Small Craft Advisory 3, NWS Tallahassee, FL

340 
WHUS72 KTAE 101237
MWWTAE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
737 AM EST MON JAN 10 2011

...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON FOR ALL OF THE COASTAL WATERS...

.A LOW PRESSURE CENTER WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS IT CROSSES THE
FORECAST WATERS TODAY...WITH SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS
LINGERING UNTIL LATE THIS AFTERNOON. THE LOW CENTER IS NOW IN THE
WESTERN PORTION OF THE WATERS TO THE SOUTH OF THE PANHANDLE...AND
WILL THEN EXIT EAST DURING THE AFTERNOON. WINDS AND SEAS WILL DROP
OFF QUICKLY THIS AFTERNOON AND REMAIN BELOW HEADLINE CRITERIA IN
OFFSHORE FLOW FROM TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
THEN BUILD SLOWLY SOUTHEAST FROM THE PLAINS. THIS WILL INCREASE
THE GRADIENT ACROSS THE NORTHEAST GULF ONCE AGAIN WITH EXERCISE
CAUTION TO MARGINAL ADVISORY CONDITIONS EXPECTED FOR TUESDAY NIGHT
INTO THURSDAY. WINDS AND SEAS WILL THEN DROP BELOW HEADLINE
CRITERIA LATE IN THE WEEK AS THE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS CLOSER TO
THE GULF COAST.


GMZ730-750-755-765-770-775-101600-
/O.CON.KTAE.SC.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-110110T2100Z/
APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM  OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
737 AM EST MON JAN 10 2011

...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

* PEAK WINDS: SOUTHEAST WIND 20 TO 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 30
  KNOTS...BECOMING NORTHWEST AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS IN THE AFTERNOON.

* PEAK SEAS: 5 TO 7 FEET NEARSHORE AND 8 TO 10 FEET OFFSHORE...
  SUBSIDING TO 3 TO 5 FEET NEARSHORE AND AROUND 6 FEET OFFSHORE
  IN THE AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33
KNOTS... AND/OR SEAS 7 FEET OR HIGHER...ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING
IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

17-GOULD

470 
WHUS72 KTAE 101448
MWWTAE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
948 AM EST MON JAN 10 2011

...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON FOR ALL OF THE COASTAL WATERS...

.A LOW PRESSURE CENTER WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS IT CROSSES THE
FORECAST WATERS TODAY...WITH SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS
LINGERING UNTIL LATE THIS AFTERNOON. THE LOW CENTER IS NOW JUST TO
THE SOUTH OF THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE COASTAL WATERS TO THE
SOUTH OF THE PANHANDLE...AND WILL THEN EXIT EAST DURING THE
AFTERNOON. WINDS AND SEAS WILL THEN DROP OFF QUICKLY LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND REMAIN BELOW HEADLINE CRITERIA IN OFFSHORE FLOW FROM
TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN BUILD SLOWLY
SOUTHEAST FROM THE PLAINS. THIS WILL INCREASE THE GRADIENT ACROSS
THE NORTHEAST GULF ONCE AGAIN WITH EXERCISE CAUTION TO MARGINAL
ADVISORY CONDITIONS EXPECTED FOR TUESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY.
WINDS AND SEAS WILL THEN DROP BELOW HEADLINE CRITERIA LATE IN THE
WEEK AS THE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS CLOSER TO THE GULF COAST.


GMZ730-750-755-765-770-775-102100-
/O.CON.KTAE.SC.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-110110T2100Z/
APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM  OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
948 AM EST MON JAN 10 2011

...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

* PEAK WINDS: SOUTHEAST WIND 20 TO 25 KNOTS...BECOMING WEST AT 10
  TO 15 KNOTS IN THE AFTERNOON.

