Alert archive / Florida / Small Craft Advisories in 2011
Small Craft Advisory 30, NWS Tallahassee, FL
NWS Tallahassee, FL issued this small craft advisory at Nov 16, 2011, 3:40 PM EST. It took effect at Nov 17, 2011, 7:00 AM EST. It was in force for 54 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Nov 16, 2011, 3:40 PM EST (20:40 UTC)
- In effect from
- Nov 17, 2011, 7:00 AM EST
- Expired
- Nov 19, 2011, 1:00 PM EST
- In force
- 54 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Tallahassee, FL
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
956 WHUS72 KTAE 162040 MWWTAE URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 340 PM EST WED NOV 16 2011 ...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM EST THURSDAY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ALL COASTAL AND OFFSHORE WATERS FROM THE EASTERN PANHANDLE THROUGH THE BIG BEND OF FLORIDA... .STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS WILL FILL IN BEHIND A COLD FRONT FORECAST TO PASS OVER OUR LOCAL WATERS BEGINNING LATE TONIGHT. WINDS WILL INCREASE TO BETWEEN 20 AND 25 KNOTS BY THE MORNING TOMORROW AND WILL REMAIN AT ADVISORY LEVELS THROUGH AT LEAST FRIDAY MORNING. SEAS WILL RESPOND TO THE INCREASE IN WINDS...BUT AT THIS TIME SEAS LOOK TO REMAIN BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS. GMZ730-750-755-765-770-775-171200- /O.NEW.KTAE.SC.Y.0030.111117T1200Z-111118T1200Z/ APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 340 PM EST WED NOV 16 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THURSDAY TO 7 AM EST FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THURSDAY TO 7 AM EST FRIDAY. * PEAK WINDS: NORTH 20 TO 25 KNOTS...BECOMING NORTHEAST LATE THURSDAY NIGHT. * PEAK SEAS: 5 TO 6 FEET OFFSHORE...3 TO 5 FEET NEARSHORE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS... AND/OR SEAS 7 FEET OR HIGHER...ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ HARRIGAN
11 follow-up statements
603 WHUS72 KTAE 170222 MWWTAE URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 922 PM EST WED NOV 16 2011 ...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM EST THURSDAY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ALL COASTAL AND OFFSHORE WATERS FROM THE EASTERN PANHANDLE THROUGH THE BIG BEND OF FLORIDA... .WINDS AND SEAS NEAR CAUTIONARY LEVELS WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. THE FRONT WILL CROSS THE COASTAL WATERS AFTER MIDNIGHT AND EXIT TO OUR EAST THURSDAY MORNING. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST AND NORTH IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT AND GRADUALLY INCREASE TO ADVISORY LEVELS. ADVISORY LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT WHILE SHIFTING AROUND TO THE NORTHEAST. ELEVATED EASTERLY FLOW BETWEEN CAUTIONARY AND ADVISORY LEVELS WILL THEN LINGER THROUGH AT LEAST FRIDAY NIGHT. GMZ730-750-755-765-770-775-170930- /O.CON.KTAE.SC.Y.0030.111117T1200Z-111118T1200Z/ APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 922 PM EST WED NOV 16 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THURSDAY TO 7 AM EST FRIDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THURSDAY TO 7 AM EST FRIDAY. * PEAK WINDS: NORTH 20 TO 25 KNOTS...BECOMING NORTHEAST LATE THURSDAY NIGHT. * PEAK SEAS: 5 TO 7 FEET OFFSHORE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS... AND/OR SEAS 7 FEET OR HIGHER...ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
447 WHUS72 KTAE 170806 MWWTAE URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 306 AM EST THU NOV 17 2011 ...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM EST TODAY UNTIL 4 AM EST SATURDAY FOR ALL COASTAL AND OFFSHORE WATERS FROM THE EASTERN PANHANDLE THROUGH THE BIG BEND OF FLORIDA... .A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE COASTAL WATERS AND EXIT TO OUR EAST THIS MORNING. IN ITS WAKE...WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST...NORTH AND THEN NORTHEAST THROUGH TONIGHT AND INCREASE TO ADVISORY LEVELS. ADVISORY LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT. GMZ730-750-755-765-770-775-171615- /O.EXT.KTAE.SC.Y.0030.111117T1200Z-111119T0900Z/ APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 306 AM EST THU NOV 17 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 4 AM EST SATURDAY... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 4 AM EST SATURDAY. * PEAK WINDS: NORTH 20 TO 25 KNOTS...BECOMING NORTHEAST LATE TONIGHT. * PEAK SEAS: 5 TO 7 FEET OFFSHORE DECREASING TO 4 TO 6 FEET FRIDAY MORNING PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS... AND/OR SEAS 7 FEET OR HIGHER...ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ BLOCK
