Alert archive / Louisiana / Tornado Watches in 2011

Tornado Watch 39

March 5, 20115 counties in Alabama; 29 parishes in Louisiana; 17 counties in Mississippi

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 5, 2011, 8:54 AM CST for 5 counties in Alabama; 29 parishes in Louisiana; 17 counties in Mississippi. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 5, 2011, 8:54 AM CST (14:54 UTC)
Expired
Mar 5, 2011, 4:00 PM CST
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 51 counties

Baldwin County, AL, Choctaw County, AL, Clarke County, AL, Mobile County, AL, Washington County, AL, Acadia Parish, LA, Ascension Parish, LA, Assumption Parish, LA, East Baton Rouge Parish, LA, East Feliciana Parish, LA, Iberia Parish, LA, Iberville Parish, LA, Jefferson Parish, LA, Lafayette Parish, LA, Lafourche Parish, LA, Livingston Parish, LA, Orleans Parish, LA, Plaquemines Parish, LA, Pointe Coupee Parish, LA, Saint Bernard Parish, LA, Saint Charles Parish, LA, Saint Helena Parish, LA, Saint James Parish, LA, Saint John the Baptist Parish, LA, Saint Landry Parish, LA, Saint Martin Parish, LA, Saint Tammany Parish, LA, St. Mary Parish, LA, Tangipahoa Parish, LA, Terrebonne Parish, LA, Vermilion Parish, LA, Washington Parish, LA, West Baton Rouge Parish, LA, West Feliciana Parish, LA, Amite County, MS, Forrest County, MS, George County, MS, Greene County, MS, Hancock County, MS, Harrison County, MS, Jackson County, MS, Jones County, MS, Lamar County, MS, Marion County, MS, Pearl River County, MS, Perry County, MS, Pike County, MS, Stone County, MS, Walthall County, MS, Wayne County, MS, Wilkinson County, MS

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

29 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 5, 9:15 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBGeorge, Perry, Stone26 min
Mar 5, 9:32 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLCHAcadia, Lafayette, Saint Landry, Saint Martin58 min
Mar 5, 9:52 AM CSTTornado WarningLCHAcadia, Lafayette, Saint Landry, Saint Martin38 min
Mar 5, 10:04 AM CSTTornado WarningMOBGreene, Perry41 min
Mar 5, 10:42 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningMOBPerry2 hr
Mar 5, 10:46 AM CSTTornado WarningMOBGreene44 min
Mar 5, 11:06 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXEast Feliciana, Pointe Coupee, West Feliciana25 min
Mar 5, 11:41 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXAscension, Assumption, Iberville, Saint James34 min
Mar 5, 11:42 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLCHSaint Martin, St. Mary63 min
Mar 5, 11:53 AM CSTTornado WarningLCHSaint Martin, St. Mary52 min
Mar 5, 11:54 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBWashington50 min
Mar 5, 12:00 PM CSTTornado WarningLIXAscension, East Baton Rouge, Iberville, Livingston30 min
Mar 5, 12:22 PM CSTTornado WarningLIXAssumption, Lafourche, Saint James, Terrebonne23 min
Mar 5, 12:28 PM CSTTornado WarningLIXAscension, Livingston, Tangipahoa32 min
Mar 5, 12:49 PM CSTTornado WarningLIXLafourche, Saint Charles, Saint James, Saint John the Baptist26 min
Mar 5, 12:50 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningMOBGreene, Perry3 hr
Mar 5, 12:51 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXJefferson, Lafourche, Livingston, Orleans, Plaquemines, Saint Bernard and 3 more54 min
Mar 5, 12:51 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningJANCovington, Forrest, Jefferson Davis, Jones, Lamar, Marion3 hr
Mar 5, 12:55 PM CSTTornado WarningLIXJefferson, Lafourche, Saint Charles35 min
Mar 5, 12:59 PM CSTTornado WarningLIXLivingston, Saint Tammany, Tangipahoa17 min
Mar 5, 1:15 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXSaint Tammany, Tangipahoa30 min
Mar 5, 1:26 PM CSTTornado WarningLIXJefferson, Plaquemines, Saint Bernard34 min
Mar 5, 1:32 PM CSTTornado WarningLIXJefferson, Plaquemines, Saint Bernard28 min
Mar 5, 1:58 PM CSTTornado WarningLIXSaint Bernard17 min
Mar 5, 2:01 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCovington, Jones44 min
Mar 5, 2:16 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXPlaquemines59 min
Mar 5, 2:50 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningMOBStone4 hr
Mar 5, 3:23 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningMOBChoctaw, Washington3 hr
Mar 5, 3:48 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningMOBGreene, Perry3 hr

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Slidell Radar S, LA (KSIL), launched 12:00Z, 2.9 hours before the alert went out and 96 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Slidell Radar S, LA at 12:00Z on 2011-03-05Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 960 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Slidell Radar S, LA at 12:00Z on 2011-03-05The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 194 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
960 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-5 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
451 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
44 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
194 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
264 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
1.0
Supercell composite
5.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

676 
WWUS20 KWNS 051456
SEL9
SPC WW 051456
ALZ000-LAZ000-MSZ000-CWZ000-052200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 39
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
855 AM CST SAT MAR 5 2011

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       PARTS OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA
       LARGE PART OF SOUTHERN LOUISIANA
       PARTS OF SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI
       COASTAL WATERS

EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 855 AM UNTIL
400 PM CST.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES WEST OF
INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA TO 35 MILES EAST OF MOBILE ALABAMA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS ARE INTENSIFYING ACROSS SCENTRAL LA AHEAD
OF TROUGH MOVING EWD ACROSS TX.  AIR MASS EWD ACROSS THE WATCH AREA
IS MOIST AND MDTLY UNSTABLE WITH MLCAPES TO 1000 J/KG.  SHEAR
PROFILES WILL BE INCREASING WITH TIME AS THE TROUGH APPROACHES AND
CONDITIONS ARE ALREADY FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS AS EVIDENT BY THE
STORMS E OF LCH CURRENTLY.  TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE ASSOCIATED
WITH ANY SUPERCELL WITH ACTIVITY DEVELOPING UPSCALE INTO A QLCS BY
THIS AFTERNOON TOWARD SERN MS/SWRN AL.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24030.


...HALES

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 5, 8:40 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCMobile65 min
Mar 5, 1:31 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaldwin, Butler, Coffee, Conecuh, Covington, Crenshaw and 5 more89 min
Mar 5, 3:13 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCBaldwin, Choctaw, Clarke, Coffee, Conecuh, Covington and 8 more7 hr
Mar 4, 9:33 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCSaint Tammany, Tangipahoa, Washington57 min
Mar 5, 11:12 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAscension, Assumption, East Baton Rouge, East Feliciana, Jefferson, Lafourche and 12 more93 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Louisiana, 2011Tornado Watches in Mississippi, 2011Tornado Watches in Alabama, 2011Every tornado watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.