Alert archive / Illinois / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2011

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 588

July 3, 201128 counties in Illinois; 20 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 3, 2011, 1:15 PM CDT for 28 counties in Illinois; 20 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 3, 2011, 1:15 PM CDT (18:15 UTC)
Expired
Jul 3, 2011, 7:11 PM CDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 48 counties

Bond County, IL, Calhoun County, IL, Clay County, IL, Clinton County, IL, Crawford County, IL, Edwards County, IL, Effingham County, IL, Fayette County, IL, Franklin County, IL, Greene County, IL, Hamilton County, IL, Jasper County, IL, Jefferson County, IL, Jersey County, IL, Lawrence County, IL, Macoupin County, IL, Madison County, IL, Marion County, IL, Monroe County, IL, Montgomery County, IL, Perry County, IL, Randolph County, IL, Richland County, IL, Saint Clair County, IL, Wabash County, IL, Washington County, IL, Wayne County, IL, White County, IL, Audrain County, MO, Boone County, MO, Callaway County, MO, City of Saint Louis, MO, Cole County, MO, Crawford County, MO, Franklin County, MO, Gasconade County, MO, Jefferson County, MO, Lincoln County, MO, Moniteau County, MO, Montgomery County, MO, Osage County, MO, Pike County, MO, Saint Charles County, MO, Saint Francois County, MO, Saint Louis County, MO, Sainte Genevieve County, MO, Warren County, MO, Washington County, MO

The radar

The St Louis radar (KLSX), 20 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:15 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

30 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 3, 1:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXFranklin, Gasconade42 min
Jul 3, 1:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXFranklin, Saint Charles, Saint Louis, Warren46 min
Jul 3, 1:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXFranklin, Jefferson, Washington46 min
Jul 3, 1:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXRandolph, Saint Clair, Washington44 min
Jul 3, 1:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHJefferson37 min
Jul 3, 1:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXBoone49 min
Jul 3, 1:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHJefferson, Wayne34 min
Jul 3, 1:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXFranklin51 min
Jul 3, 2:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXBoone, Callaway58 min
Jul 3, 2:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXFranklin, Jefferson, Saint Charles, Saint Louis48 min
Jul 3, 2:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHJefferson, Wayne28 min
Jul 3, 2:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXFranklin47 min
Jul 3, 2:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXSainte Genevieve, Saint Francois44 min
Jul 3, 2:22 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXSaint Francois20 min
Jul 3, 2:23 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningPAHJefferson, Wayne2 hr
Jul 3, 2:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXFranklin, Warren51 min
Jul 3, 2:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCole, Osage46 min
Jul 3, 2:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCallaway42 min
Jul 3, 2:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXJefferson, Saint Louis26 min
Jul 3, 2:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXClinton, Monroe, Randolph, Saint Clair, Washington21 min
Jul 3, 2:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXMonroe, Saint Clair40 min
Jul 3, 2:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCallaway, Osage24 min
Jul 3, 2:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHHamilton23 min
Jul 3, 2:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCallaway, Franklin, Gasconade, Montgomery, Warren35 min
Jul 3, 3:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXClinton, Monroe, Randolph, Saint Clair, Washington45 min
Jul 3, 3:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCallaway, Gasconade, Montgomery, Osage25 min
Jul 3, 3:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHWhite34 min
Jul 3, 3:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCallaway, Franklin, Gasconade, Lincoln, Montgomery, Osage and 2 more64 min
Jul 3, 3:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXBond, Clinton30 min
Jul 3, 3:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCalhoun, Jersey49 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Lincoln, IL (KILX), launched 12:00Z, 6.3 hours before the alert went out and 221 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lincoln, IL at 12:00Z on 2011-07-03Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1911 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Lincoln, IL at 12:00Z on 2011-07-03The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -10 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1911 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-40 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
884 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
19 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-10 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
115 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
1.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 3, 12:26 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBond, Calhoun, Clay, Clinton, Effingham, Fayette and 11 more64 min
Jul 3, 3:35 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBond, Calhoun, Clark, Clay, Clinton, Crawford and 25 more55 min
Jul 3, 5:19 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBond, Calhoun, Clay, Clinton, Edwards, Fayette and 24 more26 min
Jul 2, 8:50 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCarroll, Clinton, Howard, Tippecanoe, Tipton55 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Illinois, 2011Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Missouri, 2011Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.