* PEAK SEAS: 6 TO 8 FEET NEARSHORE AND 9 TO 11 FEET OFFSHORE...
  SUBSIDING TO 3 TO 5 FEET NEARSHORE AND AROUND 6 FEET OFFSHORE IN
  THE AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33
KNOTS... AND/OR SEAS 7 FEET OR HIGHER...ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING
IN THESE CONDITIONS.


&&

$$

17-GOULD

573 
WHUS72 KTAE 102021
MWWTAE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
321 PM EST MON JAN 10 2011

...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING FOR ALL OF THE COASTAL WATERS...

.THE SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WHICH BROUGHT GALE FORCE WINDS TO
THE COASTAL WATERS LAST NIGHT CONTINUES TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS IT
MOVES EASTWARD TO THE SOUTH OF APALACHEE BAY. ALTHOUGH SUSTAINED
WINDS HAVE DROPPED BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS...SEAS REMAIN ELEVATED
FROM THE EARLIER LONG DURATION AND STRONG SOUTHEASTERLY
FETCH...WITH BUOYS 42036 AND 42039 STILL REPORTING 9 FOOT SEAS AS
OF 1 PM EST. THEREFORE...HAVE DECIDED TO EXTEND THE SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...AND WILL HEADLINE A SMALL
CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION AFTER 7 PM TONIGHT DUE TO THE HIGH SEAS.
GENERALLY LIGHT NORTHERLY WINDS WILL START THE DAY ON TUESDAY...
BEFORE THEY BEGIN TO INCREASE TO MODERATE LEVELS IN THE AFTERNOON
AND THEN BACK TO ADVISORY CONDITIONS ON TUESDAY NIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY. THESE STRONG OFFSHORE WINDS WILL BE CAUSED BY THE
PASSAGE OF A DRY COLD FRONT WHICH WILL BE FOLLOWED BY YET ANOTHER
ARCTIC AIR MASS.


GMZ730-750-755-765-770-775-110000-
/O.EXT.KTAE.SC.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-110111T0000Z/
APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM  OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
321 PM EST MON JAN 10 2011

...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

* PEAK WINDS: SOUTHWEST WIND 15 TO 20 KNOTS...BECOMING NORTH
  AROUND 10 KNOTS OVERNIGHT.

* PEAK SEAS: 4 TO 6 FEET NEARSHORE AND 6 TO 8 FEET OFFSHORE...
  SUBSIDING TO 2 TO 4 FEET NEARSHORE AND TO 3 TO 5 FEET OFFSHORE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS...
AND/OR SEAS 7 FEET OR HIGHER...ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY
THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

17-GOULD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
335 AM EST MON JAN 10 2011

...AREAS OF FREEZING RAIN STILL EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT INTO MONDAY
MORNING ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND SOUTH GEORGIA...

.SYNOPSIS...
08Z WATER VAPOR AND H4 RUC ANALYSIS SHOW A DEAMPLIFYING SHORTWAVE
CROSSING THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES. SHORTWAVE AXIS IS NOW OVER AL AND
IS PROGGED TO CONTINUE SHEARING OUT AS IT MOVES TO THE CAROLINA
COAST LATER TODAY. PLENTY OF MID/UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE IS STREAMING
NORTH OUT OF THE GULF AHEAD OF THIS DISTURBANCE...HOWEVER THE IN THE
WAKE OF THE SHORTWAVE...SIGNIFICANT DRYING/SUBSIDENCE IS VERY
EVIDENT ON WV IMAGERY. THIS DRYING WILL BE OVERSPREAD OUR FORECAST
AREA THROUGH THE DAY. 00Z KTLH SOUNDING SHOWED A CONSIDERABLE DRY
LAYER BELOW AROUND 800MB...AND IT IS THIS DRY LAYER THAT MAKES ALL
THE DIFFERENCE IN THE P-TYPE FORECAST THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS.

