Alert archive / Florida / Tornado Watches in 2011

Tornado Watch 79

March 30, 201133 counties in Florida

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 30, 2011, 11:10 AM EDT for 33 counties in Florida. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 30, 2011, 11:10 AM EDT (15:10 UTC)
Expired
Mar 30, 2011, 6:45 PM EDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
70 kt
All 33 counties

Alachua County, FL, Baker County, FL, Bradford County, FL, Brevard County, FL, Citrus County, FL, Clay County, FL, Columbia County, FL, Dixie County, FL, Duval County, FL, Flagler County, FL, Franklin County, FL, Gilchrist County, FL, Hamilton County, FL, Hernando County, FL, Hillsborough County, FL, Lafayette County, FL, Lake County, FL, Levy County, FL, Marion County, FL, Nassau County, FL, Orange County, FL, Osceola County, FL, Pasco County, FL, Pinellas County, FL, Polk County, FL, Putnam County, FL, Saint Johns County, FL, Seminole County, FL, Sumter County, FL, Suwannee County, FL, Taylor County, FL, Union County, FL, Volusia County, FL

The radar

The Tallahassee radar (KTLH), 138 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:14 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

19 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 30, 1:39 PM EDTTornado WarningTAETaylor51 min
Mar 30, 2:27 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTAEDixie, Lafayette33 min
Mar 30, 2:33 PM EDTTornado WarningTBWLevy42 min
Mar 30, 2:52 PM EDTTornado WarningJAXColumbia, Suwannee38 min
Mar 30, 3:17 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTBWCitrus, Hernando, Levy, Pasco, Sumter43 min
Mar 30, 3:27 PM EDTTornado WarningJAXBaker, Columbia, Union48 min
Mar 30, 3:38 PM EDTTornado WarningTBWCitrus, Sumter37 min
Mar 30, 3:47 PM EDTTornado WarningJAXMarion58 min
Mar 30, 3:47 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMLBLake, Orange, Seminole, Volusia73 min
Mar 30, 3:55 PM EDTTornado WarningTBWCitrus, Sumter20 min
Mar 30, 3:59 PM EDTTornado WarningMLBLake46 min
Mar 30, 4:00 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTBWCitrus, Hernando, Pasco, Polk, Sumter30 min
Mar 30, 4:02 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMLBBrevard, Indian River43 min
Mar 30, 4:06 PM EDTTornado WarningJAXFlagler, Putnam, Saint Johns39 min
Mar 30, 4:06 PM EDTTornado WarningJAXBradford, Clay, Duval, Nassau, Saint Johns54 min
Mar 30, 4:37 PM EDTTornado WarningJAXFlagler23 min
Mar 30, 4:43 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMLBBrevard, Lake, Orange, Osceola, Seminole, Volusia62 min
Mar 30, 5:18 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMLBBrevard, Orange, Osceola, Volusia57 min
Mar 30, 6:13 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMLBBrevard, Indian River44 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Tallahassee Rgnl, FL (KTLH), launched 12:00Z, 3.2 hours before the alert went out and 136 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Tallahassee Rgnl, FL at 12:00Z on 2011-03-30Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 528 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Tallahassee Rgnl, FL at 12:00Z on 2011-03-30The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 324 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
528 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-53 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
448 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
38 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
324 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
369 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
4.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

967 
WWUS20 KWNS 301512
SEL9
SPC WW 301512
FLZ000-CWZ000-310000-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 79
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1110 AM EDT WED MAR 30 2011

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       NORTHERN AND CENTRAL FLORIDA
       COASTAL WATERS

EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY MORNING AND EVENING FROM 1110 AM UNTIL
800 PM EDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 90 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 70 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF
TALLAHASSEE FLORIDA TO 10 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF DAYTONA BEACH
FLORIDA.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

DISCUSSION...A WELL-ORGANIZED QUASI-LINEAR CONVECTIVE COMPLEX...WITH
EMBEDDED BOWS...IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INLAND THIS AFTERNOON FROM THE
NORTHEAST GULF OF MEXICO INTO THE NORTHERN/CENTRAL PORTIONS OF FL.
ADDITIONAL QLCS-LEADING SEMI-DISCRETE SUPERCELLS WILL BE POSSIBLE
WITHIN A WEAKLY CAPPED AND MOIST /NEAR 70F SURFACE DEWPOINTS/
AIRMASS. RELATIVELY STRONG/VEERING WIND PROFILES WILL SUPPORT BOTH
BOWING SEGMENTS/EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF DAMAGING WINDS AND A
FEW TORNADOES.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26040.


...GUYER/THOMPSON

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 30, 2:51 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCEscambia, Okaloosa, Santa Rosa, Walton114 min
Mar 30, 5:07 AM EDTTornado WatchSPCBay, Calhoun, Escambia, Franklin, Gulf, Holmes and 6 more6 hr
Mar 30, 8:28 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlachua, Baker, Bay, Bradford, Calhoun, Clay and 26 more2 hr
Mar 30, 3:32 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlachua, Baker, Bradford, Citrus, Clay, Columbia and 17 more58 min
Mar 30, 4:41 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrevard, Flagler, Orange, Osceola, Polk, Seminole and 1 more2 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Florida, 2011Every tornado watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.