Alert archive / Louisiana / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2011

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 858

September 28, 201121 parishes in Louisiana; 11 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Sep 28, 2011, 5:48 PM CDT for 21 parishes in Louisiana; 11 counties in Texas. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Sep 28, 2011, 5:48 PM CDT (22:48 UTC)
Expired
Sep 29, 2011, 12:00 AM CDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 32 counties

Acadia Parish, LA, Allen Parish, LA, Avoyelles Parish, LA, Beauregard Parish, LA, Calcasieu Parish, LA, Cameron Parish, LA, Evangeline Parish, LA, Grant Parish, LA, Iberia Parish, LA, Jefferson Davis Parish, LA, Lafayette Parish, LA, LaSalle Parish, LA, Natchitoches Parish, LA, Rapides Parish, LA, Sabine Parish, LA, Saint Landry Parish, LA, Saint Martin Parish, LA, St. Mary Parish, LA, Vermilion Parish, LA, Vernon Parish, LA, Winn Parish, LA, Angelina County, TX, Hardin County, TX, Jasper County, TX, Jefferson County, TX, Nacogdoches County, TX, Newton County, TX, Orange County, TX, Sabine County, TX, San Augustine County, TX, Shelby County, TX, Tyler County, TX

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

9 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 28, 5:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVGrant, Natchitoches, Winn55 min
Sep 28, 6:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLCHAvoyelles, Rapides34 min
Sep 28, 6:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLCHSaint Landry, Saint Martin33 min
Sep 28, 7:04 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLCHAvoyelles, Rapides26 min
Sep 28, 7:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLCHRapides52 min
Sep 28, 7:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLCHRapides33 min
Sep 28, 8:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLCHAvoyelles, Saint Landry29 min
Sep 28, 8:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLCHEvangeline, Rapides23 min
Sep 28, 8:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLCHAvoyelles, Evangeline, Rapides, Saint Landry26 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Lake Charles Mun, LA (KLCH), launched 12:00Z, 10.8 hours before the alert went out and 88 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lake Charles Mun, LA at 12:00Z on 2011-09-28Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 3608 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Lake Charles Mun, LA at 12:00Z on 2011-09-28The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 63 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
3608 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-10 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
709 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
17 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
63 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
13 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.9

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 28, 12:10 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAcadia, Allen, Ascension, Assumption, Avoyelles, Beauregard and 30 more2 hr
Sep 28, 1:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAscension, Assumption, East Baton Rouge, East Feliciana, Iberville, Jefferson and 16 more6 hr
Sep 28, 5:19 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAcadia, Allen, Ascension, Assumption, Avoyelles, Beauregard and 26 more86 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Louisiana, 2011Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Texas, 2011Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.