AT THE SURFACE...FORECAST AREA LIES BETWEEN 1009MB LOW PRESSURE OFF
THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND 1030MB HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL
APPALACHIANS. NORMALLY ONE WOULD NOT BE LOOKING FOR A GALE EVENT
WITH A NEARLY 1010MB LOW. HOWEVER...WHEN COMBINED WITH THE STRONG
HIGH TO THE NORTH...THE GRADIENT IS TIGHT ENOUGH TO GIVE US THE
CONDITIONS OVER THE COASTAL WATERS. WINDS ARE LIGHTER OVER
LAND...BUT STILL GUSTY FOR THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. MORE IMPORTANT IS
THAT THIS FLOW IS CONTINUING TO SUPPLY THE REGION WITH DRY AIR FROM
THE NE. LARGE AREA OF PRECIPITATION OVER THE WESTERN AND NORTHERN
PORTIONS OF THE AREA HAS BEEN FALLING INTO THIS DRY LOW LEVEL
AIR...AND DUE TO WET-BULB EVAPORATIVE EFFECTS...THE TEMPERATURES
HAVE BEEN SLOWLY FALLING. INITIALLY...FOR THE FIRST FEW HOURS...WE
GOT MOSTLY REPORTS OF SLEET DUE TO MORE EFFICIENT COOLING ALOFT. THE
FACT THAT SLEET WAS FALLING INSTEAD OF RAIN SLOWED THE COOLING
PROCESS EARLY IN THE EVENT DUE TO LESS EVAPORATION. ALL MODELS
AGREED THAT THE LAYER ABOVE THE SURFACE WOULD WARM THROUGH THE
NIGHT...AND THIS LOOKS TO HAVE CHANGED MUCH OF THE PRECIP BACK TO
RAIN. AS A RESULT TEMPS HAVE FALLEN SINCE MIDNIGHT. AS OF THIS
REPORT...STATIONS FROM DOTHAN TO ALBANY WHERE 33/34 DEGREES
RESPECTIVELY...AND EUFAULA AL...JUST WEST OF QUITMAN COUNTY WAS NEAR
32 AND REPORTING FREEZING RAIN. SO MANY LOCATIONS OVER OUR NORTHERN
TIER OF COUNTIES ARE GETTING VERY CLOSE TO FREEZING. DEWPOINTS HAVE
COME UP WITH THE EVAPORATION...HOWEVER STILL SEEING VALUES IN THE
MID/UPPER 20S...ALLOWING THE POTENTIAL FOR A TEMP FALL OF ANOTHER
FEW DEGREES. THIS HAS ALWAYS LOOKED LIKE A BORDERLINE EVENT...AND IT
WILL BE A VERY CLOSE RAIN/FREEZING RAIN SITUATION FOR THESE NORTHERN
AREAS THE REST OF THE NIGHT...INTO AT LEAST THE FIRST HALF OF MONDAY
MORNING.

&&

.SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)...
TODAY...WEAKENING UPPER SHORTWAVE WILL PASS BY THE REGION THIS
MORNING. ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW PRESSURE WILL PASS ALONG OUR
COASTLINE AND EXIT EAST THIS EVENING. LOW LEVEL WAA/UPGLIDE AHEAD
OF THE LOW WILL CONTINUE TO COMBINE WITH WEAK SYNOPTIC SUPPORT
ASSOCIATED WITH THE PASSING IMPULSE TO PRODUCE A SWATH OF
PRECIPITATION OVER THE AREA THIS MORNING/EARLY AFTERNOON. THE
RAINFALL MAY BE BRIEFLY HEAVY AT TIME...ESPECIALLY ALONG AND SOUTH
OF THE I-10 CORRIDOR WHERE A FEW ISOLATED STORM ARE POSSIBLE.
GENERALLY THESE STORMS WILL BE HIGHLY ELEVATED WITH LITTLE THREAT OF
SEVERE WEATHER. LATER TODAY...WILL HAVE THE KEEP AN EYE ON AREAS
SOUTH OF PERRY TO CROSS CITY...AS THESE AREA ARE FORECAST TO BRIEFLY
SNEAK INTO THE WARM SECTOR. A FEW OF THE STORMS WITHIN THIS WARM
SECTOR MAY BECOME SURFACE BASED...BUT THIS WILL BE VERY NARROW
WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY FOR A FEW STRONG STORMS DURING THE LATER
MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON.

