Fire Weather Watch 2, NWS Tallahassee, FL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
235 PM EST THU JAN 6 2011

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT-SATURDAY NIGHT)...
THE AMPLIFIED UPPER PATTERN OVER THE COUNTRY CHARACTERIZED WITH
BROAD UPPER TROUGHING OVER THE EASTERN STATES AND RIDGING OVER THE
WEST COAST WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH MUCH OF THE PERIOD. SEVERAL
SHORTWAVES TRANSLATING SOUTHEAST FROM THE NRN PLAINS TO THE
SOUTHEAST REGION WILL CONTINUE TO DEEPEN THIS LONGWAVE TROUGH OVER
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. AT THE SURFACE...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD
OVER THE REGION TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY WITH LIGHT WNW WINDS CONTINUING.
THIS COOL/DRY AIR COMBINED WITH THE WINDS WILL LEAD TO SEVERAL HOURS
WITH WIND CHILLS DIPPING INTO THE LOW 30S LATE TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY
MORNING ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA. MOSTLY SUNNY CONDITIONS WITH
TEMPERATURES CLIMBING INTO THE LOW TO MID 60S WILL BE EXPECTED
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON PERIOD FRIDAY. ANOTHER SURGE OF DRY AIR WILL
SPREAD SOUTH OVER THE AREA FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING AS A
SHORTWAVE/DRY FRONT MOVES THROUGH. LOW TEMPERATURES IN THE MID TO
UPPER 30S ARE EXPECTED AROUND DAYBREAK SATURDAY...THEN ONLY CLIMBING
INTO THE MID TO UPPER 50S SATURDAY AFTERNOON UNDER MOSTLY SUNNY
SKIES. DEW POINTS WILL DIP INTO THE 20S OVER THE NORTHERN HALF OF
THE AREA SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. LATE SATURDAY
NIGHT...THE MODELS REMAIN IN DECENT AGREEMENT AND SHOW A STRONG
SHORTWAVE TROUGH TRANSLATING EAST FROM THE FOUR CORNERS REGION TO
TEXAS. CYCLOGENESIS WILL RESULT ALONG THE TX COAST BY THE END OF
THE PERIOD. AS THIS LOW DEVELOPS AND HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS EAST
NORTH OF THE AREA...THE LOCAL WINDS WILL BEGIN TO VEER TOWARD THE
EAST AS A WARM FRONT BEGINS TO LIFT NORTH OVER THE NRN GULF.

&&

.LONG TERM (SUNDAY THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)...
GLOBAL GUIDANCE SUITE HAS COME INTO MUCH BETTER AGREEMENT WITH
RESPECT TO THE EVOLUTION OF A STRONG SHORTWAVE IMPULSE AND
ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW THAT WILL MOVE ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST
DURING THE SECOND HALF OF THE UPCOMING WEEKEND. GFS WHICH HAD
SUPPRESSED THIS LOW WELL TO THE SOUTH 24 HOURS AGO...HAS COME AROUND
TO THE MORE CONSISTENT ECMWF/GEM SOLUTIONS WHICH SLIDE A SLOWLY
FILLING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE FROM THE UPPER TEXAS COAST EARLY SUNDAY
TO A POSITION OVER OUR FORECAST AREA EARLY MONDAY.

SURFACE PATTERN TO START THE EXTENDED PERIOD OFF SATURDAY NIGHT WILL
FEATURE A RATHER COLD AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE TO OUR NORTH OVER THE TN
VALLEY AND DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE ALONG THE UPPER TEXAS COAST.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE CHILLY SATURDAY NIGHT WITH WIDESPREAD LOWER TO
MIDDLE 30S FOR OVERNIGHT LOWS.

