Alert archive / Minnesota / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2011

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 705

July 30, 201147 counties in Minnesota; Richland County, Sargent County, North Dakota; 12 counties in South Dakota

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 30, 2011, 5:31 PM CDT for 47 counties in Minnesota; Richland County, Sargent County, North Dakota; 12 counties in South Dakota. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 30, 2011, 5:31 PM CDT (22:31 UTC)
Expired
Jul 31, 2011, 12:20 AM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 61 counties

Aitkin County, MN, Anoka County, MN, Benton County, MN, Big Stone County, MN, Brown County, MN, Carlton County, MN, Carver County, MN, Cass County, MN, Chippewa County, MN, Chisago County, MN, Crow Wing County, MN, Dakota County, MN, Douglas County, MN, Grant County, MN, Hennepin County, MN, Isanti County, MN, Kanabec County, MN, Kandiyohi County, MN, Lac qui Parle County, MN, Le Sueur County, MN, Lincoln County, MN, Lyon County, MN, McLeod County, MN, Meeker County, MN, Mille Lacs County, MN, Morrison County, MN, Nicollet County, MN, Otter Tail County, MN, Pine County, MN, Pope County, MN, Ramsey County, MN, Redwood County, MN, Renville County, MN, Rice County, MN, Scott County, MN, Sherburne County, MN, Sibley County, MN, Stearns County, MN, Stevens County, MN, Swift County, MN, Todd County, MN, Traverse County, MN, Wadena County, MN, Washington County, MN, Wilkin County, MN, Wright County, MN, Yellow Medicine County, MN, Richland County, ND, Sargent County, ND, Beadle County, SD, Brookings County, SD, Clark County, SD, Codington County, SD, Day County, SD, Deuel County, SD, Grant County, SD, Hamlin County, SD, Kingsbury County, SD, Marshall County, SD, Roberts County, SD, Spink County, SD

The radar

The Aberdeen radar (KABR), 197 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:31 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
40%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

24 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 30, 5:58 PM CDTTornado WarningFGFOtter Tail32 min
Jul 30, 6:04 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHAitkin, Crow Wing56 min
Jul 30, 6:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXTodd54 min
Jul 30, 6:17 PM CDTTornado WarningDLHAitkin, Crow Wing43 min
Jul 30, 6:22 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFOtter Tail53 min
Jul 30, 6:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXTodd51 min
Jul 30, 6:55 PM CDTTornado WarningDLHAitkin, Crow Wing30 min
Jul 30, 6:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXMille Lacs, Morrison62 min
Jul 30, 7:10 PM CDTTornado WarningMPXTodd50 min
Jul 30, 7:14 PM CDTTornado WarningABRBig Stone, Traverse31 min
Jul 30, 7:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXDouglas30 min
Jul 30, 7:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXTodd63 min
Jul 30, 7:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXKanabec45 min
Jul 30, 8:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXKanabec, Mille Lacs29 min
Jul 30, 8:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXStearns60 min
Jul 30, 8:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXIsanti, Kanabec, Mille Lacs72 min
Jul 30, 8:22 PM CDTTornado WarningMPXIsanti, Kanabec, Mille Lacs38 min
Jul 30, 8:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXIsanti55 min
Jul 30, 8:53 PM CDTTornado WarningMPXIsanti35 min
Jul 30, 9:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXKandiyohi, Meeker, Stearns38 min
Jul 30, 9:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXAnoka55 min
Jul 30, 9:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXRamsey, Washington55 min
Jul 30, 10:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXAnoka39 min
Jul 30, 11:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXLe Sueur, Scott, Sibley31 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), launched 12:00Z, 10.5 hours before the alert went out and 197 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Minneapolis, MN at 12:00Z on 2011-07-30Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2252 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Minneapolis, MN at 12:00Z on 2011-07-30The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 84 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2252 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-33 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
813 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
27 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
84 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
131 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.6
Supercell composite
4.9

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 30, 5:47 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBig Stone, Brown, Chippewa, Kandiyohi, Lac qui Parle, Lincoln and 9 more88 min
Jul 30, 11:28 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnoka, Benton, Brown, Carver, Chippewa, Chisago and 24 more3 hr
Jul 30, 1:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAnoka, Blue Earth, Brown, Carver, Chippewa, Chisago and 32 more112 min
Jul 30, 3:22 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBecker, Beltrami, Big Stone, Blue Earth, Brown, Carver and 38 more53 min
Jul 29, 9:06 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Bowman, Emmons, Grant, Hettinger, McIntosh and 2 more54 min
Jul 29, 10:14 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBillings, Bottineau, Burke, Burleigh, Divide, Dunn and 12 more61 min
Jul 29, 11:52 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarnes, Benson, Billings, Bottineau, Burleigh, Dickey and 23 more83 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Minnesota, 2011Severe Thunderstorm Watches in South Dakota, 2011Severe Thunderstorm Watches in North Dakota, 2011Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.