Alert archive / Ohio / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2011

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 658

July 18, 201139 counties in Ohio; 12 counties in Pennsylvania; 9 counties in West Virginia

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 18, 2011, 3:57 PM EDT for 39 counties in Ohio; 12 counties in Pennsylvania; 9 counties in West Virginia. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 18, 2011, 3:57 PM EDT (19:57 UTC)
Expired
Jul 18, 2011, 10:00 PM EDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 60 counties

Ashland County, OH, Ashtabula County, OH, Belmont County, OH, Carroll County, OH, Columbiana County, OH, Coshocton County, OH, Crawford County, OH, Cuyahoga County, OH, Erie County, OH, Geauga County, OH, Guernsey County, OH, Hancock County, OH, Harrison County, OH, Holmes County, OH, Huron County, OH, Jefferson County, OH, Knox County, OH, Lake County, OH, Lorain County, OH, Lucas County, OH, Mahoning County, OH, Marion County, OH, Medina County, OH, Monroe County, OH, Morrow County, OH, Muskingum County, OH, Noble County, OH, Ottawa County, OH, Portage County, OH, Richland County, OH, Sandusky County, OH, Seneca County, OH, Stark County, OH, Summit County, OH, Trumbull County, OH, Tuscarawas County, OH, Wayne County, OH, Wood County, OH, Wyandot County, OH, Allegheny County, PA, Beaver County, PA, Butler County, PA, Crawford County, PA, Erie County, PA, Fayette County, PA, Greene County, PA, Lawrence County, PA, Mercer County, PA, Venango County, PA, Washington County, PA, Westmoreland County, PA, Brooke County, WV, Hancock County, WV, Marion County, WV, Marshall County, WV, Monongalia County, WV, Ohio County, WV, Preston County, WV, Tucker County, WV, Wetzel County, WV

The radar

The Cleveland radar (KCLE), 57 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:00 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

16 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 18, 4:25 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCLELucas, Ottawa, Sandusky, Wood65 min
Jul 18, 4:30 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCLEMahoning, Portage, Trumbull60 min
Jul 18, 4:37 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCLEHancock53 min
Jul 18, 4:55 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZCarroll, Harrison, Tuscarawas20 min
Jul 18, 5:07 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZBelmont, Guernsey, Harrison, Tuscarawas38 min
Jul 18, 5:17 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZColumbiana43 min
Jul 18, 5:22 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZAllegheny, Fayette, Greene, Washington, Westmoreland38 min
Jul 18, 5:30 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCLECrawford, Hancock, Seneca, Wyandot60 min
Jul 18, 5:48 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZBelmont, Guernsey, Noble42 min
Jul 18, 5:56 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZColumbiana, Jefferson34 min
Jul 18, 5:57 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCLEAshland, Marion, Morrow, Richland78 min
Jul 18, 6:11 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZAllegheny, Beaver, Butler, Washington64 min
Jul 18, 6:47 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZWashington43 min
Jul 18, 7:12 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZAllegheny, Washington48 min
Jul 18, 7:21 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZGreene, Washington39 min
Jul 18, 7:33 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZCoshocton, Guernsey, Muskingum42 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Pittsburgh, PA (KPIT), launched 12:00Z, 8.0 hours before the alert went out and 132 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Pittsburgh, PA at 12:00Z on 2011-07-18Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 243 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Pittsburgh, PA at 12:00Z on 2011-07-18The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 83 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
243 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-76 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
725 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
22 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
83 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
91 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 18, 1:18 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAshland, Carroll, Columbiana, Coshocton, Crawford, Cuyahoga and 27 more117 min
Jul 18, 6:14 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAthens, Champaign, Clark, Crawford, Delaware, Fairfield and 27 more31 min
Jul 18, 6:26 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdams, Athens, Brown, Champaign, Clark, Clinton and 23 more4 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Ohio, 2011Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Pennsylvania, 2011Severe Thunderstorm Watches in West Virginia, 2011Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.