Alert archive / New York / Mesoscale Discussions in 2011

Mesoscale Discussion 982

May 26, 201126 counties in New York; 13 counties in Vermont

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 26, 2011, 2:57 PM EDT for 26 counties in New York; 13 counties in Vermont. It was in force for 63 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 26, 2011, 2:57 PM EDT (18:57 UTC)
Expired
May 26, 2011, 4:00 PM EDT
In force
63 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 39 counties

Albany County, NY, Broome County, NY, Chemung County, NY, Chenango County, NY, Clinton County, NY, Cortland County, NY, Delaware County, NY, Essex County, NY, Fulton County, NY, Greene County, NY, Hamilton County, NY, Herkimer County, NY, Madison County, NY, Montgomery County, NY, Oneida County, NY, Onondaga County, NY, Otsego County, NY, Rensselaer County, NY, Saratoga County, NY, Schenectady County, NY, Schoharie County, NY, Schuyler County, NY, Tioga County, NY, Tompkins County, NY, Warren County, NY, Washington County, NY, Addison County, VT, Bennington County, VT, Caledonia County, VT, Chittenden County, VT, Essex County, VT, Franklin County, VT, Grand Isle County, VT, Lamoille County, VT, Orange County, VT, Orleans County, VT, Rutland County, VT, Washington County, VT, Windsor County, VT

The radar

The Ft Drum radar (KTYX), 95 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:00 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Albany, NY (KALY), launched 12:00Z, 7.0 hours before the alert went out and 116 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2011-05-26Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2011-05-26The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 274 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1004 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
43 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
274 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
327 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

571 
ACUS11 KWNS 261857
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 261857 
NHZ000-VTZ000-NYZ000-PAZ000-262000-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0982
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0157 PM CDT THU MAY 26 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...MUCH OF UPSTATE NY AND NRN VT

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 380...382...

VALID 261857Z - 262000Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 380...382...CONTINUES.

BOUNDARY LAYER CONTINUES TO DESTABILIZE BENEATH NEUTRAL TO WEAK
HEIGHT RISES OVER PA INTO VT.  CU FIELD REFLECTS THIS LACK OF LARGE
SCALE ASCENT WITH STRONGER UPDRAFTS CONGREGATING ALONG LAKE BREEZE
IN THE LEE OF LO AND OVER HIGHER TERRAIN DUE TO UNEVEN HEATING.  AS
A RESULT ACTIVITY MAY STRUGGLE FOR ANOTHER FEW HOURS BUT WITH TIME
ISOLATED-SCT SEVERE TSTMS SHOULD EVOLVE OVER THIS REGION AS VERY
UNSTABLE AIR MASS IS IN PLACE.

..DARROW.. 05/26/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...GYX...BTV...ALY...BGM...BUF...CTP...

LAT...LON   43737588 43747475 45037393 45037146 43787231 41897433
            41887761 43737588

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 26, 11:55 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBroome, Cayuga, Chemung, Chenango, Cortland, Delaware and 15 more95 min
May 26, 12:29 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCClinton, Essex, Franklin, St. Lawrence8 hr
May 26, 2:16 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCAlbany, Broome, Cayuga, Chemung, Chenango, Cortland and 26 more8 hr
May 26, 5:49 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCSullivan56 min
May 26, 6:06 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAllegany, Cattaraugus, Chautauqua, Erie, Livingston, Ontario and 1 more6 hr
May 26, 6:41 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlbany, Broome, Chenango, Cortland, Delaware, Essex and 16 more64 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in New York, 2011Mesoscale Discussions in Vermont, 2011Every mesoscale discussion in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.