Alert archive / Kentucky / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2011

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 882

November 14, 201114 counties in Indiana; 23 counties in Kentucky; 6 counties in Ohio

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Nov 14, 2011, 7:49 PM EST for 14 counties in Indiana; 23 counties in Kentucky; 6 counties in Ohio. It was in force for 3 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Nov 14, 2011, 7:49 PM EST (00:49 UTC)
Expired
Nov 14, 2011, 10:41 PM EST
In force
3 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 43 counties

Clark County, IN, Crawford County, IN, Dearborn County, IN, Dubois County, IN, Floyd County, IN, Harrison County, IN, Jefferson County, IN, Ohio County, IN, Orange County, IN, Perry County, IN, Ripley County, IN, Scott County, IN, Switzerland County, IN, Washington County, IN, Boone County, KY, Bracken County, KY, Breckinridge County, KY, Bullitt County, KY, Campbell County, KY, Carroll County, KY, Franklin County, KY, Gallatin County, KY, Grant County, KY, Grayson County, KY, Hancock County, KY, Hardin County, KY, Henry County, KY, Jefferson County, KY, Kenton County, KY, Meade County, KY, Ohio County, KY, Oldham County, KY, Owen County, KY, Pendleton County, KY, Shelby County, KY, Spencer County, KY, Trimble County, KY, Brown County, OH, Clermont County, OH, Clinton County, OH, Hamilton County, OH, Highland County, OH, Warren County, OH

The radar

The Louisville radar (KLVX), 62 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:50 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
20%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
10%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
50%

Warnings issued inside it

10 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 14, 7:54 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKClark, Scott, Washington36 min
Nov 14, 7:55 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKCrawford, Dubois, Orange, Perry35 min
Nov 14, 8:19 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKClark, Jefferson, Scott26 min
Nov 14, 8:21 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKClark, Crawford, Floyd, Harrison, Perry, Washington24 min
Nov 14, 8:32 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKOhio28 min
Nov 14, 8:42 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKClark, Floyd, Harrison33 min
Nov 14, 8:59 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNOhio, Switzerland46 min
Nov 14, 8:59 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKBreckinridge, Bullitt, Hardin, Meade31 min
Nov 14, 9:06 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKBullitt, Henry, Jefferson, Oldham, Shelby, Spencer24 min
Nov 14, 9:29 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNBracken, Campbell, Pendleton31 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), launched 00:00Z, 0.8 hours before the alert went out and 194 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 00:00Z on 2011-11-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 301 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 00:00Z on 2011-11-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 548 square meters per square second.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
301 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-71 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
906 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
81 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
548 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
582 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
1.0
Supercell composite
1.9

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 14, 10:00 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Bath, Bourbon, Bracken, Bullitt, Campbell and 31 more60 min
Nov 14, 8:41 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBelmont, Carroll, Columbiana, Coshocton, Fairfield, Franklin and 13 more2 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kentucky, 2011Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Indiana, 2011Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Ohio, 2011Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.