Alert archive / North Dakota / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2011

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 666

July 20, 201111 counties in Minnesota; 24 counties in North Dakota

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 20, 2011, 5:25 AM CDT for 11 counties in Minnesota; 24 counties in North Dakota. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 20, 2011, 5:25 AM CDT (10:25 UTC)
Expired
Jul 20, 2011, 11:50 AM CDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 35 counties

Beltrami County, MN, Clearwater County, MN, Kittson County, MN, Lake of the Woods County, MN, Mahnomen County, MN, Marshall County, MN, Norman County, MN, Pennington County, MN, Polk County, MN, Red Lake County, MN, Roseau County, MN, Benson County, ND, Bottineau County, ND, Burke County, ND, Cavalier County, ND, Eddy County, ND, Foster County, ND, Grand Forks County, ND, Griggs County, ND, McHenry County, ND, McLean County, ND, Mountrail County, ND, Nelson County, ND, Pembina County, ND, Pierce County, ND, Ramsey County, ND, Renville County, ND, Rolette County, ND, Sheridan County, ND, Steele County, ND, Towner County, ND, Traill County, ND, Walsh County, ND, Ward County, ND, Wells County, ND

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

17 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 20, 5:30 AM CDTTornado WarningFGFRamsey, Walsh45 min
Jul 20, 5:41 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFPembina, Walsh34 min
Jul 20, 5:43 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISMcHenry, McLean, Sheridan, Ward62 min
Jul 20, 6:07 AM CDTTornado WarningFGFGrand Forks, Nelson, Walsh38 min
Jul 20, 6:22 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISMcHenry, Pierce, Sheridan, Wells53 min
Jul 20, 6:28 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFBenson, Eddy, Ramsey, Towner62 min
Jul 20, 6:34 AM CDTTornado WarningBISPierce26 min
Jul 20, 6:40 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFMarshall, Polk50 min
Jul 20, 7:05 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISPierce, Rolette40 min
Jul 20, 7:21 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFBenson, Cavalier, Ramsey, Towner, Walsh54 min
Jul 20, 7:24 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFKittson, Marshall, Roseau51 min
Jul 20, 7:41 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFKittson, Roseau34 min
Jul 20, 7:59 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFBeltrami, Kittson, Lake of the Woods, Marshall, Roseau61 min
Jul 20, 8:08 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFKittson, Marshall67 min
Jul 20, 8:27 AM CDTTornado WarningFGFRoseau48 min
Jul 20, 8:58 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFLake of the Woods, Roseau47 min
Jul 20, 9:16 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFLake of the Woods, Roseau44 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Bismarck Municip, ND (KBIS), launched 00:00Z, 10.4 hours before the alert went out and 171 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Bismarck Municip, ND at 00:00Z on 2011-07-20Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 5088 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Bismarck Municip, ND at 00:00Z on 2011-07-20The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -4 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
5088 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-73 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1472 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
29 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-4 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
95 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.4
Supercell composite
5.9

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 20, 5:02 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Clearwater, Kittson, Mahnomen, Marshall, Norman and 4 more88 min
Jul 20, 10:43 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeltrami, Clearwater, Kittson, Marshall, Pennington, Polk and 2 more62 min
Jul 20, 6:55 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAitkin, Carlton, Cass, Cook, Itasca, Koochiching and 2 more95 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in North Dakota, 2011Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Minnesota, 2011Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.