O.EXT.KTAE.SC.Y.0030.000000T0000Z-111119T1200Z/
APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM  OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
242 PM EST FRI NOV 18 2011

...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
SATURDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
SATURDAY. 

* PEAK WINDS: EAST AROUND 20 KNOTS.

* PEAK SEAS: 3 TO 5 FEET NEARSHORE AND 5 TO 7 FEET WELL OFFSHORE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS...
AND/OR SEAS 7 FEET OR HIGHER...ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

17-GOULD
674 
WHUS72 KTAE 190220
MWWTAE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
920 PM EST FRI NOV 18 2011

...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST
SATURDAY FOR THE COASTAL AND OFFSHORE WATERS FROM DESTIN TO
APALACHICOLA...

...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
SATURDAY FOR THE COASTAL AND OFFSHORE WATERS FROM THE SUWANNEE 
RIVER TO APALACHICOLA...

.WITH THE SURFACE RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST ONLY GRADUALLY WEAKENING
AS IT SETTLES SLOWLY TO THE SOUTH...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
CONDITIONS OUT OF THE EAST ARE EXPECTED TO LINGER OVER THE COASTAL
WATERS INTO SATURDAY MORNING OVER THE EASTERN LEGS AND SATURDAY
AFTERNOON TO THE WEST. THEREAFTER...MORE MODERATE WINDS AND SEAS
ARE EXPECTED TO RETURN TO THE MARINE AREA...BUT THERE WILL BE THE
POSSIBILITY FOR NOCTURNAL SURGES WHICH MAY BRING BRIEF PERIODS OF
CAUTIONARY CONDITIONS TO PARTS OF THE WATERS ON SATURDAY NIGHT.

GMZ750-770-190945-
/O.CON.KTAE.SC.Y.0030.000000T0000Z-111119T1800Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
920 PM EST FRI NOV 18 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST
SATURDAY...

* PEAK WINDS: EAST AROUND 20 KNOTS.

* PEAK SEAS: 3 TO 5 FEET NEARSHORE AND 5 TO 7 FEET WELL OFFSHORE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS...
AND/OR SEAS 7 FEET OR HIGHER...ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

GMZ730-755-765-775-190945-
/O.CON.KTAE.SC.Y.0030.000000T0000Z-111119T1200Z/
APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM  OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
920 PM EST FRI NOV 18 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
SATURDAY...

* PEAK WINDS: EAST AROUND 20 KNOTS.

* PEAK SEAS: 3 TO 5 FEET NEARSHORE AND 5 TO 7 FEET WELL OFFSHORE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS...
AND/OR SEAS 7 FEET OR HIGHER...ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

DVD
685 
WHUS72 KTAE 190851
MWWTAE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
351 AM EST SAT NOV 19 2011

...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST
TODAY FOR THE COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO APALACHICOLA...

...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
TODAY FOR THE COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SUWANNEE RIVER TO
APALACHICOLA...

.HIGH PRESSURE NORTHEAST OF THE AREA OVER THE CAROLINAS
WILL MAINTAIN A TIGHT GRADIENT ACROSS THE NORTHEAST GULF THIS
MORNING WITH EASTERLY WINDS BLOWING AT ADVISORY LEVELS. CONDITIONS
SHOULD SUBSIDE BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA SHORTLY AFTER SUNRISE OVER
THE EASTERN LEGS EAST OF APALACHICOLA. HOWEVER...IT SHOULD TAKE
UNTIL EARLY AFTERNOON BEFORE THE WESTERN WATERS DROP TO CAUTION.
THESE EXERCISE CAUTION CONDITIONS WILL THEN PERSIST INTO TONIGHT.

GMZ750-770-191530-
/O.CON.KTAE.SC.Y.0030.000000T0000Z-111119T1800Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
351 AM EST SAT NOV 19 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

* PEAK WINDS: EAST AROUND 25 KNOTS BEFORE SUNRISE THIS MORNING.

