Alert archive / Montana / Tornado Watches in 2011

Tornado Watch 671

July 22, 201117 counties in Montana

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jul 22, 2011, 1:25 PM MDT for 17 counties in Montana. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 22, 2011, 1:25 PM MDT (19:25 UTC)
Expired
Jul 22, 2011, 9:00 PM MDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
4 in
Strongest gust expected
70 kt

Counties Carter County, MT, Custer County, MT, Daniels County, MT, Dawson County, MT, Fallon County, MT, Garfield County, MT, McCone County, MT, Phillips County, MT, Powder River County, MT, Prairie County, MT, Richland County, MT, Roosevelt County, MT, Rosebud County, MT, Sheridan County, MT, Treasure County, MT, Valley County, MT, Wibaux County, MT

The radar

The Glasgow radar (KGGW), 86 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:26 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
40%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
40%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

21 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 22, 1:48 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWValley57 min
Jul 22, 2:02 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWPhillips, Valley58 min
Jul 22, 2:17 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWValley58 min
Jul 22, 2:46 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWDaniels, Valley44 min
Jul 22, 3:06 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningGGWValley2 hr
Jul 22, 3:12 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWGarfield, McCone, Roosevelt, Valley63 min
Jul 22, 3:18 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBYZRosebud57 min
Jul 22, 3:29 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWDaniels, Valley61 min
Jul 22, 3:30 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWGarfield, McCone, Prairie60 min
Jul 22, 4:09 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWDawson, McCone, Richland, Roosevelt36 min
Jul 22, 4:23 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWDawson, Garfield, McCone, Prairie, Richland67 min
Jul 22, 4:35 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWDaniels, Dawson, McCone, Richland, Roosevelt, Sheridan55 min
Jul 22, 4:54 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBYZCuster66 min
Jul 22, 4:58 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWDawson, McCone, Prairie32 min
Jul 22, 5:00 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWDaniels, Valley60 min
Jul 22, 5:07 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningGGWDawson, Garfield, McCone, Prairie, Richland, Roosevelt and 3 more2 hr
Jul 22, 5:12 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWDawson, McCone, Prairie, Richland, Roosevelt, Sheridan and 1 more63 min
Jul 22, 5:36 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBYZCarter, Custer, Fallon69 min
Jul 22, 5:43 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWDaniels, Roosevelt, Valley21 min
Jul 22, 6:15 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWDawson, Prairie, Richland, Roosevelt, Wibaux46 min
Jul 22, 6:41 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBYZCarter, Fallon79 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Glasgow Intl Airport, MT (KGGW), launched 12:00Z, 7.4 hours before the alert went out and 88 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Glasgow Intl Airport, MT at 12:00Z on 2011-07-22Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Glasgow Intl Airport, MT at 12:00Z on 2011-07-22The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 99 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
2097 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
51 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
99 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
114 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

956 
WWUS20 KWNS 221923
SEL1
SPC WW 221923
MTZ000-230300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 671
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
125 PM MDT FRI JUL 22 2011

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       EASTERN MONTANA

EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 125 PM UNTIL 900
PM MDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 4 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 90 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 60 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
GLASGOW MONTANA TO 35 MILES SOUTHWEST OF BROADUS MONTANA.  FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 670...

DISCUSSION...POTENT UPPER TROUGH AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS WILL
CONTRIBUTE TO AN INCREASE IN SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS ERN MT THIS
AFTERNOON. DEEP SHEAR WILL INITIALLY SUPPORT SUPERCELLS WITH THE
POTENTIAL FOR VERY LARGE HAIL. TORNADO THREAT WILL ALSO EXIST
ALTHOUGH MIXING OF DRIER AIR THROUGH DEEP HEATED BOUNDARY LAYER MAY
KEEP THIS POTENTIAL FOCUSED MOSTLY NEAR THE LOW/TROUGH AND ALONG THE
FRONTAL ZONE EXTENDING FROM THE LEE LOW/TROUGH SEWD ACROSS ECNTRL
MT. GGW VWP INDICATIVE OF STRONG DIRECTIONAL SHEAR SUPPORTIVE OF
INTENSE LOW LEVEL UPDRAFT ROTATION. EXPECT A TRANSITION TO MORE
LINEAR/WIND DAMAGE STORM MODE LATER THIS AFTERNOON AS FORCING WITH
THE UPPER TROUGH AND COLD FRONT MOVE INTO STRONG INSTABILITY...
CELLS AND STORMS MERGE/CONGEAL...AND CONVECTIVE COLD POOLS
MATURE...ALL IN THE PRESENCE OF INCREASINGLY STRONG DEEP LAYER FLOW
AND FORCING.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 4 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24030.


...CARBIN

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 22, 10:05 AM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCuster, Dawson, Fallon, McCone, Prairie, Richland and 2 more55 min
Jul 22, 1:06 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBig Horn, Custer, Daniels, Dawson, Fallon, Garfield and 11 more24 min
Jul 22, 4:17 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBig Horn, Carbon, Carter, Custer, Dawson, Fallon and 13 more88 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Montana, 2011Every tornado watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.