CLOUDS SHOULD THICKEN QUICKLY ON SUNDAY AS THE SHORTWAVE AND SURFACE
LOW BEGIN TO PROGRESS EASTWARD TOWARD THE REGION. WILL INTRODUCE
POPS BACK INTO THE FORECAST DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS...WITH
HIGHEST RAIN CHANCES OVER THE WESTERN/NORTHERN ZONES WHERE
ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE SHOULD BE MAXIMIZED. STILL APPEARS THAT THE BEST
CHANCES FOR STEADY RAIN WILL WAIT TILL SUNDAY NIGHT WHEN THE LOW
ARRIVES NEAR THE FL PANHANDLE COAST. WARM FRONTAL POSITION UNDER
THIS SCENARIO WOULD BE ALONG THE COAST. EVEN IF THIS SYNOPTIC FRONT
DOES MAKE SOME MOVEMENT INLAND WITH TIME...A SECONDARY COASTAL FRONT
ASSOCIATED WITH THE COOLER SHELF WATERS SHOULD KEEP ANY SURFACE
INSTABILITY FROM PUSHING INLAND. THEREFORE NOT EXPECTING A SEVERE
THREAT FOR MOST OF THE AREA. MAIN CONCERN WITH THIS SYSTEM RIGHT NOW
LOOKS TO BE UP TOWARD DOTHAN AND ALBANY. SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND SUNDAY
EVENING...THE ARRIVING PRECIP WILL BE FALLING INTO A CHILLY/AND
STILL DRY AIRMASS. GFS BUFKIT PROFILES FOR DOTHAN AND ALBANY ARE
ADVERTISING A BORDERLINE FREEZING RAIN EVENT AS A RESULT OF
SIGNIFICANT WET-BULBING OF THE LOW LEVEL PROFILE. DID LOWERED THE
MEX TEMPS OVER OUR NORTHERN AREAS FOR SUNDAY...HOWEVER NOT QUITE
COLD ENOUGH TO ADD FREEZING RAIN CHANCES TO THE GRIDS. THIS
POTENTIAL FOR A MINOR ICING EVENT WILL NEED TO BE MONITORED VERY
CLOSELY AS THE DETAIL OF THIS SYSTEM BECOME MORE CLEAR.

THE LOW WILL PULL OFF THE SOUTHEAST COAST DURING MONDAY...WITH DRY
CONDITIONS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. THIS DEPARTING
SYSTEM ALONG WITH A STRONG AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE DROPPING SOUTH FROM
CANADA INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS WILL DRIVE ANOTHER WELL BELOW NORMAL
AIRMASS INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES BY THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK.
THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR WIDESPREAD FREEZING TEMPS BOTH NEXT
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHTS.

&&

.AVIATION...MVFR DECK FROM THIS MORNING HAS JUST ABOUT SCATTERED OUT
AT ALL TERMINALS THIS AFTERNOON. WITH HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING
IN...EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS AT ALL TERMINALS THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...THE DRY AIRMASS CURRENTLY IN PLACE WILL BE
REINFORCED BY SATURDAY AS A DRY COLD FRONT PUSHES THROUGH. WARMER
TEMPERATURES ON FRIDAY WILL LEAD TO MARGINAL RED FLAG CONDITIONS FOR
A FEW INLAND PANHANDLE COUNTIES FRIDAY AFTERNOON...AND WILL ISSUE A
FIRE WEATHER WATCH. LARGER AREA OF CRITICAL RH EXPECTED SATURDAY
AFTERNOON AND HAVE ISSUED FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR MOST OF THE FLORIDA
ZONES.