AS DISCUSSED ABOVE IN THE SYNOPSIS...TEMPERATURES ARE SLOWLY FALLING
THROUGH THE MIDDLE/LOWER 30S OVER OUR FAR NORTHERN AREAS...AND A
PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN IS STILL POSSIBLE LATER TONIGHT INTO EARLY
MONDAY MORNING...THEN EITHER A PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN OR FREEZING
DRIZZLE DURING THE MIDDLE/LATER MORNING HOURS. TIME-HEIGHT ANALYSIS
SHOW SIGNIFICANT DRYING ALOFT LATER THIS MORNING...WITH MOST
RESIDUAL MOISTURE AND COINCIDENT LIFT RESIDING BELOW THE DENDRITIC
GROWTH ZONE. THEREFORE...ANY LINGERING PRECIP SHOULD BE TAPERING OFF
TO DRIZZLE FROM WEST TO EAST. HOWEVER...FREEZING DRIZZLE ALTHOUGH IT
MAY NOT ACCUMULATE FAST...CAN BE JUST AS HAZARDOUS TO TRAVEL. EITHER
WAY...IT WILL REMAIN A BORDERLINE SITUATION THROUGH THE MORNING. IN
TERMS OF THE WARNINGS...CHANCES FOR FREEZING RAIN INCREASE THE
FURTHER NORTH ONE GOES...AND IT JUST MAY NOT HAPPEN ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN TIER OF COUNTIES...HOWEVER...FEEL THE SITUATION IS TOO
CLOSE TO DROP ANY COUNTIES AT THIS TIME.

IN TERMS OF TEMPERATURES...IT CONTINUES TO BE NIGHTMARE
FORECAST...ESPECIALLY OVER THE MIDDLE PORTION OF THE FORECAST
AREA...IN CLOSE PROXIMITY TO THE LOW TRACK. SMALL DIFFERENCE IN LOW
TRACK AND HOW THE MODELS ARE HANDLING THE BOUNDARY LAYER ARE
RESULTING IN MAV/MET TEMP DIFFERENCES TODAY/TONIGHT OF 10-15
DEGREES. HAVE GONE WITH A BLENDED FORECAST TO MINIMIZE THE ERROR.

TONIGHT...LOW IS GONE. DRY CONDITIONS AND SEASONABLY COOL TEMPS. FEW
LOCATIONS OVER THE FAR NORTH MAY REACH FREEZING BY DAYBREAK...
HOWEVER MUCH OF THE AREA WILL BOTTOM OUT IN THE MID/UPPER 30S.
ADDITIONAL PASSING SHORTWAVE ENERGY TO OUR NORTH WILL PUSH A DRY
COLD FRONT/TROUGH THROUGH THE AREA LATE AT NIGHT INTO TUESDAY
MORNING.

TUESDAY/TUESDAY NIGHT...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS
WILL PUSH ANOTHER RE-ENFORCING SURGE OF COOL AND DRY AIR INTO THE
SOUTHEAST. TUESDAY WILL SEE BELOW AVERAGE TEMPS...BUT STILL
SEASONABLE IN THE UPPER 40S/LOW 50S NORTH TO THE MIDDLE 50S SOUTH.
AT NIGHT CONTINUED COLD AIR ADVECTION BRINGS TEMPS DOWN INTO THE
UPPER 20S NORTH AND WEST AND THE LOWER 30S EAST. THIS DOES LOOK LIKE
A WIDESPREAD FREEZE EVENT...HOWEVER A TIGHT GRADIENT WILL KEEP THE
LOWER LEVELS FROM DECOUPLING AND PREVENT A HARD FREEZE.
HOWEVER...THE BREEZE WILL MAKE IT FEEL COLDER...AND WIND CHILLS IN
THE LOW/MID 20S ARE EXPECTED...EVEN UPPER TEENS OVER PORTIONS OF SE
AL/SW GA.

