Alert archive / Pennsylvania / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2011

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 755

August 9, 201114 counties in New Jersey; 17 counties in New York; 25 counties in Pennsylvania

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Aug 9, 2011, 4:16 PM EDT for 14 counties in New Jersey; 17 counties in New York; 25 counties in Pennsylvania. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 9, 2011, 4:16 PM EDT (20:16 UTC)
Expired
Aug 9, 2011, 9:00 PM EDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 56 counties

Bergen County, NJ, Burlington County, NJ, Camden County, NJ, Essex County, NJ, Gloucester County, NJ, Hudson County, NJ, Hunterdon County, NJ, Mercer County, NJ, Morris County, NJ, Passaic County, NJ, Somerset County, NJ, Sussex County, NJ, Union County, NJ, Warren County, NJ, Broome County, NY, Chenango County, NY, Delaware County, NY, Fulton County, NY, Greene County, NY, Hamilton County, NY, Herkimer County, NY, Madison County, NY, Montgomery County, NY, Oneida County, NY, Orange County, NY, Otsego County, NY, Rockland County, NY, Schoharie County, NY, Sullivan County, NY, Tioga County, NY, Ulster County, NY, Berks County, PA, Bradford County, PA, Bucks County, PA, Carbon County, PA, Chester County, PA, Columbia County, PA, Delaware County, PA, Lackawanna County, PA, Lancaster County, PA, Lebanon County, PA, Lehigh County, PA, Luzerne County, PA, Monroe County, PA, Montgomery County, PA, Montour County, PA, Northampton County, PA, Northumberland County, PA, Philadelphia County, PA, Pike County, PA, Schuylkill County, PA, Sullivan County, PA, Susquehanna County, PA, Wayne County, PA, Wyoming County, PA, York County, PA

The radar

The Binghamton radar (KBGM), 45 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:19 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

2 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 9, 4:45 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMChenango, Delaware, Otsego60 min
Aug 9, 5:39 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMDelaware, Otsego81 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Albany, NY (KALY), launched 12:00Z, 8.3 hours before the alert went out and 151 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2011-08-09Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 4 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2011-08-09The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -5 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
4 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-128 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1039 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
22 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-5 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
64 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 9, 12:48 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBurlington, Camden, Gloucester, Hunterdon, Mercer, Middlesex and 3 more57 min
Aug 9, 3:05 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBergen, Burlington, Camden, Essex, Gloucester, Hudson and 10 more55 min
Aug 9, 7:07 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBurlington, Camden, Cumberland, Gloucester, Hunterdon, Mercer and 6 more83 min
Aug 9, 6:56 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCrawford, Erie, Lawrence, Mercer5 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Pennsylvania, 2011Severe Thunderstorm Watches in New York, 2011Severe Thunderstorm Watches in New Jersey, 2011Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.