&&

.MARINE...
MODERATE NORTHWEST WINDS IN THE WAKE OF THE COLD FRONT WILL
REACH SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE INTO
SATURDAY BEFORE TEMPORARILY SUBSIDING SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT.
THE HIGHEST SEAS WILL REMAIN OFFSHORE OR BEYOND 10 TO 20 NM FROM
THE COAST THROUGH THIS TIME. NORTHERLY WINDS WILL QUICKLY VEER
TOWARD THE SOUTH AND INCREASE ONCE AGAIN SATURDAY NIGHT INTO
SUNDAY AS STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHES THE NORTHEAST
GULF FROM THE WEST. THIS NEXT SYSTEM WILL LIKELY BRING ANOTHER
PERIOD WITH ELEVATED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH INCREASING RAINFALL
CHANCES SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TALLAHASSEE   34  63  39  58  32 /   0   0   0  10  10
PANAMA CITY   39  62  43  56  35 /   0   0   0  10  10
DOTHAN        35  62  37  56  30 /   0   0   0  10  10
ALBANY        35  62  35  55  26 /   0   0   0  10  10
VALDOSTA      35  62  38  56  25 /   0   0   0  10  10
CROSS CITY    35  62  42  60  29 /   0   0   0  10  10
APALACHICOLA  39  61  43  57  37 /   0   0   0  10  10

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
FL...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM EST SATURDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO
     APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM...WATERS FROM SUWANNEE
     RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM
     APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

&&

GIBBS/CAMP/MROCZKA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
600 AM EST THU JAN 6 2011

ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-108-112-114-115-118-127-128-134-
GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-GMZ730-750-755-765-770-775-070845-
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-INLAND WALTON-CENTRAL WALTON-
HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-INLAND BAY-CALHOUN-INLAND GULF-
INLAND FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON-INLAND JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-
INLAND WAKULLA-INLAND TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-INLAND DIXIE-SOUTH WALTON-
COASTAL BAY-COASTAL GULF-COASTAL FRANKLIN-COASTAL JEFFERSON-
COASTAL WAKULLA-COASTAL TAYLOR-COASTAL DIXIE-QUITMAN-CLAY-
RANDOLPH-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN-
EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-
DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER-
APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM  OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
338 AM EST THU JAN 6 2011 /238 AM CST THU JAN 6 2011/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...AND THE FLORIDA BIG BEND
AND PANHANDLE...AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

A COLD FRONT WAS EXITING SOUTHEAST OF THE FORECAST AREA OVERNIGHT.
AREAS OF FOG WILL LIKELY DEVELOP INTO THIS MORNING ESPECIALLY ACROSS
THE EASTERN MOST COUNTIES AND ADJACENT WATERS. OTHERWISE...IN THE
WAKE OF THIS FRONT....DRIER AND COOLER AIR WILL BEGIN TO FILTER IN
FROM WEST TO EAST. EXPECT BREEZY AND GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS TO
DEVELOP. INLAND HIGHS WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE UPPER 50S...LOWS IN
THE MID 30S.

OFFSHORE WINDS AS WELL AS SEAS WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE MARINE AREA
THROUGH TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...

A COOLER AND DRIER AIR MASS WILL PERSIST INTO THE FIRST HALF OF THE
WEEKEND. THE NEXT CHANCE OF RAIN ARRIVES SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT.
THERE ARE SOME INDICATIONS THAT LOW LEVEL TEMPERATURES OVER OUR
NORTHERN ZONES...MAINLY ALONG AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM DOTHAN TO
ALBANY...MAY BE CLOSE TO SUPPORTING A PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN SUNDAY
AFTERNOON AND/OR EVENING. CONFIDENCE IS STILL RATHER LOW IN THIS
SCENARIO...AND EMERGENCY MANAGERS AND RESIDENTS OF OUR NORTHERN
ZONES ARE URGED TO KEEP UP TO DATE WITH THE LATEST FORECASTS WITH
RESPECT TO THIS POTENTIAL WINTER WEATHER SITUATION.

ANOTHER COLD AIRMASS IS FORECAST TO ARRIVE DURING THE EARLY AND
MIDDLE PORTION OF NEXT WEEK. CONFIDENCE IN INCREASING IN THE
POTENTIAL FOR A WIDESPREAD FREEZE BOTH TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHTS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV...THEN CLICK ON YOUR AREA
OF INTEREST ON THE NATIONAL MAP.

BLOCK/MROCZKA

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>