704 WHUS72 KTAE 171538 MWWTAE URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 1038 AM EST THU NOV 17 2011 ...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST SATURDAY FOR ALL COASTAL AND OFFSHORE WATERS FROM THE EASTERN PANHANDLE THROUGH THE BIG BEND OF FLORIDA... .A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE EAST OF THE MARINE AREA LATER THIS MORNING. IN ITS WAKE...A STRONG NORTHERLY WIND FLOW CAN BE EXPECTED BECOMING NORTHEAST OVERNIGHT...THEN EAST ON FRIDAY. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED TODAY CONTINUING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. A MODERATE EASTERLY WIND FLOW WILL CONTINUE EARLY SATURDAY DIMINISHING BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON AS HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES OFF THE CAROLINA COAST. GMZ730-750-755-765-770-775-180000- /O.CON.KTAE.SC.Y.0030.000000T0000Z-111119T0900Z/ APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 1038 AM EST THU NOV 17 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST SATURDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST SATURDAY. * PEAK WINDS: NORTH 20 TO 25 KNOTS WITH OCCASIONAL HIGHER GUSTS... BECOMING NORTHEAST OVERNIGHT TONIGHT...THEN MOSTLY EAST FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT. * PEAK SEAS: 6 TO 8 FEET WELL OFFSHORE...AND 3 TO 5 FEET GENERALLY OUT TO 20 NM. PROTECTED WATERS CHOPPY TO ROUGH. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS... AND/OR SEAS 7 FEET OR HIGHER...ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
522 WHUS72 KTAE 172341 MWWTAE URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 641 PM EST THU NOV 17 2011 ...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST SATURDAY FOR ALL COASTAL AND OFFSHORE WATERS FROM THE EASTERN PANHANDLE THROUGH THE BIG BEND OF FLORIDA... .STRONG NORTHERLY WIND IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO BECOME NORTHEASTERLY TONIGHT...THEN EASTERLY ON FRIDAY. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. A MODERATE EASTERLY WIND FLOW WILL CONTINUE EARLY SATURDAY DIMINISHING BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON AS HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES OFF THE CAROLINA COAST. GMZ730-750-755-765-770-775-181000- /O.CON.KTAE.SC.Y.0030.000000T0000Z-111119T0900Z/ APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 641 PM EST THU NOV 17 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST SATURDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST SATURDAY. * PEAK WINDS: NORTH 20 TO 25 KNOTS WITH OCCASIONAL HIGHER GUSTS... BECOMING NORTHEAST OVERNIGHT TONIGHT...THEN MOSTLY EAST FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT. * PEAK SEAS: 6 TO 8 FEET WELL OFFSHORE...AND 3 TO 5 FEET GENERALLY OUT TO 20 NM. PROTECTED WATERS CHOPPY TO ROUGH. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS... AND/OR SEAS 7 FEET OR HIGHER...ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ DVD
