Alert archive / Minnesota / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2011

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 662

July 19, 201120 counties in Minnesota; 20 counties in Wisconsin

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 19, 2011, 9:07 AM CDT for 20 counties in Minnesota; 20 counties in Wisconsin. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 19, 2011, 9:07 AM CDT (14:07 UTC)
Expired
Jul 19, 2011, 3:00 PM CDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 40 counties

Anoka County, MN, Benton County, MN, Chisago County, MN, Dakota County, MN, Dodge County, MN, Fillmore County, MN, Goodhue County, MN, Hennepin County, MN, Houston County, MN, Isanti County, MN, Kanabec County, MN, Mille Lacs County, MN, Mower County, MN, Olmsted County, MN, Pine County, MN, Ramsey County, MN, Sherburne County, MN, Wabasha County, MN, Washington County, MN, Winona County, MN, Barron County, WI, Buffalo County, WI, Burnett County, WI, Chippewa County, WI, Clark County, WI, Dunn County, WI, Eau Claire County, WI, Jackson County, WI, La Crosse County, WI, Monroe County, WI, Pepin County, WI, Pierce County, WI, Polk County, WI, Price County, WI, Rusk County, WI, Saint Croix County, WI, Sawyer County, WI, Taylor County, WI, Trempealeau County, WI, Washburn County, WI

The radar

The Minneapolis radar (KMPX), 114 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:09 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
40%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

6 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 19, 9:30 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXKanabec, Mille Lacs, Morrison42 min
Jul 19, 9:45 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXBenton, Isanti, Kanabec, Mille Lacs, Sherburne60 min
Jul 19, 10:09 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXAnoka, Sherburne36 min
Jul 19, 10:40 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXAnoka, Hennepin, Ramsey80 min
Jul 19, 11:25 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXDakota, Hennepin, Ramsey, Washington65 min
Jul 19, 2:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHCarlton, Pine, Saint Louis46 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), launched 12:00Z, 2.1 hours before the alert went out and 116 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Minneapolis, MN at 12:00Z on 2011-07-19Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 5144 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Minneapolis, MN at 12:00Z on 2011-07-19The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 53 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
5144 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-30 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
830 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
29 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
53 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
109 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.9
Supercell composite
5.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 19, 2:08 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBecker, Clay, Hubbard, Mahnomen, Norman, Otter Tail and 2 more2 hr
Jul 19, 11:57 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFillmore, Goodhue, Houston, Olmsted, Wabasha, Winona93 min
Jul 19, 1:04 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFillmore, Houston, Mower, Olmsted, Winona86 min
Jul 18, 9:06 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCColumbia, Dane, Dodge, Fond du Lac, Green, Green Lake and 14 more54 min
Jul 19, 5:28 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarron, Chippewa, Clark, Langlade, Lincoln, Marathon and 14 more62 min
Jul 19, 5:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdams, Barron, Brown, Calumet, Chippewa, Clark and 32 more7 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Minnesota, 2011Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Wisconsin, 2011Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.