Alert archive / Florida / Tornado Watches in 2011
Tornado Watch 79
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 30, 2011, 11:10 AM EDT for 33 counties in Florida. It was in force for 8 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 30, 2011, 11:10 AM EDT (15:10 UTC)
- Expired
- Mar 30, 2011, 6:45 PM EDT
- In force
- 8 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 70 kt
All 33 counties
Alachua County, FL, Baker County, FL, Bradford County, FL, Brevard County, FL, Citrus County, FL, Clay County, FL, Columbia County, FL, Dixie County, FL, Duval County, FL, Flagler County, FL, Franklin County, FL, Gilchrist County, FL, Hamilton County, FL, Hernando County, FL, Hillsborough County, FL, Lafayette County, FL, Lake County, FL, Levy County, FL, Marion County, FL, Nassau County, FL, Orange County, FL, Osceola County, FL, Pasco County, FL, Pinellas County, FL, Polk County, FL, Putnam County, FL, Saint Johns County, FL, Seminole County, FL, Sumter County, FL, Suwannee County, FL, Taylor County, FL, Union County, FL, Volusia County, FL
The radar
The Tallahassee radar (KTLH), 138 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:14 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 40%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 50%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 30%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 40%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 70%
Warnings issued inside it
19 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 1:39 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | TAE | Taylor | 51 min |
| Mar 30, 2:27 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TAE | Dixie, Lafayette | 33 min |
| Mar 30, 2:33 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | TBW | Levy | 42 min |
| Mar 30, 2:52 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | JAX | Columbia, Suwannee | 38 min |
| Mar 30, 3:17 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TBW | Citrus, Hernando, Levy, Pasco, Sumter | 43 min |
| Mar 30, 3:27 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | JAX | Baker, Columbia, Union | 48 min |
| Mar 30, 3:38 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | TBW | Citrus, Sumter | 37 min |
| Mar 30, 3:47 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | JAX | Marion | 58 min |
| Mar 30, 3:47 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MLB | Lake, Orange, Seminole, Volusia | 73 min |
| Mar 30, 3:55 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | TBW | Citrus, Sumter | 20 min |
| Mar 30, 3:59 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | MLB | Lake | 46 min |
| Mar 30, 4:00 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TBW | Citrus, Hernando, Pasco, Polk, Sumter | 30 min |
| Mar 30, 4:02 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MLB | Brevard, Indian River | 43 min |
| Mar 30, 4:06 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | JAX | Flagler, Putnam, Saint Johns | 39 min |
| Mar 30, 4:06 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | JAX | Bradford, Clay, Duval, Nassau, Saint Johns | 54 min |
| Mar 30, 4:37 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | JAX | Flagler | 23 min |
| Mar 30, 4:43 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MLB | Brevard, Lake, Orange, Osceola, Seminole, Volusia | 62 min |
| Mar 30, 5:18 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MLB | Brevard, Orange, Osceola, Volusia | 57 min |
| Mar 30, 6:13 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MLB | Brevard, Indian River | 44 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Tallahassee Rgnl, FL (KTLH), launched 12:00Z, 3.2 hours before the alert went out and 136 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 528 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -53 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 448 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 38 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 324 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 369 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 4.7
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
967
WWUS20 KWNS 301512
SEL9
SPC WW 301512
FLZ000-CWZ000-310000-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 79
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1110 AM EDT WED MAR 30 2011
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL FLORIDA
COASTAL WATERS
EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY MORNING AND EVENING FROM 1110 AM UNTIL
800 PM EDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 90 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 70 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF
TALLAHASSEE FLORIDA TO 10 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF DAYTONA BEACH
FLORIDA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
DISCUSSION...A WELL-ORGANIZED QUASI-LINEAR CONVECTIVE COMPLEX...WITH
EMBEDDED BOWS...IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INLAND THIS AFTERNOON FROM THE
NORTHEAST GULF OF MEXICO INTO THE NORTHERN/CENTRAL PORTIONS OF FL.
ADDITIONAL QLCS-LEADING SEMI-DISCRETE SUPERCELLS WILL BE POSSIBLE
WITHIN A WEAKLY CAPPED AND MOIST /NEAR 70F SURFACE DEWPOINTS/
AIRMASS. RELATIVELY STRONG/VEERING WIND PROFILES WILL SUPPORT BOTH
BOWING SEGMENTS/EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF DAMAGING WINDS AND A
FEW TORNADOES.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26040.
...GUYER/THOMPSONSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2:51 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Escambia, Okaloosa, Santa Rosa, Walton | 114 min |
| Mar 30, 5:07 AM EDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Bay, Calhoun, Escambia, Franklin, Gulf, Holmes and 6 more | 6 hr |
| Mar 30, 8:28 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Alachua, Baker, Bay, Bradford, Calhoun, Clay and 26 more | 2 hr |
| Mar 30, 3:32 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Alachua, Baker, Bradford, Citrus, Clay, Columbia and 17 more | 58 min |
| Mar 30, 4:41 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Brevard, Flagler, Orange, Osceola, Polk, Seminole and 1 more | 2 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.