Alert archive / Michigan / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2011

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 719

August 2, 20115 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Aug 2, 2011, 5:22 PM CDT for 5 states. It was in force for 9 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 2, 2011, 5:22 PM CDT (22:22 UTC)
Expired
Aug 3, 2011, 2:28 AM CDT
In force
9 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
70 kt
All 100 counties

Boone County, IL, Cook County, IL, DeKalb County, IL, DuPage County, IL, Ford County, IL, Grundy County, IL, Iroquois County, IL, Kane County, IL, Kankakee County, IL, Kendall County, IL, Lake County, IL, LaSalle County, IL, Lee County, IL, Livingston County, IL, McHenry County, IL, Ogle County, IL, Will County, IL, Winnebago County, IL, Adams County, IN, Allen County, IN, Benton County, IN, Blackford County, IN, Cass County, IN, DeKalb County, IN, Elkhart County, IN, Fulton County, IN, Grant County, IN, Huntington County, IN, Jasper County, IN, Jay County, IN, Kosciusko County, IN, LaGrange County, IN, Lake County, IN, LaPorte County, IN, Marshall County, IN, Miami County, IN, Newton County, IN, Noble County, IN, Porter County, IN, Pulaski County, IN, Saint Joseph County, IN, Starke County, IN, Steuben County, IN, Wabash County, IN, Wells County, IN, White County, IN, Whitley County, IN, Allegan County, MI, Barry County, MI, Berrien County, MI, Branch County, MI, Calhoun County, MI, Cass County, MI, Clare County, MI, Clinton County, MI, Eaton County, MI, Genesee County, MI, Gratiot County, MI, Hillsdale County, MI, Ingham County, MI, Ionia County, MI, Isabella County, MI, Jackson County, MI, Kalamazoo County, MI, Kent County, MI, Lake County, MI, Lenawee County, MI, Livingston County, MI, Macomb County, MI, Mason County, MI, Mecosta County, MI, Midland County, MI, Monroe County, MI, Montcalm County, MI, Muskegon County, MI, Newaygo County, MI, Oakland County, MI, Oceana County, MI, Osceola County, MI, Ottawa County, MI, Saginaw County, MI, Saint Joseph County, MI, Shiawassee County, MI, Van Buren County, MI, Washtenaw County, MI, Wayne County, MI, Allen County, OH, Defiance County, OH, Fulton County, OH, Henry County, OH, Paulding County, OH, Putnam County, OH, Van Wert County, OH, Williams County, OH, Kenosha County, WI, Milwaukee County, WI, Racine County, WI, Rock County, WI, Walworth County, WI, Waukesha County, WI

The radar

The Grand Rapids radar (KGRR), 122 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:24 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
70%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
50%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

24 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 2, 5:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMKXRock, Walworth40 min
Aug 2, 5:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTBoone, McHenry54 min
Aug 2, 5:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMKXKenosha, Racine, Walworth41 min
Aug 2, 5:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMKXRacine21 min
Aug 2, 5:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTCook, Kane, Lake, McHenry70 min
Aug 2, 7:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXBerrien, Cass57 min
Aug 2, 7:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTDeKalb, Lee, Ogle, Winnebago61 min
Aug 2, 8:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXBranch, Cass, Saint Joseph20 min
Aug 2, 8:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTBoone, Cook, DeKalb, DuPage, Kane, Lake and 1 more66 min
Aug 2, 8:45 PM CDTTornado WarningLOTDeKalb, Lee, Ogle34 min
Aug 2, 9:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTCook, DuPage64 min
Aug 2, 9:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTCook, DuPage, Kane, Kendall, Will72 min
Aug 2, 9:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTDeKalb, Grundy, Kendall, LaSalle, Lee57 min
Aug 2, 9:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRRMecosta, Newaygo73 min
Aug 2, 10:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTGrundy, Kankakee, Kendall, LaSalle, Will59 min
Aug 2, 10:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTCook, Will68 min
Aug 2, 10:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXElkhart, Fulton, Kosciusko, LaPorte, Marshall, Pulaski and 2 more84 min
Aug 2, 10:39 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningGRRLake, Mecosta, Newaygo6 hr
Aug 2, 10:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTIroquois, Kankakee, Will68 min
Aug 2, 11:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTFord, Grundy, Iroquois, Kankakee, Livingston, Will41 min
Aug 3, 12:07 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXPulaski, White38 min
Aug 3, 12:08 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTIroquois52 min
Aug 3, 12:29 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXHuntington, Kosciusko, Wabash, Whitley36 min
Aug 3, 12:29 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXWhite29 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Green Bay/Straub, WI (KGRB), launched 12:00Z, 10.4 hours before the alert went out and 254 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Green Bay/Straub, WI at 12:00Z on 2011-08-02Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 286 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Green Bay/Straub, WI at 12:00Z on 2011-08-02The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 125 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
286 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-153 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1066 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
32 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
125 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
346 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
1.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 2, 6:19 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoone, Cook, DeKalb, DuPage, Kane, Kendall and 4 more86 min
Aug 2, 12:57 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoone, Bureau, Carroll, Cook, DeKalb, DuPage and 20 more93 min
Aug 2, 1:25 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllegan, Arenac, Barry, Bay, Benzie, Branch and 41 more95 min
Aug 1, 9:40 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBurnett, Douglas, Polk, Washburn95 min
Aug 1, 10:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBurnett, Douglas, Washburn7 hr
Aug 2, 1:24 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarron, Burnett, Chippewa, Clark, Douglas, Dunn and 13 more96 min
Aug 2, 2:20 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAshland, Barron, Bayfield, Burnett, Chippewa, Clark and 24 more10 hr
Aug 2, 3:32 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarron, Burnett, Chippewa, Clark, Douglas, Dunn and 13 more88 min
Aug 2, 5:23 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAshland, Barron, Bayfield, Burnett, Chippewa, Douglas and 11 more7 hr
Aug 2, 9:02 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarron, Chippewa, Dunn, Eau Claire, Pepin, Pierce and 4 more58 min
Aug 2, 11:51 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAshland, Barron, Bayfield, Burnett, Chippewa, Douglas and 11 more24 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Michigan, 2011Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Indiana, 2011Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Illinois, 2011Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.