Alert archive / Virginia / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2011

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 807

August 25, 20119 counties in Maryland; 67 counties in Virginia

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Aug 25, 2011, 3:23 PM EDT for 9 counties in Maryland; 67 counties in Virginia. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 25, 2011, 3:23 PM EDT (19:23 UTC)
Expired
Aug 25, 2011, 8:04 PM EDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 76 counties

Anne Arundel County, MD, Calvert County, MD, Charles County, MD, Dorchester County, MD, Prince George's County, MD, Saint Mary's County, MD, Somerset County, MD, Wicomico County, MD, Worcester County, MD, Accomack County, VA, Albemarle County, VA, Amelia County, VA, Amherst County, VA, Appomattox County, VA, Arlington County, VA, Bedford County, VA, Brunswick County, VA, Buckingham County, VA, Campbell County, VA, Caroline County, VA, Charles City County, VA, Chesterfield County, VA, City of Alexandria, VA, City of Charlottesville, VA, City of Colonial Heights, VA, City of Fairfax, VA, City of Falls Church, VA, City of Fredericksburg, VA, City of Hopewell, VA, City of Lynchburg, VA, City of Manassas, VA, City of Manassas Park, VA, City of Petersburg, VA, City of Richmond, VA, City of Williamsburg, VA, Culpeper County, VA, Cumberland County, VA, Dinwiddie County, VA, Essex County, VA, Fairfax County, VA, Fauquier County, VA, Fluvanna County, VA, Franklin County, VA, Gloucester County, VA, Goochland County, VA, Greene County, VA, Greensville County, VA, Hanover County, VA, Henrico County, VA, James City County, VA, King and Queen County, VA, King George County, VA, King William County, VA, Lancaster County, VA, Louisa County, VA, Lunenburg County, VA, Madison County, VA, Mathews County, VA, Mecklenburg County, VA, Middlesex County, VA, Nelson County, VA, New Kent County, VA, Northumberland County, VA, Nottoway County, VA, Orange County, VA, Powhatan County, VA, Prince Edward County, VA, Prince George County, VA, Prince William County, VA, Richmond County, VA, Spotsylvania County, VA, Stafford County, VA, Surry County, VA, Sussex County, VA, Westmoreland County, VA, York County, VA

The radar

The Norfolk radar (KAKQ), 141 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:24 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
10%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

14 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 25, 4:05 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXCulpeper, Fauquier, King George, Orange, Spotsylvania, Stafford and 1 more40 min
Aug 25, 4:23 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKBedford, Campbell, Pittsylvania67 min
Aug 25, 4:42 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXCharles48 min
Aug 25, 4:51 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKBedford, Franklin, Pittsylvania39 min
Aug 25, 5:00 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKAppomattox, Buckingham30 min
Aug 25, 5:07 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQCaroline, Essex38 min
Aug 25, 5:17 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQAmelia, Cumberland, Nottoway, Powhatan, Prince Edward43 min
Aug 25, 5:20 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXCharles, Saint Mary's40 min
Aug 25, 5:47 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningLWXCalvert, Charles, Saint Mary's97 min
Aug 25, 5:54 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQCaroline, Essex, King and Queen, King William, Lancaster, Northumberland and 2 more51 min
Aug 25, 5:54 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQAmelia, Chesterfield, Dinwiddie, Goochland, Hanover, Henrico and 5 more51 min
Aug 25, 5:59 PM EDTTornado WarningLWXCalvert, Saint Mary's31 min
Aug 25, 6:36 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQCharles City, Chesterfield, Dinwiddie, Henrico, James City, New Kent and 7 more24 min
Aug 25, 6:44 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKBedford, Campbell, Pittsylvania46 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Roanoke, VA (KRNK), launched 12:00Z, 7.4 hours before the alert went out and 135 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Roanoke, VA at 12:00Z on 2011-08-25Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 459 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Roanoke, VA at 12:00Z on 2011-08-25The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 124 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
459 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-147 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1055 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
22 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
124 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
77 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 25, 6:24 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCSaint Mary's, Somerset, Worcester96 min
Aug 25, 2:47 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlbemarle, Amelia, Amherst, Appomattox, Bedford, Botetourt and 50 more58 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Virginia, 2011Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Maryland, 2011Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.