Alert archive / Arkansas / Tornado Watches in 2011
Tornado Watch 894
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Nov 21, 2011, 8:36 PM CST for 23 counties in Arkansas. It was in force for 5 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Nov 21, 2011, 8:36 PM CST (02:36 UTC)
- Expired
- Nov 22, 2011, 2:00 AM CST
- In force
- 5 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 23 counties
Arkansas County, AR, Clark County, AR, Cleveland County, AR, Dallas County, AR, Garland County, AR, Grant County, AR, Hempstead County, AR, Hot Spring County, AR, Howard County, AR, Jefferson County, AR, Lincoln County, AR, Little River County, AR, Lonoke County, AR, Monroe County, AR, Montgomery County, AR, Nevada County, AR, Ouachita County, AR, Pike County, AR, Polk County, AR, Prairie County, AR, Pulaski County, AR, Saline County, AR, Sevier County, AR
The radar
The Little Rock radar (KLZK), 110 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:37 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 40%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 10%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 50%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 30%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 10%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 60%
Warnings issued inside it
10 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 8:57 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Polk, Scott | 33 min |
| Nov 21, 9:16 PM CST | Tornado Warning | SHV | Howard, Sevier | 44 min |
| Nov 21, 9:19 PM CST | Tornado Warning | LZK | Polk, Scott | 26 min |
| Nov 21, 9:25 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | Garland, Logan, Montgomery, Perry, Polk, Saline and 2 more | 3 hr |
| Nov 21, 9:46 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Pike | 22 min |
| Nov 21, 10:02 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Howard | 13 min |
| Nov 21, 11:10 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Clark, Montgomery, Pike, Polk | 35 min |
| Nov 21, 11:36 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Clark, Garland, Hot Spring, Montgomery, Saline | 24 min |
| Nov 21, 11:40 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Clark, Pike | 35 min |
| Nov 22, 12:18 AM CST | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | Garland, Logan, Montgomery, Perry, Polk, Saline and 2 more | 4 hr |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Shreveport, LA (KSHV), launched 00:00Z, 2.6 hours before the alert went out and 203 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 485 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -43 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1180 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 54 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 131 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 246 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.3
- Supercell composite
- 2.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
717
WWUS20 KWNS 220236
SEL4
SPC WW 220236
ARZ000-OKZ000-220800-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 894
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
835 PM CST MON NOV 21 2011
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN AND PORTIONS OF CENTRAL ARKANSAS
EXTREME SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING FROM 835 PM UNTIL
200 AM CST.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 35 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 15 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF
DE QUEEN ARKANSAS TO 50 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF PINE BLUFF
ARKANSAS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
DISCUSSION...SFC-BASED/NEAR SFC-BASED STORMS HAVE EVOLVED ON SRN
FRINGE OF OTHERWISE ELEVATED TSTMS ACROSS SERN OK/NERN TX THIS
EVENING. AS LARGE-SCALE ASCENT TIED TO THE MID-LVL WAVE CONTINUES
TO MOVE DOWNSTREAM FROM THE SRN PLAINS...MESOLOW VCNTY SERN OK WILL
TRACK ALONG BAROCLINIC ZONE ACROSS CNTRL AR THROUGH 08Z. AIR MASS
WILL BE CHARACTERIZED BY MLCAPE TO 1000 J/KG AND SUFFICIENT LLVL
SHEAR FOR ISOLD TORNADOES. OTHERWISE...SMALL-SCALE BOWS/LEWPS WILL
LIKELY GIVE DMGG WIND GUSTS...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE TRACK OF THE
MESOLOW.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25040.
...RACYSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 8:16 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Clark, Dallas, Garland, Hempstead, Hot Spring, Howard and 7 more | 89 min |
| Nov 21, 10:45 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Clark, Garland, Hempstead, Hot Spring, Howard, Little River and 6 more | 90 min |
| Nov 22, 1:46 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Arkansas, Clark, Cleveland, Dallas, Garland, Grant and 17 more | 59 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2011Every tornado watch in 2011
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.