435 WHUS72 KTAE 181144 MWWTAE URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 644 AM EST FRI NOV 18 2011 ...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST SATURDAY FOR THE COASTAL AND OFFSHORE WATERS FROM DESTIN TO APALACHICOLA... ...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST SATURDAY FOR THE COASTAL AND OFFSHORE WATERS FROM THE SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA... .STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME EASTERLY LATER TODAY. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT...AND THEN LINGER INTO SATURDAY MORNING ACROSS THE PANHANDLE WATERS. A MODERATE EASTERLY WIND FLOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND THEN DIMINISH BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON AS HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES OFF THE CAROLINA COAST. GMZ750-770-181530- /O.EXT.KTAE.SC.Y.0030.000000T0000Z-111119T1500Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 644 AM EST FRI NOV 18 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST SATURDAY... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST SATURDAY. * PEAK WINDS: NORTHEAST 20 TO 25 KNOTS THIS MORNING...THEN MOSTLY EAST THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. * PEAK SEAS: 6 TO 8 FEET WELL OFFSHORE...AND 3 TO 5 FEET GENERALLY OUT TO 20 NM. PROTECTED WATERS CHOPPY TO ROUGH. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS... AND/OR SEAS 7 FEET OR HIGHER...ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ GMZ730-755-765-775-181530- /O.CON.KTAE.SC.Y.0030.000000T0000Z-111119T0900Z/ APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 644 AM EST FRI NOV 18 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST SATURDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST SATURDAY. * PEAK WINDS: NORTHEAST 20 TO 25 KNOTS WITH OCCASIONAL HIGHER GUSTS...BECOMING MOSTLY EAST THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. * PEAK SEAS: 6 TO 8 FEET WELL OFFSHORE...AND 3 TO 5 FEET OUT TO 20 NM. PROTECTED WATERS CHOPPY TO ROUGH. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS... AND/OR SEAS 7 FEET OR HIGHER...ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
666 WHUS72 KTAE 181521 MWWTAE URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 1021 AM EST FRI NOV 18 2011 ...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST SATURDAY FOR THE COASTAL AND OFFSHORE WATERS FROM DESTIN TO APALACHICOLA... ...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST SATURDAY FOR THE COASTAL AND OFFSHORE WATERS FROM THE SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA... .STRONG NORTHEASTERLY WINDS IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME EASTERLY LATER TODAY. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT...AND THEN LINGER INTO SATURDAY MORNING ACROSS THE PANHANDLE WATERS. A MODERATE EASTERLY WIND FLOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND THEN DIMINISH BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON AS HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES OFF THE CAROLINA COAST. GMZ750-770-182130- /O.CON.KTAE.SC.Y.0030.000000T0000Z-111119T1500Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 1021 AM EST FRI NOV 18 2011 ...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST SATURDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST SATURDAY. * PEAK WINDS: NORTHEAST AROUND 20 KNOTS THIS MORNING...THEN MOSTLY EAST THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. * PEAK SEAS: 6 TO 8 FEET WELL OFFSHORE...AND 3 TO 5 FEET GENERALLY OUT TO 20 NM. PROTECTED WATERS CHOPPY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS... AND/OR SEAS 7 FEET OR HIGHER...ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ GMZ730-755-765-775-182130- /O.CON.KTAE.SC.Y.0030.000000T0000Z-111119T0900Z/ APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 1021 AM EST FRI NOV 18 2011 ...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST SATURDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST SATURDAY. * PEAK WINDS: NORTHEAST AROUND 20 KNOTS BECOMING MOSTLY EAST THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. * PEAK SEAS: 5 TO 7 FEET WELL OFFSHORE...AND 3 TO 5 FEET OUT TO 20 NM. PROTECTED WATERS CHOPPY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS... AND/OR SEAS 7 FEET OR HIGHER...ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ 17-GOULD
