Alert archive / Arkansas / Tornado Watches in 2011

Tornado Watch 894

November 21, 201123 counties in Arkansas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Nov 21, 2011, 8:36 PM CST for 23 counties in Arkansas. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Nov 21, 2011, 8:36 PM CST (02:36 UTC)
Expired
Nov 22, 2011, 2:00 AM CST
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 23 counties

Arkansas County, AR, Clark County, AR, Cleveland County, AR, Dallas County, AR, Garland County, AR, Grant County, AR, Hempstead County, AR, Hot Spring County, AR, Howard County, AR, Jefferson County, AR, Lincoln County, AR, Little River County, AR, Lonoke County, AR, Monroe County, AR, Montgomery County, AR, Nevada County, AR, Ouachita County, AR, Pike County, AR, Polk County, AR, Prairie County, AR, Pulaski County, AR, Saline County, AR, Sevier County, AR

The radar

The Little Rock radar (KLZK), 110 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:37 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
10%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

10 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 21, 8:57 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKPolk, Scott33 min
Nov 21, 9:16 PM CSTTornado WarningSHVHoward, Sevier44 min
Nov 21, 9:19 PM CSTTornado WarningLZKPolk, Scott26 min
Nov 21, 9:25 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningLZKGarland, Logan, Montgomery, Perry, Polk, Saline and 2 more3 hr
Nov 21, 9:46 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKPike22 min
Nov 21, 10:02 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVHoward13 min
Nov 21, 11:10 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKClark, Montgomery, Pike, Polk35 min
Nov 21, 11:36 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKClark, Garland, Hot Spring, Montgomery, Saline24 min
Nov 21, 11:40 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKClark, Pike35 min
Nov 22, 12:18 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningLZKGarland, Logan, Montgomery, Perry, Polk, Saline and 2 more4 hr

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Shreveport, LA (KSHV), launched 00:00Z, 2.6 hours before the alert went out and 203 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Shreveport, LA at 00:00Z on 2011-11-22Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 485 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Shreveport, LA at 00:00Z on 2011-11-22The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 131 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
485 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-43 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1180 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
54 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
131 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
246 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.3
Supercell composite
2.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

717 
WWUS20 KWNS 220236
SEL4
SPC WW 220236
ARZ000-OKZ000-220800-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 894
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
835 PM CST MON NOV 21 2011

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       SOUTHERN AND PORTIONS OF CENTRAL ARKANSAS
       EXTREME SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA

EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING FROM 835 PM UNTIL
200 AM CST.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 35 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 15 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF
DE QUEEN ARKANSAS TO 50 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF PINE BLUFF
ARKANSAS.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

DISCUSSION...SFC-BASED/NEAR SFC-BASED STORMS HAVE EVOLVED ON SRN
FRINGE OF OTHERWISE ELEVATED TSTMS ACROSS SERN OK/NERN TX THIS
EVENING.  AS LARGE-SCALE ASCENT TIED TO THE MID-LVL WAVE CONTINUES
TO MOVE DOWNSTREAM FROM THE SRN PLAINS...MESOLOW VCNTY SERN OK WILL
TRACK ALONG BAROCLINIC ZONE ACROSS CNTRL AR THROUGH 08Z.  AIR MASS
WILL BE CHARACTERIZED BY MLCAPE TO 1000 J/KG AND SUFFICIENT LLVL
SHEAR FOR ISOLD TORNADOES.  OTHERWISE...SMALL-SCALE BOWS/LEWPS WILL
LIKELY GIVE DMGG WIND GUSTS...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE TRACK OF THE
MESOLOW.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25040.


...RACY

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 21, 8:16 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Dallas, Garland, Hempstead, Hot Spring, Howard and 7 more89 min
Nov 21, 10:45 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Garland, Hempstead, Hot Spring, Howard, Little River and 6 more90 min
Nov 22, 1:46 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Clark, Cleveland, Dallas, Garland, Grant and 17 more59 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2011Every tornado watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.