WEDNESDAY...FAIR...DRY...BUT CHILLY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO
NOSE IN FROM THE NORTHWEST KEEPING THE GRADIENT TIGHT AND CAA GOING.
TEMPERATURES WILL ONLY REACH THE MIDDLE 40S NORTH OF THE I-10
CORRIDOR...AND UPPER 40S TO NEAR 50 SOUTH. WITH A BREEZE...IT WILL
FEEL EVEN COLDER. AT LEAST THE SUN WILL BE OUT.

&&

.LONG TERM (THURSDAY THROUGH NEXT MONDAY)...
THE LARGE SCALE PATTERN WILL REMAIN SOMEWHAT AMPLIFIED WITH A BROAD
TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN CONUS THROUGH THE PERIOD. WITHIN THE BROAD
TROUGH A SERIES OF WEAK UPPER LEVEL SHORT WILL ROTATE THROUGH...
MAINTAINING A GENERALLY NORTHERLY FLOW AND A RELATIVELY COLD DRY
AIRMASS OVER AREA. BY SUNDAY A STRONGER SHORT WAVE DROPS INTO THE
MEAN TROUGH AND AMPLIFIES IT...PUSHING A COLD FRONT INTO THE
SOUTHEAST. THE SURFACE RIDGE SHIFTS EASTWARD AND THE LOW LEVEL FLOW
BEGINS TO VEER TO A MORE SOUTHERLY DIRECTION. BY LATE SUNDAY...THERE
WILL BE INCREASING CLOUDS AND A THREAT OF RAIN...AS THE FRONTAL
SYSTEM APPROACHES AND PUSHES ACROSS THE AREA ON MONDAY. WITH THE
COLD DRY AIRMASS IN PLACE THROUGH MOST OF THE PERIOD...TEMPERATURES
WILL BE SIGNIFICANTLY BELOW NORMAL...WARMING TO NEAR NORMAL ON
MONDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
GALE CENTER LOCATED JUST E OF THE MS DELTA AT 06Z WILL CONTINUE TO
MOVE ENE TODAY. THE LOW WILL GRADUALLY FILL AS IT CROSSES THE
FORECAST WATERS. HOWEVER...A PERIOD OF GALE CONDITIONS IS EXPECTED
ACROSS THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA THIS MORNING IN THE E TO SE FLOW
AHEAD OF THE LOW CENTER. WHILE MOST OF THE FORECAST AREA WILL MEET
THE CRITERIA DUE TO FREQUENT GUSTS...A BRIEF PERIOD OF SUSTAINED
GALES IS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE WRN LEGS. THE LOW CENTER WILL ENTER THE
WRN PORTION OF THE WATERS JUST BEFORE SUNRISE AND EXIT E DURING THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS WILL PEAK NEAR 15 FT THIS MORNING ACROSS THE WRN
LEGS...AND PERHAPS REACH 7 FT OVER THE SRN PORTIONS OF THE APALACHEE
BAY. WINDS AND SEAS WILL THEN DROP OFF QUICKLY THIS AFTERNOON. THE
GALE WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 12Z WITH SCA CONDITIONS CONTINUING UNTIL
A SHORT TIME AFTER 18Z. WINDS AND SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW HEADLINE
CRITERIA IN OFFSHORE FLOW FROM TONIGHT THROUGH TUE. ARCTIC HIGH
PRESSURE WILL THEN BUILD SLOWLY SEWD FROM THE PLAINS. THIS WILL
INCREASE THE GRADIENT ACROSS THE NE GULF ONCE AGAIN WITH EXERCISE
CAUTION TO MARGINAL ADVISORY CONDITIONS EXPECTED FOR TUE NIGHT INTO
THU. WINDS AND SEAS WILL THEN DROP BELOW HEADLINE CRITERIA LATE IN
THE WEEK AS THE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS CLOSER TO THE GULF COAST.

