Alert archive / Kansas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2011

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 587

July 2, 201144 counties in Kansas; 17 counties in Nebraska

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 2, 2011, 10:56 PM CDT for 44 counties in Kansas; 17 counties in Nebraska. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 2, 2011, 10:56 PM CDT (03:56 UTC)
Expired
Jul 3, 2011, 5:00 AM CDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
65 kt
All 61 counties

Barton County, KS, Butler County, KS, Chase County, KS, Clay County, KS, Cloud County, KS, Dickinson County, KS, Edwards County, KS, Ellis County, KS, Ellsworth County, KS, Geary County, KS, Greenwood County, KS, Harvey County, KS, Hodgeman County, KS, Jewell County, KS, Lane County, KS, Lincoln County, KS, Lyon County, KS, Marion County, KS, Marshall County, KS, McPherson County, KS, Mitchell County, KS, Morris County, KS, Nemaha County, KS, Ness County, KS, Osborne County, KS, Ottawa County, KS, Pawnee County, KS, Phillips County, KS, Pottawatomie County, KS, Reno County, KS, Republic County, KS, Rice County, KS, Riley County, KS, Rooks County, KS, Rush County, KS, Russell County, KS, Saline County, KS, Scott County, KS, Sedgwick County, KS, Smith County, KS, Stafford County, KS, Trego County, KS, Wabaunsee County, KS, Washington County, KS, Adams County, NE, Clay County, NE, Fillmore County, NE, Franklin County, NE, Furnas County, NE, Gage County, NE, Gosper County, NE, Harlan County, NE, Jefferson County, NE, Johnson County, NE, Kearney County, NE, Nuckolls County, NE, Pawnee County, NE, Phelps County, NE, Saline County, NE, Thayer County, NE, Webster County, NE

The radar

The Grand Island radar (KUEX), 110 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 04:00 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
5%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
40%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

3 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 2, 11:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDSmith50 min
Jul 2, 11:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCEllis, Rush37 min
Jul 2, 11:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDPhillips44 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Dodge City, (KDDC), launched 00:00Z, 3.9 hours before the alert went out and 223 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Dodge City, at 00:00Z on 2011-07-03Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 172 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Dodge City, at 00:00Z on 2011-07-03The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -39 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
172 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-36 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
3307 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
23 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-39 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
35 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 2, 8:40 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCheyenne, Decatur, Finney, Gove, Graham, Greeley and 10 more2 hr
Jul 2, 10:46 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarton, Clay, Cloud, Dickinson, Ellis, Ellsworth and 27 more29 min
Jul 3, 1:49 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChase, Clay, Cloud, Dickinson, Ellsworth, Geary and 19 more86 min
Jul 3, 3:00 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarber, Butler, Chase, Clark, Comanche, Cowley and 14 more60 min
Jul 2, 7:48 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBanner, Box Butte, Dawes, Garden, Morrill, Scotts Bluff and 2 more117 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kansas, 2011Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Nebraska, 2011Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.