Alert archive / North Carolina / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2011

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 816

August 29, 201145 counties in North Carolina

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Aug 29, 2011, 3:28 PM EDT for 45 counties in North Carolina. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 29, 2011, 3:28 PM EDT (19:28 UTC)
Expired
Aug 29, 2011, 11:00 PM EDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 45 counties

Beaufort County, NC, Bertie County, NC, Camden County, NC, Chatham County, NC, Chowan County, NC, Craven County, NC, Cumberland County, NC, Currituck County, NC, Dare County, NC, Duplin County, NC, Durham County, NC, Edgecombe County, NC, Franklin County, NC, Gates County, NC, Granville County, NC, Greene County, NC, Halifax County, NC, Harnett County, NC, Hertford County, NC, Hoke County, NC, Hyde County, NC, Johnston County, NC, Jones County, NC, Lee County, NC, Lenoir County, NC, Martin County, NC, Moore County, NC, Nash County, NC, Northampton County, NC, Onslow County, NC, Orange County, NC, Pamlico County, NC, Pasquotank County, NC, Perquimans County, NC, Pitt County, NC, Richmond County, NC, Sampson County, NC, Scotland County, NC, Tyrrell County, NC, Vance County, NC, Wake County, NC, Warren County, NC, Washington County, NC, Wayne County, NC, Wilson County, NC

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

27 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 29, 3:55 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQGates, Hertford50 min
Aug 29, 4:00 PM EDTTornado WarningAKQBertie, Hertford30 min
Aug 29, 4:13 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHDurham, Franklin, Granville, Wake62 min
Aug 29, 4:29 PM EDTTornado WarningAKQBertie, Chowan, Gates, Hertford31 min
Aug 29, 4:40 PM EDTTornado WarningMHXDare, Hyde, Tyrrell50 min
Aug 29, 4:42 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHDurham, Granville, Person63 min
Aug 29, 4:48 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHMontgomery, Richmond57 min
Aug 29, 4:49 PM EDTTornado WarningAKQBertie, Chowan26 min
Aug 29, 5:05 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQBertie25 min
Aug 29, 5:05 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHFranklin, Nash55 min
Aug 29, 5:14 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHFranklin, Johnston, Wake24 min
Aug 29, 5:21 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHAlamance, Orange39 min
Aug 29, 6:01 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHEdgecombe, Halifax, Nash44 min
Aug 29, 6:06 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHChatham39 min
Aug 29, 6:13 PM EDTTornado WarningRAHEdgecombe, Nash, Wilson47 min
Aug 29, 6:41 PM EDTTornado WarningRAHEdgecombe34 min
Aug 29, 6:45 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHChatham, Harnett, Wake45 min
Aug 29, 6:46 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMHXMartin, Pitt59 min
Aug 29, 7:04 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHFranklin, Wake41 min
Aug 29, 7:09 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMHXBeaufort51 min
Aug 29, 7:30 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningRAHEdgecombe, Nash3 hr
Aug 29, 7:48 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMHXPitt42 min
Aug 29, 8:10 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMHXBeaufort, Pamlico41 min
Aug 29, 8:12 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMHXDare18 min
Aug 29, 8:38 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHHoke, Scotland67 min
Aug 29, 8:54 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHCumberland52 min
Aug 29, 9:34 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHEdgecombe, Wilson25 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Newport, NC (KMHX), launched 12:00Z, 7.5 hours before the alert went out and 155 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Newport, NC at 12:00Z on 2011-08-29Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1590 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Newport, NC at 12:00Z on 2011-08-29The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 22 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1590 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-37 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
913 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
28 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
22 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
29 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
2.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 29, 11:08 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaufort, Bertie, Bladen, Brunswick, Camden, Carteret and 39 more97 min
Aug 29, 2:13 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlamance, Anson, Beaufort, Bertie, Bladen, Brunswick and 49 more2 hr
Aug 29, 3:56 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBladen, Brunswick, Columbus, New Hanover, Pender, Robeson7 hr
Aug 29, 7:53 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaufort, Bertie, Bladen, Camden, Chowan, Columbus and 36 more67 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in North Carolina, 2011Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.