&&

.AVIATION...
CEILINGS ARE LOWERING AND BANDS OF PRECIPITATION ARE DEVELOPING AND
SPREADING NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE TRI-STATE AREA TONIGHT...AS LOW
PRESSURE CONTINUES TO DEVELOP AND MOVE EASTWARD ALONG THE NORTHERN
GULF COAST TONIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING. CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES
WILL CONTINUE TO DETERIORATE BECOMING WIDESPREAD IFR ACROSS THE AREA
BY AROUND DAYBREAK. REPORTS OF SLEET CONTINUE TO BE RECEIVED ACROSS
PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL
GEORGIA EARLY THIS MORNING...AND AS TEMPERATURES FALL THERE IS THE
THREAT OF FREEZING RAIN MAINLY DURING THE 10Z - 14Z TIME PERIOD AND
MAINLY ACROSS NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA AS REFLECTED IN THE KDHN
AND KABY TAFS. EXPECT IFR CEILINGS TO PERSIST THROUGH THE FORECAST
PERIOD.WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE EASTERLY AND GUSTY THROUGH THE
NIGHT...THEN GRADUALLY BACK TO NORTHERLY AND DIMINISH MONDAY
AFTERNOON.

.FIRE WEATHER...
THERE ARE NO FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS THROUGH THE SHORT TERM PERIOD. A
COLDER DRIER AIRMASS WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE AREA ON MONDAY AND
TUESDAY...AND RELATIVE HUMIDITIES MAY APPROACH CRITICAL VALUES ON
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...THOUGH DURATIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE MET.
THE NEXT BEST CHANCE FOR RED FLAG CONDITIONS WILL BE STARTING
THURSDAY AND CONTINUING THROUGH AT LEAST THE END OF THE WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TALLAHASSEE   54  37  55  30  49 /  80  10   0   0   0
PANAMA CITY   55  38  56  31  50 /  50  10   0   0   0
DOTHAN        44  32  50  28  46 /  50  10   0   0   0
ALBANY        43  32  50  28  46 /  80  10   0   0   0
VALDOSTA      50  34  54  30  48 /  90  10   0   0   0
CROSS CITY    66  43  59  32  53 /  90  10   0   0   0
APALACHICOLA  60  39  55  33  51 /  70  10   0   0   0

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 10 AM CST THIS MORNING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COFFEE...DALE...GENEVA...HENRY...HOUSTON.

GA...WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: BAKER...BEN HILL...CALHOUN...CLAY...
     COLQUITT...DOUGHERTY...EARLY...IRWIN...LEE...MILLER...
     MITCHELL...QUITMAN...RANDOLPH...TERRELL...TIFT...TURNER...
     WORTH.

FL...HIGH SURF ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     SOUTH WALTON.

GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 4 PM EST THIS
     AFTERNOON FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL
     WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE RIVER FL OUT TO 20
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA
     FL OUT TO 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO
     KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA
     TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM...WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO
     APALACHICOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA
     TO DESTIN FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     GALE WARNING UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO
     OCHLOCKONEE RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO 20 NM...COASTAL
     WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM...
     COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM...
     WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL FROM 20 TO 60
     NM.

