Alert archive / Illinois / Tornado Watches in 2011

Tornado Watch 694

July 27, 201116 counties in Illinois; 6 counties in Iowa

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jul 27, 2011, 7:43 PM CDT for 16 counties in Illinois; 6 counties in Iowa. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 27, 2011, 7:43 PM CDT (00:43 UTC)
Expired
Jul 28, 2011, 1:00 AM CDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 22 counties

Cedar County, IA, Clinton County, IA, Delaware County, IA, Dubuque County, IA, Jackson County, IA, Jones County, IA, Boone County, IL, Carroll County, IL, Cook County, IL, DeKalb County, IL, DuPage County, IL, Jo Daviess County, IL, Kane County, IL, Kendall County, IL, Lake County, IL, Lee County, IL, McHenry County, IL, Ogle County, IL, Stephenson County, IL, Whiteside County, IL, Will County, IL, Winnebago County, IL

The radar

The Quad Cities radar (KDVN), 100 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:45 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
30%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

10 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 27, 7:51 PM CDTTornado WarningDVNJo Daviess, Stephenson39 min
Jul 27, 8:29 PM CDTTornado WarningDVNDubuque, Jackson46 min
Jul 27, 8:40 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningDVNStephenson8 hr
Jul 27, 8:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTBoone, DeKalb, Ogle, Winnebago62 min
Jul 27, 9:16 PM CDTTornado WarningDVNCarroll, Jo Daviess31 min
Jul 27, 9:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTBoone, DeKalb, Kane, McHenry61 min
Jul 27, 9:51 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLOTWinnebago8 hr
Jul 27, 10:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTCook, Kane, Lake, McHenry80 min
Jul 27, 11:55 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningDVNCarroll4 hr
Jul 28, 12:11 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTCook, DuPage, Will64 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Davenport, (KDVN), launched 00:00Z, 0.7 hours before the alert went out and 95 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Davenport, at 00:00Z on 2011-07-28Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 4556 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Davenport, at 00:00Z on 2011-07-28The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 141 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
4556 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-8 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
962 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
32 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
141 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
316 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
3.9
Supercell composite
19.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

993 
WWUS20 KWNS 280043
SEL4
SPC WW 280043
IAZ000-ILZ000-INZ000-WIZ000-LMZ000-280600-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 694
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
745 PM CDT WED JUL 27 2011

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       EAST CENTRAL IOWA
       NORTHERN ILLINOIS
       EXTREME NORTHWEST INDIANA
       EXTREME SOUTHERN WISCONSIN
       LAKE MICHIGAN

EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING FROM 745 PM
UNTIL 100 AM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 35 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF
DUBUQUE IOWA TO 30 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF MEIGS FIELD ILLINOIS.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

DISCUSSION...CLUSTER OF STORMS...SOME WITH EMBEDDED SUPERCELL
STRUCTURES...WILL CONTINUE TO EXPAND ALONG THE SURFACE WARM FRONT
NEAR THE IL/WI BORDER.  STRONG INSTABILITY AND VEERING LOW-LEVEL
SHEAR PROFILES WILL SUPPORT STORM-SCALE ROTATION WITH DEVELOPING
STORMS ON THE BOUNDARY...WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF LARGE HAIL AND A
TORNADO OR TWO IN THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS.  UPSCALE GROWTH OF THE
CONVECTION WILL RESULT IN STRONGER COLD POOL GENERATION AND AN
ATTENDANT RISK FOR DAMAGING WINDS.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
650. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 28020.


...THOMPSON

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 27, 9:43 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoone, Carroll, Cook, DeKalb, DuPage, Jo Daviess and 9 more62 min
Jul 28, 12:36 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoone, Carroll, Cook, DeKalb, DuPage, Jo Daviess and 10 more84 min
Jul 28, 5:40 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBureau, Hancock, Henderson, Henry, Knox, Lee and 9 more95 min
Jul 28, 2:47 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBuena Vista, Calhoun, Carroll, Cerro Gordo, Cherokee, Crawford and 18 more118 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Illinois, 2011Tornado Watches in Iowa, 2011Every tornado watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.