Alert archive / Tennessee / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2011

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 609

July 7, 20119 counties in Arkansas; Dunklin County, Pemiscot County, Missouri; 12 counties in Tennessee

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 7, 2011, 10:39 PM CDT for 9 counties in Arkansas; Dunklin County, Pemiscot County, Missouri; 12 counties in Tennessee. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 7, 2011, 10:39 PM CDT (03:39 UTC)
Expired
Jul 8, 2011, 4:00 AM CDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 23 counties

Clay County, AR, Craighead County, AR, Crittenden County, AR, Cross County, AR, Greene County, AR, Lawrence County, AR, Mississippi County, AR, Poinsett County, AR, Randolph County, AR, Dunklin County, MO, Pemiscot County, MO, Crockett County, TN, Dyer County, TN, Fayette County, TN, Gibson County, TN, Hardeman County, TN, Haywood County, TN, Lake County, TN, Lauderdale County, TN, Madison County, TN, Obion County, TN, Shelby County, TN, Tipton County, TN

The radar

The Memphis radar (KNQA), 65 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:39 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

6 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 7, 10:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGClay, Greene, Lawrence, Randolph47 min
Jul 7, 11:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGClay, Craighead, Greene, Mississippi52 min
Jul 7, 11:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGLawrence, Randolph40 min
Jul 7, 11:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGClay42 min
Jul 7, 11:48 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningMEGRandolph3 hr
Jul 7, 11:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGMississippi28 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Little Rock, AR (KLZK), launched 00:00Z, 3.7 hours before the alert went out and 117 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Little Rock, AR at 00:00Z on 2011-07-08Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 3551 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Little Rock, AR at 00:00Z on 2011-07-08The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 227 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
3551 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-59 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1114 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
25 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
227 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
275 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
2.2
Supercell composite
16.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 8, 1:20 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Craighead, Crittenden, Cross, Fulton, Greene and 8 more115 min
Jul 7, 7:58 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBollinger, Butler, Camden, Cape Girardeau, Carter, Christian and 32 more92 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Tennessee, 2011Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Arkansas, 2011Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Missouri, 2011Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.