Alert archive / Minnesota / Tornado Watches in 2011

Tornado Watch 403

May 30, 201131 counties in Minnesota; 5 counties in North Dakota; 8 counties in South Dakota

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at May 30, 2011, 3:52 PM CDT for 31 counties in Minnesota; 5 counties in North Dakota; 8 counties in South Dakota. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 30, 2011, 3:52 PM CDT (20:52 UTC)
Expired
May 30, 2011, 10:44 PM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2.5 in
Strongest gust expected
65 kt
All 44 counties

Becker County, MN, Benton County, MN, Big Stone County, MN, Cass County, MN, Chippewa County, MN, Clay County, MN, Clearwater County, MN, Crow Wing County, MN, Douglas County, MN, Grant County, MN, Hubbard County, MN, Kandiyohi County, MN, Lac qui Parle County, MN, Mahnomen County, MN, Meeker County, MN, Morrison County, MN, Norman County, MN, Otter Tail County, MN, Polk County, MN, Pope County, MN, Red Lake County, MN, Redwood County, MN, Renville County, MN, Stearns County, MN, Stevens County, MN, Swift County, MN, Todd County, MN, Traverse County, MN, Wadena County, MN, Wilkin County, MN, Yellow Medicine County, MN, Cass County, ND, Ransom County, ND, Richland County, ND, Sargent County, ND, Traill County, ND, Clark County, SD, Codington County, SD, Day County, SD, Deuel County, SD, Grant County, SD, Hamlin County, SD, Marshall County, SD, Roberts County, SD

The radar

The Aberdeen radar (KABR), 168 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:53 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
70%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
40%
Ten or more severe hail reports
70%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
40%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

23 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 30, 6:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRBrown, Clark, Day, Spink35 min
May 30, 7:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRDay, Marshall30 min
May 30, 7:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRDay, Marshall, Roberts25 min
May 30, 7:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFRansom, Richland, Sargent63 min
May 30, 7:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRMarshall, Roberts35 min
May 30, 8:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFRansom, Sargent24 min
May 30, 8:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRCodington, Hamlin21 min
May 30, 8:34 PM CDTTornado WarningFGFRichland26 min
May 30, 8:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXStevens20 min
May 30, 8:47 PM CDTTornado WarningFGFClay43 min
May 30, 8:58 PM CDTTornado WarningFGFPolk47 min
May 30, 8:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXStevens16 min
May 30, 9:06 PM CDTTornado WarningFGFPolk39 min
May 30, 9:12 PM CDTTornado WarningFGFGrant48 min
May 30, 9:22 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFBecker, Clay, Norman38 min
May 30, 9:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXLac qui Parle, Yellow Medicine51 min
May 30, 9:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFPennington, Polk, Red Lake65 min
May 30, 9:43 PM CDTTornado WarningFGFPolk47 min
May 30, 9:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFNorman, Polk27 min
May 30, 9:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXDouglas48 min
May 30, 10:12 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningFGFGrant9 hr
May 30, 10:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFBecker, Beltrami, Clearwater, Hubbard, Mahnomen, Otter Tail and 2 more54 min
May 30, 10:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFBeltrami, Clearwater, Kittson, Lake of the Woods, Marshall, Pennington and 3 more57 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Aberdeen, SD (KABR), launched 12:00Z, 8.9 hours before the alert went out and 194 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Aberdeen, SD at 12:00Z on 2011-05-30Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Aberdeen, SD at 12:00Z on 2011-05-30The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 758 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
485 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
70 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
758 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
711 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

704 
WWUS20 KWNS 302055
SEL3  
SPC WW 302055
MNZ000-NDZ000-SDZ000-310400-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 403
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
355 PM CDT MON MAY 30 2011

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       WESTERN AND CENTRAL MINNESOTA
       SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA
       NORTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA

EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 355 PM UNTIL
1100 PM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 75 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 90 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF
WATERTOWN SOUTH DAKOTA TO 20 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF BEMIDJI
MINNESOTA.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 402...

DISCUSSION...SEVERE TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY DEVELOP LATE THIS
AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING ACROSS EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE DAKOTAS INTO
WESTERN MN. IN THE WAKE OF A NORTHWARD MOVING WARM
FRONT...ADDITIONAL DESTABILIZATION WILL OCCUR OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL
HOURS...WITH A HIGHLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT FAVORABLE FOR SUSTAINED
SEVERE TSTMS. INITIAL MODE SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF LARGE
HAIL/TORNADOES CAN BE EXPECTED...WITH A QUASI-LINEAR EVOLUTION
LIKELY TO OCCUR LATER THIS EVENING INCLUDING A POTENTIALLY MORE
WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WIND AND ISOLATED TORNADO THREAT.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22040.


...GUYER/HART

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 29, 10:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBrown, Chippewa, Cottonwood, Jackson, Kandiyohi, Lac qui Parle and 16 more6 hr
May 30, 2:52 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnoka, Benton, Big Stone, Blue Earth, Brown, Carver and 30 more113 min
May 30, 4:05 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBenton, Big Stone, Chippewa, Chisago, Douglas, Grant and 19 more5 hr
May 30, 6:51 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnoka, Benton, Carlton, Chisago, Hennepin, Isanti and 9 more114 min
May 30, 1:40 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBig Stone, Lac qui Parle, Lincoln, Pipestone, Traverse95 min
May 30, 2:08 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCLincoln, Lyon, Pipestone, Rock7 hr
May 30, 6:17 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBecker, Big Stone, Chippewa, Clay, Douglas, Grant and 22 more118 min
May 29, 9:24 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Union96 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Minnesota, 2011Tornado Watches in South Dakota, 2011Tornado Watches in North Dakota, 2011Every tornado watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.