Alert archive / Florida / Tornado Watches in 2011

Tornado Watch 7

January 25, 201134 counties in Florida

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jan 25, 2011, 2:07 PM EST for 34 counties in Florida. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jan 25, 2011, 2:07 PM EST (19:07 UTC)
Expired
Jan 25, 2011, 9:00 PM EST
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
0.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 34 counties

Alachua County, FL, Bradford County, FL, Brevard County, FL, Charlotte County, FL, Citrus County, FL, Clay County, FL, DeSoto County, FL, Flagler County, FL, Gilchrist County, FL, Hardee County, FL, Hernando County, FL, Highlands County, FL, Hillsborough County, FL, Indian River County, FL, Lake County, FL, Lee County, FL, Levy County, FL, Manatee County, FL, Marion County, FL, Martin County, FL, Okeechobee County, FL, Orange County, FL, Osceola County, FL, Pasco County, FL, Pinellas County, FL, Polk County, FL, Putnam County, FL, Saint Johns County, FL, Saint Lucie County, FL, Sarasota County, FL, Seminole County, FL, Sumter County, FL, Union County, FL, Volusia County, FL

The radar

The Tampa radar (KTBW), 88 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:10 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
50%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
5%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

36 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 25, 3:37 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTBWCitrus, Hernando, Pasco53 min
Jan 25, 3:55 PM ESTTornado WarningTBWCitrus39 min
Jan 25, 4:00 PM ESTTornado WarningTBWHernando, Pasco45 min
Jan 25, 4:10 PM ESTTornado WarningJAXClay, Duval, Saint Johns50 min
Jan 25, 4:15 PM ESTTornado WarningJAXAlachua, Marion30 min
Jan 25, 4:28 PM ESTTornado WarningJAXMarion47 min
Jan 25, 4:30 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTBWCitrus, Hernando, Pasco, Sumter60 min
Jan 25, 4:32 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMLBLake, Orange, Seminole, Volusia58 min
Jan 25, 4:36 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJAXAlachua, Marion, Putnam39 min
Jan 25, 4:39 PM ESTTornado WarningJAXSaint Johns36 min
Jan 25, 4:45 PM ESTTornado WarningTBWHernando, Pasco, Sumter30 min
Jan 25, 5:00 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTBWHillsborough, Manatee, Pinellas, Sarasota60 min
Jan 25, 5:09 PM ESTTornado WarningTBWHillsborough, Pinellas36 min
Jan 25, 5:28 PM ESTTornado WarningMLBLake, Orange, Volusia37 min
Jan 25, 5:30 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMLBLake, Orange, Osceola, Seminole, Volusia60 min
Jan 25, 5:43 PM ESTTornado WarningJAXFlagler36 min
Jan 25, 5:45 PM ESTTornado WarningTBWHighlands, Polk30 min
Jan 25, 5:49 PM ESTTornado WarningTBWHillsborough26 min
Jan 25, 5:55 PM ESTTornado WarningMLBLake, Orange, Seminole, Volusia36 min
Jan 25, 5:58 PM ESTTornado WarningTBWPolk32 min
Jan 25, 6:00 PM ESTTornado WarningTBWManatee, Sarasota30 min
Jan 25, 6:01 PM ESTTornado WarningTBWHardee, Hillsborough, Manatee, Polk29 min
Jan 25, 6:08 PM ESTTornado WarningMLBOkeechobee, Osceola52 min
Jan 25, 6:21 PM ESTTornado WarningMLBBrevard, Orange, Seminole, Volusia54 min
Jan 25, 6:29 PM ESTTornado WarningMLBBrevard, Orange, Osceola61 min
Jan 25, 6:30 PM ESTTornado WarningTBWDeSoto, Hardee, Manatee, Sarasota30 min
Jan 25, 6:35 PM ESTTornado WarningTBWCharlotte, DeSoto, Sarasota40 min
Jan 25, 6:54 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTBWHardee, Highlands, Polk36 min
Jan 25, 7:01 PM ESTTornado WarningTBWDeSoto, Hardee, Highlands, Manatee, Sarasota29 min
Jan 25, 7:18 PM ESTTornado WarningTBWCharlotte, DeSoto, Highlands, Lee27 min
Jan 25, 7:22 PM ESTTornado WarningMLBBrevard, Indian River, Osceola53 min
Jan 25, 7:33 PM ESTTornado WarningTBWDeSoto, Highlands57 min
Jan 25, 8:02 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTBWCharlotte, Lee43 min
Jan 25, 8:04 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMLBIndian River, Okeechobee, Saint Lucie56 min
Jan 25, 8:12 PM ESTTornado WarningMLBIndian River, Okeechobee, Saint Lucie63 min
Jan 25, 8:36 PM ESTTornado WarningMLBMartin, Okeechobee, Saint Lucie54 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Tampa Bay, FL (KTBW), launched 12:00Z, 7.1 hours before the alert went out and 88 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Tampa Bay, FL at 12:00Z on 2011-01-25Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 5 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Tampa Bay, FL at 12:00Z on 2011-01-25The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 368 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
5 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-221 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
717 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
48 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
368 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
493 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

156 
WWUS20 KWNS 251909
SEL7
SPC WW 251909
FLZ000-CWZ000-260200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 7
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
210 PM EST TUE JAN 25 2011

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       MUCH OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA
       COASTAL WATERS

EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 210 PM UNTIL
900 PM EST.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 0.5 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF
AVON PARK FLORIDA TO 15 MILES NORTHWEST OF ST AUGUSTINE FLORIDA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

DISCUSSION...SQUALL LINE NERN GULF WILL BE MOVING ONSHORE INTO AN
INCREASINGLY  FAVORABLE AIR MASS FOR SEVERE STORMS AND POSSIBLE
SUPERCELLS. MLCAPES HAVE CLIMBED TO AOA 500 J/KG ALONG WITH STEADILY
IMPROVING SHEAR PROFILES WITH APPROACH OF STRONG UPPER TROUGH AND
SURFACE LOW. IN ADDITION TO POTENTIAL SEVERE INCLUDING ISOLATED
TORNADOES WITH THE SQUALL LINE...MORE DISCRETE CONVECTION IS NOW
DEVELOPING IN  WCENTRAL FL AND WILL POTENTIALLY DEVELOP INTO LOW
TOPPED SUPERCELLS/POSSIBLE TORNADOES AS THEY TRACK NEWD ACROSS
CENTRAL AND NERN FL AHEAD OF THE SQUALL LINE THIS AFTERNOON.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 0.5 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.


...HALES

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 25, 1:19 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlachua, Baker, Bradford, Brevard, Citrus, Clay and 27 more56 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Florida, 2011Every tornado watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.