Alert archive / Florida / Tornado Watches in 2011
Tornado Watch 7
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jan 25, 2011, 2:07 PM EST for 34 counties in Florida. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 25, 2011, 2:07 PM EST (19:07 UTC)
- Expired
- Jan 25, 2011, 9:00 PM EST
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 0.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 34 counties
Alachua County, FL, Bradford County, FL, Brevard County, FL, Charlotte County, FL, Citrus County, FL, Clay County, FL, DeSoto County, FL, Flagler County, FL, Gilchrist County, FL, Hardee County, FL, Hernando County, FL, Highlands County, FL, Hillsborough County, FL, Indian River County, FL, Lake County, FL, Lee County, FL, Levy County, FL, Manatee County, FL, Marion County, FL, Martin County, FL, Okeechobee County, FL, Orange County, FL, Osceola County, FL, Pasco County, FL, Pinellas County, FL, Polk County, FL, Putnam County, FL, Saint Johns County, FL, Saint Lucie County, FL, Sarasota County, FL, Seminole County, FL, Sumter County, FL, Union County, FL, Volusia County, FL
The radar
The Tampa radar (KTBW), 88 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:10 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 50%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 40%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 5%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 5%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 80%
Warnings issued inside it
36 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 3:37 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TBW | Citrus, Hernando, Pasco | 53 min |
| Jan 25, 3:55 PM EST | Tornado Warning | TBW | Citrus | 39 min |
| Jan 25, 4:00 PM EST | Tornado Warning | TBW | Hernando, Pasco | 45 min |
| Jan 25, 4:10 PM EST | Tornado Warning | JAX | Clay, Duval, Saint Johns | 50 min |
| Jan 25, 4:15 PM EST | Tornado Warning | JAX | Alachua, Marion | 30 min |
| Jan 25, 4:28 PM EST | Tornado Warning | JAX | Marion | 47 min |
| Jan 25, 4:30 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TBW | Citrus, Hernando, Pasco, Sumter | 60 min |
| Jan 25, 4:32 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MLB | Lake, Orange, Seminole, Volusia | 58 min |
| Jan 25, 4:36 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAX | Alachua, Marion, Putnam | 39 min |
| Jan 25, 4:39 PM EST | Tornado Warning | JAX | Saint Johns | 36 min |
| Jan 25, 4:45 PM EST | Tornado Warning | TBW | Hernando, Pasco, Sumter | 30 min |
| Jan 25, 5:00 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TBW | Hillsborough, Manatee, Pinellas, Sarasota | 60 min |
| Jan 25, 5:09 PM EST | Tornado Warning | TBW | Hillsborough, Pinellas | 36 min |
| Jan 25, 5:28 PM EST | Tornado Warning | MLB | Lake, Orange, Volusia | 37 min |
| Jan 25, 5:30 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MLB | Lake, Orange, Osceola, Seminole, Volusia | 60 min |
| Jan 25, 5:43 PM EST | Tornado Warning | JAX | Flagler | 36 min |
| Jan 25, 5:45 PM EST | Tornado Warning | TBW | Highlands, Polk | 30 min |
| Jan 25, 5:49 PM EST | Tornado Warning | TBW | Hillsborough | 26 min |
| Jan 25, 5:55 PM EST | Tornado Warning | MLB | Lake, Orange, Seminole, Volusia | 36 min |
| Jan 25, 5:58 PM EST | Tornado Warning | TBW | Polk | 32 min |
| Jan 25, 6:00 PM EST | Tornado Warning | TBW | Manatee, Sarasota | 30 min |
| Jan 25, 6:01 PM EST | Tornado Warning | TBW | Hardee, Hillsborough, Manatee, Polk | 29 min |
| Jan 25, 6:08 PM EST | Tornado Warning | MLB | Okeechobee, Osceola | 52 min |
| Jan 25, 6:21 PM EST | Tornado Warning | MLB | Brevard, Orange, Seminole, Volusia | 54 min |
| Jan 25, 6:29 PM EST | Tornado Warning | MLB | Brevard, Orange, Osceola | 61 min |
| Jan 25, 6:30 PM EST | Tornado Warning | TBW | DeSoto, Hardee, Manatee, Sarasota | 30 min |
| Jan 25, 6:35 PM EST | Tornado Warning | TBW | Charlotte, DeSoto, Sarasota | 40 min |
| Jan 25, 6:54 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TBW | Hardee, Highlands, Polk | 36 min |
| Jan 25, 7:01 PM EST | Tornado Warning | TBW | DeSoto, Hardee, Highlands, Manatee, Sarasota | 29 min |
| Jan 25, 7:18 PM EST | Tornado Warning | TBW | Charlotte, DeSoto, Highlands, Lee | 27 min |
| Jan 25, 7:22 PM EST | Tornado Warning | MLB | Brevard, Indian River, Osceola | 53 min |
| Jan 25, 7:33 PM EST | Tornado Warning | TBW | DeSoto, Highlands | 57 min |
| Jan 25, 8:02 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TBW | Charlotte, Lee | 43 min |
| Jan 25, 8:04 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MLB | Indian River, Okeechobee, Saint Lucie | 56 min |
| Jan 25, 8:12 PM EST | Tornado Warning | MLB | Indian River, Okeechobee, Saint Lucie | 63 min |
| Jan 25, 8:36 PM EST | Tornado Warning | MLB | Martin, Okeechobee, Saint Lucie | 54 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Tampa Bay, FL (KTBW), launched 12:00Z, 7.1 hours before the alert went out and 88 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 5 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -221 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 717 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 48 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 368 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 493 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.4
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
156
WWUS20 KWNS 251909
SEL7
SPC WW 251909
FLZ000-CWZ000-260200-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 7
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
210 PM EST TUE JAN 25 2011
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
MUCH OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA
COASTAL WATERS
EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 210 PM UNTIL
900 PM EST.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 0.5 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF
AVON PARK FLORIDA TO 15 MILES NORTHWEST OF ST AUGUSTINE FLORIDA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
DISCUSSION...SQUALL LINE NERN GULF WILL BE MOVING ONSHORE INTO AN
INCREASINGLY FAVORABLE AIR MASS FOR SEVERE STORMS AND POSSIBLE
SUPERCELLS. MLCAPES HAVE CLIMBED TO AOA 500 J/KG ALONG WITH STEADILY
IMPROVING SHEAR PROFILES WITH APPROACH OF STRONG UPPER TROUGH AND
SURFACE LOW. IN ADDITION TO POTENTIAL SEVERE INCLUDING ISOLATED
TORNADOES WITH THE SQUALL LINE...MORE DISCRETE CONVECTION IS NOW
DEVELOPING IN WCENTRAL FL AND WILL POTENTIALLY DEVELOP INTO LOW
TOPPED SUPERCELLS/POSSIBLE TORNADOES AS THEY TRACK NEWD ACROSS
CENTRAL AND NERN FL AHEAD OF THE SQUALL LINE THIS AFTERNOON.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 0.5 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
...HALESSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 1:19 PM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Alachua, Baker, Bradford, Brevard, Citrus, Clay and 27 more | 56 min |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.