Alert archive / South Dakota / Tornado Watches in 2011

Tornado Watch 617

July 10, 20116 counties in Minnesota; 10 counties in North Dakota; 18 counties in South Dakota

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jul 10, 2011, 2:29 PM CDT for 6 counties in Minnesota; 10 counties in North Dakota; 18 counties in South Dakota. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 10, 2011, 2:29 PM CDT (19:29 UTC)
Expired
Jul 10, 2011, 9:13 PM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
3 in
Strongest gust expected
70 kt
All 34 counties

Big Stone County, MN, Clay County, MN, Grant County, MN, Otter Tail County, MN, Traverse County, MN, Wilkin County, MN, Barnes County, ND, Cass County, ND, Dickey County, ND, Emmons County, ND, LaMoure County, ND, Logan County, ND, McIntosh County, ND, Ransom County, ND, Richland County, ND, Sargent County, ND, Brown County, SD, Campbell County, SD, Clark County, SD, Codington County, SD, Corson County, SD, Day County, SD, Deuel County, SD, Dewey County, SD, Edmunds County, SD, Faulk County, SD, Grant County, SD, Hamlin County, SD, Marshall County, SD, McPherson County, SD, Potter County, SD, Roberts County, SD, Spink County, SD, Walworth County, SD

The radar

The Aberdeen radar (KABR), 68 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:32 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
50%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
40%
Ten or more severe hail reports
60%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
50%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

31 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 10, 2:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISBurleigh, Emmons, Kidder, Logan30 min
Jul 10, 2:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISLogan, McIntosh54 min
Jul 10, 2:57 PM CDTTornado WarningBISLogan, McIntosh33 min
Jul 10, 3:26 PM CDTTornado WarningBISDickey, LaMoure, Logan, McIntosh34 min
Jul 10, 3:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRCampbell, McPherson45 min
Jul 10, 3:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISDickey, McIntosh55 min
Jul 10, 3:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRCampbell23 min
Jul 10, 3:38 PM CDTTornado WarningBISMcIntosh37 min
Jul 10, 3:58 PM CDTTornado WarningBISDickey, LaMoure, McIntosh32 min
Jul 10, 4:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRCampbell, McPherson24 min
Jul 10, 4:10 PM CDTTornado WarningBISDickey, LaMoure35 min
Jul 10, 4:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRBrown, McPherson, Marshall63 min
Jul 10, 4:15 PM CDTTornado WarningFGFRansom45 min
Jul 10, 4:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISDickey, LaMoure51 min
Jul 10, 4:30 PM CDTTornado WarningBISDickey30 min
Jul 10, 4:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRBrown, Edmunds, McPherson43 min
Jul 10, 4:36 PM CDTTornado WarningBISDickey24 min
Jul 10, 4:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRCampbell, Corson, Dewey, Walworth44 min
Jul 10, 4:47 PM CDTTornado WarningFGFSargent43 min
Jul 10, 4:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFRansom61 min
Jul 10, 5:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRBrown, Day, Edmunds, Marshall, Roberts52 min
Jul 10, 5:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFRansom, Richland, Sargent66 min
Jul 10, 5:44 PM CDTTornado WarningFGFRichland36 min
Jul 10, 5:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRBig Stone, Traverse58 min
Jul 10, 6:01 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningABRBrown, Day, Marshall4 hr
Jul 10, 6:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFGrant, Otter Tail, Wilkin53 min
Jul 10, 6:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRBrown33 min
Jul 10, 6:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRBig Stone, Traverse58 min
Jul 10, 6:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFGrant, Otter Tail22 min
Jul 10, 6:56 PM CDTTornado WarningABRGrant, Roberts34 min
Jul 10, 7:36 PM CDTTornado WarningABRDeuel, Grant9 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Aberdeen, SD (KABR), launched 12:00Z, 7.5 hours before the alert went out and 128 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Aberdeen, SD at 12:00Z on 2011-07-10Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1313 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Aberdeen, SD at 12:00Z on 2011-07-10The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 70 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1313 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-72 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
909 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
50 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
70 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
81 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
5.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

132 
WWUS20 KWNS 101929
SEL7
SPC WW 101929
MNZ000-NDZ000-SDZ000-110300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 617
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
230 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2011

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA
       SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA
       NORTHERN SOUTH DAKOTA

EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 230 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 20 MILES NORTH OF MOBRIDGE
SOUTH DAKOTA TO 40 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF ORTONVILLE MINNESOTA.
 FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 616...

DISCUSSION...INTENSE THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN OVER
SOUTHERN ND.  OTHER STORMS MAY FORM IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS OVER
NORTHERN SD.  THIS ACTIVITY WILL PROGRESS EASTWARD ACROSS THE WATCH
AREA THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.  LOW LEVEL FLOW IS NOT
PARTICULARLY STRONG.  HOWEVER...CONSIDERABLE VEERING OF WINDS WITH
HEIGHT...STRONG INSTABILITY...FAVORABLE DEEP LAYER SHEAR...AND
STRONG SUPERCELL STRUCTURES ON RADAR WARRANT RISK OF A FEW
TORNADOES.  VERY LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS ARE ALSO A CONCERN.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 28035.


...HART

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 10, 1:03 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBlue Earth, Brown, Cottonwood, Faribault, Jackson, Lincoln and 8 more117 min
Jul 10, 6:39 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCWinona66 min
Jul 10, 5:25 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnoka, Benton, Big Stone, Blue Earth, Brown, Carver and 35 more95 min
Jul 10, 6:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAnoka, Benton, Blue Earth, Brown, Carver, Chippewa and 36 more8 hr
Jul 10, 10:32 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarnes, Burleigh, Dickey, Emmons, Grant, Kidder and 10 more118 min
Jul 10, 11:08 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdams, Barnes, Benson, Burleigh, Cavalier, Dickey and 27 more8 hr
Jul 10, 2:08 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarnes, Benson, Burleigh, Cavalier, Dickey, Eddy and 23 more97 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in South Dakota, 2011Tornado Watches in North Dakota, 2011Tornado Watches in Minnesota, 2011Every tornado watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.