Alert archive / Minnesota / Tornado Watches in 2011
Tornado Watch 403
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at May 30, 2011, 3:52 PM CDT for 31 counties in Minnesota; 5 counties in North Dakota; 8 counties in South Dakota. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- May 30, 2011, 3:52 PM CDT (20:52 UTC)
- Expired
- May 30, 2011, 10:44 PM CDT
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 65 kt
All 44 counties
Becker County, MN, Benton County, MN, Big Stone County, MN, Cass County, MN, Chippewa County, MN, Clay County, MN, Clearwater County, MN, Crow Wing County, MN, Douglas County, MN, Grant County, MN, Hubbard County, MN, Kandiyohi County, MN, Lac qui Parle County, MN, Mahnomen County, MN, Meeker County, MN, Morrison County, MN, Norman County, MN, Otter Tail County, MN, Polk County, MN, Pope County, MN, Red Lake County, MN, Redwood County, MN, Renville County, MN, Stearns County, MN, Stevens County, MN, Swift County, MN, Todd County, MN, Traverse County, MN, Wadena County, MN, Wilkin County, MN, Yellow Medicine County, MN, Cass County, ND, Ransom County, ND, Richland County, ND, Sargent County, ND, Traill County, ND, Clark County, SD, Codington County, SD, Day County, SD, Deuel County, SD, Grant County, SD, Hamlin County, SD, Marshall County, SD, Roberts County, SD
The radar
The Aberdeen radar (KABR), 168 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:53 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 40%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 70%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 40%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 70%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 40%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 95%
Warnings issued inside it
23 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 30, 6:40 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABR | Brown, Clark, Day, Spink | 35 min |
| May 30, 7:15 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABR | Day, Marshall | 30 min |
| May 30, 7:35 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABR | Day, Marshall, Roberts | 25 min |
| May 30, 7:42 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Ransom, Richland, Sargent | 63 min |
| May 30, 7:58 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABR | Marshall, Roberts | 35 min |
| May 30, 8:21 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Ransom, Sargent | 24 min |
| May 30, 8:23 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABR | Codington, Hamlin | 21 min |
| May 30, 8:34 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | FGF | Richland | 26 min |
| May 30, 8:40 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Stevens | 20 min |
| May 30, 8:47 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | FGF | Clay | 43 min |
| May 30, 8:58 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | FGF | Polk | 47 min |
| May 30, 8:59 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Stevens | 16 min |
| May 30, 9:06 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | FGF | Polk | 39 min |
| May 30, 9:12 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | FGF | Grant | 48 min |
| May 30, 9:22 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Becker, Clay, Norman | 38 min |
| May 30, 9:38 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Lac qui Parle, Yellow Medicine | 51 min |
| May 30, 9:40 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Pennington, Polk, Red Lake | 65 min |
| May 30, 9:43 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | FGF | Polk | 47 min |
| May 30, 9:48 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Norman, Polk | 27 min |
| May 30, 9:57 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Douglas | 48 min |
| May 30, 10:12 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | FGF | Grant | 9 hr |
| May 30, 10:21 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Becker, Beltrami, Clearwater, Hubbard, Mahnomen, Otter Tail and 2 more | 54 min |
| May 30, 10:33 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Beltrami, Clearwater, Kittson, Lake of the Woods, Marshall, Pennington and 3 more | 57 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Aberdeen, SD (KABR), launched 12:00Z, 8.9 hours before the alert went out and 194 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 485 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 70 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 758 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 711 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.5
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
704
WWUS20 KWNS 302055
SEL3
SPC WW 302055
MNZ000-NDZ000-SDZ000-310400-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 403
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
355 PM CDT MON MAY 30 2011
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
WESTERN AND CENTRAL MINNESOTA
SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA
NORTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA
EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 355 PM UNTIL
1100 PM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 75 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 90 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF
WATERTOWN SOUTH DAKOTA TO 20 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF BEMIDJI
MINNESOTA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 402...
DISCUSSION...SEVERE TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY DEVELOP LATE THIS
AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING ACROSS EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE DAKOTAS INTO
WESTERN MN. IN THE WAKE OF A NORTHWARD MOVING WARM
FRONT...ADDITIONAL DESTABILIZATION WILL OCCUR OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL
HOURS...WITH A HIGHLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT FAVORABLE FOR SUSTAINED
SEVERE TSTMS. INITIAL MODE SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF LARGE
HAIL/TORNADOES CAN BE EXPECTED...WITH A QUASI-LINEAR EVOLUTION
LIKELY TO OCCUR LATER THIS EVENING INCLUDING A POTENTIALLY MORE
WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WIND AND ISOLATED TORNADO THREAT.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22040.
...GUYER/HARTSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 29, 10:58 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Brown, Chippewa, Cottonwood, Jackson, Kandiyohi, Lac qui Parle and 16 more | 6 hr |
| May 30, 2:52 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Anoka, Benton, Big Stone, Blue Earth, Brown, Carver and 30 more | 113 min |
| May 30, 4:05 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Benton, Big Stone, Chippewa, Chisago, Douglas, Grant and 19 more | 5 hr |
| May 30, 6:51 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Anoka, Benton, Carlton, Chisago, Hennepin, Isanti and 9 more | 114 min |
| May 30, 1:40 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Big Stone, Lac qui Parle, Lincoln, Pipestone, Traverse | 95 min |
| May 30, 2:08 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Lincoln, Lyon, Pipestone, Rock | 7 hr |
| May 30, 6:17 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Becker, Big Stone, Chippewa, Clay, Douglas, Grant and 22 more | 118 min |
| May 29, 9:24 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Clay, Union | 96 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Minnesota, 2011Tornado Watches in South Dakota, 2011Tornado Watches in North Dakota, 2011Every tornado watch in 2011
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.