Alert archive / South Dakota / Tornado Watches in 2011
Tornado Watch 585
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jul 2, 2011, 2:13 PM MDT for 4 states. It was in force for 8 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 2, 2011, 2:13 PM MDT (20:13 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 2, 2011, 10:00 PM MDT
- In force
- 8 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 32 counties
Big Horn County, MT, Carter County, MT, Custer County, MT, Fallon County, MT, Powder River County, MT, Rosebud County, MT, Treasure County, MT, Banner County, NE, Box Butte County, NE, Cheyenne County, NE, Dawes County, NE, Kimball County, NE, Morrill County, NE, Scotts Bluff County, NE, Sioux County, NE, Butte County, SD, Custer County, SD, Fall River County, SD, Harding County, SD, Lawrence County, SD, Meade County, SD, Pennington County, SD, Perkins County, SD, Campbell County, WY, Converse County, WY, Crook County, WY, Goshen County, WY, Laramie County, WY, Niobrara County, WY, Platte County, WY, Sheridan County, WY, Weston County, WY
The radar
The Rapid City radar (KUDX), 214 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:14 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 40%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 70%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 30%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 70%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 90%
Warnings issued inside it
50 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2, 2:26 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | UNR | Campbell, Crook | 64 min |
| Jul 2, 2:37 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | UNR | Campbell, Weston | 53 min |
| Jul 2, 2:51 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | UNR | Crook | 39 min |
| Jul 2, 2:57 PM MDT | Flash Flood Warning | UNR | Campbell, Crook | 4 hr |
| Jul 2, 3:15 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CYS | Goshen, Laramie, Platte | 25 min |
| Jul 2, 3:23 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | UNR | Crook, Weston | 67 min |
| Jul 2, 3:27 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | UNR | Crook | 63 min |
| Jul 2, 3:39 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BYZ | Carter | 51 min |
| Jul 2, 3:50 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | CYS | Converse, Niobrara | 40 min |
| Jul 2, 3:59 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | UNR | Crook, Weston | 46 min |
| Jul 2, 4:15 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BYZ | Carter, Powder River | 60 min |
| Jul 2, 4:22 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | CYS | Converse, Platte | 38 min |
| Jul 2, 4:27 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | UNR | Crook, Weston | 63 min |
| Jul 2, 4:29 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CYS | Converse, Niobrara | 46 min |
| Jul 2, 4:30 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BYZ | Carter | 37 min |
| Jul 2, 4:30 PM MDT | Flash Flood Warning | UNR | Crook, Weston | 6 hr |
| Jul 2, 4:42 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CYS | Goshen, Niobrara, Platte | 48 min |
| Jul 2, 4:50 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | UNR | Crook, Weston | 23 min |
| Jul 2, 4:53 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | UNR | Weston | 52 min |
| Jul 2, 4:55 PM MDT | Flash Flood Warning | UNR | Butte, Lawrence, Meade | 3 hr |
| Jul 2, 5:01 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | CYS | Platte | 31 min |
| Jul 2, 5:01 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | UNR | Weston | 59 min |
| Jul 2, 5:30 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CYS | Converse, Goshen, Niobrara, Platte | 45 min |
| Jul 2, 5:35 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | UNR | Weston | 40 min |
| Jul 2, 5:40 PM MDT | Flash Flood Warning | BYZ | Carter, Powder River | 2 hr |
| Jul 2, 5:40 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CYS | Sioux | 38 min |
| Jul 2, 5:40 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CYS | Niobrara | 37 min |
| Jul 2, 5:52 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | UNR | Weston | 21 min |
| Jul 2, 5:59 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | UNR | Lawrence, Meade | 61 min |
| Jul 2, 6:04 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CYS | Goshen, Platte | 41 min |
| Jul 2, 6:05 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | UNR | Custer | 55 min |
| Jul 2, 6:11 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BYZ | Carter, Custer, Fallon | 49 min |
| Jul 2, 6:22 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | CYS | Goshen | 37 min |
| Jul 2, 6:37 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | UNR | Custer, Fall River | 53 min |
| Jul 2, 6:43 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | UNR | Custer, Pennington | 62 min |
| Jul 2, 6:44 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CYS | Sioux | 61 min |
| Jul 2, 6:47 PM MDT | Flash Flood Warning | UNR | Custer, Fall River | 67 min |
| Jul 2, 6:55 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | UNR | Custer, Pennington | 50 min |
| Jul 2, 6:56 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | CYS | Sioux | 49 min |
| Jul 2, 6:59 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | UNR | Meade | 61 min |
| Jul 2, 7:01 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BYZ | Fallon | 26 min |
| Jul 2, 7:01 PM MDT | Flash Flood Warning | UNR | Custer | 4 hr |
| Jul 2, 7:02 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | UNR | Fall River | 43 min |
| Jul 2, 7:23 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | CYS | Banner, Scotts Bluff, Sioux | 37 min |
| Jul 2, 7:27 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | UNR | Custer, Fall River, Jackson, Pennington | 63 min |
| Jul 2, 7:41 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CYS | Box Butte, Morrill, Scotts Bluff, Sioux | 49 min |
| Jul 2, 7:54 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | CYS | Banner, Scotts Bluff | 40 min |
| Jul 2, 8:25 PM MDT | Flash Flood Warning | CYS | Banner, Scotts Bluff | 6 hr |
| Jul 2, 8:30 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | CYS | Banner, Kimball, Scotts Bluff | 45 min |
| Jul 2, 9:11 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CYS | Banner, Cheyenne, Kimball, Morrill, Scotts Bluff | 49 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Rapid City, SD (KUNR), launched 12:00Z, 8.2 hours before the alert went out and 211 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 829 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -69 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 993 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 25 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -3 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 41 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- -0.1
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
561
WWUS20 KWNS 022013
SEL5
SPC WW 022013
MTZ000-NDZ000-NEZ000-SDZ000-WYZ000-030400-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 585
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
215 PM MDT SAT JUL 2 2011
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEAST MONTANA
SOUTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA
WESTERN NEBRASKA
WESTERN SOUTH DAKOTA
EASTERN WYOMING
EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 215 PM UNTIL
1000 PM MDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF
MILES CITY MONTANA TO 40 MILES WEST OF SIDNEY NEBRASKA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 583...WW 584...
DISCUSSION...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE BEGINNING TO FORM OVER
EASTERN WY. THIS ACTIVITY WILL SPREAD EASTWARD ACROSS THE WATCH
AREA THROUGH THE EVENING. SOUTHEASTERLY AND INCREASING LOW LEVEL
WINDS...COUPLED WITH SUFFICIENT WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT...WILL PROMOTE
SUPERCELL STORMS CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.
STRENGTHENING WIND FIELDS BY 00Z ALSO SUGGEST A RISK OF A FEW
TORNADOES.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26030.
...HARTSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2, 12:17 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Carter, Custer, Dawson, Fallon, Powder River, Prairie and 2 more | 58 min |
| Jul 2, 4:59 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Carter, Custer, Powder River | 2 hr |
| Jul 2, 3:20 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Dundy, Hitchcock, Red Willow | 9 hr |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in South Dakota, 2011Tornado Watches in Wyoming, 2011Tornado Watches in Nebraska, 2011Every tornado watch in 2011
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.