Alert archive / Minnesota / Tornado Watches in 2011

Tornado Watch 406

May 30, 20114 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at May 30, 2011, 8:43 PM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 30, 2011, 8:43 PM CDT (01:43 UTC)
Expired
May 31, 2011, 2:00 AM CDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2.5 in
Strongest gust expected
70 kt
All 75 counties

Clay County, IA, Dickinson County, IA, Lyon County, IA, O'Brien County, IA, Osceola County, IA, Sioux County, IA, Aitkin County, MN, Becker County, MN, Beltrami County, MN, Benton County, MN, Big Stone County, MN, Cass County, MN, Chippewa County, MN, Clay County, MN, Clearwater County, MN, Cottonwood County, MN, Crow Wing County, MN, Douglas County, MN, Grant County, MN, Hubbard County, MN, Itasca County, MN, Jackson County, MN, Kandiyohi County, MN, Kittson County, MN, Koochiching County, MN, Lac qui Parle County, MN, Lake of the Woods County, MN, Lincoln County, MN, Lyon County, MN, Mahnomen County, MN, Marshall County, MN, Meeker County, MN, Mille Lacs County, MN, Morrison County, MN, Murray County, MN, Nobles County, MN, Norman County, MN, Otter Tail County, MN, Pennington County, MN, Pipestone County, MN, Polk County, MN, Pope County, MN, Red Lake County, MN, Redwood County, MN, Renville County, MN, Rock County, MN, Roseau County, MN, Stearns County, MN, Stevens County, MN, Swift County, MN, Todd County, MN, Traverse County, MN, Wadena County, MN, Wilkin County, MN, Yellow Medicine County, MN, Cass County, ND, Grand Forks County, ND, Ransom County, ND, Richland County, ND, Traill County, ND, Brookings County, SD, Clay County, SD, Codington County, SD, Deuel County, SD, Grant County, SD, Hamlin County, SD, Hutchinson County, SD, Kingsbury County, SD, Lake County, SD, Lincoln County, SD, Minnehaha County, SD, Moody County, SD, Roberts County, SD, Turner County, SD, Yankton County, SD

The radar

The Aberdeen radar (KABR), 176 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:46 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
50%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
30%
Ten or more severe wind reports
80%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
70%
Ten or more severe hail reports
50%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

22 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 30, 8:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDBrookings, Lake, Moody44 min
May 30, 8:47 PM CDTTornado WarningFGFClay43 min
May 30, 8:58 PM CDTTornado WarningFGFPolk47 min
May 30, 8:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXStevens16 min
May 30, 9:06 PM CDTTornado WarningFGFPolk39 min
May 30, 9:12 PM CDTTornado WarningFGFGrant48 min
May 30, 9:22 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFBecker, Clay, Norman38 min
May 30, 9:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXLac qui Parle, Yellow Medicine51 min
May 30, 9:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFPennington, Polk, Red Lake65 min
May 30, 9:43 PM CDTTornado WarningFGFPolk47 min
May 30, 9:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFNorman, Polk27 min
May 30, 9:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFKittson25 min
May 30, 9:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXDouglas48 min
May 30, 10:12 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningFGFGrant9 hr
May 30, 10:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFBecker, Beltrami, Clearwater, Hubbard, Mahnomen, Otter Tail and 2 more54 min
May 30, 10:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFBeltrami, Clearwater, Kittson, Lake of the Woods, Marshall, Pennington and 3 more57 min
May 30, 10:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHCass, Crow Wing, Itasca55 min
May 30, 11:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFBeltrami29 min
May 30, 11:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHAitkin, Cass, Crow Wing49 min
May 30, 11:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXMorrison30 min
May 30, 11:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHAitkin, Carlton, Cass, Crow Wing, Itasca, Pine and 1 more65 min
May 31, 12:47 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHCarlton, Itasca, Pine, Saint Louis28 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Aberdeen, SD (KABR), launched 00:00Z, 1.7 hours before the alert went out and 181 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Aberdeen, SD at 00:00Z on 2011-05-31Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1125 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Aberdeen, SD at 00:00Z on 2011-05-31The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 90 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1125 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-258 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
775 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
58 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
90 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
174 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-1.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

213 
WWUS20 KWNS 310146
SEL6
SPC WW 310146
IAZ000-MNZ000-NDZ000-SDZ000-310700-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 406
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
845 PM CDT MON MAY 30 2011

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       NORTHWESTERN IOWA
       WESTERN...CENTRAL AND NORTHERN MINNESOTA
       EXTREME EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA
       EASTERN SOUTH DAKOTA

EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING FROM 845 PM UNTIL
200 AM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF
SIOUX FALLS SOUTH DAKOTA TO 70 MILES NORTHEAST OF THIEF RIVER
FALLS MINNESOTA.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES TORNADO
WATCH NUMBER 402...TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 403. WATCH NUMBER 402 403
WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER 845 PM CDT. CONTINUE...WW 405...

DISCUSSION...THREAT WILL SHIFT NEWD ACROSS WW AREA THROUGH REMAINDER
EVENING FOR BOTH SIGNIFICANT CONVECTIVE WIND DAMAGE AND TORNADOES.
TORNADO POTENTIAL MAY EXIST EITHER WITH EMBEDDED
SUPERCELLS...BOW-ECHO MESOCIRCULATIONS OR LEADING-EDGE/QLCS SPINUPS.
 WARM SECTOR WILL SPREAD OVER MORE OF NRN MN WITH TIME...AHEAD OF
MCS...LEADING TO DESTABILIZATION OF NEAR-SFC AIR MASS.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22040.


...EDWARDS/HALES

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 30, 8:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm Watch PDSSPCCherokee, Harrison, Monona, Plymouth, Woodbury5 hr
May 30, 10:09 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Dickinson, Lyon, O'Brien, Osceola, Sioux2 hr
May 30, 10:38 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCherokee, Harrison, Ida, Monona, Plymouth, Woodbury2 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Minnesota, 2011Tornado Watches in South Dakota, 2011Tornado Watches in Iowa, 2011Every tornado watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.