* PEAK SEAS: 3 TO 5 FEET NEARSHORE AND 8 TO 10 FEET WELL OFFSHORE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS...
AND/OR SEAS 7 FEET OR HIGHER...ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

GMZ730-755-765-775-191200-
/O.CON.KTAE.SC.Y.0030.000000T0000Z-111119T1200Z/
APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM  OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
351 AM EST SAT NOV 19 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS
MORNING. 

* PEAK WINDS: EAST 20 TO 25 KNOTS EARLY THIS MORNING.

* PEAK SEAS: 4 TO 6 FEET NEARSHORE AND 7 TO 9 FEET WELL OFFSHORE
  EARLY THIS MORNING AND 3 TO 4 FEET IN APALACHEE BAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS...
AND/OR SEAS 7 FEET OR HIGHER...ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

18-WOOL
124 
WHUS72 KTAE 191219
MWWTAE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
719 AM EST SAT NOV 19 2011

...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST TODAY
FOR THE COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO APALACHICOLA...

...THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN FOR THE COASTAL
WATERS FROM THE SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA...

.HIGH PRESSURE NORTHEAST OF THE AREA OVER THE CAROLINAS WILL
MAINTAIN A TIGHT GRADIENT ACROSS THE NORTHEAST GULF THIS MORNING
WITH EASTERLY WINDS BLOWING AT ADVISORY LEVELS. CONDITIONS HAVE 
JUST SUBSIDED BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS OVER THE EASTERN LEGS THIS
MORNING. HOWEVER...IT SHOULD TAKE UNTIL EARLY AFTERNOON BEFORE
THE WESTERN WATERS DROP TO CAUTIONARY LEVELS. THESE EXERCISE
CAUTION CONDITIONS WILL THEN PERSIST INTO TONIGHT.

GMZ730-755-765-775-191330-
/O.EXP.KTAE.SC.Y.0030.000000T0000Z-111119T1200Z/
APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM  OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
719 AM EST SAT NOV 19 2011

...THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. HOWEVER...SMALL
CRAFT OPERATORS SHOULD STILL EXERCISE CAUTION TODAY.

$$

GMZ750-770-191700-
/O.CON.KTAE.SC.Y.0030.000000T0000Z-111119T1800Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
719 AM EST SAT NOV 19 2011

...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

* PEAK WINDS: EAST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* PEAK SEAS: 4 TO 6 FEET NEARSHORE AND 8 TO 10 FEET WELL OFFSHORE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS...
AND/OR SEAS 7 FEET OR HIGHER...ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

17-GOULD
058 
WHUS72 KTAE 191518
MWWTAE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1018 AM EST SAT NOV 19 2011

...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST TODAY
FOR THE COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO APALACHICOLA OUT TO 60 NM...

.HIGH PRESSURE NORTHEAST OF THE AREA OVER THE CAROLINAS
WILL MAINTAIN A FAIRLY TIGHT GRADIENT ACROSS THE NORTHEAST GULF
TODAY WITH EASTERLY WINDS BLOWING AT ADVISORY LEVELS. CONDITIONS
HAVE JUST SUBSIDED BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS OVER THE EASTERN LEGS
THIS MORNING. HOWEVER...IT SHOULD TAKE UNTIL EARLY AFTERNOON
BEFORE THE WESTERN WATERS DROP TO CAUTIONARY LEVELS. THESE
EXERCISE CAUTION CONDITIONS WILL THEN PERSIST INTO TONIGHT BEFORE
WINDS SUBSIDE ON SUNDAY. WINDS WILL BEGIN TO VEER TO THE SOUTHEAST
MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY AHEAD OF THE NEXT FRONTAL SYSTEM. AT
THIS TIME...IT APPEARS WINDS WILL REMAIN BELOW HEADLINE CRITERIA
AHEAD OF THE FRONT AND IMMEDIATELY BEHIND IT ON WEDNESDAY.

