Alert archive / Minnesota / Tornado Watches in 2011
Tornado Watch 406
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at May 30, 2011, 8:43 PM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 5 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- May 30, 2011, 8:43 PM CDT (01:43 UTC)
- Expired
- May 31, 2011, 2:00 AM CDT
- In force
- 5 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 70 kt
All 75 counties
Clay County, IA, Dickinson County, IA, Lyon County, IA, O'Brien County, IA, Osceola County, IA, Sioux County, IA, Aitkin County, MN, Becker County, MN, Beltrami County, MN, Benton County, MN, Big Stone County, MN, Cass County, MN, Chippewa County, MN, Clay County, MN, Clearwater County, MN, Cottonwood County, MN, Crow Wing County, MN, Douglas County, MN, Grant County, MN, Hubbard County, MN, Itasca County, MN, Jackson County, MN, Kandiyohi County, MN, Kittson County, MN, Koochiching County, MN, Lac qui Parle County, MN, Lake of the Woods County, MN, Lincoln County, MN, Lyon County, MN, Mahnomen County, MN, Marshall County, MN, Meeker County, MN, Mille Lacs County, MN, Morrison County, MN, Murray County, MN, Nobles County, MN, Norman County, MN, Otter Tail County, MN, Pennington County, MN, Pipestone County, MN, Polk County, MN, Pope County, MN, Red Lake County, MN, Redwood County, MN, Renville County, MN, Rock County, MN, Roseau County, MN, Stearns County, MN, Stevens County, MN, Swift County, MN, Todd County, MN, Traverse County, MN, Wadena County, MN, Wilkin County, MN, Yellow Medicine County, MN, Cass County, ND, Grand Forks County, ND, Ransom County, ND, Richland County, ND, Traill County, ND, Brookings County, SD, Clay County, SD, Codington County, SD, Deuel County, SD, Grant County, SD, Hamlin County, SD, Hutchinson County, SD, Kingsbury County, SD, Lake County, SD, Lincoln County, SD, Minnehaha County, SD, Moody County, SD, Roberts County, SD, Turner County, SD, Yankton County, SD
The radar
The Aberdeen radar (KABR), 176 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:46 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 50%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 30%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 80%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 70%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 50%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 95%
Warnings issued inside it
22 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 30, 8:46 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FSD | Brookings, Lake, Moody | 44 min |
| May 30, 8:47 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | FGF | Clay | 43 min |
| May 30, 8:58 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | FGF | Polk | 47 min |
| May 30, 8:59 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Stevens | 16 min |
| May 30, 9:06 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | FGF | Polk | 39 min |
| May 30, 9:12 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | FGF | Grant | 48 min |
| May 30, 9:22 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Becker, Clay, Norman | 38 min |
| May 30, 9:38 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Lac qui Parle, Yellow Medicine | 51 min |
| May 30, 9:40 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Pennington, Polk, Red Lake | 65 min |
| May 30, 9:43 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | FGF | Polk | 47 min |
| May 30, 9:48 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Norman, Polk | 27 min |
| May 30, 9:50 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Kittson | 25 min |
| May 30, 9:57 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Douglas | 48 min |
| May 30, 10:12 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | FGF | Grant | 9 hr |
| May 30, 10:21 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Becker, Beltrami, Clearwater, Hubbard, Mahnomen, Otter Tail and 2 more | 54 min |
| May 30, 10:33 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Beltrami, Clearwater, Kittson, Lake of the Woods, Marshall, Pennington and 3 more | 57 min |
| May 30, 10:50 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DLH | Cass, Crow Wing, Itasca | 55 min |
| May 30, 11:16 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Beltrami | 29 min |
| May 30, 11:26 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DLH | Aitkin, Cass, Crow Wing | 49 min |
| May 30, 11:30 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Morrison | 30 min |
| May 30, 11:55 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DLH | Aitkin, Carlton, Cass, Crow Wing, Itasca, Pine and 1 more | 65 min |
| May 31, 12:47 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DLH | Carlton, Itasca, Pine, Saint Louis | 28 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Aberdeen, SD (KABR), launched 00:00Z, 1.7 hours before the alert went out and 181 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1125 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -258 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 775 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 58 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 90 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 174 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- -1.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
213
WWUS20 KWNS 310146
SEL6
SPC WW 310146
IAZ000-MNZ000-NDZ000-SDZ000-310700-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 406
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
845 PM CDT MON MAY 30 2011
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHWESTERN IOWA
WESTERN...CENTRAL AND NORTHERN MINNESOTA
EXTREME EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA
EASTERN SOUTH DAKOTA
EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING FROM 845 PM UNTIL
200 AM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF
SIOUX FALLS SOUTH DAKOTA TO 70 MILES NORTHEAST OF THIEF RIVER
FALLS MINNESOTA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES TORNADO
WATCH NUMBER 402...TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 403. WATCH NUMBER 402 403
WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER 845 PM CDT. CONTINUE...WW 405...
DISCUSSION...THREAT WILL SHIFT NEWD ACROSS WW AREA THROUGH REMAINDER
EVENING FOR BOTH SIGNIFICANT CONVECTIVE WIND DAMAGE AND TORNADOES.
TORNADO POTENTIAL MAY EXIST EITHER WITH EMBEDDED
SUPERCELLS...BOW-ECHO MESOCIRCULATIONS OR LEADING-EDGE/QLCS SPINUPS.
WARM SECTOR WILL SPREAD OVER MORE OF NRN MN WITH TIME...AHEAD OF
MCS...LEADING TO DESTABILIZATION OF NEAR-SFC AIR MASS.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22040.
...EDWARDS/HALESSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 30, 8:37 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Cherokee, Harrison, Monona, Plymouth, Woodbury | 5 hr |
| May 30, 10:09 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Clay, Dickinson, Lyon, O'Brien, Osceola, Sioux | 2 hr |
| May 30, 10:38 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Cherokee, Harrison, Ida, Monona, Plymouth, Woodbury | 2 hr |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Minnesota, 2011Tornado Watches in South Dakota, 2011Tornado Watches in Iowa, 2011Every tornado watch in 2011
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.