555 WHUS72 KTAE 181942 MWWTAE URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 242 PM EST FRI NOV 18 2011 ...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST SATURDAY FOR THE COASTAL AND OFFSHORE WATERS FROM DESTIN TO APALACHICOLA... ...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SATURDAY FOR THE COASTAL AND OFFSHORE WATERS FROM THE SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA... .WITH THE SURFACE RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST ONLY GRADUALLY WEAKENING AS IT SETTLES SLOWLY TO THE SOUTH...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS OUT OF THE EAST MAY LINGER OVER THE COASTAL WATERS INTO SATURDAY MORNING OVER THE EASTERN LEGS AND SATURDAY AFTERNOON TO THE WEST. THEREAFTER...MORE MODERATE WINDS AND SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO RETURN TO THE MARINE AREA...BUT THERE WILL BE THE POSSIBILITY FOR NOCTURNAL SURGES WHICH MAY BRING BRIEF PERIODS OF CAUTIONARY CONDITIONS TO PARTS OF THE WATERS ON SATURDAY NIGHT. GMZ750-770-190400- /O.EXT.KTAE.SC.Y.0030.000000T0000Z-111119T1800Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 242 PM EST FRI NOV 18 2011 ...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST SATURDAY... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST SATURDAY. * PEAK WINDS: EAST AROUND 20 KNOTS. * PEAK SEAS: 3 TO 5 FEET NEARSHORE AND 5 TO 7 FEET WELL OFFSHORE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS... AND/OR SEAS 7 FEET OR HIGHER...ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ GMZ730-755-765-775-190400- /O.EXT.KTAE.SC.Y.0030.000000T0000Z-111119T1200Z/ APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 242 PM EST FRI NOV 18 2011 ...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SATURDAY... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SATURDAY. * PEAK WINDS: EAST AROUND 20 KNOTS. * PEAK SEAS: 3 TO 5 FEET NEARSHORE AND 5 TO 7 FEET WELL OFFSHORE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS... AND/OR SEAS 7 FEET OR HIGHER...ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ 17-GOULD
674 WHUS72 KTAE 190220 MWWTAE URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 920 PM EST FRI NOV 18 2011 ...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST SATURDAY FOR THE COASTAL AND OFFSHORE WATERS FROM DESTIN TO APALACHICOLA... ...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SATURDAY FOR THE COASTAL AND OFFSHORE WATERS FROM THE SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA... .WITH THE SURFACE RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST ONLY GRADUALLY WEAKENING AS IT SETTLES SLOWLY TO THE SOUTH...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS OUT OF THE EAST ARE EXPECTED TO LINGER OVER THE COASTAL WATERS INTO SATURDAY MORNING OVER THE EASTERN LEGS AND SATURDAY AFTERNOON TO THE WEST. THEREAFTER...MORE MODERATE WINDS AND SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO RETURN TO THE MARINE AREA...BUT THERE WILL BE THE POSSIBILITY FOR NOCTURNAL SURGES WHICH MAY BRING BRIEF PERIODS OF CAUTIONARY CONDITIONS TO PARTS OF THE WATERS ON SATURDAY NIGHT. GMZ750-770-190945- /O.CON.KTAE.SC.Y.0030.000000T0000Z-111119T1800Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 920 PM EST FRI NOV 18 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST SATURDAY... * PEAK WINDS: EAST AROUND 20 KNOTS. * PEAK SEAS: 3 TO 5 FEET NEARSHORE AND 5 TO 7 FEET WELL OFFSHORE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS... AND/OR SEAS 7 FEET OR HIGHER...ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ GMZ730-755-765-775-190945- /O.CON.KTAE.SC.Y.0030.000000T0000Z-111119T1200Z/ APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 920 PM EST FRI NOV 18 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SATURDAY... * PEAK WINDS: EAST AROUND 20 KNOTS. * PEAK SEAS: 3 TO 5 FEET NEARSHORE AND 5 TO 7 FEET WELL OFFSHORE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS... AND/OR SEAS 7 FEET OR HIGHER...ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ DVD
