Alert archive / Missouri / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2011

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 793

August 20, 201113 counties in Arkansas; 14 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Aug 20, 2011, 6:04 PM CDT for 13 counties in Arkansas; 14 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 20, 2011, 6:04 PM CDT (23:04 UTC)
Expired
Aug 20, 2011, 10:44 PM CDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 27 counties

Baxter County, AR, Boone County, AR, Cleburne County, AR, Fulton County, AR, Independence County, AR, Izard County, AR, Jackson County, AR, Marion County, AR, Newton County, AR, Searcy County, AR, Sharp County, AR, Stone County, AR, Van Buren County, AR, Barry County, MO, Christian County, MO, Douglas County, MO, Greene County, MO, Howell County, MO, Lawrence County, MO, Oregon County, MO, Ozark County, MO, Shannon County, MO, Stone County, MO, Taney County, MO, Texas County, MO, Webster County, MO, Wright County, MO

The radar

The Springfield radar (KSGF), 99 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:04 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

14 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 20, 6:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKNewton, Searcy50 min
Aug 20, 6:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBoone, Marion46 min
Aug 20, 6:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFChristian, Stone, Taney45 min
Aug 20, 6:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKJohnson, Newton36 min
Aug 20, 6:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKNewton, Searcy38 min
Aug 20, 7:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBaxter, Fulton, Izard, Marion40 min
Aug 20, 7:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFChristian, Douglas, Ozark, Taney49 min
Aug 20, 7:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKJohnson, Newton, Pope, Searcy, Van Buren44 min
Aug 20, 7:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKNewton, Pope, Searcy, Van Buren44 min
Aug 20, 7:35 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZKNewton3 hr
Aug 20, 7:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBoone, Marion36 min
Aug 20, 8:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFHowell37 min
Aug 20, 8:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBoone, Marion, Newton, Searcy24 min
Aug 20, 9:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKFulton, Sharp18 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 11.1 hours before the alert went out and 117 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2011-08-20Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 3504 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2011-08-20The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 90 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
3504 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-32 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
518 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
46 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
90 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
142 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
2.2
Supercell composite
14.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 20, 3:56 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Boone, Calhoun, Carroll, Clark, Columbia and 29 more64 min
Aug 19, 11:51 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBuchanan, Cass, Clay, Jackson, Platte54 min
Aug 20, 2:28 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBates, Benton, Camden, Cass, Clay, Dallas and 10 more62 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Missouri, 2011Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Arkansas, 2011Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.