&&

MROCZKA/WOOL/DUVAL

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1059 PM EST SUN JAN 9 2011

ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-108-112-114-115-118-127-128-134-
GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-GMZ730-750-755-765-770-775-110400-
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-INLAND WALTON-CENTRAL WALTON-
HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-INLAND BAY-CALHOUN-INLAND GULF-
INLAND FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON-INLAND JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-
INLAND WAKULLA-INLAND TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-INLAND DIXIE-SOUTH WALTON-
COASTAL BAY-COASTAL GULF-COASTAL FRANKLIN-COASTAL JEFFERSON-
COASTAL WAKULLA-COASTAL TAYLOR-COASTAL DIXIE-QUITMAN-CLAY-
RANDOLPH-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN-
EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-
DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER-
APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM  OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
1059 PM EST SUN JAN 9 2011 /959 PM CST SUN JAN 9 2011/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...AND THE FLORIDA BIG BEND
AND PANHANDLE...AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT...
GALE CONDITIONS WITH HIGH SEAS AND GUSTY WINDS WILL BE HAZARDOUS
TO MARINERS. ALTHOUGH THERE WERE SOME REPORTS THIS SUNDAY EVENING
OF SLEET...MOSTLY RAIN IS EXPECTED THROUGH MIDNIGHT AS WARMING IS
TAKING PLACE ALOFT. BETWEEN MIDNIGHT AND DAWN THE AIR ALOFT WILL
CONTINUE TO WARM BUT IT WILL COOL NEAR THE GROUND IN ALABAMA AND
GEORGIA AS SOME OF THE RAIN EVAPORATES IN THE VERY DRY AIR AT
GROUND LEVEL. SOME OF THIS RAIN WILL BEGIN TO FREEZE ON IMPACT WITH
THE SURFACE IN SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND SOUTH GEORGIA. THIS FREEZING
RAIN WILL LAST UNTIL ABOUT MID MORNING MONDAY...AND WILL BE HAZARDOUS
TO TRAVELERS. TOTAL ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL RANGE FROM A TRACE TO A
QUARTER OF AN INCH...BUT LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE NORTH
OF A LINE FROM ELBA AL TO TIFTON GA. SOME SCHOOLS AND BUSINESSES
HAVE ANNOUNCED CLOSINGS IN ALABAMA AND GEORGIA BECAUSE OF THE
ANTICIPATED HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS. FREEZING RAIN IS NOT LIKELY IN
FLORIDA...AS IT WILL LIKELY BE TOO WARM.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...
GENERALLY DRY AND COOL WEATHER WILL THEN BE IN THE FORECAST FOR
THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV...THEN CLICK ON YOUR AREA
OF INTEREST ON THE NATIONAL MAP.

FOURNIER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1153 PM EST SUN JAN 09 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0930 PM     SLEET            BAINBRIDGE              30.91N 84.58W
01/09/2011  E0.00 INCH       DECATUR            GA   PUBLIC

            SLEET MIXED WITH RAIN SINCE AROUND 930 PM. SOME BRIEF
            ACCUMULATION BUT MELTING.

0930 PM     SLEET            BAINBRIDGE              30.91N 84.58W
01/09/2011  E0.00 INCH       DECATUR            GA   PUBLIC

            SLEET MIXED WITH RAIN SINCE AROUND 930 PM. SOME
            ACCUMULATION BRIEFLY BUT ALL MELTING.

0930 PM     SLEET            BAINBRIDGE              30.91N 84.58W
01/09/2011  E0.00 INCH       DECATUR            GA   PUBLIC

            SLEET MIXED WITH RAIN REPORTED SINCE AROUND 930 PM. SOME
            BRIEF ACCUMULATION BUT ALL MELTING.

0930 PM     SLEET            BAINBRIDGE              30.91N 84.58W
01/09/2011  E0.00 INCH       DECATUR            GA   PUBLIC

            SLEET MIXED WITH RAIN SINCE AROUND 930 PM. SOME BRIEF
            ACCUMULATION BUT MELTING.

&&

DUVAL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1209 AM EST MON JAN 10 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1120 PM     SLEET            TIFTON                  31.47N 83.51W
01/09/2011  E0.00 INCH       TIFT               GA   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

DUVAL