685 WHUS72 KTAE 190851 MWWTAE URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 351 AM EST SAT NOV 19 2011 ...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST TODAY FOR THE COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO APALACHICOLA... ...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST TODAY FOR THE COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA... .HIGH PRESSURE NORTHEAST OF THE AREA OVER THE CAROLINAS WILL MAINTAIN A TIGHT GRADIENT ACROSS THE NORTHEAST GULF THIS MORNING WITH EASTERLY WINDS BLOWING AT ADVISORY LEVELS. CONDITIONS SHOULD SUBSIDE BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA SHORTLY AFTER SUNRISE OVER THE EASTERN LEGS EAST OF APALACHICOLA. HOWEVER...IT SHOULD TAKE UNTIL EARLY AFTERNOON BEFORE THE WESTERN WATERS DROP TO CAUTION. THESE EXERCISE CAUTION CONDITIONS WILL THEN PERSIST INTO TONIGHT. GMZ750-770-191530- /O.CON.KTAE.SC.Y.0030.000000T0000Z-111119T1800Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 351 AM EST SAT NOV 19 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. * PEAK WINDS: EAST AROUND 25 KNOTS BEFORE SUNRISE THIS MORNING. * PEAK SEAS: 3 TO 5 FEET NEARSHORE AND 8 TO 10 FEET WELL OFFSHORE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS... AND/OR SEAS 7 FEET OR HIGHER...ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ GMZ730-755-765-775-191200- /O.CON.KTAE.SC.Y.0030.000000T0000Z-111119T1200Z/ APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 351 AM EST SAT NOV 19 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS MORNING... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS MORNING. * PEAK WINDS: EAST 20 TO 25 KNOTS EARLY THIS MORNING. * PEAK SEAS: 4 TO 6 FEET NEARSHORE AND 7 TO 9 FEET WELL OFFSHORE EARLY THIS MORNING AND 3 TO 4 FEET IN APALACHEE BAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS... AND/OR SEAS 7 FEET OR HIGHER...ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ 18-WOOL
124 WHUS72 KTAE 191219 MWWTAE URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 719 AM EST SAT NOV 19 2011 ...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST TODAY FOR THE COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO APALACHICOLA... ...THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN FOR THE COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA... .HIGH PRESSURE NORTHEAST OF THE AREA OVER THE CAROLINAS WILL MAINTAIN A TIGHT GRADIENT ACROSS THE NORTHEAST GULF THIS MORNING WITH EASTERLY WINDS BLOWING AT ADVISORY LEVELS. CONDITIONS HAVE JUST SUBSIDED BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS OVER THE EASTERN LEGS THIS MORNING. HOWEVER...IT SHOULD TAKE UNTIL EARLY AFTERNOON BEFORE THE WESTERN WATERS DROP TO CAUTIONARY LEVELS. THESE EXERCISE CAUTION CONDITIONS WILL THEN PERSIST INTO TONIGHT. GMZ730-755-765-775-191330- /O.EXP.KTAE.SC.Y.0030.000000T0000Z-111119T1200Z/ APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 719 AM EST SAT NOV 19 2011 ...THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. HOWEVER...SMALL CRAFT OPERATORS SHOULD STILL EXERCISE CAUTION TODAY. $$ GMZ750-770-191700- /O.CON.KTAE.SC.Y.0030.000000T0000Z-111119T1800Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 719 AM EST SAT NOV 19 2011 ...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. * PEAK WINDS: EAST 20 TO 25 KNOTS. * PEAK SEAS: 4 TO 6 FEET NEARSHORE AND 8 TO 10 FEET WELL OFFSHORE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS... AND/OR SEAS 7 FEET OR HIGHER...ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ 17-GOULD
058 WHUS72 KTAE 191518 MWWTAE URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 1018 AM EST SAT NOV 19 2011 ...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST TODAY FOR THE COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO APALACHICOLA OUT TO 60 NM... .HIGH PRESSURE NORTHEAST OF THE AREA OVER THE CAROLINAS WILL MAINTAIN A FAIRLY TIGHT GRADIENT ACROSS THE NORTHEAST GULF TODAY WITH EASTERLY WINDS BLOWING AT ADVISORY LEVELS. CONDITIONS HAVE JUST SUBSIDED BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS OVER THE EASTERN LEGS THIS MORNING. HOWEVER...IT SHOULD TAKE UNTIL EARLY AFTERNOON BEFORE THE WESTERN WATERS DROP TO CAUTIONARY LEVELS. THESE EXERCISE CAUTION CONDITIONS WILL THEN PERSIST INTO TONIGHT BEFORE WINDS SUBSIDE ON SUNDAY. WINDS WILL BEGIN TO VEER TO THE SOUTHEAST MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY AHEAD OF THE NEXT FRONTAL SYSTEM. AT THIS TIME...IT APPEARS WINDS WILL REMAIN BELOW HEADLINE CRITERIA AHEAD OF THE FRONT AND IMMEDIATELY BEHIND IT ON WEDNESDAY. GMZ750-770-191800- /O.CON.KTAE.SC.Y.0030.000000T0000Z-111119T1800Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 1018 AM EST SAT NOV 19 2011 ...