Alert archive / Kansas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2011

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 668

July 21, 2011Cheyenne County, Kit Carson County, Yuma County, Colorado; 25 counties in Kansas; 8 counties in Nebraska

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 21, 2011, 6:47 PM MDT for Cheyenne County, Kit Carson County, Yuma County, Colorado; 25 counties in Kansas; 8 counties in Nebraska. It was in force for 4 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 21, 2011, 6:47 PM MDT (00:47 UTC)
Expired
Jul 21, 2011, 11:10 PM MDT
In force
4 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 36 counties

Cheyenne County, CO, Kit Carson County, CO, Yuma County, CO, Cheyenne County, KS, Decatur County, KS, Ellis County, KS, Gove County, KS, Graham County, KS, Greeley County, KS, Jewell County, KS, Lane County, KS, Logan County, KS, Mitchell County, KS, Ness County, KS, Norton County, KS, Osborne County, KS, Phillips County, KS, Rawlins County, KS, Rooks County, KS, Rush County, KS, Scott County, KS, Sheridan County, KS, Sherman County, KS, Smith County, KS, Thomas County, KS, Trego County, KS, Wallace County, KS, Wichita County, KS, Dundy County, NE, Franklin County, NE, Furnas County, NE, Harlan County, NE, Hitchcock County, NE, Nuckolls County, NE, Red Willow County, NE, Webster County, NE

The radar

The Goodland radar (KGLD), 61 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:48 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
20%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

6 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 21, 7:34 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDCheyenne, Kit Carson56 min
Jul 21, 8:26 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDJewell, Smith49 min
Jul 21, 8:39 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDJewell51 min
Jul 21, 9:07 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDJewell38 min
Jul 21, 9:24 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDNuckolls, Thayer27 min
Jul 21, 9:45 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningGLDThomas3 hr

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Denver, CO (KDNR), launched 00:00Z, 0.8 hours before the alert went out and 199 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Denver, CO at 00:00Z on 2011-07-22Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Denver, CO at 00:00Z on 2011-07-22The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 51 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
3380 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
48 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
51 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
105 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 21, 6:10 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCheyenne, Decatur, Gove, Greeley, Logan, Norton and 7 more95 min
Jul 21, 9:16 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtchison, Brown, Clay, Cloud, Decatur, Dickinson and 37 more89 min
Jul 21, 9:44 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdams, Butler, Cass, Clay, Douglas, Fillmore and 19 more89 min
Jul 22, 5:22 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArthur, Blaine, Boyd, Brown, Chase, Cherry and 17 more53 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kansas, 2011Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Nebraska, 2011Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Colorado, 2011Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.