Alert archive / North Carolina / Tornado Watches in 2011

Tornado Watch 901

December 27, 201125 counties in North Carolina

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Dec 27, 2011, 1:15 PM EST for 25 counties in North Carolina. It was in force for 4 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Dec 27, 2011, 1:15 PM EST (18:15 UTC)
Expired
Dec 27, 2011, 5:00 PM EST
In force
4 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
0.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 25 counties

Beaufort County, NC, Bertie County, NC, Camden County, NC, Carteret County, NC, Chowan County, NC, Craven County, NC, Currituck County, NC, Dare County, NC, Duplin County, NC, Edgecombe County, NC, Greene County, NC, Hyde County, NC, Jones County, NC, Lenoir County, NC, Martin County, NC, Onslow County, NC, Pamlico County, NC, Pasquotank County, NC, Perquimans County, NC, Pitt County, NC, Sampson County, NC, Tyrrell County, NC, Washington County, NC, Wayne County, NC, Wilson County, NC

The radar

The Morehead City radar (KMHX), 74 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:18 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
30%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
30%
Ten or more severe wind reports
20%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
5%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
50%

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Newport, NC (KMHX), launched 12:00Z, 6.3 hours before the alert went out and 74 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Newport, NC at 12:00Z on 2011-12-27Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Newport, NC at 12:00Z on 2011-12-27The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 353 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
844 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
61 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
353 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
405 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

539 
WWUS20 KWNS 271814
SEL1
SPC WW 271814
NCZ000-CWZ000-280000-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 901
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
115 PM EST TUE DEC 27 2011

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA
       COASTAL WATERS

EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 115 PM UNTIL
700 PM EST.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 0.5 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF
CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA TO 10 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF
GOLDSBORO NORTH CAROLINA.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH
SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

DISCUSSION...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT EASTERN
NC THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING...IN ASSOCIATION WITH AN
INTENSE UPPER TROUGH MOVING ACROSS TN/WV/VA.  EXTREMELY STRONG LOW
LEVEL WIND FIELDS /3KM SRH VALUES EXCEEDING 1000 M2/S2/ COUPLED WITH
SURFACE DEWPOINTS IN THE UPPER 50S/LOWER 60S MAY BE SUFFICIENT FOR
ISOLATED SUPERCELL/BOW ECHO DEVELOPMENT.  ANY SUSTAINED UPDRAFT MAY
ATTAIN ROTATION AND POSE A THREAT OF LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS OR
TORNADOES.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 0.5 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
400. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24050.


...HART

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 27, 12:05 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaufort, Bertie, Bladen, Brunswick, Camden, Carteret and 22 more55 min
Dec 27, 3:59 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaufort, Camden, Carteret, Chowan, Currituck, Dare and 6 more61 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in North Carolina, 2011Every tornado watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.