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. * PEAK WINDS: EAST 20 TO 25 KNOTS DECREASING TO 15 TO 20 KNOTS LATE THIS AFTERNOON. * PEAK SEAS: 4 TO 6 FEET NEARSHORE AND 8 TO 10 FEET WELL OFFSHORE...SUBSIDING TO 3 TO 5 FEET NEARSHORE AND 4 TO 6 FEET OFFSHORE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS... AND/OR SEAS 7 FEET OR HIGHER...ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ 17-GOULD
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Tallahassee, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Nov 16, 3:15 PM EST, 25 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Nov 16, 3:15 PM EST, 25 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
315 PM EST Wed Nov 16 2011
...Tornado Watch #890 in effect until 8 PM CST this evening for
Southeast Alabama, portions of Southwest/South-Central Georgia, and
portions of the Florida Panhandle...
.Synopsis...
A broad mid/upper level trough covers much of the contiguous U.S.
this afternoon with an attendant broad, weak surface low/frontal
boundary sprawling across the southeastern part of the country, from
KY southwest to LA. A weakening shortwave out ahead of the main
trough has combined with a very moist and unstable atmosphere over
our local area to initiate scattered shower development this
afternoon. Further west, closer to the surface low, strong to severe
storms associated with a pre-frontal squall line have been marching
east from LA and MS this morning, into portions of the FL panhandle,
AL, and GA this afternoon. The weakening piece of energy supporting
this line of storms will continue NE, pushing the squall through our
local area this afternoon/evening.
&&
.Near term (tonight)...
As the squall line moves through the local area, there exists a
threat for isolated severe thunderstorm development. It appears that
the best chance for an isolated tornado will be over portions of
southeast Alabama and extreme southwest GA this afternoon through
the early evening when that threat will lift northeast out of the
region with the passing surface low. Elsewhere, across portions of
southwest and south central Georgia, as well as the eastern
panhandle of Florida, the threat for an isolated thunderstorm
capable of producing damaging winds exists until after midnight.
After midnight the threat for severe weather ends region-wide and
any rain/isolated storms that remain should push east out of the big
bend of Florida by daybreak on Thursday. Do not expect any
significant or widespread rainfall with this event with a half of an
inch to an inch expected west of the Apalachicola river and around a
half of an inch or less elsewhere.
&&
.Short Term (Thursday through Friday Night)...
Thursday,
Mid/Upper level longwave trough axis will pivot across the forecast
area during the morning hours allowing the final push in exiting the
surface front east of the Suwannee River Valley. Will see a brief
period between 12-15UTC during which a few lingering showers will
remain possible down toward the Mayo/Cross City portion of the
forecast area. Thereafter...model consensus shows the best deep
layer synoptic/QG forcing rapidly exiting. At the same time, upper
jet axis and resulting RRQ divergence will be shifting off the
Southeast Coast. PoPs will be removed after 15Z for these far SE Big
Bend zones with a dry day region-wide thereafter. In the wake of the
front will see gradual clearing from NW to SE during the later
morning/early afternoon hours. Overall, the majority of Thursday
will end up being a fair and seasonable day with high temperatures
reaching the lower/mid 70s. Far NW zones up toward Dothan and
Enterprise will experience the best CAA in the wake of the front and
should hold in the upper 60s.