GMZ750-770-191800-
/O.CON.KTAE.SC.Y.0030.000000T0000Z-111119T1800Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
1018 AM EST SAT NOV 19 2011

...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

* PEAK WINDS: EAST 20 TO 25 KNOTS DECREASING TO 15 TO 20 KNOTS
  LATE THIS AFTERNOON.

* PEAK SEAS: 4 TO 6 FEET NEARSHORE AND 8 TO 10 FEET WELL
  OFFSHORE...SUBSIDING TO 3 TO 5 FEET NEARSHORE AND 4 TO 6 FEET
  OFFSHORE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS...
AND/OR SEAS 7 FEET OR HIGHER...ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY
THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

17-GOULD

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tallahassee, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Nov 16, 3:15 PM EST, 25 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 16, 3:15 PM EST, 25 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
315 PM EST Wed Nov 16 2011

...Tornado Watch #890 in effect until 8 PM CST this evening for
Southeast Alabama, portions of Southwest/South-Central Georgia, and
portions of the Florida Panhandle...

.Synopsis...
A broad mid/upper level trough covers much of the contiguous U.S.
this afternoon with an attendant broad, weak surface low/frontal
boundary sprawling across the southeastern part of the country, from
KY southwest to LA. A weakening shortwave out ahead of the main
trough has combined with a very moist and unstable atmosphere over
our local area to initiate scattered shower development this
afternoon. Further west, closer to the surface low, strong to severe
storms associated with a pre-frontal squall line have been marching
east from LA and MS this morning, into portions of the FL panhandle,
AL, and GA this afternoon. The weakening piece of energy supporting
this line of storms will continue NE, pushing the squall through our
local area this afternoon/evening.

&&

.Near term (tonight)...
As the squall line moves through the local area, there exists a
threat for isolated severe thunderstorm development. It appears that
the best chance for an isolated tornado will be over portions of
southeast Alabama and extreme southwest GA this afternoon through
the early evening when that threat will lift northeast out of the
region with the passing surface low. Elsewhere, across portions of
southwest and south central Georgia, as well as the eastern
panhandle of Florida, the threat for an isolated thunderstorm
capable of producing damaging winds exists until after midnight.
After midnight the threat for severe weather ends region-wide and
any rain/isolated storms that remain should push east out of the big
bend of Florida by daybreak on Thursday. Do not expect any
significant or widespread rainfall with this event with a half of an
inch to an inch expected west of the Apalachicola river and around a
half of an inch or less elsewhere.

&&

.Short Term (Thursday through Friday Night)...
Thursday,
Mid/Upper level longwave trough axis will pivot across the forecast
area during the morning hours allowing the final push in exiting the
surface front east of the Suwannee River Valley. Will see a brief
period between 12-15UTC during which a few lingering showers will
remain possible down toward the Mayo/Cross City portion of the
forecast area. Thereafter...model consensus shows the best deep
layer synoptic/QG forcing rapidly exiting. At the same time, upper
jet axis and resulting RRQ divergence will be shifting off the
Southeast Coast. PoPs will be removed after 15Z for these far SE Big
Bend zones with a dry day region-wide thereafter. In the wake of the
front will see gradual clearing from NW to SE during the later
morning/early afternoon hours. Overall, the majority of Thursday
will end up being a fair and seasonable day with high temperatures
reaching the lower/mid 70s. Far NW zones up toward Dothan and
Enterprise will experience the best CAA in the wake of the front and
should hold in the upper 60s.

Thursday Night,
Upper level flow will become zonal in nature along the northern Gulf
coast while surface high pressure slides to our north. Guidance mean
in terms of low temperatures has shifted down, especially when
considering the MAV numbers. Atmospheric column will indeed be quite
dry, however the surface high will be centered over eastern TN
during the night. This position will allow the gradient to remain
somewhat tight and is not favorable for good radiational
cooling/boundary layer de-coupling. Will run a blend of the MAV/MET
numbers allowing normally colder locations over the Northern/Western
forecast area to reach the middle/upper 30s. Even if we can get down
to these lower number, surface dewpoints depressions look to be wide
enough to prevent any significant frost threat. Will continue to
monitor with future guidance.

