Alert archive / Montana / Tornado Watches in 2011
Tornado Watch 671
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jul 22, 2011, 1:25 PM MDT for 17 counties in Montana. It was in force for 8 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 22, 2011, 1:25 PM MDT (19:25 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 22, 2011, 9:00 PM MDT
- In force
- 8 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 4 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 70 kt
Counties Carter County, MT, Custer County, MT, Daniels County, MT, Dawson County, MT, Fallon County, MT, Garfield County, MT, McCone County, MT, Phillips County, MT, Powder River County, MT, Prairie County, MT, Richland County, MT, Roosevelt County, MT, Rosebud County, MT, Sheridan County, MT, Treasure County, MT, Valley County, MT, Wibaux County, MT
The radar
The Glasgow radar (KGGW), 86 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:26 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 40%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 50%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 40%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 40%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 40%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 90%
Warnings issued inside it
21 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 1:48 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Valley | 57 min |
| Jul 22, 2:02 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Phillips, Valley | 58 min |
| Jul 22, 2:17 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Valley | 58 min |
| Jul 22, 2:46 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Daniels, Valley | 44 min |
| Jul 22, 3:06 PM MDT | Flash Flood Warning | GGW | Valley | 2 hr |
| Jul 22, 3:12 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Garfield, McCone, Roosevelt, Valley | 63 min |
| Jul 22, 3:18 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BYZ | Rosebud | 57 min |
| Jul 22, 3:29 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Daniels, Valley | 61 min |
| Jul 22, 3:30 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Garfield, McCone, Prairie | 60 min |
| Jul 22, 4:09 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Dawson, McCone, Richland, Roosevelt | 36 min |
| Jul 22, 4:23 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Dawson, Garfield, McCone, Prairie, Richland | 67 min |
| Jul 22, 4:35 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Daniels, Dawson, McCone, Richland, Roosevelt, Sheridan | 55 min |
| Jul 22, 4:54 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BYZ | Custer | 66 min |
| Jul 22, 4:58 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Dawson, McCone, Prairie | 32 min |
| Jul 22, 5:00 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Daniels, Valley | 60 min |
| Jul 22, 5:07 PM MDT | Flash Flood Warning | GGW | Dawson, Garfield, McCone, Prairie, Richland, Roosevelt and 3 more | 2 hr |
| Jul 22, 5:12 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Dawson, McCone, Prairie, Richland, Roosevelt, Sheridan and 1 more | 63 min |
| Jul 22, 5:36 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BYZ | Carter, Custer, Fallon | 69 min |
| Jul 22, 5:43 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Daniels, Roosevelt, Valley | 21 min |
| Jul 22, 6:15 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Dawson, Prairie, Richland, Roosevelt, Wibaux | 46 min |
| Jul 22, 6:41 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BYZ | Carter, Fallon | 79 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Glasgow Intl Airport, MT (KGGW), launched 12:00Z, 7.4 hours before the alert went out and 88 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 2097 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 51 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 99 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 114 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
956
WWUS20 KWNS 221923
SEL1
SPC WW 221923
MTZ000-230300-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 671
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
125 PM MDT FRI JUL 22 2011
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
EASTERN MONTANA
EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 125 PM UNTIL 900
PM MDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 4 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 90 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 60 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
GLASGOW MONTANA TO 35 MILES SOUTHWEST OF BROADUS MONTANA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 670...
DISCUSSION...POTENT UPPER TROUGH AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS WILL
CONTRIBUTE TO AN INCREASE IN SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS ERN MT THIS
AFTERNOON. DEEP SHEAR WILL INITIALLY SUPPORT SUPERCELLS WITH THE
POTENTIAL FOR VERY LARGE HAIL. TORNADO THREAT WILL ALSO EXIST
ALTHOUGH MIXING OF DRIER AIR THROUGH DEEP HEATED BOUNDARY LAYER MAY
KEEP THIS POTENTIAL FOCUSED MOSTLY NEAR THE LOW/TROUGH AND ALONG THE
FRONTAL ZONE EXTENDING FROM THE LEE LOW/TROUGH SEWD ACROSS ECNTRL
MT. GGW VWP INDICATIVE OF STRONG DIRECTIONAL SHEAR SUPPORTIVE OF
INTENSE LOW LEVEL UPDRAFT ROTATION. EXPECT A TRANSITION TO MORE
LINEAR/WIND DAMAGE STORM MODE LATER THIS AFTERNOON AS FORCING WITH
THE UPPER TROUGH AND COLD FRONT MOVE INTO STRONG INSTABILITY...
CELLS AND STORMS MERGE/CONGEAL...AND CONVECTIVE COLD POOLS
MATURE...ALL IN THE PRESENCE OF INCREASINGLY STRONG DEEP LAYER FLOW
AND FORCING.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 4 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24030.
...CARBINSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 10:05 AM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Custer, Dawson, Fallon, McCone, Prairie, Richland and 2 more | 55 min |
| Jul 22, 1:06 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Big Horn, Custer, Daniels, Dawson, Fallon, Garfield and 11 more | 24 min |
| Jul 22, 4:17 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Big Horn, Carbon, Carter, Custer, Dawson, Fallon and 13 more | 88 min |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.