Thursday Night,
Upper level flow will become zonal in nature along the northern Gulf
coast while surface high pressure slides to our north. Guidance mean
in terms of low temperatures has shifted down, especially when
considering the MAV numbers. Atmospheric column will indeed be quite
dry, however the surface high will be centered over eastern TN
during the night. This position will allow the gradient to remain
somewhat tight and is not favorable for good radiational
cooling/boundary layer de-coupling. Will run a blend of the MAV/MET
numbers allowing normally colder locations over the Northern/Western
forecast area to reach the middle/upper 30s. Even if we can get down
to these lower number, surface dewpoints depressions look to be wide
enough to prevent any significant frost threat. Will continue to
monitor with future guidance.
Friday/Friday night,
Fair and seasonable weather will be the rule through the period.
Upper level pattern will see slight ridging build in from the south
while the surface ridge center moves to the Carolina coast. In
response to the ridge movement, low level winds come around to the
east and begin to bring low level Atlantic moisture back into the
region. High temperatures on Friday expected to fall a bit below
normal in the mid/upper 60s, however with the increased moisture,
Friday night will be warmer than the previous night with temps far
above any frost threat.
&&
.Long Term (Saturday through next Wednesday)...
It looks like a very dry and rather bland pattern across the
Southeast U.S. throughout much of the extended period, as the
sub-tropical ridge is expected to set up shop over the FL peninsula
early in the period and then the northern Gulf of Mexico late in the
period. After the lingering cool air exits the area on Saturday,
this synoptic pattern should provide our region with above normal
temperatures throughout much of the fcst, with highs ranging from
the mid 70s near the coast to around 80 degrees inland. For the
Tallahassee area, this will be well above climo, which begins the
climatological period with highs around 73 degrees and ends with
highs around 71. Low temps will also gradually moderate through the
period, and with near climo lows (in the mid 40s on Saturday
Morning), but lower to middle 50s should generally be the rule
thereafter. Finally, with the upper level ridge keeping the moisture
axis to our north, Pops should be generally negligible until the end
of the period, when the next cold front may bring scattered showers
or thunderstorms to the region by Wednesday or Thursday.
&&
.AVIATION...
MVFR conditions will continue into the evening with tempo's to IFR
with scattered thunderstorms. Conditions should rapidly improve from
west to east overnight as the front moves through the region. VFR
conditions expected behind the front with gusty northerly winds
Thursday afternoon.
&&
.MARINE...
Winds and seas to near cautionary levels will continue through the
evening ahead of an approaching cold front. The front will cross the
coastal waters after midnight and exit to our east early Thursday
morning. Winds will shift to the northwest and north in the wake of
the front and increase to advisory levels. Advisory level winds are
expected to continue through Thursday night while shifting around to
the northeast. Elevated easterly flow between cautionary and
advisory levels are anticipated to linger through at least Friday
night.
&&
.Fire Weather...
Drier airmass will spill into the region on Thursday behind the cold
front. Humidity values will be well below critical values across
Florida during the afternoon. However, dispersions and surface winds
will be very close to thresholds. Will maintain the current Fire
Weather Watch for now, and let later shift make the final decision
on a potential Red Flag Warning. Low-level moisture should recover
enough by Friday to preclude any fire weather headlines.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Tallahassee 63 75 38 68 45 / 70 10 10 0 10
Panama City 62 71 39 68 46 / 60 0 10 0 10
Dothan 56 67 36 67 42 / 30 0 10 0 10
Albany 59 70 36 66 43 / 50 0 10 0 10
Valdosta 64 75 42 67 46 / 70 10 10 0 10
Cross City 67 79 41 72 46 / 70 20 10 0 10
Apalachicola 64 74 42 68 51 / 70 10 10 0 10
&&
.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
GA...None.
FL...Fire Weather Watch Thursday afternoon for Calhoun-Central Walton-
Coastal Bay-Gadsden-Holmes-Inland Bay-Inland Franklin-
Inland Gulf-Inland Jefferson-Inland Wakulla-Inland Walton-
Jackson-Leon-Liberty-South Walton-Washington.
