Alert archive / Wisconsin / Tornado Watches in 2011

Tornado Watch 423

June 3, 201137 counties in Wisconsin

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jun 3, 2011, 5:10 PM CDT for 37 counties in Wisconsin. It took effect at Jun 3, 2011, 5:15 PM CDT. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 3, 2011, 5:10 PM CDT (22:10 UTC)
In effect from
Jun 3, 2011, 5:15 PM CDT
Expired
Jun 4, 2011, 12:00 AM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 37 counties

Adams County, WI, Ashland County, WI, Barron County, WI, Bayfield County, WI, Buffalo County, WI, Chippewa County, WI, Clark County, WI, Dunn County, WI, Eau Claire County, WI, Florence County, WI, Forest County, WI, Green Lake County, WI, Iron County, WI, Jackson County, WI, Juneau County, WI, La Crosse County, WI, Langlade County, WI, Lincoln County, WI, Marathon County, WI, Marinette County, WI, Marquette County, WI, Menominee County, WI, Monroe County, WI, Oconto County, WI, Oneida County, WI, Pepin County, WI, Portage County, WI, Price County, WI, Rusk County, WI, Sawyer County, WI, Shawano County, WI, Taylor County, WI, Trempealeau County, WI, Vilas County, WI, Waupaca County, WI, Waushara County, WI, Wood County, WI

The radar

The La Crosse radar (KARX), 146 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:12 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
50%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

4 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 3, 8:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHBayfield46 min
Jun 3, 8:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHAshland, Bayfield50 min
Jun 3, 8:48 PM CDTTornado WarningDLHAshland, Bayfield11 min
Jun 3, 9:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHAshland, Price, Sawyer24 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Green Bay/Straub, WI (KGRB), launched 12:00Z, 10.2 hours before the alert went out and 168 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Green Bay/Straub, WI at 12:00Z on 2011-06-03Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Green Bay/Straub, WI at 12:00Z on 2011-06-03The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 187 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1127 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
26 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
187 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
252 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
1.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

455 
WWUS20 KWNS 032214
SEL3
SPC WW 032214
WIZ000-040500-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 423
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
515 PM CDT FRI JUN 3 2011

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       NORTHERN AND CENTRAL WISCONSIN

EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON FROM 515 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 20 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF
EAU CLAIRE WISCONSIN TO 30 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF GREEN BAY
WISCONSIN.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

DISCUSSION...STORM INITIATION HAS RECENTLY OCCURRED WSW EAU ON THE
NRN EDGE OF LOW-LEVEL THERMAL AXIS WHERE TEMPERATURES HAS WARMED
INTO THE LOW/MID 90S.  OBJECTIVE GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT A CAP EXISTS
ACROSS DOWNSTREAM WARM SECTOR...THOUGH IT APPEARS THAT THE STRONG
DIABATIC HEATING MAY BE SUFFICIENT TO SUSTAIN ISOLATED STORMS PRIOR
TO 00Z.  AMBIENT ENVIRONMENT IS RATHER MOIST WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE
MID/UPPER 60S...RESULTING IN MLCAPE OF 2500-3500 J/KG.  AREA
PROFILER/VWP DATA INDICATE VERTICALLY VEERING WIND PROFILES WITH
SUFFICIENT LOW AND DEEP-LAYER SHEAR TO SUPPORT SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF
TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26030.


...MEAD

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 3, 1:11 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCKittson, Lake of the Woods, Marshall, Norman, Pennington, Polk and 2 more94 min
Jun 3, 1:25 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCClay, Kittson, Marshall, Norman, Pennington, Polk and 2 more4 hr
Jun 3, 3:33 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCGoodhue, Wabasha87 min
Jun 3, 5:28 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAitkin, Carlton, Cook, Itasca, Lake, Pine and 1 more5 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Wisconsin, 2011Every tornado watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.