Alert archive / North Dakota / Tornado Watches in 2011

Tornado Watch 611

July 8, 201136 counties in North Dakota

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jul 8, 2011, 1:32 PM MDT for 36 counties in North Dakota. It was in force for 9 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 8, 2011, 1:32 PM MDT (19:32 UTC)
Expired
Jul 8, 2011, 11:00 PM MDT
In force
9 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
3 in
Strongest gust expected
70 kt
All 36 counties

Adams County, ND, Billings County, ND, Bottineau County, ND, Bowman County, ND, Burke County, ND, Burleigh County, ND, Dickey County, ND, Divide County, ND, Dunn County, ND, Emmons County, ND, Foster County, ND, Golden Valley County, ND, Grant County, ND, Hettinger County, ND, Kidder County, ND, LaMoure County, ND, Logan County, ND, McHenry County, ND, McIntosh County, ND, McKenzie County, ND, McLean County, ND, Mercer County, ND, Morton County, ND, Mountrail County, ND, Oliver County, ND, Pierce County, ND, Renville County, ND, Rolette County, ND, Sheridan County, ND, Sioux County, ND, Slope County, ND, Stark County, ND, Stutsman County, ND, Ward County, ND, Wells County, ND, Williams County, ND

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

30 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 8, 1:51 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISGolden Valley, McKenzie39 min
Jul 8, 2:29 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISBurke, Mountrail, Renville, Ward40 min
Jul 8, 2:35 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISGrant55 min
Jul 8, 2:39 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISBillings, Golden Valley66 min
Jul 8, 3:12 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISDunn63 min
Jul 8, 3:21 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISBillings, Stark24 min
Jul 8, 3:26 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISGrant, Morton64 min
Jul 8, 3:30 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISGrant, Morton60 min
Jul 8, 4:15 PM MDTTornado WarningBISFoster, Kidder, Stutsman, Wells30 min
Jul 8, 4:18 PM MDTTornado WarningBISGrant, Morton42 min
Jul 8, 4:19 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISDunn, McLean, Mercer14 min
Jul 8, 4:22 PM MDTTornado WarningBISDunn, Mercer23 min
Jul 8, 4:41 PM MDTTornado WarningBISDunn, Mercer49 min
Jul 8, 4:44 PM MDTTornado WarningBISStutsman31 min
Jul 8, 4:53 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISBurleigh, Emmons, Morton, Sioux52 min
Jul 8, 5:15 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISStutsman31 min
Jul 8, 5:21 PM MDTTornado WarningBISEmmons, Morton, Sioux24 min
Jul 8, 5:21 PM MDTTornado WarningBISMcLean, Mercer, Oliver39 min
Jul 8, 5:42 PM MDTTornado WarningBISStutsman33 min
Jul 8, 5:45 PM MDTTornado WarningBISEmmons, Morton, Sioux45 min
Jul 8, 5:59 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISMcHenry, McLean, Oliver, Sheridan61 min
Jul 8, 6:15 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISStutsman60 min
Jul 8, 6:25 PM MDTTornado WarningBISBurleigh, Emmons, Kidder50 min
Jul 8, 6:42 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningBISStutsman6 hr
Jul 8, 7:16 PM MDTTornado WarningBISBurleigh, Emmons, Kidder, Logan29 min
Jul 8, 7:42 PM MDTTornado WarningBISKidder, Logan, Stutsman48 min
Jul 8, 7:57 PM MDTTornado WarningBISEmmons, Logan, McIntosh36 min
Jul 8, 8:30 PM MDTTornado WarningBISKidder, Logan, Stutsman45 min
Jul 8, 8:52 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISDickey, LaMoure, Logan, McIntosh53 min
Jul 8, 9:30 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISDickey, LaMoure60 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Bismarck Municip, ND (KBIS), launched 12:00Z, 7.5 hours before the alert went out and 165 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Bismarck Municip, ND at 12:00Z on 2011-07-08Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 57 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Bismarck Municip, ND at 12:00Z on 2011-07-08The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 95 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
57 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-207 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1101 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
29 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
95 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
209 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

014 
WWUS20 KWNS 081934
SEL1
SPC WW 081934
NDZ000-090300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 611
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
230 PM CDT FRI JUL 8 2011

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA

EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 230 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 105 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 55 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF
MINOT NORTH DAKOTA TO 70 MILES SOUTHEAST OF DICKINSON NORTH
DAKOTA.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED
WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 610...

DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS OVER EXTREME ERN MT ARE EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP EWD AND INTENSIFY FURTHER THIS AFTERNOON AS A SHORT WAVE
TROUGH MOVES EWD ACROSS THE AREA.  AIR MASS IS CONTINUING TO WARM
AND DESTABILIZE WITH MLCAPE OF 1500-2000 J/KG EXPECTED THIS
AFTERNOON.  VAD PROFILES EXHIBIT CLOCKWISE TURNING HODOGRAPHS AND
CONSIDERABLE LOWER LEVEL SHEAR/HELICITY SUGGESTING THREAT FOR
SUPERCELLS AND A FEW TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.  THE
WIND THREAT MAY INCREASE BY EVENING AS THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR STORMS
TO GROW UPSCALE INTO A FORWARD PROPAGATING MCS.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24030.


...WEISS

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 8, 1:13 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Billings, Bottineau, Bowman, Burke, Burleigh and 20 more62 min
Jul 8, 4:38 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarnes, Benson, Cass, Cavalier, Eddy, Foster and 12 more2 hr
Jul 8, 5:02 PM MDTTornado WatchSPCBarnes, Cass, Eddy, Griggs, Ransom, Richland and 2 more7 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in North Dakota, 2011Every tornado watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.