GM...Small Craft Advisory from 7 AM Thursday to 7 AM EST Friday for
Apalachee Bay-Coastal waters From Ochlockonee River to
Apalachicola FL out to 20 NM-Coastal waters from Suwannee
River to Keaton Beach FL out 20 NM-Coastal waters from
Apalachicola to Destin FL out 20 NM-Waters from Suwannee
River to Apalachicola FL from 20 to 60 NM-Waters from
Apalachicola to Destin FL from 20 to 60 NM.
&&
Synopsis/Near Term...Harrigan
Short Term/Marine...Mroczka
Long Term...Gould
Aviation/Fire Wx...CampHazardous weather outlook, Nov 16, 10:59 AM EST, 4 hours 41 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 1059 AM EST WED NOV 16 2011 ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-108-112-114-115-118-127-128-134- GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-GMZ730-750-755-765-770-775-171000- COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-INLAND WALTON-CENTRAL WALTON- HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-INLAND BAY-CALHOUN-INLAND GULF- INLAND FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON-INLAND JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY- INLAND WAKULLA-INLAND TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-INLAND DIXIE-SOUTH WALTON- COASTAL BAY-COASTAL GULF-COASTAL FRANKLIN-COASTAL JEFFERSON- COASTAL WAKULLA-COASTAL TAYLOR-COASTAL DIXIE-QUITMAN-CLAY- RANDOLPH-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN- EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE- DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER- APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 1059 AM EST WED NOV 16 2011 /959 AM CST WED NOV 16 2011/ THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA... SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...AND THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND PANHANDLE...AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE REGION TODAY AND TONIGHT... A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE REGION TODAY AND TONIGHT. AHEAD AND ALONG THIS FRONT...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH BREEZY AND GUSTY WINDS ARE EXPECTED. SOME OF THESE STORMS WILL BE STRONG TO SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WINDS THE MAIN THREAT. THE FOCUS WILL BE CLOSEST TO THE UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT...NAMELY SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND SOUTHWEST GEORGIA. THE STORMS WILL SHIFT TO THE EASTERN COUNTIES TOWARDS TONIGHT BUT THE THREAT SHOULD BE LESS THAN EARLIER IN THE DAY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY... AFTER THE FRONT EXITS, EXPECT A DRIER AND COOLER AIRMASS TO OVERSPREAD THE REGION BEGINNING ON THURSDAY. A PERIOD OF SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVEL WINDS AND SEAS IS EXPECTED OVER THE COASTAL WATERS DURING THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT IN THE WAKE OF THE COLD FRONT. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS REQUESTED FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA. ADDITIONAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED LATER TODAY. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV...THEN CLICK ON YOUR AREA OF INTEREST ON THE NATIONAL MAP. CAMP
The office that day
Everything else NWS Tallahassee, FL issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 9:27 PM EST | Dense Fog Advisory | TAE | Dixie, Franklin, Gadsden, Gulf, Jefferson, Lafayette and 4 more | 8 hr |
| Nov 16, 4:05 AM EST | Rip Current Statement | TAE | Walton | 15 hr |
| Nov 16, 5:12 AM EST | Fire Weather Watch | TAE | Bay, Calhoun, Franklin, Gadsden, Gulf, Holmes and 6 more | 22 hr |
| Nov 16, 2:18 PM EST | Special Marine Warning | TAE | 72 min | |
| Nov 16, 3:34 PM EST | Tornado Warning | TAE | Jackson | 26 min |
| Nov 16, 4:37 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TAE | Dougherty, Lee | 23 min |
| Nov 16, 4:44 PM EST | Tornado Warning | TAE | Baker | 14 min |
| Nov 16, 4:55 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TAE | Lee, Worth | 35 min |
| Nov 16, 5:00 PM EST | Tornado Warning | TAE | Lee, Turner, Worth | 30 min |
| Nov 16, 5:25 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TAE | Turner | 35 min |
| Nov 16, 5:36 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TAE | Colquitt, Decatur, Grady, Mitchell, Thomas | 39 min |
| Nov 16, 6:19 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TAE | Brooks, Colquitt, Grady, Thomas | 26 min |
Nearby
Small Craft Advisories in Florida, 2011Every small craft advisory in 2011
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.