Friday/Friday night,
Fair and seasonable weather will be the rule through the period.
Upper level pattern will see slight ridging build in from the south
while the surface ridge center moves to the Carolina coast. In
response to the ridge movement, low level winds come around to the
east and begin to bring low level Atlantic moisture back into the
region. High temperatures on Friday expected to fall a bit below
normal in the mid/upper 60s, however with the increased moisture,
Friday night will be warmer than the previous night with temps far
above any frost threat.

&&

.Long Term (Saturday through next Wednesday)...
It looks like a very dry and rather bland pattern across the
Southeast U.S. throughout much of the extended period, as the
sub-tropical ridge is expected to set up shop over the FL peninsula
early in the period and then the northern Gulf of Mexico late in the
period. After the lingering cool air exits the area on Saturday,
this synoptic pattern should provide our region with above normal
temperatures throughout much of the fcst, with highs ranging from
the mid 70s near the coast to around 80 degrees inland. For the
Tallahassee area, this will be well above climo, which begins the
climatological period with highs around 73 degrees and ends with
highs around 71. Low temps will also gradually moderate through the
period, and with near climo lows (in the mid 40s on Saturday
Morning), but lower to middle 50s should generally be the rule
thereafter. Finally, with the upper level ridge keeping the moisture
axis to our north, Pops should be generally negligible until the end
of the period, when the next cold front may bring scattered showers
or thunderstorms to the region by Wednesday or Thursday.

&&

.AVIATION...
MVFR conditions will continue into the evening with tempo's to IFR
with scattered thunderstorms. Conditions should rapidly improve from
west to east overnight as the front moves through the region. VFR
conditions expected behind the front with gusty northerly winds
Thursday afternoon.

&&

.MARINE...
Winds and seas to near cautionary levels will continue through the
evening ahead of an approaching cold front. The front will cross the
coastal waters after midnight and exit to our east early Thursday
morning. Winds will shift to the northwest and north in the wake of
the front and increase to advisory levels. Advisory level winds are
expected to continue through Thursday night while shifting around to
the northeast. Elevated easterly flow between cautionary and
advisory levels are anticipated to linger through at least Friday
night.

&&

.Fire Weather...
Drier airmass will spill into the region on Thursday behind the cold
front. Humidity values will be well below critical values across
Florida during the afternoon. However, dispersions and surface winds
will be very close to thresholds. Will maintain the current Fire
Weather Watch for now, and let later shift make the final decision
on a potential Red Flag Warning. Low-level moisture should recover
enough by Friday to preclude any fire weather headlines.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Tallahassee   63  75  38  68  45 /  70  10  10   0  10
Panama City   62  71  39  68  46 /  60   0  10   0  10
Dothan        56  67  36  67  42 /  30   0  10   0  10
Albany        59  70  36  66  43 /  50   0  10   0  10
Valdosta      64  75  42  67  46 /  70  10  10   0  10
Cross City    67  79  41  72  46 /  70  20  10   0  10
Apalachicola  64  74  42  68  51 /  70  10  10   0  10

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
GA...None.
FL...Fire Weather Watch Thursday afternoon for Calhoun-Central Walton-
     Coastal Bay-Gadsden-Holmes-Inland Bay-Inland Franklin-
     Inland Gulf-Inland Jefferson-Inland Wakulla-Inland Walton-
     Jackson-Leon-Liberty-South Walton-Washington.

