Alert archive / Pennsylvania / Tornado Watches in 2011
Tornado Watch 152
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Apr 16, 2011, 4:41 PM EDT for 19 counties in Pennsylvania. It was in force for 6 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Apr 16, 2011, 4:41 PM EDT (20:41 UTC)
- Expired
- Apr 16, 2011, 10:35 PM EDT
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 0.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
Counties Adams County, PA, Bedford County, PA, Berks County, PA, Blair County, PA, Chester County, PA, Cumberland County, PA, Dauphin County, PA, Delaware County, PA, Franklin County, PA, Fulton County, PA, Huntingdon County, PA, Juniata County, PA, Lancaster County, PA, Lebanon County, PA, Mifflin County, PA, Perry County, PA, Schuylkill County, PA, Snyder County, PA, York County, PA
The radar
The State College radar (KCCX), 69 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:41 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 40%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 30%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 30%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 5%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 5%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 70%
Warnings issued inside it
14 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 4:50 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | CTP | Adams | 5 hr |
| Apr 16, 4:53 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Cumberland, Franklin, Fulton, Perry | 37 min |
| Apr 16, 5:24 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | CTP | Cumberland | 5 hr |
| Apr 16, 5:38 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | CTP | Dauphin, Lancaster, Lebanon, York | 7 hr |
| Apr 16, 5:59 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Adams, Cumberland, Franklin | 46 min |
| Apr 16, 6:04 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | CTP | Franklin | 5 hr |
| Apr 16, 7:27 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | CTP | Schuylkill | 5 hr |
| Apr 16, 7:47 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Adams, Dauphin, Lancaster, York | 43 min |
| Apr 16, 8:05 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | CTP | Adams, York | 25 min |
| Apr 16, 8:25 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Dauphin, Lancaster, Lebanon, York | 65 min |
| Apr 16, 8:29 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | CTP | Lancaster, York | 31 min |
| Apr 16, 8:51 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Schuylkill | 44 min |
| Apr 16, 9:11 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Chester | 64 min |
| Apr 16, 10:13 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | CTP | Adams | 2 hr |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Washington/Dulle, VA (KIAD), launched 12:00Z, 8.7 hours before the alert went out and 159 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 533 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 56 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 473 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 699 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
863
WWUS20 KWNS 162041
SEL2
SPC WW 162041
DEZ000-MDZ000-NJZ000-PAZ000-CWZ000-170300-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 152
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
440 PM EDT SAT APR 16 2011
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
DELAWARE
EASTERN MARYLAND
SOUTHWEST NEW JERSEY
SOUTHERN PENNSYLVANIA
COASTAL WATERS
EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 440 PM UNTIL
1100 PM EDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 0.5 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 35 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES WEST OF ALTOONA
PENNSYLVANIA TO 55 MILES EAST OF HARRISBURG PENNSYLVANIA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 150...WW 151...
DISCUSSION...STRONG PRESSURE FALLS OCCURRING OVER ERN PA/NJ ARE
INDICATIVE OF INTENSE LOW-LEVEL WAA AND THE NEWD PROGRESSION OF
SURFACE LOW CURRENTLY ANALYZED OVER WRN VA /N OF ROA/. WHILE
AMBIENT AIR MASS IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN ONLY MARGINALLY
UNSTABLE...THE PRESENCE OF STRONG LARGE-SCALE FORCING FOR ASCENT AND
EXTREME VERTICAL SHEAR INDICATE A RISK FOR BOWING AND/OR SUPERCELL
STRUCTURES CAPABLE OF DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND A COUPLE TORNADOES.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 0.5 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
300. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 20045.
...MEADSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 10:43 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Fayette, Greene, Washington | 62 min |
| Apr 16, 1:34 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Beaver, Crawford, Lawrence, Mercer, Washington | 116 min |
| Apr 16, 2:05 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adams, Bedford, Cumberland, Dauphin, Franklin, Fulton and 6 more | 55 min |
| Apr 16, 4:29 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adams, Chester, Franklin, Fulton, Lancaster, York | 31 min |
| Apr 16, 6:38 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adams, Berks, Chester, Cumberland, Dauphin, Delaware and 13 more | 97 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Pennsylvania, 2011Every tornado watch in 2011
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.