Alert archive / Arkansas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2011

Mesoscale Discussion 914

May 23, 201116 counties in Arkansas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 23, 2011, 8:55 PM CDT for 16 counties in Arkansas. It was in force for 95 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 23, 2011, 8:55 PM CDT (01:55 UTC)
Expired
May 23, 2011, 10:30 PM CDT
In force
95 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center

Counties Conway County, AR, Faulkner County, AR, Garland County, AR, Johnson County, AR, Logan County, AR, Lonoke County, AR, Montgomery County, AR, Perry County, AR, Pope County, AR, Pulaski County, AR, Saline County, AR, Scott County, AR, Searcy County, AR, Van Buren County, AR, White County, AR, Yell County, AR

The radar

The Little Rock radar (KLZK), 71 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:56 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 00:00Z, 1.9 hours before the alert went out and 201 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2011-05-24Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 23 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2011-05-24The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -138 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
23 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-417 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1542 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
38 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-138 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-19 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

348 
ACUS11 KWNS 240155
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 240155 
ARZ000-240330-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0914
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0855 PM CDT MON MAY 23 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...N-CNTRL THROUGH CNTRL AR

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE 

VALID 240155Z - 240330Z

STORMS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE SEWD INTO CNTRL AR DURING THE EVENING
WITH A THREAT FOR PRIMARILY ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND AND LARGE HAIL.
WW WILL PROBABLY BE NEEDED PRIOR TO 03Z FOR A PORTION OF N-CNTRL
THROUGH CNTRL AR.

STORMS HAVE EVOLVED INTO A FORWARD PROPAGATING MCS FROM ERN OK INTO
EXTREME NWRN AR MOVING SEWD AT 30-35 KT. AN EXTENSIVE CONVECTIVE
OUTFLOW BOUNDARY EXTENDS FROM THE TN VALLEY WWD THROUGH S-CNTRL AR
INTO E-CNTRL OK WHERE IT INTERSECTS THE SQUALL LINE. THE 00Z LITTLE
ROCK SOUNDING WAS SAMPLED NORTH OF THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY AND SHOWS A
VERY MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER ALONG WITH 2500 J/KG MLCAPE...STEEP LAPSE
RATES AND 47 KT SFC-6 KM SHEAR. CURRENT THINKING IS THAT THE
PERSISTENT SLY LLJ WILL MAINTAIN INFLUX OF HIGHER THETA-E AIR FROM
THE WARM SECTOR AND HELP TO SUSTAIN A FORWARD PROPAGATING SYSTEM
INTO CNTRL AR. BOWING SEGMENTS WITH DAMAGING WIND APPEARS PROBABLE
ALONG WITH ISOLATED HAIL.

..DIAL.. 05/24/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LZK...TSA...

LAT...LON   35889343 35939265 35659208 35029150 34319184 34479374
            34949414 35889343

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 23, 9:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCArkansas, Cleburne, Conway, Crawford, Faulkner, Franklin and 21 more6 hr
May 24, 2:08 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Clark, Cleveland, Crawford, Dallas, Franklin and 21 more97 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Arkansas, 2011Every mesoscale discussion in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.