Alert archive / Michigan / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2011

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 776

August 13, 201111 counties in Michigan; 8 counties in Ohio

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Aug 13, 2011, 5:28 PM EDT for 11 counties in Michigan; 8 counties in Ohio. It was in force for 4 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 13, 2011, 5:28 PM EDT (21:28 UTC)
Expired
Aug 13, 2011, 9:12 PM EDT
In force
4 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt

Counties Genesee County, MI, Lapeer County, MI, Lenawee County, MI, Livingston County, MI, Macomb County, MI, Monroe County, MI, Oakland County, MI, Saint Clair County, MI, Shiawassee County, MI, Washtenaw County, MI, Wayne County, MI, Erie County, OH, Hancock County, OH, Huron County, OH, Lucas County, OH, Ottawa County, OH, Sandusky County, OH, Seneca County, OH, Wood County, OH

The radar

The Detroit radar (KDTX), 53 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:30 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
20%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
20%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

4 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 13, 6:15 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXLivingston, Washtenaw63 min
Aug 13, 6:57 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXOakland, Wayne63 min
Aug 13, 7:37 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXMacomb, Saint Clair53 min
Aug 13, 8:18 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXMacomb, Saint Clair31 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Detroit, MI (KDTX), launched 12:00Z, 9.5 hours before the alert went out and 56 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Detroit, MI at 12:00Z on 2011-08-13Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.1000850700500300200100-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Detroit, MI at 12:00Z on 2011-08-13The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 133 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
4981 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
30 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
133 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
132 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 13, 12:45 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllegan, Berrien, Branch, Cass, Kalamazoo, Saint Joseph and 1 more60 min
Aug 13, 1:12 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAllegan, Barry, Berrien, Branch, Calhoun, Cass and 11 more9 hr
Aug 13, 4:29 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBranch, Hillsdale, Jackson, Lenawee, Livingston, Saint Joseph91 min
Aug 13, 7:10 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCLenawee, Livingston, Macomb, Monroe, Oakland, Saint Clair and 2 more95 min
Aug 13, 6:30 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Brown, Clermont, Scioto90 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Michigan, 2011Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Ohio, 2011Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.