Alert archive / Illinois / Tornado Watches in 2011
Tornado Watch 694
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jul 27, 2011, 7:43 PM CDT for 16 counties in Illinois; 6 counties in Iowa. It was in force for 5 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 27, 2011, 7:43 PM CDT (00:43 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 28, 2011, 1:00 AM CDT
- In force
- 5 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 22 counties
Cedar County, IA, Clinton County, IA, Delaware County, IA, Dubuque County, IA, Jackson County, IA, Jones County, IA, Boone County, IL, Carroll County, IL, Cook County, IL, DeKalb County, IL, DuPage County, IL, Jo Daviess County, IL, Kane County, IL, Kendall County, IL, Lake County, IL, Lee County, IL, McHenry County, IL, Ogle County, IL, Stephenson County, IL, Whiteside County, IL, Will County, IL, Winnebago County, IL
The radar
The Quad Cities radar (KDVN), 100 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:45 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 30%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 30%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 30%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 40%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 70%
Warnings issued inside it
10 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 27, 7:51 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | DVN | Jo Daviess, Stephenson | 39 min |
| Jul 27, 8:29 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | DVN | Dubuque, Jackson | 46 min |
| Jul 27, 8:40 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | DVN | Stephenson | 8 hr |
| Jul 27, 8:43 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LOT | Boone, DeKalb, Ogle, Winnebago | 62 min |
| Jul 27, 9:16 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | DVN | Carroll, Jo Daviess | 31 min |
| Jul 27, 9:29 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LOT | Boone, DeKalb, Kane, McHenry | 61 min |
| Jul 27, 9:51 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LOT | Winnebago | 8 hr |
| Jul 27, 10:10 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LOT | Cook, Kane, Lake, McHenry | 80 min |
| Jul 27, 11:55 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | DVN | Carroll | 4 hr |
| Jul 28, 12:11 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LOT | Cook, DuPage, Will | 64 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Davenport, (KDVN), launched 00:00Z, 0.7 hours before the alert went out and 95 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 4556 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -8 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 962 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 32 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 141 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 316 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 3.9
- Supercell composite
- 19.4
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
993
WWUS20 KWNS 280043
SEL4
SPC WW 280043
IAZ000-ILZ000-INZ000-WIZ000-LMZ000-280600-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 694
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
745 PM CDT WED JUL 27 2011
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
EAST CENTRAL IOWA
NORTHERN ILLINOIS
EXTREME NORTHWEST INDIANA
EXTREME SOUTHERN WISCONSIN
LAKE MICHIGAN
EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING FROM 745 PM
UNTIL 100 AM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 35 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF
DUBUQUE IOWA TO 30 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF MEIGS FIELD ILLINOIS.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
DISCUSSION...CLUSTER OF STORMS...SOME WITH EMBEDDED SUPERCELL
STRUCTURES...WILL CONTINUE TO EXPAND ALONG THE SURFACE WARM FRONT
NEAR THE IL/WI BORDER. STRONG INSTABILITY AND VEERING LOW-LEVEL
SHEAR PROFILES WILL SUPPORT STORM-SCALE ROTATION WITH DEVELOPING
STORMS ON THE BOUNDARY...WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF LARGE HAIL AND A
TORNADO OR TWO IN THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS. UPSCALE GROWTH OF THE
CONVECTION WILL RESULT IN STRONGER COLD POOL GENERATION AND AN
ATTENDANT RISK FOR DAMAGING WINDS.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
650. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 28020.
...THOMPSONSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 27, 9:43 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Boone, Carroll, Cook, DeKalb, DuPage, Jo Daviess and 9 more | 62 min |
| Jul 28, 12:36 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Boone, Carroll, Cook, DeKalb, DuPage, Jo Daviess and 10 more | 84 min |
| Jul 28, 5:40 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bureau, Hancock, Henderson, Henry, Knox, Lee and 9 more | 95 min |
| Jul 28, 2:47 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Buena Vista, Calhoun, Carroll, Cerro Gordo, Cherokee, Crawford and 18 more | 118 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Illinois, 2011Tornado Watches in Iowa, 2011Every tornado watch in 2011
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.