Severe Thunderstorm Watch 430

Issued

Jun 5, 2011, 12:02 PM CDT (17:02 UTC)

Expired

Jun 5, 2011, 5:00 PM CDT

In force

5 hr

Issued by

the Storm Prediction Center

Largest hail expected

2 in

Strongest gust expected

60 kt

The Nashville radar (KOHX), 44 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:03 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Two or more tornadoes

10%

One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes

5%

Ten or more severe wind reports

50%

One or more gusts of 65 knots or more

30%

Ten or more severe hail reports

40%

One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more

20%

Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports

70%

• Mesoscale Discussion 1098Jun 5, 10:47 AM CDT
• Mesoscale Discussion 1101Jun 5, 2:55 PM CDT
• Mesoscale Discussion 1103Jun 5, 4:45 PM CDT

507 
WWUS20 KWNS 051703
SEL0
SPC WW 051703
KYZ000-TNZ000-052200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 430
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1205 PM CDT SUN JUN 5 2011

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY
       MUCH OF MIDDLE TENNESSEE

EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON FROM 1205 PM UNTIL 500 PM CDT.

HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES WEST
NORTHWEST OF BOWLING GREEN KENTUCKY TO 75 MILES SOUTH OF
NASHVILLE TENNESSEE.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE
THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

DISCUSSION...CLUSTER OF STRONG/SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH ASSOCIATED
COLD POOL CONTINUES TO MOVE/DEVELOP SEWD INTO AN INCREASINGLY
UNSTABLE AIR MASS.  EXPECT THAT WIND DAMAGE THREAT WILL EXPAND AS
THE STORMS CONTINUE SEWD THRU THE AFTERNOON GIVEN THE MLCAPES AOA
3000 J/KG THAT ARE NOW AVAILABLE MIDDLE TN.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 32030.


...HALES

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Tennessee, 2011Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kentucky, 2011Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2011

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.