Alert archive / Michigan / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2011

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 425

June 3, 201112 counties in Michigan; 4 counties in Wisconsin

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jun 3, 2011, 11:49 PM EDT for 12 counties in Michigan; 4 counties in Wisconsin. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 3, 2011, 11:49 PM EDT (03:49 UTC)
Expired
Jun 4, 2011, 4:57 AM EDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt

Counties Alger County, MI, Baraga County, MI, Delta County, MI, Dickinson County, MI, Gogebic County, MI, Houghton County, MI, Iron County, MI, Keweenaw County, MI, Luce County, MI, Marquette County, MI, Ontonagon County, MI, Schoolcraft County, MI, Florence County, WI, Forest County, WI, Oneida County, WI, Vilas County, WI

The radar

The Marquette radar (KMQT), 25 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:51 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

5 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 4, 12:14 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMQTHoughton, Keweenaw61 min
Jun 4, 12:34 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMQTBaraga, Houghton, Ontonagon56 min
Jun 4, 1:14 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMQTHoughton, Keweenaw49 min
Jun 4, 3:01 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMQTAlger, Luce59 min
Jun 4, 3:58 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMQTLuce32 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Alpena, MI (KAPX), launched 00:00Z, 3.8 hours before the alert went out and 452 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Alpena, MI at 00:00Z on 2011-06-04Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Alpena, MI at 00:00Z on 2011-06-04The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 191 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1617 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
59 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
191 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
232 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
1.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 3, 10:07 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlger, Baraga, Chippewa, Delta, Dickinson, Houghton and 8 more83 min
Jun 4, 3:08 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBerrien, Branch, Calhoun, Cass, Genesee, Hillsdale and 13 more7 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Michigan, 2011Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Wisconsin, 2011Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.