Alert archive / South Dakota / Tornado Watches in 2011

Tornado Watch 585

July 2, 20114 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jul 2, 2011, 2:13 PM MDT for 4 states. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 2, 2011, 2:13 PM MDT (20:13 UTC)
Expired
Jul 2, 2011, 10:00 PM MDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 32 counties

Big Horn County, MT, Carter County, MT, Custer County, MT, Fallon County, MT, Powder River County, MT, Rosebud County, MT, Treasure County, MT, Banner County, NE, Box Butte County, NE, Cheyenne County, NE, Dawes County, NE, Kimball County, NE, Morrill County, NE, Scotts Bluff County, NE, Sioux County, NE, Butte County, SD, Custer County, SD, Fall River County, SD, Harding County, SD, Lawrence County, SD, Meade County, SD, Pennington County, SD, Perkins County, SD, Campbell County, WY, Converse County, WY, Crook County, WY, Goshen County, WY, Laramie County, WY, Niobrara County, WY, Platte County, WY, Sheridan County, WY, Weston County, WY

The radar

The Rapid City radar (KUDX), 214 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:14 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
70%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
70%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

50 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 2, 2:26 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRCampbell, Crook64 min
Jul 2, 2:37 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRCampbell, Weston53 min
Jul 2, 2:51 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRCrook39 min
Jul 2, 2:57 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningUNRCampbell, Crook4 hr
Jul 2, 3:15 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSGoshen, Laramie, Platte25 min
Jul 2, 3:23 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRCrook, Weston67 min
Jul 2, 3:27 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRCrook63 min
Jul 2, 3:39 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBYZCarter51 min
Jul 2, 3:50 PM MDTTornado WarningCYSConverse, Niobrara40 min
Jul 2, 3:59 PM MDTTornado WarningUNRCrook, Weston46 min
Jul 2, 4:15 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBYZCarter, Powder River60 min
Jul 2, 4:22 PM MDTTornado WarningCYSConverse, Platte38 min
Jul 2, 4:27 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRCrook, Weston63 min
Jul 2, 4:29 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSConverse, Niobrara46 min
Jul 2, 4:30 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBYZCarter37 min
Jul 2, 4:30 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningUNRCrook, Weston6 hr
Jul 2, 4:42 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSGoshen, Niobrara, Platte48 min
Jul 2, 4:50 PM MDTTornado WarningUNRCrook, Weston23 min
Jul 2, 4:53 PM MDTTornado WarningUNRWeston52 min
Jul 2, 4:55 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningUNRButte, Lawrence, Meade3 hr
Jul 2, 5:01 PM MDTTornado WarningCYSPlatte31 min
Jul 2, 5:01 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRWeston59 min
Jul 2, 5:30 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSConverse, Goshen, Niobrara, Platte45 min
Jul 2, 5:35 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRWeston40 min
Jul 2, 5:40 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningBYZCarter, Powder River2 hr
Jul 2, 5:40 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSSioux38 min
Jul 2, 5:40 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSNiobrara37 min
Jul 2, 5:52 PM MDTTornado WarningUNRWeston21 min
Jul 2, 5:59 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRLawrence, Meade61 min
Jul 2, 6:04 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSGoshen, Platte41 min
Jul 2, 6:05 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRCuster55 min
Jul 2, 6:11 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBYZCarter, Custer, Fallon49 min
Jul 2, 6:22 PM MDTTornado WarningCYSGoshen37 min
Jul 2, 6:37 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRCuster, Fall River53 min
Jul 2, 6:43 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRCuster, Pennington62 min
Jul 2, 6:44 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSSioux61 min
Jul 2, 6:47 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningUNRCuster, Fall River67 min
Jul 2, 6:55 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRCuster, Pennington50 min
Jul 2, 6:56 PM MDTTornado WarningCYSSioux49 min
Jul 2, 6:59 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRMeade61 min
Jul 2, 7:01 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBYZFallon26 min
Jul 2, 7:01 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningUNRCuster4 hr
Jul 2, 7:02 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRFall River43 min
Jul 2, 7:23 PM MDTTornado WarningCYSBanner, Scotts Bluff, Sioux37 min
Jul 2, 7:27 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRCuster, Fall River, Jackson, Pennington63 min
Jul 2, 7:41 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSBox Butte, Morrill, Scotts Bluff, Sioux49 min
Jul 2, 7:54 PM MDTTornado WarningCYSBanner, Scotts Bluff40 min
Jul 2, 8:25 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningCYSBanner, Scotts Bluff6 hr
Jul 2, 8:30 PM MDTTornado WarningCYSBanner, Kimball, Scotts Bluff45 min
Jul 2, 9:11 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSBanner, Cheyenne, Kimball, Morrill, Scotts Bluff49 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Rapid City, SD (KUNR), launched 12:00Z, 8.2 hours before the alert went out and 211 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Rapid City, SD at 12:00Z on 2011-07-02Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 829 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Rapid City, SD at 12:00Z on 2011-07-02The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -3 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
829 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-69 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
993 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
25 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-3 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
41 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

561 
WWUS20 KWNS 022013
SEL5
SPC WW 022013
MTZ000-NDZ000-NEZ000-SDZ000-WYZ000-030400-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 585
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
215 PM MDT SAT JUL 2 2011

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       SOUTHEAST MONTANA
       SOUTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA
       WESTERN NEBRASKA
       WESTERN SOUTH DAKOTA
       EASTERN WYOMING

EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 215 PM UNTIL
1000 PM MDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF
MILES CITY MONTANA TO 40 MILES WEST OF SIDNEY NEBRASKA.  FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 583...WW 584...

DISCUSSION...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE BEGINNING TO FORM OVER
EASTERN WY.  THIS ACTIVITY WILL SPREAD EASTWARD ACROSS THE WATCH
AREA THROUGH THE EVENING.  SOUTHEASTERLY AND INCREASING LOW LEVEL
WINDS...COUPLED WITH SUFFICIENT WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT...WILL PROMOTE
SUPERCELL STORMS CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.
STRENGTHENING WIND FIELDS BY 00Z ALSO SUGGEST A RISK OF A FEW
TORNADOES.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26030.


...HART

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 2, 12:17 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCarter, Custer, Dawson, Fallon, Powder River, Prairie and 2 more58 min
Jul 2, 4:59 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCarter, Custer, Powder River2 hr
Jul 2, 3:20 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCDundy, Hitchcock, Red Willow9 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in South Dakota, 2011Tornado Watches in Wyoming, 2011Tornado Watches in Nebraska, 2011Every tornado watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.