Alert archive / North Carolina / Tornado Watches in 2011
Tornado Watch 901
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Dec 27, 2011, 1:15 PM EST for 25 counties in North Carolina. It was in force for 4 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Dec 27, 2011, 1:15 PM EST (18:15 UTC)
- Expired
- Dec 27, 2011, 5:00 PM EST
- In force
- 4 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 0.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 25 counties
Beaufort County, NC, Bertie County, NC, Camden County, NC, Carteret County, NC, Chowan County, NC, Craven County, NC, Currituck County, NC, Dare County, NC, Duplin County, NC, Edgecombe County, NC, Greene County, NC, Hyde County, NC, Jones County, NC, Lenoir County, NC, Martin County, NC, Onslow County, NC, Pamlico County, NC, Pasquotank County, NC, Perquimans County, NC, Pitt County, NC, Sampson County, NC, Tyrrell County, NC, Washington County, NC, Wayne County, NC, Wilson County, NC
The radar
The Morehead City radar (KMHX), 74 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:18 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 30%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 30%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 20%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 30%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 5%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 5%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 50%
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Newport, NC (KMHX), launched 12:00Z, 6.3 hours before the alert went out and 74 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 844 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 61 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 353 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 405 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
539
WWUS20 KWNS 271814
SEL1
SPC WW 271814
NCZ000-CWZ000-280000-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 901
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
115 PM EST TUE DEC 27 2011
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA
COASTAL WATERS
EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 115 PM UNTIL
700 PM EST.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 0.5 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF
CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA TO 10 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF
GOLDSBORO NORTH CAROLINA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH
SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
DISCUSSION...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT EASTERN
NC THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING...IN ASSOCIATION WITH AN
INTENSE UPPER TROUGH MOVING ACROSS TN/WV/VA. EXTREMELY STRONG LOW
LEVEL WIND FIELDS /3KM SRH VALUES EXCEEDING 1000 M2/S2/ COUPLED WITH
SURFACE DEWPOINTS IN THE UPPER 50S/LOWER 60S MAY BE SUFFICIENT FOR
ISOLATED SUPERCELL/BOW ECHO DEVELOPMENT. ANY SUSTAINED UPDRAFT MAY
ATTAIN ROTATION AND POSE A THREAT OF LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS OR
TORNADOES.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 0.5 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
400. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24050.
...HARTSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 12:05 PM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Beaufort, Bertie, Bladen, Brunswick, Camden, Carteret and 22 more | 55 min |
| Dec 27, 3:59 PM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Beaufort, Camden, Carteret, Chowan, Currituck, Dare and 6 more | 61 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in North Carolina, 2011Every tornado watch in 2011
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.