GM...Small Craft Advisory from 7 AM Thursday to 7 AM EST Friday for
     Apalachee Bay-Coastal waters From Ochlockonee River to
     Apalachicola FL out to 20 NM-Coastal waters from Suwannee
     River to Keaton Beach FL out 20 NM-Coastal waters from
     Apalachicola to Destin FL out 20 NM-Waters from Suwannee
     River to Apalachicola FL from 20 to 60 NM-Waters from
     Apalachicola to Destin FL from 20 to 60 NM.

&&

Synopsis/Near Term...Harrigan
Short Term/Marine...Mroczka
Long Term...Gould
Aviation/Fire Wx...Camp
Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 16, 10:59 AM EST, 4 hours 41 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1059 AM EST WED NOV 16 2011

ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-108-112-114-115-118-127-128-134-
GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-GMZ730-750-755-765-770-775-171000-
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-INLAND WALTON-CENTRAL WALTON-
HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-INLAND BAY-CALHOUN-INLAND GULF-
INLAND FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON-INLAND JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-
INLAND WAKULLA-INLAND TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-INLAND DIXIE-SOUTH WALTON-
COASTAL BAY-COASTAL GULF-COASTAL FRANKLIN-COASTAL JEFFERSON-
COASTAL WAKULLA-COASTAL TAYLOR-COASTAL DIXIE-QUITMAN-CLAY-
RANDOLPH-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN-
EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-
DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER-
APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM  OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
1059 AM EST WED NOV 16 2011 /959 AM CST WED NOV 16 2011/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...AND THE FLORIDA BIG BEND
AND PANHANDLE...AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE
REGION TODAY AND TONIGHT...

A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE REGION TODAY AND TONIGHT. AHEAD
AND ALONG THIS FRONT...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WITH BREEZY AND GUSTY WINDS ARE EXPECTED. SOME OF
THESE STORMS WILL BE STRONG TO SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WINDS THE MAIN
THREAT. THE FOCUS WILL BE CLOSEST TO THE UPPER LEVEL
SUPPORT...NAMELY SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND SOUTHWEST GEORGIA. THE
STORMS WILL SHIFT TO THE EASTERN COUNTIES TOWARDS TONIGHT BUT THE
THREAT SHOULD BE LESS THAN EARLIER IN THE DAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...

AFTER THE FRONT EXITS, EXPECT A DRIER AND COOLER AIRMASS TO
OVERSPREAD THE REGION BEGINNING ON THURSDAY. A PERIOD OF SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY LEVEL WINDS AND SEAS IS EXPECTED OVER THE COASTAL
WATERS DURING THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT IN THE WAKE OF THE COLD
FRONT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS REQUESTED FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA. ADDITIONAL
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED LATER TODAY.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV...THEN CLICK ON YOUR AREA
OF INTEREST ON THE NATIONAL MAP.

CAMP

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tallahassee, FL issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 15, 9:27 PM ESTDense Fog AdvisoryTAEDixie, Franklin, Gadsden, Gulf, Jefferson, Lafayette and 4 more8 hr
Nov 16, 4:05 AM ESTRip Current StatementTAEWalton15 hr
Nov 16, 5:12 AM ESTFire Weather WatchTAEBay, Calhoun, Franklin, Gadsden, Gulf, Holmes and 6 more22 hr
Nov 16, 2:18 PM ESTSpecial Marine WarningTAE72 min
Nov 16, 3:34 PM ESTTornado WarningTAEJackson26 min
Nov 16, 4:37 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTAEDougherty, Lee23 min
Nov 16, 4:44 PM ESTTornado WarningTAEBaker14 min
Nov 16, 4:55 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTAELee, Worth35 min
Nov 16, 5:00 PM ESTTornado WarningTAELee, Turner, Worth30 min
Nov 16, 5:25 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTAETurner35 min
Nov 16, 5:36 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTAEColquitt, Decatur, Grady, Mitchell, Thomas39 min
Nov 16, 6:19 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTAEBrooks, Colquitt, Grady, Thomas26 min

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Florida, 2011Every small craft advisory in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.