Severe Thunderstorm Warning 1, NWS Tallahassee, FL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1025 AM EST WED JAN 5 2011

.UPDATE...SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS HAVE MOVED INTO THE
REGION ON SCHEDULE THIS MORNING. A COASTAL FRONT IS QUITE EVIDENT
IN SFC OBSERVATIONS...WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE 40S TO THE NORTH AND
APPROACHING 60 TO THE SOUTH. CURRENTLY THIS BOUNDARY STRETCHES
FROM NEAR APALACHICOLA TO PANAMA CITY TO PENSACOLA. STRONG MID-
LEVEL FLOW AND SOME LIMITED INSTABILITY HAVE CREATED THE POTENTIAL
FOR A FEW STRONG STORMS ALONG AND SOUTH OF THIS BOUNDARY FOR
TODAY. BOWING STRUCTURE IS CURRENTLY MOVING EAST ALONG THE COAST
OF THE WESTERN PANHANDLE. THE SEVERE THREAT SHOULD REMAIN LIMITED
FOR LAND AREAS SINCE THE COASTAL FRONT REMAINS PINNED ALONG THE
COAST OR JUST OFFSHORE. HOWEVER...IF THE BOUNDARY MANAGES TO PUSH
INLAND...AREAS TO THE SOUTH HAVE THE POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WINDS
IN THE STRONGEST STORMS.

ELSEWHERE...WIDESPREAD RAIN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON
WITH A SOME EMBEDDED ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS. WENT AHEAD AND MAXED
OUT THE POPS FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND SOUTHWEST GEORGIA IN THE
GRIDS SINCE THE RAIN SHEILD IS NOW WELL ESTABLISHED. THE RAIN
SHOULD BEGIN TO TAPER OFF LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING
FROM THE NORTHWEST AS THE SFC LOW PASSES THE REGION AND USHERS IN
A DRIER AIRMASS.

&&

.AVIATION...MVFR CONDITIONS WITH PERIODS DROPPING INTO THE LIFR
CATEGORY CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH THE DAY AS LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN
AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS SPREAD EAST OVER THE TERMINALS. THE
COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BEGIN TO
CROSS THE AREA THIS EVENING KEEPING SHOWER/STORM CHANCES IN THE
FORECAST. EXPECT A CONTINUATION OF MVFR/IFR CIGS THROUGH 12Z...AND
THEN A SLOW IMPROVEMENT INTO THURSDAY MORNING AS A DRIER AIRMASS
ARRIVES. LOW CIGS MAY HANG AROUND THROUGH A GOOD PORTION OF THE
DAY FOR AREAS SOUTHEAST OF TLH AND VLD THURSDAY.

&&

.MARINE...WITH THE MARINE FRONT CLOSE TO THE COAST AND THE
APPROACHING LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS TO THE WEST...HAVE ADDED MENTION
OF STRONG STORMS TO THE MARINE FORECAST. HAVE ALSO UPDATED THE
WINDS TO REFLECT CURRENT CONDITIONS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TALLAHASSEE   60  46  57  33  60 /  90  80   0   0   0
PANAMA CITY   62  47  56  38  58 /  90  70   0   0   0
DOTHAN        54  40  56  35  57 / 100  60   0   0   0
ALBANY        53  41  56  32  57 /  90  60   0   0   0
VALDOSTA      57  46  58  34  59 /  90  80  10   0   0
CROSS CITY    64  49  61  35  61 /  70  80  10   0   0
APALACHICOLA  61  49  59  40  59 /  80  80   0   0   0

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
FL...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

CAMP/GIBBS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
401 AM EST WED JAN 5 2011

ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-108-112-114-115-118-127-128-134-
GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-GMZ730-750-755-765-770-775-060915-
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-INLAND WALTON-CENTRAL WALTON-
HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-INLAND BAY-CALHOUN-INLAND GULF-
INLAND FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON-INLAND JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-
INLAND WAKULLA-INLAND TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-INLAND DIXIE-SOUTH WALTON-
COASTAL BAY-COASTAL GULF-COASTAL FRANKLIN-COASTAL JEFFERSON-
COASTAL WAKULLA-COASTAL TAYLOR-COASTAL DIXIE-QUITMAN-CLAY-
RANDOLPH-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN-
EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-
DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER-
APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM  OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
401 AM EST WED JAN 5 2011 /301 AM CST WED JAN 5 2011/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...AND THE FLORIDA BIG BEND
AND PANHANDLE...AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. A LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM WILL SLIDE EAST ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA TODAY LIFTING A
WARM FRONT FROM THE GULF WATERS TO ACROSS THE TRI-STATE AREA. A
TRAILING COLD FRONT WILL CROSS TONIGHT. WIDESPREAD RAIN WITH
ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL OVERSPREAD THE
AREA FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST. NEITHER FLOODING NOR SEVERE
WEATHER IS ANTICIPATED...ALTHOUGH A FEW STORMS CAN BECOME STRONG
WITH GUSTY WINDS AND EVEN SMALL HAIL. IN THE WAKE OF THE COLD
FRONT...DRIER AND COOLER AIR WILL BEGIN TO FILTER IN BY SUNRISE.
AREAS OF FOG WILL LIKELY DEVELOP.

WINDS AND SEAS WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE MARINE AREA THROUGH
TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY TUESDAY.
A COOLER AND DRIER AIR MASS WILL PERSIST INTO THE WEEKEND. THE NEXT
CHANCE OF RAIN IS SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV...THEN CLICK ON YOUR AREA
OF INTEREST ON THE NATIONAL MAP.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT...

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV...THEN CLICK ON YOUR AREA
OF INTEREST ON THE NATIONAL MAP.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1059 AM EST WED JAN 5 2011

FLZ008-010-012-108-112-051700-
CENTRAL WALTON-COASTAL BAY-INLAND BAY-SOUTH WALTON-WASHINGTON-
959 AM CST WED JAN 5 2011

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR BAY...WALTON AND
WASHINGTON COUNTIES IN THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...

* UNTIL 1100 AM CST

AT 954 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS 9 MILES EAST OF SANTA ROSA BEACH...OR
NEAR PORT WASHINGTON...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS LINE OF STORMS.

THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS WHICH MAY
CAUSE LOCALIZED FLOODING OF STREETS AND LOW LYING AREAS.

RELAY REPORTS OF SIGNIFICANT WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN TALLAHASSEE AT (8 5 0) 9 4 2 8 8 3 3. OR...YOU MAY CONTACT THE
NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.
THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

85-GIBBS