Alert archive / Arkansas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2011

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 321

May 22, 201136 counties in Arkansas; 17 counties in Mississippi; 13 counties in Tennessee

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at May 22, 2011, 7:03 AM CDT for 36 counties in Arkansas; 17 counties in Mississippi; 13 counties in Tennessee. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 22, 2011, 7:03 AM CDT (12:03 UTC)
Expired
May 22, 2011, 2:00 PM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 66 counties

Arkansas County, AR, Bradley County, AR, Calhoun County, AR, Clark County, AR, Cleveland County, AR, Conway County, AR, Craighead County, AR, Crittenden County, AR, Cross County, AR, Dallas County, AR, Desha County, AR, Drew County, AR, Faulkner County, AR, Garland County, AR, Grant County, AR, Hot Spring County, AR, Jackson County, AR, Jefferson County, AR, Lee County, AR, Lincoln County, AR, Lonoke County, AR, Mississippi County, AR, Monroe County, AR, Montgomery County, AR, Ouachita County, AR, Perry County, AR, Phillips County, AR, Pike County, AR, Poinsett County, AR, Prairie County, AR, Pulaski County, AR, Saline County, AR, St. Francis County, AR, White County, AR, Woodruff County, AR, Yell County, AR, Alcorn County, MS, Benton County, MS, Coahoma County, MS, DeSoto County, MS, Itawamba County, MS, Lafayette County, MS, Lee County, MS, Marshall County, MS, Panola County, MS, Pontotoc County, MS, Prentiss County, MS, Quitman County, MS, Tate County, MS, Tippah County, MS, Tishomingo County, MS, Tunica County, MS, Union County, MS, Chester County, TN, Crockett County, TN, Decatur County, TN, Fayette County, TN, Hardeman County, TN, Hardin County, TN, Haywood County, TN, Henderson County, TN, Lauderdale County, TN, Madison County, TN, McNairy County, TN, Shelby County, TN, Tipton County, TN

The radar

The Little Rock radar (KLZK), 66 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 12:04 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
20%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
50%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

20 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 22, 7:09 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKGarland, Montgomery51 min
May 22, 7:11 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKArkansas, Monroe31 min
May 22, 7:15 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKCleveland, Jefferson, Lincoln45 min
May 22, 7:38 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKHot Spring, Pulaski, Saline37 min
May 22, 8:34 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKFaulkner, White17 min
May 22, 9:15 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningMEGDeSoto, Marshall, Tate7 hr
May 22, 9:29 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKGarland, Hot Spring, Saline46 min
May 22, 9:54 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKClark, Dallas, Hot Spring27 min
May 22, 10:02 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningMEGCrittenden, Lee, Phillips, St. Francis5 hr
May 22, 10:17 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKPulaski, Saline33 min
May 22, 10:36 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKWoodruff39 min
May 22, 10:44 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCrittenden, Cross, Poinsett, St. Francis46 min
May 22, 10:45 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKLonoke, Pulaski, Saline45 min
May 22, 11:23 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZKPulaski, Saline3 hr
May 22, 11:29 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCraighead, Crittenden, Cross, Mississippi, Poinsett46 min
May 22, 11:33 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKLonoke, Prairie, Pulaski42 min
May 22, 12:14 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningMEGCrittenden, Cross, St. Francis3 hr
May 22, 12:32 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningMEGCrittenden2 hr
May 22, 12:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKGrant, Lonoke, Pulaski, Saline47 min
May 22, 12:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKArkansas, Monroe, Prairie41 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Little Rock, AR (KLZK), launched 12:00Z, 0.1 hours before the alert went out and 151 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Little Rock, AR at 12:00Z on 2011-05-22Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1953 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Little Rock, AR at 12:00Z on 2011-05-22The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 142 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1953 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-164 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
768 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
37 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
142 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
154 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.3
Supercell composite
5.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 21, 8:31 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleburne and 45 more89 min
May 22, 5:18 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Calhoun, Clark, Cleburne, Cleveland, Conway and 32 more57 min
May 22, 11:15 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Bradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleveland, Conway and 26 more90 min
May 22, 1:06 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Fulton, Marion114 min
May 22, 1:09 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Crittenden, Cross, Grant, Jefferson, Lee and 7 more66 min
May 22, 1:27 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBenton, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin, Madison, Sebastian and 1 more8 hr
May 22, 3:10 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Boone, Cleburne, Independence, Izard, Jackson and 9 more65 min
May 22, 3:24 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBaxter, Boone, Clay, Cleburne, Conway, Craighead and 22 more6 hr
May 22, 3:48 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin, Madison, Washington117 min
May 22, 5:21 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Boone, Carroll, Clay, Cleburne, Conway and 22 more54 min
May 22, 6:10 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin, Madison, Washington65 min
May 22, 12:55 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Bedford, Bledsoe, Blount, Bradley, Campbell and 51 more65 min
May 22, 1:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAnderson, Bedford, Bledsoe, Blount, Bradley, Campbell and 64 more7 hr
May 22, 3:44 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Blount, Campbell, Carter, Claiborne, Cocke and 17 more61 min
May 22, 6:26 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCarter, Cocke, Greene, Hamblen, Hawkins, Johnson and 3 more2 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Arkansas, 2011Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Mississippi, 2011Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Tennessee, 2011Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.